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The biggest political upset?

With polling showing state Sen. Scott Brown (R) running even with state Attorney General Martha Coakley (D) in advance of tomorrow's Massachusetts Senate special election, we got to thinking about where a Brown upset might rank in the annals of modern political history.

For decades, the 1991 special election between appointed Pennsylvania Sen. Harris Wofford (D) and former Gov. Dick Thornburgh (R) has held the crown for the biggest congressional upset ever; Wofford began the race behind by 40+ points but wound up winning -- a victory that presaged Bill Clinton's victory over then President George H.W. Bush in 1992.

But, the idea that a Republican could win a seat in Massachusetts -- a state where President Obama won 62 percent of the vote 13 months ago and was held by the late Ted Kennedy for more than four decades -- has to make it a contender for the title of biggest upset of modern times.

We've nominated a few other races below -- with an assist from NBC's Chuck Todd and Politico's Jonathan Martin. Cast your vote and, if we've missed anyone/any race, note it in the comments section.

By Chris Cillizza  |  January 18, 2010; 3:00 PM ET
Categories:  Fix Poll  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Coakley campaign launches Obama ad
Next: Special election day in Massachusetts

Comments

I would say Jesse Ventura's victory in the 1998 Minnesota governor's race counts as a bigger upset than some of the ones you listed. (Perdue over Barnes as a huge upset? Really?)


Other notable upsets:
Bill Frist (R) over Jim Sasser (D) 1994
Mike Flanagan (R) over Dan Rostenkowski (D) 1994
Bobbie Fiedler (R) over James Corman (D) 1980
Patty Murray (D) over Rod Chandler (R) 1992
Paul Wellstone (D) over Rudy Boschwitz (R) 1990
Bob Kasten (R) over Gaylord Nelson (D) 1980
Glenn Beall Jr. (R) over Joseph Tydings (D) 1970
James Buckley (Conservative Party) in N.Y. Senate race 1970
Patrick Leahy (D) over Richard Mallory (R) 1974
Joe Biden (D) over Caleb Boggs (R) 1972
Richard Clark (D) over Jack Miller (R) 1972
Gary Hart (D) over Peter Dominick (R) 1974


And the list goes on

Also, I don't see how the 2003 Calif recall is an upset - Gray Davis was hugely unpopular, and Arnie was the right Republican to take him out

Posted by: brent79 | January 20, 2010 3:33 AM | Report abuse

I'd say the Minn. 1998 governor's election, with Jessee Ventura defeating the R & D candidates. That was a huge upset. How about the Virginia 2006 Senate race, when Sen. George Allen lost to upstart Democratic challenger Jim Webb. That was a big upset. Would this be a bigger upset than that? I don't think so. Noone gave Ventura a shot in 1998. Noone thought anyone was going to defeat George Allen, as he looked poised for a Presidential run in 2008. These guys shocked the world. A Brown win would be right up there with those wins, but I wouldn't say it's much bigger.

Posted by: reason5 | January 19, 2010 1:28 PM | Report abuse

How can Jesse Ventura not be on the list?

Posted by: inonit | January 19, 2010 10:55 AM | Report abuse

What was Palin in the news about this past week? Maybe I have more memory loss than even that.

Posted by: JakeD | January 19, 2010 10:11 AM | Report abuse

"Palin/Brown 2012" LOL

Now I am more certain that joked is indeed 77. His memory is completely shot. The only people he can remember are the ones that are in the news at the exact moment he posts.

Posted by: koolkat_1960 | January 19, 2010 9:49 AM | Report abuse

The Washington Post will be calling the race close when Brown wins it. Wonder why Chris keeps his job as an Analyst when he is consistently wrong?? For your information- the primary function of a political analyst is to examine.

Posted by: CayC | January 19, 2010 9:17 AM | Report abuse

TO: JakeD @ 5:54 a.m. (?)

Young fool -- or naive victim of silent, invisible microwave/laser entrainment?

May the farce be with you.

See: Poynter.org (Journalism groups -- Reporting):

"U.S. Silently Tortures Americans with Cell Tower Microwaves"
"Gestapo USA: Fed-Funded Vigilante Network Terrorizes America"

http://www.poynter.org/subject.asp?id=2

http://nowpublic.com/world/u-s-silently-tortures-americans-cell-tower-microwaves
nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america OR NowPublic.com/scrivener

Posted by: scrivener50 | January 19, 2010 8:45 AM | Report abuse

"IT'S OBAMA'S GESTAPO USA NOW. WHEN WILL TEAM OBAMA ACT?"

Young fool ... Only now, at the end, do you understand.

Posted by: JakeD | January 19, 2010 5:54 AM | Report abuse

COAKLEY IS AN ATTORNEY GENERAL. WHY DIDN'T OBAMA SAYS SHE'S NEEDED IN THE SENATE TO RESTORE THE RULE OF LAW TO A COUNTRY THAT IS ENSLAVED TO A MULTI-AGENCY FEDERAL-LOCAL GESTAPO?

A secretive multi-agency "coordinated action program" continues to use high-tech microwave and laser weaponry to silently, invisibly torture, impair, and physiologically and neurologically entrain -- in effect, enslave -- many thousands of unjustly and unconstitutionally "targeted" Americans, right here at home.

These Americans, entire families, also are subject to relentless surveillance, financial sabotage and community watch vigilante stalking, vandalism and other acts of government-tolerated domestic terrorism.

