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Fix Pick: Palin's Rocky Return to Alaska


Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin struggles to adjust to life back in Alaska. AP Photo/Chris Miller

For any politician on the losing end of a bid for national office re-acclimating to their previous life can be a rough road.

Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry struggled to find his place in the Senate following his loss to George W. Bush in 2004, and then vice presidentAl Gore grew a beard and went into semi-seclusion after Bush beat him in 2000.

The adjustment is even more difficult when the politician has been plucked from relative obscurity and must return there -- ala former Indiana Sen. Dan Quayle or, more recently, Sarah Palin.

No presidential or vice presidential candidate has risen (and, some would argue, fallen) as fast as the Alaska governor who went from an unknown to the second most famous politician in the world behind only President Barack Obama.

In a terrific piece in today's paper, the Post's Michael Leahy documents the unsteady return of Palin (he calls it a "bumpy homecoming") to the Last Frontier and a decidedly smaller political stage.

Much of Palin's awkwardness -- Leahy describes a bipartisan retreat of Alaska state Senator she attended in which, when asked to list her priorities, she responded: "I feel like you guys are always trying to put me on the spot" -- is the result of her being a servant of two masters: the people of Alaska and the national conservative base.

The former are the people who elected her in a sweeping vote of confidence in 2006 and who would be asked to do the same in 2010 -- if she decides to run for re-election. Among this group, Palin's approval ratings have fallen from the stratospheric levels she enjoyed before her cameo on the national stage but they remain in the 60s -- perfectly respectable for any statewide elected official.

The latter group are far more important to Palin's political future as they will likely play an outsized role in choosing the next presidential nominee of the party. Assuming the nominating calendar stays the same as it was in 2008 (a big assumption), two of the first three contests -- the Iowa caucuses and the South Carolina primary -- will give a major edge to the most conservative candidate.

And, late January polling by Rasmussen Reports shows a majority of Republican voters (55 percent) believe that Palin is the right model for the party going forward while just 24 percent said the same of 2008 nominee John McCain (Ariz.)

Keeping her role as the conservative standard-bearer is critical to Palin's chances at winning the GOP nomination in 2012 (it's why she endorsed Texas Gov. Rick Perry in his primary race against Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison) but it also runs counter to the non-partisan problem solver image she built during her first years in office.

"Some Alaska Democrats and Republicans wonder whether Palin, given her new stature among social conservatives who are urging her to run for president, will feel compelled to invest more capital" in two anti-abortion measures working their way through the state legislature, writes Leahy.

What's clear in Leahy's piece -- and in conversations the Fix has with operatives of both partisan stripes in the course of any given day -- is that Palin is simultaneously divisive and appealing as a politician; even for those who profess to despise her, they can't help but consume news about her.

Palin adviser Joe Balash put it thusly: "She walks into a room and things change. She just has that 'it' -- whatever that 'it' is."

Need evidence? Leahy's story has already drawn nearly 650 comments -- ranging the spectrum from super-supportive to angrily opposed.

Palin polarizes. It remains to be seen whether that trait is the key to her future successes or the hurdle that holds her back.

By Chris Cillizza  |  February 18, 2009; 3:27 PM ET
Categories:  Fix Picks  
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Comments

YOU ADMIRE HER FOR PUTTING HER FAMILY ON JUMP STREET? HOW COULD ANYONE ADMIRE A PERSON USING THEIR KIDS FOR POLITICAL GAIN? WE DON'T NEED NORMAL PEOPLE RUNNING THIS COUNTRY. WE NEED SUPER NORMAL PEOPLE RUNNING THIS COUNTRY. DAMN, ITS ALMOST HARD TO CALL THEM NORMAL. HOW'S LEVI'S MOM AND HER METH ISSUE'S GOING ALONG?

Palin did an amazing job attracting attention to a losing effort..the McCain campaign -- even Bad Publicity is still publicity...the problem is, this kind of thing will probably work only one time..and doesn't have much chance of reigniting. I do have to say that I admire her resiliency

Posted by: opp88 | February 22, 2009 9:18 PM | Report abuse

NOT......APRIL FOOLS.......WHEN PIGS FLY.

STEELE/PAIN IN 2012....

SECOND BLACK PRESIDENT AND FIRST WHITE WOMAN VICE PRESIDENT

Posted by: opp88 | February 22, 2009 9:10 PM | Report abuse

STEELE/PAIN IN 2012....

