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Who won the May 18 primary prediction contest?

It's been eight days since the May 18 "Incumbent Armageddon" primaries that saw Sen. Arlen Specter (Pa.) defeated in a Democratic primary, Sen. Blanche Lincoln (Ark.) forced into a June 8 runoff and House Republicans hopes of building momentum in the House dashed by a special election in southwestern Pennsylvania.

But, we have yet to declare the winner of our Fix primary prediction contest -- the one Fixista who came closest to predicting the outcome of the Pennsylvania and Arkansas Democratic Senate primaries as well as the finish in the Pennsylvania 12th district special.

Before we reveal the winner, who will receive an official Fix t-shirt, let's revisit the actual results.

Pennsylvania Senate (D primary)
Joe Sestak 53.9%
Arlen Specter 46.1%

Arkansas Senate (D primary)
Blanche Lincoln 44.5%
Bill Halter 42.5%
DC Morrison 13%

PA-12 Special Election
Mark Critz (D) 52.6%
Tim Burns (R) 45%
Demo Agoris (Lib.) 2.3%

And, the winner is....(drumroll please):


He (or she) missed all three races by just 5.9 total points -- an amazing performance. "Dganderson13" gets an honorable mention for missing the final results by just 6.1 points.

If you are "Politickr", make sure to email me at with your preferred mailing address and size so we can get the official Fix t-shirt out to you as soon as possible!

Didn't win? Never fear -- the summer is filled with primaries (and Fix primary prediction contests.)

With Felicia Sonmez

By Chris Cillizza  |  May 26, 2010; 5:05 PM ET
Categories:  Fix Notes  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: "Worst Week in Washington": The Nominations
Next: Gresham Barrett and the politics of TARP


CC if Politckr does not claim the prize I will be glad to. Also No T shirt for 2nd?

I guess I will have to settle for the shout out.


Posted by: dganderson13 | May 27, 2010 11:35 AM | Report abuse

When are you going to realize that you are the equivalent of white noise, 37, and your entire life is a meaningless waste?

Posted by: drindl | May 27, 2010 9:12 AM | Report abuse

Why isn't Obama doing more for the fishermen ???

Obama just approved expanded offshore oil drilling - so Obama SHOULD HAVE HAD A PLAN READY TO GO.

Sorry - but Obama JUST REVIEWED THIS.

So either Obama is completely incompetent - in which case he should resign.

Or Obama has no idea what he is doing, in which case he should resign.



Posted by: 37thand0street | May 27, 2010 12:32 AM | Report abuse

May 18th? Let me guess, Felicia and Aaron starting arguing about who was sandbagging doing the math, which is even more boring than figuring out what Dino Rossi is doing, or maybe not. Then both gave up, intending to blame the other. When Chris found out a few days later, he told them he didn't care whose fault it was, "Just get the work done please," he said, with a smile, a little too toothy smile. Now Aaron and Felicia are steamed at each other and Chris knows he may not be able to just assign work to both of them and expect it to happen. And if you don't like that story, there are plenty more where that came from.

Posted by: shrink2 | May 26, 2010 5:56 PM | Report abuse

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