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Texas Governor's Primary: What to Watch For



Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and Gov. Rick Perry face off in today's Texas Republican primary. Photo by Melina Mara of the Washington Post.

It's Texas primary day (and Texas Independence day), a day that political junkies have had circled on their calendars for a long time.

The governor's race -- the marquee matchup of the day -- has been both more and less than expected. More in the sense that Gov. Rick Perry (R) has drastically overperformed the (admittedly low) expectations for him and set himself up as a potential presidential candidate if he wins today and then again in the fall. Less in the sense that Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison's best day as a candidate was her first one and she has struggled to keep the contest competitive over the past months.

But, any time voters vote, we learn things -- particularly in an electorate as turbulent as this one seems to be -- about where we are headed in November.

Here's a look at a few storylines to keep an eye on in today's vote -- and beyond:

* A Tea Party Test: The Tea Party movement in Texas is as strong, organized and active as any in the country. Debra Medina is seen as the candidate of the Tea Party movement in the state and has openly courted its supporters in her underfunded bid for governor. Medina was rising in the polls -- thanks, in no small part, to voter disgust with the back and forth between Perry and Hutchison -- but that upward trajectory appears to have slowed in the wake of her remarks that seemed to suggest that the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks were an inside job. (Perry, too, has worked to hard to co-opt the energy of the Tea Partiers and will enjoy some segment of support among the group). Rightly or wrongly, Medina's showing will be taken as a baseline for the Tea Party movement in the state; the higher she goes, the bigger national story the race will become. Also keep an eye on Rep. Ron Paul's primary race. Even though Paul is regarded in many circles as a founding member of the Tea Party crowd, he is facing several primary challengers more directly affiliated with the movement. Be careful not to read too much into how much of the vote Paul's opponents get, however. There is a certain segment of Republicans in his 14th district who make it a policy every two years to vote against him; Paul's primary challenger in 2008 got 30 percent of the vote.

* The Metroplex: Barring some sort of political cataclysm, Hutchison's only hope in the race is to run strongly enough to keep Perry under 50 percent. To do that, she MUST perform well in the counties that are considered part of the Dallas Metroplex, which has long been her political base. The counties to keep an eye on: Dallas, Tarrant, Collin and Denton. By way of comparison, Hutchison won 84 percent in Collin county, 78 percent in Denton, 69 percent in Tarrant and 68 percent in Dallas in her 1993 special election runoff victory over appointed Sen. Bob Krueger (D). If Perry holds down Hutchison's margins in those five counties, he may well be headed toward the magic 50 percent mark.

* WWKBHD (What Will Kay Bailey Hutchison Do)? Assuming Hutchison comes up short today -- and that is the conventional wisdom among even her most ardent supporters -- she will face a series of unsavory decisions. If Perry wins between 47 percent and 49 percent of the vote, there will likely be significant pressure on Hutchison to forgo a six-week runoff that will drain resources and for which she has little chance of winning. Hutchison will also immediately face questions over whether she will make good on her promise to resign her seat. While she has said that she would step down whether or not she won the gubernatorial nomination, there are considerable doubts in Texas that she will follow through for at least two reasons. First, Texas law would allow Perry to appoint her replacement until a special election -- likely in November -- could be held, an unsavory prospect for Hutchison. Second, if Hutchison left public life immediately following what could be a resounding defeat today (or on April 13), it would drastically affect the legacy she almost certainly envisions for herself in Texas politics. If, on the other hand, she served out her Senate term -- through 2012 -- she would have some time to rebuild the image she had created prior to this race.

* The LG race: Democrats are hosting a competitive primary fight for the lieutenant governor nod between former Travis County (Austin) District Attorney Ronnie Earle and labor activist Linda Chavez-Thompson. Democratic strategists believe a Chavez-Thompson victory would give them their best possible ticket in the fall with her Hispanic heritage helping to drive turnout for Bill White, the former mayor of Houston, at the top of the ticket. Hispanics continue to exercise more and more influence in Texas politics but remain far less powerful than their population numbers suggest they should be. For White, who hails from east Texas, to have a chance he needs an energized Hispanic base -- particularly in the Rio Grande Valley.

* Houston: Perry is already positioning for the general election fight against White and wants to drive up a huge victory in Harris County, which includes the city of Houston, to send a message to the Democrat. It's probably not fair to compare Perry's showing in an extremely contested and expensive primary to White's in a far less high profile race but a strong showing by Perry in Houston would be seen something of a shot across White's bow as Houston (and the Houston media market) is regarded as the swing area in the November election.