SECOND BLACK PRESIDENT AND FIRST WHITE WOMAN VICE PRESIDENT.

Posted by: opp88 | February 22, 2009 8:48 PM | Report abuse

DUDE IT IS NOW 2009. SARAH "HOP SCOTCH MOM" HAS NOTHING COMING. WASN'T THAT CLEAR TO YOU IN THE MCSHAME/PALIN BID?
_________________________________

The liberal dems are in a tizzy again. They supported and rallied around the chosen one who was going to bring the troops home and now he is sending MORE troops over. Hahahahahaha The Republican Party now has MR. Michael Steele and WE will be stronger then ever in 2012. You keep posting these stupid articles about Sarah Palin because you know how popular she has become since BO took office. People are tired of his lying. Go Sarah!!

Posted by: opp88 | February 22, 2009 8:46 PM | Report abuse

H.B.O. SPECIAL, RIGHT AMERICA:FEELING WRONG. McCain/Palin run for the president.

You need to watch this Special on H.B.O. called
"Right America:Feeling Wronged" This is some startling shyd, whats going on here in our own backyard, dude.

John McCain's running mate Sarah "hop scotch mom" Palin played on these poor people's fears and hatred.

What was so shocking was this 13-14 yr. old kid claimed that if Barack Obama wins the Presidency. The kid said he was going to move to Canada. see ya! Lots of radicolous stuff.

If you look at this film, it shows how bad, race feelings, still exist amongst whites, toward blacks here in America.

Other groups of people are mentioned in this film but the fact that Barack Obama, a black man, is on the verge making U.S. history...black and white were the main focus...so...and we know the rest of the story.

All that shyd being said.

Whats up with Sarah Palin, Rush Limpballs and others who claimed to be concerned about this Countries future?

RNC, Michael Steele's "first black guy" and his RNC hip hop platform? Bling Bling?

What will these people have to offer in terms of results?

Address this calamity.

Posted by: opp88 | February 22, 2009 8:41 PM | Report abuse

Every time Palin is in the news it is because she has stubbed her toe — again. The latest: even her unmarried young daughter says she disagrees with her mother on abstinence being the solution to teen pregnancy, and the State of Alaska telling Palin she has to pay income taxes on the money she got for getting per diems for staying in her own home at night.

And 55% of Republicans think she should be their standard bearer?
Evidently they learned nothing from the last election, and it looks like 100% of their reps in Congress didn't either. According to the latest poll, the approval rating of Republicans in congress went down by 4% and those of the Dems up by, I forget, a dozen percent.

You betcha, though. I'd like to see a ticket of Palin and maybe that really appealing senator from AZ, and I mean Kyle, not Senator Manyhouses.

Posted by: bezvodka | February 19, 2009 4:10 PM | Report abuse

"I think this would explain their electoral successes, not failures."

It cuts both ways, as it only works for so long.

Posted by: kreuz_missile | February 19, 2009 12:55 PM | Report abuse

Palin may be eager to do the bidding of conservatives, but doesn't a mess in Alaska hurt her 2012 chances more by giving ammo to opponents (Obama or GOP primary foes) in then form of a horrible public record her last years in office?

-------------------------------------------
The Republican party does not have the ability to learn from its mistakes.

They could, as exemplified by their latest actions - obstruction of the stimulus bill for no more than political grandstanding, being proud of adopting Taliban techniques to further hurt our country, electing a black man to be the head of a party that truly hates his race, among other things - will probably look at her tax problems and how ineptly she has run her state (and personal life) and say hey, at least she's not a liberal. They will also claim that if she and McCain had been elected that we would not have faced this crisis that we are in.

The Republicans (I can't call them conservatives. That shows a degree of intelligence in government.) accept no responsibility for any of their actions and that includes finding the most incapable and unqualified person that is easily manipulated to be their standard bearer.

And we see how well that has worked out for our country.

Of course, if she is selected for 2012 and Steele isn't in prison for election fraud, I bet he won't attend any of her rallies. The pointy hoods and sheets might make him a little nervous.

Posted by: dennissuper | February 19, 2009 12:12 PM | Report abuse

"See, this is why republicans keep losing, their base is dumber than a bag of hammers and they only keep them by lying nonstop."

I think this would explain their electoral successes, not failures.

Posted by: DDAWD | February 19, 2009 10:55 AM | Report abuse

Is there some of us who don't know the difference between trillion and billion?

Posted by: orlandus81 | February 19, 2009 9:53 AM | Report abuse

"They supported and rallied around the chosen one who was going to bring the troops home and now he is sending MORE troops over."