IT'S OBAMA'S GESTAPO USA NOW. WHEN WILL TEAM OBAMA ACT?

Please read this, and demand action before it's too late:

See: Poynter.org (Journalism groups -- Reporting):

"U.S. Silently Tortures Americans with Cell Tower Microwaves" •
"Gestapo USA: Fed-Funded Vigilante Network Terrorizes America"

http://www.poynter.org/subject.asp?id=2
http://nowpublic.com/world/u-s-silently-tortures-americans-cell-tower-microwaves
nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america
OR NowPublic.com/scrivener (see "stories" list)

Posted by: scrivener50 | January 19, 2010 1:22 AM | Report abuse

wows


Then Ford lost, then Carter lost, then Gary Hart had his scandal, then ...

then.... then.....

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 19, 2010 12:48 AM | Report abuse

A Brown win, in MASSACHUSETTS, sweeps past any other as upset of the century. Even a close Brown loss may be every bit as significant as Eugene McCarthy's to LBJ in New Hampshire in 1968. The falling dominos? In turn McCarthy, then LBJ, then Robert Kennedy, then HHH, and finally Richard Nixon. History changed direction.

Posted by: wows | January 18, 2010 11:59 PM | Report abuse

Gator


What are you talking about? Leave the other posters alone - and try to play nice with the other children.


Thank you.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 11:55 PM | Report abuse

Dear Mr Armpeg,

Where did you cut and paste your script? I find its simplicity reassuring. Where should I go to learn more about such simple dogma? Do you already have to be brainwashed to go there? If so where can I get properly brainwashed? You seem to have such great self assurance despite you limited knowledge. Please deliver your secrets.

Posted by: Gator-ron | January 18, 2010 11:41 PM | Report abuse

armpeg

I think armpeg wins - that victory was not really expected


In fact, the Republicans sort of abandoned the Contract with America midstream because it didn't seem to be taking hold.


Ironic, the democrats are convinced that if they don't pass health care, they will repeat 1994 - however the opposite is true, if they do pass health care, they will repeat 1994.


At this point, the democrats are set to repeat 1994 either way, because they just don't seem to get it. Politico is reporting that Obama is planning to get "combative."


With who?


What ? Is Obama about to get "combative" with the American people because they don't like his health care plan? It's not really the Republicans who are sending this message - it is the people. Obama would be wise to listen. Politico says that Obama is ready to be "defiant" -


Defiant against who??


The American people?? The President can not go to war with his own people. Obama is in there to serve the people - and do what the people want. Is he that deluded that he just doesn't get that?


Idealogy can not have created such an illusion.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 11:36 PM | Report abuse

While Republicans winning in the two most liberal, most Democrap Socialist states in the country, New Jersey and Mass., would be big upsets, the biggest political upset was probably the Republican takeover of the Senate and House of Representatives in 1994.
In 1993 the Democrap Socialists controlled both house of congress;
House 258 D seats to 176 R seats
Senate 57 D seats to 43 R seats

In 1994 after the midterm election
House 204 D seats to 230 R seats
Senate 48 D seats to 52 R seats

With a total incompetant racist white--hater and America--hater Barack Obama, following Saul Alinski's "Rules for Radicals" script, and trying to turn our country into a Socialist/Communist Workers paradise, and a Democrap Socialist Party making a mess of our economy and just about everything else as well, the 2010 midterm elections could be even worse for the Democrap Socialists. Browns election will be the first of many to come for Obama, and his failed policies and failed presidentcy.
It'll be fun to watch.

Posted by: armpeg | January 18, 2010 11:00 PM | Report abuse

Alain Joyandet, the French Minister for Co-operation, is not co-operating.

Sort of like Obama, claiming he will be bipartisan, but not being bipartisan.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 10:45 PM | Report abuse

How about Steve Stockman over Jack Brooks in 1994 or Flanagan over Rostenkowski same year, or Richard VanderVeen's win in 1973 for Gerald Ford's House seat, or Ernest McFarland losing to Barry Goldwater in 1952?

Posted by: joeyjoejoe | January 18, 2010 10:14 PM | Report abuse

'In honor of Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, the Republican National Committee (RNC) put out a statement from chairman Michael Steele today honoring Dr. King’s “epic and historic fight for civil rights.” Yesterday, Sarah Palin also put up a Facebook message celebrating his “efforts against racial discrimination.” Both the RNC and Palin also tried to tie the conservative movement to King’s work:

RNC: “Though close to 50 years have come and gone since Dr. King delivered his ‘I Have A Dream’ speech, the principles by which he lived and worked remain as true as the day he began his epic and historic fight for civil rights. The principles of freedom, faith, and opportunity for all people are truly timeless and will continue to influence America and the world for generations to come. As we celebrate his legacy, I’m reminded that his message is rooted in ideals and principles that the Republican Party has advocated since its inception. Today, our Party and the nation honors Dr. King’s dream by continuing his fight — the fight for all Americans to have an equal chance at the American Dream.”

Palin: “Please take a moment to tell your children about this great man. He fought for liberty and equality because he knew they were God-given and he knew that no government should be empowered to thwart our freedom. King summarized his mission when stating that no one should be judged based on skin color, but by the content of one’s character.”

King is best remembered for his work fighting racial discrimination. But King’s vision for equality extended beyond integrated schools and businesses. He was also a fierce champion for the labor movement and living wage laws. Additionally, King believed that universal health care was essential to ensuring true equality in America. In a speech to the Medical Committee for Human Rights in 1966, King famously said:

'Of all the forms of inequality, injustice in health care is the most shocking and inhumane.'

