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Posted at 11:35 AM ET, 12/ 8/2010

Emmer concedes, redistricting battlefield set

By Aaron Blake

Republican Tom Emmer has conceded the Minnesota governor's race to former Sen. Mark Dayton (D), bringing a close to the last undecided governor's race of 2010 and finalizing the playing field for the 2011 nationwide redistricting.

"Minnesotans have made their choice, by however thin a margin, and we respect that choice," Emmer said.

Emmer said he will not press forward with a legal challenge following a recount that left him behind by nearly 9,000 votes.

Dayton's win means Republicans will control 29 of the 50 governorships, while Democrats control 20. One seat will be held by an independent, former GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee in Rhode Island.

Emmer's loss also means there will be split control over the redistricting process in Minnesota. Republicans made huge gains in both the state House and state Senate, winning majorities in both. But Dayton's win means Democrats will have a seat at the table when it comes to redrawing the state's congressional and legislative districts.

The end of the Minnesota governor's race and the recent conclusions of several close state legislative battles (notably, the New York state Senate) means control over the redistricting in all 50 states is now set, with Republicans controlling the redrawing of four times as many districts as Democrats.

According to calculations made by The Fix, Republicans will control the redistricting process in 17 states that are projected to have 196 congressional seats after reapportionment (the decennial process in which seats are added or lost based on population shifts). That accounts for nearly half of the 435 seats in Congress.

Democrats, by contrast, will totally control the process in just seven states, which are projected to have 49 seats.

Thirteen states, including Minnesota, will feature divided control of the process, while another six place redistricting in the hands of a bipartisan commission. Seven other states have just one district, which requires no redistricting.

(Check after the jump for a state by state list of who controls redistricting.)

The GOP is hoping for big gains in redistricting, but in many of the states where they control the process, adding winnable districts could prove challenging (as we have detailed in our "Mapping the Future" series posts on Texas, Indiana and Georgia).

Here's a breakdown of who will be drawing the lines where, and how many seats the states are projected to have in 2012.

Republican controlled:
TX 36 districts
PA 18 districts
OH 16 districts
GA 14 districts
MI 14 districts
IN 9 districts
TN 9 districts
WI 8 districts
AL 7 districts
SC 7 districts
OK 5 districts
KS 4 districts
UT 4 districts
NC 13 districts
NE 3 districts
NH 2 districts
FL 27 districts
Total: 196 districts

Democratic controlled:
IL 18 districts
MA 9 districts
MD 8 districts
CT 5 districts
AR 4 districts
WV 3 districts
RI 2 districts
Total 49 districts

Divided control:
NY 27 districts
MN 8 districts
MO 8 districts
CO 7 districts
KY 6 districts
OR 5 districts
IA 4 districts
NV 4 districts
NM 3 districts
VA 11 districts
LA 6 districts
MS 4 districts
ME 2 districts
Total 95 districts

Bipartisan/independent commission:
CA 53 districts
NJ 12 districts
WA 10 districts
AZ 9 districts
HI 2 districts
ID 2 districts
Total 88 districts

Single-district states:
AK 1 district
DE 1 district
MT 1 district
ND 1 district
SD 1 district
VT 1 district
WY 1 district
Total 7 districts

By Aaron Blake  | December 8, 2010; 11:35 AM ET
Categories:  Governors, Redistricting  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Republican Randy Altschuler concedes to New York Democratic Rep. Tim Bishop in final undecided House race

 
 
 
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