Obama said all throughout the campaign that he was going to send more troops to Afghanistan. See, this is why republicans keep losing, their base is dumber than a bag of hammers and they only keep them by lying nonstop.

Jul 2008: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0708/11893.html

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/jul/15/barackobama.usa1


August 2007:
http://www.barackobama.com/2007/08/01/the_war_we_need_to_win.php

Posted by: kreuz_missile | February 19, 2009 8:56 AM | Report abuse

Once there was this girl who wouldn't go and change with the other girls in the change room. And then when they finally made her they saw birthmarks all over her body. She couldn't quite explain that they had always just been there.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-4WbwwhBmRk

Posted by: angriestdogintheworld | February 19, 2009 4:07 AM | Report abuse

IS IT POSSIBLE THAT MUKASEY LAID THE GROUNDWORK
FOR THE 'TAKE-DOWN' OF THE AMERICAN GESTAPO?


It was Michael Mukasey who requested the internal report that has exposed the politically-motivated legal opinions from the Gozales-led Bush DOJ that attempted to legalize various forms of torture...

INCLUDING, as this writer has reported, the covert "use" of radiation weaponry on "innocent but targeted" U.S. citizens, APPROVED by the Gonzales-Bush-Cheney DOJ...

... in a STILL-ONGOING campaign that could be described as a slow-kill American genocide/politicide.

Indeed, some have asked: Was that "fainting spell" before the Federaist Society late last year really a "directed energy" (read: microwave radiation) weapon attack on the attorney general -- a no-so-veiled "warning" for him to stay in line?

Now that the truth is coming out, will Mukasey fully reclaim his honor and tell all he knows about the "silent holocaust" that was vastly expanded under this predecessor -- institutionalized American crimes against humanity that continue to infect law enforcement agencies nationwide on the federal, state and local levels?

IT IS DAY 31 OF THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION.

DO YOU *REALLY* KNOW WHAT YOUR SECURITY "MULTI-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER" IS UP TO?

http://www.nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-targets-terrorizes-u-s-citizens

http://my.nowpublic.com/world/domestic-torture-radiation-weaponry-americas-horrific-shame

OR (IF LINKS ARE DISABLED/CORRUPTED):

http://My.NowPublic.com/scrivener

Posted by: scrivener50 | February 19, 2009 12:50 AM | Report abuse

The liberal dems are in a tizzy again. They supported and rallied around the chosen one who was going to bring the troops home and now he is sending MORE troops over. Hahahahahaha The Republican Party now has MR. Michael Steele and WE will be stronger then ever in 2012. You keep posting these stupid articles about Sarah Palin because you know how popular she has become since BO took office. People are tired of his lying. Go Sarah!!

Posted by: sprayadhesive | February 18, 2009 10:54 PM | Report abuse

There are a lot more reasons why Alaskans are turning against Sarah Palin than listed above. The election highlighted that she has no business in national politics. This former supporter believes she has no place in state politics either. From her handling of the Matanuska Maid Dairy fiasco, to Troopergate and her refusal to turn over e-mails and all eveidence gathered in the investigation of her actions in said affair, to her current tax problems which stem from her taking per diem for living AT HOME. We are starting to realize she isn't as open and ethical as she campaigned she was. It's also obvious that she really doesn't have her head in governing Alaska any more, she has national stars in her eyes. Her association with Fred "the dog eating jew hunter" Malek is also troubling. There will be more bad news coming out for her in the future. Her house of cards is blowing down.

Posted by: twodux | February 18, 2009 10:47 PM | Report abuse

$787 trillion, huh? I'd be outraged myself, it puts Dubya's $6 trillion to shame....

Of course, compared to those numbers, $787 BILLION spread over two years is a bargain to save us from the mess created by eight years of failed Republican policies, but of course it would be a bargain, because sadly it's only a downpayment.

And btw, take an economics class and learn something about price elasticity and its effect on burden of taxation before making another 6th grade level rant.