In September, Steele claimed that “Dr. King would be disappointed in the political leadership of this country for failing to address the least of us.” But as Richard Payne wrote in an April 2, 2006 op-ed in the Charlotte News and Observer, “Is there any doubt that King would have been on the forefront of arguments for payment of a living wage to the working poor, and that he would have advocated for universal health care?”

Today in a speech at the Vermont Avenue Baptist Church in remembrance of King, Obama said of health reform legislation, “[U]nder the legislation I will sign into law, insurance companies won’t be able to drop you when you get sick, and more than 30 million people — our fellow Americans — will finally have insurance. … This will be a victory not for Democrats; this will be a victory for dignity and decency, for our common humanity. This will be a victory for the United States of America. “

Posted by: drindl | January 18, 2010 9:40 PM | Report abuse

Alain Joyandet is a joke.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 9:16 PM | Report abuse

To the big C,

Those who publish the outcome think that their audience is as intellectually challenged as they are. Neither you nor Broadwayjoe can guarantee anything.

Even if you are correct on your figure, you are just blowing smoke. Your moniker tells everything about you. You have no respect for yourself. You are disgusting. I am not referring to your politics either.

Posted by: Gator-ron | January 18, 2010 8:53 PM | Report abuse

I'll mention here that it is a recall election and therefore more likely to result in an upset because the turnout will be minimal. A win would be big for the GOP and would likely get the Dems attention. They might get scared. The GOP is already scared. Think of it: the entire nation afraid of the tea party movement. Incredible.

Posted by: steveboyington | January 18, 2010 8:52 PM | Report abuse

I would be an upset... but come on! The GOP has owned the governorship for about 25 years until lately, and they'll probably get that back next election. Mass. folks are Democrats, but they like to check the worst of the excesses. This said Coakley will win by over 5 points.

Posted by: steveboyington | January 18, 2010 8:47 PM | Report abuse

Those who publish with the supposition that they know the result in this one are presuming that weather will not be a factor in this one. I tend to believe that the Dem will win but what I am certain of is this election will have no baring on the presidential election but I will grant that it may be a prelude to 2010.

The problem is that American people are not yet aware that the economy is doing better than they think. Time is on the democrats side but tomorrow we will learn from what base they start. Less than 5 will indicate that it will take hard work just to lose the normal number of mid term seats. Greater than 7 and it will be surprisingly good in November.

Obama is underestimated by his opposition. Palin is severely overestimated by her supporters. Palin quit when the going got tough, Obama has hung in no matter how tough it has been.

Posted by: Gator-ron | January 18, 2010 8:32 PM


This must be another alternate-universe poster. I'm right here in Mass, buddy. Don't know where you're at. Brown will win this, irregardless of the weather or ACORN effect, by 8 - 9 points, no sweat.

Brown: 53%
Coakley: 45%

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 8:40 PM | Report abuse

Those who publish with the supposition that they know the result in this one are presuming that weather will not be a factor in this one. I tend to believe that the Dem will win but what I am certain of is this election will have no baring on the presidential election but I will grant that it may be a prelude to 2010.

The problem is that American people are not yet aware that the economy is doing better than they think. Time is on the democrats side but tomorrow we will learn from what base they start. Less than 5 will indicate that it will take hard work just to lose the normal number of mid term seats. Greater than 7 and it will be surprisingly good in November.

Obama is underestimated by his opposition. Palin is severely overestimated by her supporters. Palin quit when the going got tough, Obama has hung in no matter how tough it has been.

Posted by: Gator-ron | January 18, 2010 8:32 PM | Report abuse

I heard that broadwayjoe will begin posting as skidrowcharlie after tomorrow to avoid any embarrassment.

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 8:26 PM | Report abuse

Dear Mrs. Coakley:

Congratulations on your huge win. I apologize for publicizing bogus polls and controversies in an effort to help Brown win.

What can I do to make it up to you?

Youknowwho

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 8:00 PM


There is something you can do to make it up to Ms Coakley: Email her and offer to be her pen pal. She already turned down Jon Corzine, and Creigh Deeds is not working out. You are better looking than Creigh Deeds, aren't you?

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 8:23 PM | Report abuse

...and walkin over to Tony Roma's for ribs, and after that to ESPN Zone for a pre-victory Coakley party...

The following numbers are invited:

34, 35, 36, __, 38, 39...

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 8:17 PM | Report abuse

broad___ joe


You are not........ New Yorkers say IN Times Square - not ON Times Square.


OK bye


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 8:11 PM | Report abuse

Prediction: Coakley by 5. I guarantee it.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 8:05 PM


I guess we won't be hearing from broadwayjoe after tomorrow. Maybe under a different name.

It was nice knowing you.

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 8:10 PM | Report abuse

I am now 2305.2 miles from Broadway at Times Square, according to Google Earth. Of course, I have no idea who broadwayjoe is or where he is, but I do wonder whether the Coakley people looked at McDonnell's effort, or at Dodd's numbers or whether they really are as arrogant as they seem. I remember Massachusetts well and it is true that inside 128, there are an awful lot of people who do not recognize the rest of the country, let alone the rest of the state.


Posted by: shrink2 | January 18, 2010 7:23 PM
______________

Right in front of Marriott Marquis on Times Square eatin' a NY pretzel. Looking forward to meeting Senator Coakley some day.