By Chris Cillizza  |  March 2, 2010; 12:37 PM ET
Categories:  Governors  
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Posted by: nikejordans1 | March 4, 2010 7:15 AM | Report abuse

We have a 3 Trillion Dollar - basically unfunded program - which the democrats are attempting to FORCE A FINANCIAL CRISIS ONTO A FUTURE CONGRESS IN ORDER TO RAISE THE TAXES TO PAY FOR HEALTH CARE.


When the American People realize fully what the finances are, Obama's name and legacy will be synonymous with overspending and financial nightmares.


To spend and never know how it will be payed for - to obama.


To get stuck with a bill - to get obamaed.


To force a program or a rule on an unwilling person - to ram an obama

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | March 3, 2010 8:20 AM | Report abuse

daestradapalma


Building Number 7 was burning all day long - it fell after it was burning all day. You are wrong.


The fire down there burned for 99 days - things you forget.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | March 3, 2010 8:16 AM | Report abuse

9/11 was an inside job. How did CIA building Number 7 fall in 6 seconds flat on 9/11? That is the speed of gravity in a vacuum. Vacuums don't exist in nature but you CAN create one using high explosives.

The Washington Post claims to be some kind of newspaper bringing Americans the news. Well the above "news" is so obvious to an investigative reporter that since your paper is clueless you are either incompetent or complicit!

The owner of the Post Donald Graham is either the dumbest newspaper owner or he is a co-conspirator with the traitors to my country. I state this in writing here and have absolutely NO fear of a defamation suit by Mr. Graham. Why? I'm telling the truth.

Come on Donny boy - sue me for defamation.

I DARE YOU!!!

Posted by: daestradapalma | March 3, 2010 3:22 AM | Report abuse

With 44% of Precincts Reporting:

GOP Primary Votes: 925,000

Dem Primary Votes: 419,000

Posted by: Washington13 | March 2, 2010 10:54 PM | Report abuse

Hutchison Concedes:

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D9E6TFA00&show_article=1

Also, 2nd and 3rd Place in GOP Primary have more votes than entire Democrat Primary.

Enthusiasm is all on the GOP side.

Posted by: Washington13 | March 2, 2010 10:51 PM | Report abuse

The Public Acknowledgement of God (#4) is a winner. For Texas, God is probably deleting earthquakes, hurricanes and tsunamis on his spreadsheet of Old Testament rage this evening, but we'll have to defer to America's seer of God's Will, the almost omniscient Pat Robertson.

Posted by: shrink2 | March 2, 2010 10:32 PM | Report abuse

Good job reporting the Texas races, Chris.

Posted by: laloomis | March 2, 2010 9:52 PM | Report abuse

Hope the old bag goes away for good!

Posted by: houston123 | March 2, 2010 9:34 PM | Report abuse

Kay's goin down fast!!!

Posted by: houston123 | March 2, 2010 9:33 PM | Report abuse

Both losers, Perry the worst. Pathetic Texas race. May the loser maul the winner.

Posted by: dudh | March 2, 2010 9:28 PM | Report abuse

The way succession should work is this:

The debt of Obama should be retained by all the democrats.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | March 2, 2010 9:25 PM | Report abuse

Turnout in the Republican Primary so far is 55% higher than the Democratic Primary.

It was clear in 2006 and 2008 that turnout favored Democrats.

2009 and 2010 turnout has favored Republicans.

Republican enthusiasm, Independents voting Republican and Democrats complacency does not bode well for Democrats in 2010.

Democrats attempting to pass an unpopular health care bill by breaking senate rules to spite the will of the American People will not help Democrats in 2010 and beyond.

Posted by: Washington13 | March 2, 2010 9:05 PM | Report abuse

Mark, thank you, of course we know the value of this is learning about other places.

Sure The Fix won't do the deep structure piece about the Tea Party identified Republican "openly" (heard it on NPR) gay challenger to Ron Wyden out here in the Oregon territory.

CC has said Medina is the TEA candidate. If tain't necessarily so, that would be good to know.

The Tea people may not have legs. So is/was Medina a Tea candidate?

Posted by: shrink2 | March 2, 2010 8:47 PM | Report abuse

Their lack of understanding about the meaning of what took place between 1861 and 1865, and their failure to grasp the undeniable fact that the union is an unbreakable, solemn compact, is simply breathtaking.