Posted by: kreuz_missile | February 18, 2009 10:23 PM | Report abuse

Sarah Palin's approval rating with Republican conservatives is 55%, and she has a approval rating in Alaska in the mid 60's for doing a great job. She's had these ratings thruout her political career, unlike Barack Obama who's still on his honeymoon. While her's will probably go up, Obama's will drop like a rock once his Marxist policies become reality in about two years. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that the $787 trillion the Obama and the Democrap Socialists will dole out to their special interest groups, and to everybody that helped elect them, will need to be replaced by working people who pay all the taxes. Since businesses and corporations don't pay taxes, but pass their tax burden on to their consumers in higher prices on their products or services, it'll be the working men and women--i e the consumers-- who'll pay for Obama's and the Democrap Socialists $787 trillion stimulus package in the end. In about two years someone will have to pay the Piper, and when that happens Barack Obama and the Democrap Socialists approval numbers will probably be the same as Obama's shoe size and IQ, in the single digits.

Posted by: armpeg | February 18, 2009 10:16 PM | Report abuse

Haven't we wasted enough time talking about morons? We sort of elected one in 2000, incomprehensibly re-elected one in 2004, and suffered the domestic and global consequences throughout. We finally have someone with intelligence and pragmatism trying to sort out the incredible mess left to him. How can we possibly have time for a 15-watt bulb like Sarah Palin? Please. We no longer have the luxury of wasting time and space on the likes of her.

Posted by: salescoach | February 18, 2009 9:42 PM | Report abuse

Republicans in '12? Two words: Bull Moose.

She's that divisive. It'll happen.

Posted by: mattintx | February 18, 2009 8:45 PM | Report abuse

jgold2, couple of problems with your theory:

1. Republicans almost universally nominate the person who is the favorite of party insiders about 1 year out.

2. Due to recent Republican losses, the party today is more conservative and more ideologically driven. The ones left in power are from ultra-conservative districts who believe Dubya's ultimate failure was he wasn't conservative enough.

3. As noted, the early race is dominated by Iowa (only the diehards show up, and they are more socially than fiscally conservative in IA), New Hampshire (maybe an opening for a moderate-ala a McCain here, but with NH Blueing recently the state Republicans are becoming more reactionary and conservative, so that may work against them), and South Carolina (social conservatives rule).

4. Obama has two possibilites right now: crash and burn, or economic recovery, with the latter being most likely although the strength of the recovery will certainly be debatable. If it's the latter, Republicans trying to be Obama-lite will lose, though they may keep it close. More likely they push their tax-cut ideology arguing it will be of greater stimulus value. If it's the former, Republicans will want to run as the anti-Obama.

All of these factors point to a hard-right candidate in four years, and a likely strong Obama re-election with it.

Posted by: kreuz_missile | February 18, 2009 8:37 PM | Report abuse

Palin is a Pied Piper who, if the GOP follows her, will take the GOP deeper into the wilderness, maybe even to a galaxy far, far away.

Posted by: klakey1 | February 18, 2009 8:34 PM | Report abuse

Palin is a Pied Piper who, if the GOP follows her, will take the GOP deeper into the wilderness, maybe even to a galaxy far, far away.

Posted by: klakey1 | February 18, 2009 8:31 PM | Report abuse

The right-wing Republican base will be LESS important in choosing the '12 candidate than in '08. And in '08, remember, the GOP chose a candidate (McCain) who was far from a movement conservative - he was endorsed by the NY Times, no less.

Why less important? (1) With (presumably) no Democratic race, voters who might have voted in the Democratic primary will be more likely to vote in the Republican primary, and such voters are rather more moderate than the diehard Republicans. (2) The Republican-right brand, was severely damaged by Bush and Cheney, and polls indicate that the combative GOP approach to the stimulus has alienated voters still further.

Palin (who does not inspire confidence, even among many Republicans) will crash and burn early.

Posted by: jgold2 | February 18, 2009 7:55 PM | Report abuse

"And, late January polling by Rasmussen Reports shows a majority of Republican voters (55 percent) believe that Palin is the right model for the party going forward while just 24 percent said the same of 2008 nominee John McCain (Ariz.)"

That is fantastic news. I pray that they nominate her. For once, the GOP base's chronic propensity for being wrong about everything is doing some good.
Palin is the gift that keeps on giving - to Democrats. Come back Sarah!

PS I hope her looks can hold up for four more years.

Imagine a 2012 election between Palin and Obama. Talk about entertainment value!

Posted by: kevrobb | February 18, 2009 6:38 PM | Report abuse

The Borgen Project has some good info on the cost of addressing global poverty.