Prediction: Coakley by 5. I guarantee it.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 8:05 PM | Report abuse

Future news:

Anonymous blog host:

Dear Mrs. Coakley:

Congratulations on your huge win. I apologize for publicizing bogus polls and controversies in an effort to help Brown win.

What can I do to make it up to you?

Youknowwho

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 8:00 PM | Report abuse

Come on Chris..."...running even...." I expect better from the Fix. Coakley is in freefall

Posted by: NYCPOL | January 18, 2010 7:43 PM | Report abuse

What about Thune's defeat of Daschle? That seems like an upset.

If Palin runs, I will definitely vote for her. She understands what will get America on the right track (i.e, not bigger government that controls everything).

Posted by: columbiaheights | January 18, 2010 7:42 PM | Report abuse

I am now 2305.2 miles from Broadway at Times Square, according to Google Earth. Of course, I have no idea who broadwayjoe is or where he is, but I do wonder whether the Coakley people looked at McDonnell's effort, or at Dodd's numbers or whether they really are as arrogant as they seem. I remember Massachusetts well and it is true that inside 128, there are an awful lot of people who do not recognize the rest of the country, let alone the rest of the state.


Posted by: shrink2 | January 18, 2010 7:23 PM | Report abuse

Suzy


Don't let them have one inch! Keep them honest.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 7:14 PM | Report abuse

What fun, an election that really matters to both sides and could go either way.

Posted by: shrink2 | January 18, 2010 6:58 PM


Shrink2, are you sitting next to broadwayjoe and typing for him? Check this poll.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0110/31621.html

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 7:07 PM | Report abuse

Wow - apparently all the airtime has been bought up in Massachusetts - so what they are doing is buying nationwide time on cable - just so they can get to Massachusetts voters.

Unbelievable.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 7:00 PM | Report abuse

http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2010/01/18/us/politics/AP-US-Massachusetts-Senate.html

What fun, an election that really matters to both sides and could go either way.

Posted by: shrink2 | January 18, 2010 6:58 PM | Report abuse

Well, if she does run, I hope you will vote for her ; )

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 6:48 PM

JakeD, if she runs, I guarantee you I'll vote for her!

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 6:54 PM | Report abuse

Well, if she does run, I hope you will vote for her ; )

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 6:48 PM | Report abuse

SuzyCcup:

What do you think about Palin-Brown 2012?

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 6:31 PM


Jaked, hello!

In a nutshell, it ain't gonna happen. I love Sarah Palin, but I don't believe she'll run. And although Brown will become the darling of the GOP, I'm fairly certain he would decline to run as her VP. Right now, I still see Romney being the candidate. Scott Brown would be a great VP pick for Romney but they're both from Mass. I just hope that Huckabee doesn't run again. He can't win but seems to enjoy being a spoiler.

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 6:44 PM | Report abuse

It doesn't matter what happens tomorrow - the AMERICAN PEOPLE HAVE SPOKEN - THEY DO NOT WANT OBAMA'S HEALTH CARE PLAN.


Obama's health care plan is a disaster - it is dragging down the democratic party.

Obama has only himself to blame for this - Obama has refused to be Bipartisan - post-partisan.

This is Obama's failure - Let me be clear.


Even if Coakley won, I seriously doubt that Pelosi could keep her 218 votes together given the scare from the electorate this week.


Every democrat in Congress has to be worried about their political standing - if they are in a district which is less BLUE than Massachusetts, they could be in a worse position than Coakley if they vote for the health care bill.


Obama's health care bill is now RADIOACTIVE !!!!


Who wants the Obama health care bill ??? It will lead to certain defeat in November.


RADIOACTIVE !!!!!

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 6:33 PM | Report abuse

SuzyCcup:

What do you think about Palin-Brown 2012?

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 6:31 PM | Report abuse

I heard on CNN that Jon Corzine called Martha Coakley and offered to be her penpal. Martha supposedly said "no thanks, Creigh Deeds already asked me and he's better looking."

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 6:24 PM | Report abuse

A brutal Boston Globe column on Coakley...hers sounds worse than the McDonnell campaign.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2010/01/15/race_is_in_a_spinout/

Posted by: shrink2 | January 18, 2010 6:19 PM | Report abuse

My dad is always telling me about "The Miracle on Ice" at the 1980 Winter Olympics in Lake Placid, New York. He says that the United States beat the Russians. He claims it was a monumental feat. I told my dad that we'll see a replay tomorrow - when the American people, once again, beat the socialists.

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 6:17 PM | Report abuse

It doesn't matter what happens tomorrow - the AMERICAN PEOPLE HAVE SPOKEN - THEY DO NOT WANT OBAMA'S HEALTH CARE PLAN.

Even if Coakley won, I seriously doubt that Pelosi could keep her 218 votes together given the scare from the electorate this week.

Every democrat in Congress has to be worried about their political standing - if they are in a district which is less BLUE than Massachusetts, they could be in a worse position than Coakley if they vote for the health care bill.

Obama's health care bill is now RADIOACTIVE !!!!

Who wants the Obama health care bill ??? It will lead to certain defeat in November.


RADIOACTIVE !!!!!

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 6:15 PM | Report abuse


The key here is the Obama agenda has taken a massive hit from the American people. Whatever happens tomorrow, Obama has to completely revamp his program.

The health care bill is a "political suicide mission" - thank you Brit Hume.

Broad ___ joe - you and your friends have completely deluded yourselves about the message of last year's election.