Posted by: rcairo | March 2, 2010 8:25 PM

Their lack of understanding?? Maybe it's the knowledge they have of what took place in this country from January 2009 through today. it's clear obama has been trying to break that "solemn compact." Confused, aren't you?

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Posted by: SuzyCcup | March 2, 2010 8:27 PM | Report abuse

I am astounded by the favorable play that the concept of secession is receiving in Texas, and even here in conservative central PA. Callers to the local conservative talk radio show the other day were pointing to the fact that nothing in the Constitution or any law overtly forbids secession and it could therefore be a remedy against an overreaching federal government. These are the same people who always bill themselves as super patriot, flag wavers, and yet there they are, almost ready to join Jeff Davis in an overt act of treason against the United States. It's simply amazing and it just points to the kind of twisted, conservative politics that these folks subscribe to. Their lack of understanding about the meaning of what took place between 1861 and 1865, and their failure to grasp the undeniable fact that the union is an unbreakable, solemn compact, is simply breathtaking. I dare say that Abe Lincoln would literally turn over in his grave if he knew about some of the people, like those in Texas (and central PA for that matter), who are calling themselves Republicans these days.

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Posted by: qitkonlyyou | March 2, 2010 8:23 PM | Report abuse

Revealed!! Rick Perry's barber. This guy also did John Edwards' hair.

http://www.annaraccoon.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/badhairday.jpg

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Posted by: qitkonlyyou | March 2, 2010 8:10 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: starbucks1 | March 2, 2010 7:51 PM | Report abuse

Headlines - The Dallas Morning News, Wednesday, March 3, 2010:

"Goodhair Spanks Hutch"
Hutchison responds with, "WooHoo, What a Way to Go!"

Posted by: SuzyCcup | March 2, 2010 7:30 PM | Report abuse

Let me get this straight:


The liberal position is this: the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th and 9th amendments DO APPLY TO THE STATES.


The 2nd Amendment APPLIES ONLY TO THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.


The 10th Amendment APPLIES TO NO ONE.


Is that the correct position of the liberals ???

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | March 2, 2010 7:03 PM | Report abuse

Mine will be the fourth [?] post to remind CC that Bill White is from San Antonio, originally, and Houston, for a long time. He has no roots in east Texas. Period.

Edit the blog, please, CC.

Trellis, I voted for GWB for Gov. in '98, too. Easy choice. But I voted against him for Prez in 2000.

Posted by: mark_in_austin | March 2, 2010 6:53 PM | Report abuse

mark_in_austin, I agree on W. The first election I was eligible to vote in was in 1994, and I voted for Ann Richards mostly because I tend to be a social liberal. However, I was so impressed with W, particularly with his style of leadership and working with Democrats, that it was an easy vote for him for re-election in 1998. I am sorry he that the same election in 1998 saw the very narrow victory of Rick Perry for Lt. Governor, without which, I seriously doubt he would ever have captured the governor's mansion.

Posted by: trellus | March 2, 2010 6:21 PM | Report abuse

trellus, I agree. GWB actually cared about TX and about doing a good job as Gov. He worked so well with Bob Bullock that Bullock refused to endorse Gary Mauro against him in '98 even though Mauro got his start in Bullock's office. And Laura? She was an effective lobbyist, unpaid, in the Lege; for kids, for schools, for Head Start.

Goodhair, on the other hand, has failed in so many ways that it is no longer possible to keep score. He has succeeded in becoming rich while never holding any job position but public office and never marrying wealth nor inheriting. Crony politics at its worst. Because DFW, Houston, and Austin have grown, TX overall numbers are better than any other big state's. Goodhair had nothing to do with it, but he has succeeded in taking credit for it. Small biz was hurt by the margins tax, which admittedly was not Goodhair's idea - but he brags about it as if it were and as if it somehow lowered taxes.

Shrink, my friend who may vote for Medina today is no TEA person. He is retired and thinks the property tax should be repealed in favor of a sales tax, which is her position.

Posted by: mark_in_austin | March 2, 2010 5:55 PM | Report abuse

Starbucks1, it's just that is so typical of Rick Perry. He is uninspiring and a cookie cutter politician: he is mildly intelligent, but apparently has no soul. He doesn't seem to be able to articulate a vision that is beyond getting himself re-elected. Whatever people say about George W Bush, particularly as President, he was a visionary and he held ideals, and I like the people I vote to lead a government to inspire some confidence in me that they are more than just political hookers.