$30 billion: Annual shortfall to end world hunger.
$550 billion: U.S. Defense budget

Posted by: atsegga | February 18, 2009 6:31 PM | Report abuse

Now she cannot serve in the Prez's bipartisan Cabinet because she has a tax problem.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/02/18/AR2009021802448.html

:-)

Posted by: mark_in_austin | February 18, 2009 6:29 PM | Report abuse

you're misreading the whole thing. her overall approval ratings are still in the mid 30's. democrats, but more importantly independents hate her.
.
Anyone who tries to whip up a crowd, and incite civil unrest will not just vanish from public consciousness in just a few months.
.
non-social conservatives aren't defending her anymore. she's like an albatross wrapped around their neck.

Posted by: lupercal | February 18, 2009 6:28 PM | Report abuse

The Republicans will probably be very happy to let Sara take the lead for 2012. After all, they will need a sacrificial goat (see Goldwater and McCain for the republicans, Mondale and McGovern for democrats) in that election. I doubt very much if any serious republican candidate will take on Obama in 2012. They rather wait another four years when they have an open shot at it. The VP is not likely to run, he would be much too old.

Posted by: Opa2 | February 18, 2009 6:00 PM | Report abuse

mperezm, didn't you mean ANTI-abortion evangelicals?

Posted by: Nosy_Parker | February 18, 2009 5:21 PM | Report abuse

Palin was chosen by McCain for one reason only: to ensure the votes of the pro-abortion evangelical voters. Her "base" consists of these people.

Posted by: mperezm | February 18, 2009 5:17 PM | Report abuse

reptilian shrewdness, narcissism, blank

That's brilliant, sperrico!

Posted by: Nosy_Parker | February 18, 2009 5:16 PM | Report abuse

Palin is sexy. But, except for a certain reptilian shrewdness, and a degree of narcissism beauty contestants usually have, she is as blank as a wall: just as the photo shows.

Posted by: sperrico | February 18, 2009 5:12 PM | Report abuse

IF SHE WERENT SO ARROGANT ADDED WITH IGNORANCE THE OTHER 52.8% MIGHT LIKE HER...

SOMEONE PLZ TELL HER...KNOWLEDGE IS POWER!

AND IMAGE IS EVERYTHING...

Posted by: opp88 | February 18, 2009 5:12 PM | Report abuse

On second thought, maybe a President Palin would simply abolish pressers.

Posted by: Nosy_Parker | February 18, 2009 5:06 PM | Report abuse

While watching and listening to Barack Obama's articulate and thoughtful replies during his recent first Presidential press conference, I could only shudder at the thought of Sarah Palin ever attaining that office and having to face press questions. Her performance would doubtless make even Bush 43 at his worst sound intelligent by contrast.

Posted by: Nosy_Parker | February 18, 2009 5:05 PM | Report abuse

Palin did an amazing job attracting attention to a losing effort..the McCain campaign -- even Bad Publicity is still publicity...the problem is, this kind of thing will probably work only one time..and doesn't have much chance of reigniting. I do have to say that I admire her resiliency.

Posted by: newbeeboy | February 18, 2009 5:04 PM | Report abuse

DonJasper time for you move bro...

when the levee breaks...led zeppelin!
____________________________________

"A prophet is not without honor except in his hometown and among his own relatives and in his own household." Mark 6:4

Posted by: DonJasper

Posted by: opp88 | February 18, 2009 5:04 PM | Report abuse

DonJasper...time for you to move bro!
_____________________________

"A prophet is not without honor except in his hometown and among his own relatives and in his own household." Mark 6:4

Posted by: DonJasper |

Posted by: opp88 | February 18, 2009 5:01 PM | Report abuse

HAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAA NO OFFENSE TAKEN....HAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHA
_________________________________

Palin is retarded.

No offense to retards.

Posted by: Canonera | February

Posted by: opp88 | February 18, 2009 4:57 PM | Report abuse

The picture of her looks like she did that time while, sitting next to ole' magoo, she suddenly realized his 'Depends' was leaking all over the couch.

Posted by: Heerman532 | February 18, 2009 4:31 PM | Report abuse

The problem with referring to Alaska as a "conservative Red State" is that, as we are now seeing with the cracks forming in the Republican coalition, there are numerous stripes of conservatives, and Alaskans by in large tend to be libertarian conservatives- all about gun rights, small government, low (or more often NO) taxes, and liberal social policies (they were one of the first states to legalize abortion and have some of the more liberal drug policies around). Palin's base, on the other hand, has turned out to be the social conservatives, who are only popular in Alaska in the Matsu valley and in parts of the Kenai peninsula like Soldotna. That makes her challenge so difficult.