AND you have been nasty about it too.


What a character flaw.

.


Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 6:09 PM | Report abuse

Make sure you get the spelling on your signs right this time.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 5:24 PM
_________

They can't even spell their racial slurs right. Always using "ar" instead of "er." :-)

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 6:08 PM | Report abuse

broad_____joe

DENIAL is a river in Egypt !!!!


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 6:05 PM | Report abuse

Conventional widsom now says Brown will win. Therefore, Coakley winning would be the upset--perhaps the greatest since David beat Goliath.

Good luck, Mrs. Coakley. America will not let you down.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 6:00 PM

Broadwayjoe, you shouldn't cave in that easily. I'm worried there might be something wrong with you. Are you OK?

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 6:04 PM | Report abuse

Conventional widsom now says Brown will win. Therefore, Coakley winning would be the upset--perhaps the greatest since David beat Goliath.

Good luck, Mrs. Coakley. America will not let you down.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 6:00 PM | Report abuse


I'll just cosign the following post from another blog:

"With Dems out numbering the GOP 3-1 for Brown to win he will have to carry every Republican and 60% of the independents! A tall order in any election! I still believe Martha Coakley will squeak out a victory tomorrow!"

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 5:54 PM


What?? Broadwayjoe finally gave up on that ancient poll he kept quoting showing Coakley leading Brown by 15? Did someone finally beam him back down to earth?

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 5:59 PM | Report abuse

I'll just cosign the following post from another blog:

"With Dems out numbering the GOP 3-1 for Brown to win he will have to carry every Republican and 60% of the independents! A tall order in any election! I still believe Martha Coakley will squeak out a victory tomorrow!"

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 18, 2010 5:54 PM | Report abuse

SuzyCcup:

Hopefully, ACORN and the Dems don't steal this one ...

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 5:53 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 5:50 PM | Report abuse

Alright everyone, here's the clincher. I told you about a site called intrade.com in some previous posts. The site has had a 100% accuracy rate whenever the share value of an outcome goes above 70 cents. Right now the share value for Scott Brown to win is at 74 cents. Martha Coakley shares are at 27 cents. All the money is on Scott!

http://www.intrade.com/

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 5:49 PM | Report abuse

DrainYou:

Perhaps you are unaware that D.A. Croakley let an actual child molester free who used an actual hot curling iron to rape a 23-month old little girl?

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 5:47 PM | Report abuse

In a flurry of activity on Sunday in advance of the special election for the U.S. Senate in Massachusetts, one of the uglier stories was an audible shout from the audience at a Scott Brown rally in West Springfield. As Brown was working his way through his stump speech, a voice in the crowd can be heard shouting "Stick a curling iron up her butt!"


Late Sunday night, a video of the encounter popped up, and Scott Brown's response is worth examining:
.
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/01/brown_appears_t.php
.


There is no question that Brown hears the remark, and there is little doubt as to whether or not he smiled at the mark. He then appears to launch back into his stump speech, although what he says is a little tough to make out.


Brown's lack of a response to the rhetoric put on display in that incident (beyond, perhaps, smirking at it) is the kind of thing that female voters (not including whack-a-doodle Teabagger types like SuzyCsmallcup), in particular, are unlikely to appreciate.


Brown wouldn't do classless crap like this if he thought he was going to win.
.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=28u3vPExxp4
.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 5:43 PM | Report abuse

Drove by Taunton Green today. It's almost always packed with democrats carrying signs during any election. Didn't see any this time. Nothing but Brown supporters all over the place. I yelled at my boyfriend because I thought he took the wrong turn AGAIN. I apolgized to him after I realized that, yes, it really was Taunton Green.
Does anybody know where all the democrats went?

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 5:41 PM | Report abuse

DrainYou


what you are doing is not Freedom of Speech - it is mania - please go back to your cage.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:41 PM | Report abuse

We are on the eve of a truly HISTORIC DAY

It is the end of liberalism as it exists as a phantom of the democrats' minds.

We are taking our country back - and hopefully the health care bill will play out the way the American people want, not some egotistical people who are overreading election results.
.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:39 PM | Report abuse

BIGGEST. POLITICAL. UPSET. EVER.

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 5:36 PM | Report abuse

mnteng


OK however 11 states were decided by 2% or less

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:36 PM | Report abuse

DrainYou:

I hope you are able to return here after tomorrow's votes are cast.

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 5:34 PM | Report abuse

rwc1:

John Tower! Good one. An R win in a D state, replacing a powerful D Senator in a special election.

Posted by: mnteng | January 18, 2010 5:34 PM | Report abuse

37thandClownstreet,


You've already BEEN banned. If anyone is breaking the rules it's YOU.

Gotta love the Wingnuts, they love free speech...unless it's from someone they disagree with.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 5:31 PM | Report abuse

The Ku Klux Klan is back at work. It is circulating an e-mail to be forwarded that suggests President of the United States Barack Obama is responsible for the post office issuing a stamp celebrating a Muslim holiday -- and we know what that's about.

In fact, this stamp was issued every year when George W. Bush was president. This e-mail never circulated in those years, calling out President Bush! I wonder why.

Everyone will probably get one of these e-mails in the coming weeks. We got one today. When you get yours, send your correspondent a copy of the USPS press release from August 1, 2001 -- it makes it clear the KKK is trying to excite alien abductees and trailer parkers.