Posted by: trellus | March 2, 2010 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Bill White (who hails from San Antonio, not East Texas), will run stronger against Perry than he would against Hutchinson. Perry, who moved far to the right to secure a primary victory will now face the wrath of moderates in his own party (yes, there are moderates in the Texas GOP). White is a pragmatic, centrist politician who ran Houston well, worked closely with the Republican county judge here in the aftermath of our hurricanes, and has close ties to the energy industry in which he worked for many years before seeking office. This could be the ironical season in which we see Massachusetts elect its Republican senator and Texas a Democratic governor.

Posted by: tomberg1 | March 2, 2010 5:32 PM | Report abuse

Perry was just shoring up his base during the primary seasonn -- they all do it.

Posted by: starbucks1 | March 2, 2010 5:26 PM | Report abuse

Perry was just shoring up his base during the primary seasonn -- they all do it.

Posted by: starbucks1 | March 2, 2010 5:25 PM | Report abuse

DICK Perry, classic panderer: "'We've got a great union. There's absolutely no reason to dissolve it. But if Washington continues to thumb their nose at the American people, you know, who knows what might come out of that. "

"Who knows what might come out of that?" Oh, yeah, that's pandering! :) So, he doesn't say we SHOULD secede, he just likes to throw a little tasty little morsel of red meat out there to the crazies foaming at the mouth. Nice. What a great leader! "Who me? I said no such thing!" Wonderful, a classic politician. Can you say, "That depends on the definition of what IS is?" :)

Posted by: trellus | March 2, 2010 5:16 PM | Report abuse

Perry did not say Texas should secede:

"Texas Gov. Rick Perry fired up an anti-tax 'tea party' Wednesday with his stance against the federal government and for states' rights as some in his U.S. flag-waving audience shouted, 'Secede!'

An animated Perry told the crowd at Austin City Hall -- one of three tea parties he was attending across the state -- that officials in Washington have abandoned the country's founding principles of limited government. He said the federal government is strangling Americans with taxation, spending and debt.

Perry repeated his running theme that Texas' economy is in relatively good shape compared with other states and with the 'federal budget mess.' Many in the crowd held signs deriding President Barack Obama and the $786 billion federal economic stimulus package.

Later, answering news reporters' questions, Perry suggested Texans might at some point get so fed up they would want to secede from the union, though he said he sees no reason why Texas should do that.

'There's a lot of different scenarios,' Perry said. 'We've got a great union. There's absolutely no reason to dissolve it. But if Washington continues to thumb their nose at the American people, you know, who knows what might come out of that. But Texas is a very unique place, and we're a pretty independent lot to boot.'

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/04/15/governor-says-texans-want-secede-union-probably-wont/

Posted by: starbucks1 | March 2, 2010 5:11 PM | Report abuse

Perry did not say Texas should secede:

"Texas Gov. Rick Perry fired up an anti-tax 'tea party' Wednesday with his stance against the federal government and for states' rights as some in his U.S. flag-waving audience shouted, 'Secede!'

An animated Perry told the crowd at Austin City Hall -- one of three tea parties he was attending across the state -- that officials in Washington have abandoned the country's founding principles of limited government. He said the federal government is strangling Americans with taxation, spending and debt.

Perry repeated his running theme that Texas' economy is in relatively good shape compared with other states and with the 'federal budget mess.' Many in the crowd held signs deriding President Barack Obama and the $786 billion federal economic stimulus package.

Later, answering news reporters' questions, Perry suggested Texans might at some point get so fed up they would want to secede from the union, though he said he sees no reason why Texas should do that.

'There's a lot of different scenarios,' Perry said. 'We've got a great union. There's absolutely no reason to dissolve it. But if Washington continues to thumb their nose at the American people, you know, who knows what might come out of that. But Texas is a very unique place, and we're a pretty independent lot to boot.'

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/04/15/governor-says-texans-want-secede-union-probably-wont/

Posted by: starbucks1 | March 2, 2010 5:09 PM | Report abuse

It's laughable that Perry would even attempt a run for President in 2012, but I would be quite happy if he did because he would never make it out the primaries; he's really a rather average politician who happens to have an R by his name in a red state, and he lacks charisma or strong leadership skills, unless you count crassness.

I'm sick of him as our governor, and I doubt he would have ever won if he had not ascended to it first by virtue of W's election victory in 2000. He is unremarkable, partisan, and uninspiring as a leader. Both Ann Richards and George W Bush were much better governors, and I can't wait until he finally has fed his ego enough to step down, or better yet, loses an election.

Even Kay Bailey would make a better governor, and she has really been an average US Senator. However, I'd take her any day over Rick Perry. I haven't liked him since his very narrow, ugly victory for Lt Governor over the much smarter, much more capable John Sharp, in 1998.