"even for those who profess to despise her, they can't help but consume news about her."

Of course, it's like watching a car accident in slow motion...

Posted by: kreuz_missile | February 18, 2009 4:28 PM | Report abuse

BAKED ALAKSA.

'It' is over. Done. Fini. That's all she wrote.

"Flailin' Palin" was just another distraction to keep the mainstream media diverted from what surely will prove to be a key priority of the Obama administration:


RESTORATION OF HUMAN RIGHTS AND THE RULE OF LAW IN A NATION WHOSE OPERATIVES HAVE COMMITTED CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY.

*****************************************


ATTENTION: ALL OBAMA ADMINISTRATION OFFICIALS, TOP TO BOTTOM (please forward)

RE: BUSH JUSTICE DEPARTMENT APPROVAL OF COVERT RADIATION WEAPONS USE (READ: 'TORTURE') ON 'INNOCENT BUT TARGETED' U.S. CITIZENS...

...BY ONGOING 'EXTRAJUDICIAL PUNISHMENT NETWORK' OPERATING IN BUCKS COUNTY AND ELSEWHERE...

... coordinated multi-agency action "programs of personal destruction" manned by security/intel/revenue agents, local police nationwide, citizen vigilantes (a/k/a "community gang stalkers") fronted by government-funded community policing and anti-terrorism programs.

IF YOU HAVE KNOWLEDGE OF THESE "PROGRAMS" YOU MUST COME FORWARD NOW AND TELL WHAT YOU KNOW TO BE THE WHOLE TRUTH.

IF YOU HAVE KNOWLEDGE, AND DO NOT COME FORWARD, YOU RISK COMPLICATIONS LATER.

OFFICIALS OF THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION JUSTICE DEPARTMENT ARE AWARE OF WHAT HAS BEEN HAPPENING IN CITIES, TOWNS AND COUNTIES NATIONWIDE.

THESE "PROGRAMS" CAN AND MUST BE DISMANTLED BY EXECUTIVE ORDER.

THERE IS NO JUSTIFICATION FOR DELAY.

THE 'TRUTH COMMISSION' CAN AND SHOULD COME LATER.

THE VICTIMS CANNOT WAIT.

JUSTICE DELAYED IN JUSTICE DENIED.

***

IT IS DAY 30 OF THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION.

DO YOU *REALLY* KNOW WHAT YOUR SECURITY "MULTI-AGENCY COORDINATION CENTER" IS UP TO?

http://www.nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-targets-terrorizes-u-s-citizens

http://my.nowpublic.com/world/domestic-torture-radiation-weaponry-americas-horrific-shame

OR (IF LINKS ARE DISABLED/CORRUPTED):

http://My.NowPublic.com/scrivener

Posted by: scrivener50 | February 18, 2009 4:23 PM | Report abuse

It is interesting that a conservative strongly red state like Alaska would produce a conundrum like this. In that regard it is quite different to SC (say). I suppose there are a few clues, given the pro-choice stances of Stevens & Mikulski.

Palin is likely to run in 2012, whereas Jindal can afford to wait until 2016. If Palin needs to run as a one-termer to satisfy the conservative base, she'll do it (Romney could do it, and he had much lower name recognition than Palin does)

Posted by: JayPen | February 18, 2009 4:17 PM | Report abuse

"Palin polarizes"

Exactly. What we don't need. We had enough of that with Bush.

Posted by: drindl | February 18, 2009 4:14 PM | Report abuse

Palin is retarded.

No offense to retards.

Posted by: Canonera | February 18, 2009 4:12 PM | Report abuse

Palin may be eager to do the bidding of conservatives, but doesn't a mess in Alaska hurt her 2012 chances more by giving ammo to opponents (Obama or GOP primary foes) in then form of a horrible public record her last years in office?

http://www.political-buzz.com/

Posted by: parkerfl1 | February 18, 2009 4:04 PM | Report abuse

If Gov Palin chooses to pursue the GOP nomination in 2012, she will face the same problem as Jindal (see prior thread). Generally its likely that either Obama will have enough success that beating him for reelection will be difficult, or we'll still be in the midst of an economic disaster. If the latter, will the voters go for another young candidate without a lot of proven experience?

Posted by: bsimon1 | February 18, 2009 3:42 PM | Report abuse

"A prophet is not without honor except in his hometown and among his own relatives and in his own household." Mark 6:4

Posted by: DonJasper | February 18, 2009 3:35 PM | Report abuse

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