USPS News: Philatelic Releases
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
AUGUST 1, 2001
Stamp Release No. 01-054


U.S. POSTAGE STAMP CELEBRATING MUSLIM HOLIDAY TO BE ISSUED BY UNITED STATES POSTAL SERVICE
Eid Stamp Part of Holiday Celebrations Series

WASHINGTON, D.C. – The U.S. Postal Service is expanding its Holiday Celebrations Series with a new stamp highlighting the Muslim holiday of Eid.

The 34-cent Eid stamp will be issued on Sept. 1 at the annual Islamic Society of North America's convention at the Donald E. Stephens Convention Center, 5555 North River Road, Des Plaines, Ill, at 11:45 a.m. The stamp will be available at the convention and at post offices nationwide on Sept. 1.

And the USPS continues with a long story.

Posted by: matthewjblack | January 18, 2010 5:30 PM | Report abuse

SuzyCcup

Good one on the Acorn reference.


Tell everyone you know to go out and vote.


Which part of Mass are you in ?

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:19 PM


Near Brockton (south of Boston)
We can't wait to go out and vote!

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 5:30 PM | Report abuse

DrainYou or drivle or whatever your name is:


What time do you have to be back to your cage ????


Why do they even let you out???

YOU SHOULD BE BANNED.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:28 PM | Report abuse

37th:

Wiki says that Carter had a 33 point lead in the polls after the D convention (which I find hard to believe). But he did have a large lead early, particularly because of the schism in the GOP between the Ford and Reagan camps. Even after the R convention, where Ford and Reagan kind of made up, Carter still had a sizable lead (10 points or so), but was barely able to maintain it after the debates.

Carter getting through the D field to be in a position to challenge Ford was the upset. The D nominee figured to be in pretty good shape in the general election, as long as it wasn't Wallace.

Posted by: mnteng | January 18, 2010 5:27 PM | Report abuse

Chris Matthews is on right now - he looks like he is going to a funeral.


Chris Matthews is really at a loss for words.


It is incredible to see this look on Christ Matthews' face. It is the end of the fantasyland of the liberals that Obama was going to be able to jam the liberal agenda down the throats of America.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:25 PM | Report abuse

37thandMoronstreet,

You and SuzyCsmallchest can gather round the AM hate radio and listen to Druggy Rush cry about ACORN conspiracies and FEMA Black helicopters after you lose this race.

That's always entertaining for all of us out here in the real world who aren't delusional Teabagger goons.

Make sure you get the spelling on your signs right this time.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 5:24 PM | Report abuse

John Tower being elected US Senator from Texas in 1961. LBJ had beaten Tower in 1960, but special election needed when LBJ became VP. First Republican Senator from Texas in 90 years.

Posted by: rwc1 | January 18, 2010 5:20 PM | Report abuse

SuzyCcup

Good one on the Acorn reference.


Tell everyone you know to go out and vote.


Which part of Mass are you in ?

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:19 PM | Report abuse

Hang in there SuzyQ and maybe some day you'll be a D cup like real women are.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 5:11 PM


Thanks for the encouragement DrainYou, but I don't want D cups. I'm very happy with my C Cups. I don't want to be too top heavy. It might give me a back ache.

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 5:19 PM | Report abuse

THIS ELECTION IN MASSACHUSETTS is not just about one Senate seat - it is a referendum on Obama's agenda.


All year, Obama has been told time and time again that he was over-reading his election - that the country HAD NOT voted for a massive expansion of the government or for higher taxes.

Obama should have realized this over the summer with the town hall meetings.


The POLITICAL IMPACT IN THE HOUSE HAS TO BE HUGE - NO MATTER WHO WINS TOMORROW.


Nancy Pelosi does not have her 218 votes anymore.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:17 PM | Report abuse

How excited do you think the democrats are? Check out this video to see how many of them showed up to volunteer at a phone bank for Coakley this morning.

http://watchdog.org/2010/01/18/snow-day-in-boston/

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 5:16 PM | Report abuse

SuzyCcup,
The pollsters also had Teabagger Hoffman winning NY23 by 15-20%. And we all know how that turned out for the right wing lunatic fringe cheerleading section....HAHAHA!

Hang in there SuzyQ and maybe some day you'll be a D cup like real women are.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 5:11 PM | Report abuse

What are you talking about 37thandClownstreet? You've already BEEN banned from here. How you got back on here is the big question...


Go cry in your beer about how far the Repugs are in the minority somewhere else screwball.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 5:08 PM | Report abuse

mnteng


They thought Ford was going to win - I understand what you are saying - but Carter was not the favorite.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:08 PM | Report abuse

Hello Everyone, I'm here early today. I'm so excited!

You are about to taste the second part of the three course gourmet political meal being graciously served by the democrats to the republicans. The first course, a great appetizer, was served last November in New Jersey and Virginia. It was delicious! Tomorrow, the democrats will serve us the desert – a Sott Brown trounce of Martha Coakley. How delightful! Yes, I know. Why are they serving desert when we haven’t had the main course yet? No, the democrats are not confused. They just have good intentions. The main course would be too filling. A republican takeover of the house would leave no room for the desert. It will have to wait till November. How thoughtful of them!
Please make your reservations for the main course. Nancy Pelosi will be your waitress.

Polls open tomorrow at 7:00 AM. Please vote if you live in Mass. If you don’t live in Mass, see your nearest ACORN office for how to vote anyway!

My final prediction:
(Senator) Brown- 53%
Coakley- 45%

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 18, 2010 5:08 PM | Report abuse

Gene McCarthy winning the '68 D primary.

