The Live Fix: Of the 2016 Olympics, Virginia Governor, Tpaw and VIA Coffee
We chatted live for an hour today -- taking questions on a wide variety of topics including what (if any) impact there would be on President Barack Obama after Chicago failed to land the 2016 Olympics, whether or not the Virginia governor's race is a referendum on Obama and if Starbucks new instant coffee measures up.
Our three favorite questions are below. You can read the whole chat transcript too.
A sidenote: The Fix is VERY under the weather today (we are writing this from the official Fix bed) and so we are going to pass on writing a Friday Line in favor of taking a Friday nap. Thanks for understanding and we'll be back at it -- hopefully -- early next week.
D.C.: Cillizza: I wrote in a few weeks ago and called you the Bill Simmons of politics...now I find out you're a teetotaling, anti-real coffee, Yankee fan. Don't make me downgrade you to Mike Lupica territory.
That being said, is it just me or does it seem more and more like Arlen Specter is losing this primary? I know he has the institutional support, the money, Obama, Rendell, blach blah...but Sestak has the base. And in a closed primary, isn't that most important?
Chris Cillizza: My goal in life is to be featured in the following sentence: "Chris Cillizza is the homeless man's Bill Simmons."
Not sure if you saw the Q poll earlier this week but it showed Specter dropping like a rock -- from 55 percent to 44 percent -- in a primary matchup against Sestak. Sestak stayed steady at @25 percent.
The other numbers in the poll weren't great for Specter either as his fav/unfav is upside down -- never a good sign for a well known incumbent.
Specter still has some big advantages in the race, however -- notably his HUGE cash haul and the active support from the White House.
My guess is that this race is going to be very close but I have learned over the past few years to NEVER bet against Specter.
St. Paul, Minn.: Hi Chris -- Gov. Pawlenty is clearly ramping up his bid for the Republican nomination in 2012, yet here in MN barely half of those polled approve of the job he's doing, and 55% said that they don't think he should run. Overall, there seems to be a feeling that he's still governor and should be attending to the difficult state of economic affairs here and not his own political ambitions, even if he is out the door in a year. What impact do you think these numbers will have, if any? Are there past situations where presidential candidates haven't been doing so well in their home state and yet go on to capture the nomination?
Chris Cillizza: I wrote about the poll you cite earlier this week on the Fix.
I actually though the overall numbers weren't bad for Tpaw in that more people approved of the job he was doing as governor than didn't -- particularly among critical independents.
That said, I do think there is a natural "This guy?" reaction when one of your home state politicians seeks national office. It happened with John Edwards, Mike Huckabee and lots of other politicians who went on to have considerable success at the national level.
Minnesota -- no offense Land of 10,000 Lakes, I still have love for you -- isn't going to decide the identity of the Republican nominee for president in 2012.
Harrisburg, Pa.: Critical question: Have you tried the new instant Starbucks, available at only about a dollar per glass? What gets me is their advertising: are they trying to tell us that their coffee is so terrible you can't tell the difference between it and instant coffee?
Chris Cillizza: VIA!
I have avoided it despite the super-aggressive pushing of it on me whenever I go into a Starbucks. ("Hey man, try this...it's good for you...first time's free")
Frank confession: I dislike "regular" coffee almost as much as I dislike beer. So, it's only the expensive, sugary drinks for me!
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