Posted by: shrink2 | January 18, 2010 5:07 PM | Report abuse

Drain


What is your purpose in showing all this anger on this blog???


Is it a cry for help?


Are you sure that you want everyone to see you like this ???


Why aren't you in hiding ????


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:06 PM | Report abuse

37th writes:
"Carter's win was seen as extremely improbable - especially as he cast himself as a peanut farmer.

Reagan's win in 1980 was also a big upset."

While I think Carter's win in the D primary was an upset (beating out Jerry Brown, George Wallace, et al.), his win in the general was not. Ford was fighting against the Watergate headwind, plus the oil embargo and his unexplained (at the time) pardoning of Nixon. That Ford only lost by a few percentage points is the surprise of that election to me.

Reagan's win in 1980 was also against an unpopular incumbent and wasn't really a surprise either. JEC's presidency saw stagflation, high energy prices, and the Iran hostage crisis. What was surprising was how badly RWR crushed JEC in the electoral college.

Posted by: mnteng | January 18, 2010 5:05 PM | Report abuse

DrainYou:

Please don't respond to my posts.

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 5:04 PM | Report abuse

Sorry about the double post

Posted by: dannyricci | January 18, 2010 4:57 PM | Report abuse
----------------------------------------

No need to apologize...at least your on topic!

Posted by: ExpatAsia | January 18, 2010 5:01 PM | Report abuse

Drain


YOU should be BANNED for ad hominem remarks

We say you should be BANNED - and then you come through with another attack.

You should be BANNED. Clean up your act.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 5:01 PM | Report abuse

Sorry about the double post

Posted by: dannyricci | January 18, 2010 4:57 PM | Report abuse

I think John Thune's upset of Tom Daschle should have been a vote option.

Posted by: ExpatAsia | January 18, 2010 4:56 PM | Report abuse

My overall ranking-

Sonny Perdue-#5
Arnold Schwarzenegger-#4
Jim Hodges-#3
Harris Wofford-#2
George Nethercutt-#1

When the sitting Speaker of The House gets defeated, that's a pretty big deal.

Posted by: dannyricci | January 18, 2010 4:56 PM | Report abuse

My overall ranking-

Sonny Perdue-#5
Arnold Schwarzenegger-#4
Jim Hodges-#3
Harris Wofford-#2
George Nethercutt-#1

When the sitting Speaker of The House gets defeated, that's a pretty big deal.

Posted by: dannyricci | January 18, 2010 4:56 PM | Report abuse

37thandClownstreet,

Really? You've already been banned from here for ad hominem remarks from what I hear. So why are you back?


Anything other than a victory by far right wing fringer Scotty Brown means nothing to anyone outside of the right wing noise machine (Fixed News, AM Hate Radio etc).

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 4:53 PM | Report abuse

JokeD,
You're a right wing troll who spends his entire waking hours, 24/7, harassing everyone on Cillizza's web site with your Teabagger crap. You're not fooling anyone other than your fellow Republican simpletons like 37thandIdiotstreet.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 4:49 PM | Report abuse

Drain


YOU should be BANNED for ad hominem remarks

In case you are not sure - McCain polled 36 % - so anything Scott Brown does above that level is a victory and a referendum on Obama.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 4:49 PM | Report abuse

DrainYou:

Please don't respond to my posts. For the benefit of everyone else, I am a registered member of the American INDEPENDENT Party, not Republican Party. I don't consider myself part of the TEA Party either.

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 4:44 PM | Report abuse

37thandMoronstreet,

Yeah, I'm counting down the minutes until I can come back on here and laugh in your face after you get the news that Scotty Brown wasn't actually as close in that Senate race as you think he is.

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 4:36 PM | Report abuse

Politico picked up the story on the 17th Amendment and Kirk's term ending tomorrow.

A victory by Republican Scott Brown Tuesday in Massachusetts could quickly turn into a legal battle over the man he would replace – Sen. Paul Kirk – with the future of health reform in the Senate hanging in the balance.


Conservative commentator Fred Barnes is arguing that Kirk will lose his vote in the Senate after Tuesday's special election, no matter who wins, signaling a possible GOP line of attack against health reform if it passes with Kirk’s vote.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0110/31599.html#ixzz0d0CESWEG

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 4:36 PM | Report abuse

Yeah JokeD,

It shows what liars you Republican Teabaggers are when you pretend to be "outraged" at the bank bailouts.


Get a life, clown..

Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 4:33 PM | Report abuse

DrainYou


why are you in such a bad mood today ?? Anything going on ???

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 4:33 PM | Report abuse

ones = owns

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 4:31 PM | Report abuse

Clinton came back after the Gennifer Flowers story - that wasn't an upset though - I think he came in second or third and he called it a victory.


Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 4:31 PM | Report abuse

DrainYou:

I see you all have your Talking Points now. If the "Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee" to be levied on the biggest banks is a good, if limited, move -- why not go all the way and simply nationalize all the banks? The One already ones AIG and the car companies.

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 4:31 PM | Report abuse

The people have spoken.
Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 4:17 PM | Report abuse
_______________________________________


Yeah, the people have spoken 37thandMoronstreet


That's why you Rethug cretins are so deep in the minority right now after not having won any sort of significant national election whatsoever in over five years now. And you stole that one (Bush Ohio 2004).


Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 4:30 PM | Report abuse

Even though he's a detestable snake, John Edwards' victory over Lauch Faircloth was a pretty spectacular upset. For Washingtonians only-- Jim Moran's unseating the five-term incumbent Stan Parris in 1990 was a pretty unexpected victory.

Posted by: mattfugazi | January 18, 2010 4:29 PM | Report abuse

Truman beats Dewey - count me among those who think that is the upset of upsets.

Special elections should not count in this poll. That is because there seldom is a clear favorite to begin with. The recall of Davis + Ahnold is that sort of special situation and should not be a nominee.

Posted by: mark_in_austin | January 18, 2010 4:26 PM | Report abuse

Carter's win was seen as extremely improbable - especially as he cast himself as a peanut farmer.

Reagan's win in 1980 was also a big upset.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 4:25 PM | Report abuse

Fringe Right Wing Teabagger Republican Scott Brown Wants to Protect Biggest Banks and Screw Over American Taxpayers!


Wall Street is planning to hand out six- and seven-figure bonuses, with total pay at banks and securities firms hitting $145 billion.


President Obama released a proposal for a Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee to be levied on the biggest banks. It's a good, if limited move. The White House explains:


"The fee will be in place at least 10 years, but even longer if needed to pay back every penny of TARP. This will not be a cost borne by community banks or small firms; only the largest firms with more than $50 billion in assets will be affected. In fact, 60% of the revenue will come from the 10 largest financial firms."
.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/president-obama-proposes-financial-crisis-responsibility-fee-recoup-every-last-penn


That's to pay back taxpayer money that went to bail out those "too big to fail" banks that threw us into this financial crisis to begin with, you understand.


And Scotty Brown? The Massachusetts Teabagger Republican Senate candidate doesn't want to answer the question in person, but through a spokesman he's willing to say he opposes the new fee on the big banks.
.
http://www.boston.com/news/local/breaking_news/2010/01/brown_criticize.html


Martha Coakley, by contrast, has been called a "Wall Street scourge" by ABC News for her efforts to hold the big banks accountable for things like subprime mortgages
.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EoN0POyQPtU
.


Posted by: DrainYou | January 18, 2010 4:24 PM | Report abuse

Chris:

I had the same thought - when does "modern history" start ??


Is it when we graduated high school?


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 4:18 PM | Report abuse


I am still calling for a compromise bill - there are some things in the health care industry that have to be fixed - however that does not mean we need a massive government program and new taxes.


Obama clearly has a way out of this - that many people can see - however Obama and the democrats are probably still in a fog about where they stand.


We were talking about his last night.


Obama needs to sit down with the Republicans and forge a truly bipartisan bill - one that the Republicans can agree too.


This bill would center on regulation of the health care industry and eliminating the abuses of the health care industry like pre-existing conditions and cancellations of policies.


The compromise would eliminate a big government program, eliminate the individual mandate and eliminate the new taxes - just take all that stuff out that is going to open up a massive hole in the national budget.


It's not that hard.


If Obama is smart, he will seize on this as an opportunity - and it will save him -


Anyone can negotiate this out - it's not that hard - and it really is exactly what Obama promised to do last year during his campaign.


The people have spoken.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 18, 2010 4:17 PM | Report abuse

Many people, probably including Chris, seem to have a fixation
"modern history" began only about twenty years ago. According to this "logic," Reagan was president during the medieval era.

The most noted political upset should be obvious, Truman defeating Dewey in 1948.


Posted by: Aprogressiveindependent | January 18, 2010 4:10 PM | Report abuse


Truman defeats Dewey, 1948.

Any of the last three D POTUSes in their respective primaries (JEC, WJC, BHO).

Cao over Jefferson in LA-2 last year is also a good one.

Posted by: mnteng | January 18, 2010 4:06 PM | Report abuse

Question for Chris: Who was the last Republican president who also controlled the House and had a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate? Was there ever one?

Posted by: jondnorton | January 18, 2010 3:57 PM | Report abuse

Question for Chris: Who was the last Republican president who also controlled the House and had a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate? Was there ever one?

Posted by: jondnorton | January 18, 2010 3:57 PM | Report abuse

How about Al D'Amato defeating Jacob Javits in the 1980 NY primary (R versus R) and then winning by a plurality when Javits would not let go, possibly costing Holtzman the election? Or same year (1980), Slade Gortoin defeats Warren G Magnuson? It took longer to get results back then. Some of us on the West Coast were counting on Maggie pulling it off until well after midnight Eastern time.

Posted by: davidkaplan7 | January 18, 2010 3:50 PM | Report abuse

When an incumbent U.S. Senator loses his seat to a _dead guy_ (John Ashcroft, to the late Gov. Mel Carnahan, in 2000), isn't that a pretty big upset?

Posted by: mattintx | January 18, 2010 3:29 PM | Report abuse

You missed the biggest of them all! Hillary Clinton over Barack Obama in the New Hampshire primary on January 8th, 2008.

Posted by: ahfdemocrat | January 18, 2010 3:26 PM | Report abuse

Cao's victory of Dollar Bill Jefferson has got to make the top 5. Sure, Jefferson was tainted but Democrat primaries in '06 and '08 couldn't knock him off and no one in DC thought a Cao victory was possible even on election day.

Posted by: CajunElephant | January 18, 2010 3:22 PM | Report abuse

Everyone who posted that Palin doesn't have a chance to beat Obama in 2012 better learn a thing or two from Brown.

Posted by: JakeD | January 18, 2010 3:18 PM | Report abuse

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