Posted by: trellus | March 2, 2010 5:06 PM | Report abuse

"For White, who hails from east Texas"

I'm not sure what you are trying to say, but White was born, and grew up, in San Antonio graduating from Churchill High School before attending Harvard. After attending law school in Austin, White practiced law in Houston.

East Texas is a rather distinct area of Texas and most Texans would not include Houston in that geographic area.

Posted by: starbucks1 | March 2, 2010 4:57 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: MerrillFrank | March 2, 2010 4:55 PM | Report abuse

Watch for Kay to surprise, and, if not, watch for many moderates to vote for White in the general election. If you are not from Texas, you do not comprehend the complete corruption of Perry. Nolan Ryan is for Kay. That settles it.

Posted by: rusty3 | March 2, 2010 4:53 PM | Report abuse

Chris,
I'm not sure that a win means that Rick Perry is a Presidential contender. Do you really think the electorate would seriously consider a guy who has said recently that Texas should seceed from the union? Give me a break!

Posted by: NMModerate1 | March 2, 2010 4:51 PM | Report abuse

who benefits from low turnout?

Posted by: bsimon1 | March 2, 2010 4:51 PM | Report abuse

God, I wish these yahoos really could secede

Posted by: tom_walker | March 2, 2010 4:47 PM | Report abuse

Obama now wants to add 4 Republican ideas to his 2000 page bill - complete with massive government spending and massive new taxes.


Is this a complete joke???

Does Obama have a fundamental misunderstanding as to what the objections are - so he is unable to meet the Republicans in the middle ???

Or is he just stupid ???

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | March 2, 2010 4:38 PM | Report abuse

Bluest States Spilling The Most Red Ink

The five most fiscally fit states are more of a mix. Three--Utah, Nebraska and Texas--boast Republican majorities

http://www.forbes.com/2010/02/25/democratic-states-bad-financial-shape-personal-finance-blue.html?boxes=Homepagemostpopular

Posted by: leapin | March 2, 2010 4:28 PM | Report abuse

Thank you bfinancial, glad to hear about this. We have lots of time. Here is the key question, for me anyway.

Can you say explicitly how, if she does, she differs from the Tea Party platform, so that a person (like df198081, who appears to have come and gone) could say they want nothing to do with the TEA movement and still be a Medina supporter?

Posted by: shrink2 | March 2, 2010 4:25 PM | Report abuse

@ shrink2
The positives of a Medida candidacy are endless - fiscal responsiblity, living within our means, common sense approaches, personal freedom and liberty to all Texans, being held accountable, being able to hold Medina accountable, OK to Question Medina's policies, (how much time do we have?) I could go on.
The negatives - she will not be bought out by politicians or lobbyist's, she will hold everyone else accountable, she will have limited government in our lives, she will end Property Tax's that we so love... (how much time do we have?) I could go on about the "negatives" as well...

Posted by: bfinancial | March 2, 2010 4:13 PM | Report abuse

Two Republicans. One winner. Who will hide the most voting machines? That is the question.

If either wins the people lose. The GOP is all about big business profits. Nothing more. The play that class warfare game as a hobby. Ask Jim Bunning all about that. Tom DeLay might be able to answer a few questions, too, but it would take a might big board and a huge bucket of water.

Posted by: BigTrees | March 2, 2010 4:09 PM | Report abuse

Man, oh man, am I glad I am out of Tex-ass. What was that about them seceding? Maybe if Perry wins, he will follow though on that promise - good riddance.

Posted by: fortllatikcuf1 | March 2, 2010 4:08 PM | Report abuse

@ nativeSATX
Regarding your accusation of Debra Medina - You say "Apparently jobs, education, healthcare, the environment, etc... aren't issues worth mentioning"

Of course she is concerned about these issues you...&^$#! Like a troll you failed to mention the rest of the page that provides links to all of the issues facing Texans today!

When you talk about the role of Government the primary concerns are our freedoms or lack there of. Open your mind and listen!

Now go back to the link that you provided and keep reading the rest of the page!

The text format will not enable to view this properly but here is the text that links you to all of those issues that nativeSATX chose to be go blind and "did not see."
Below are the text links from her website so go back to nativeSATX link and please keep reading and learning more of her goals for a better Texas:

We Texans...Common SenseRole of Government
Taxes and Spending
Business Climate in Texas
Private Property
We Texans...Common ValuesLife
Family
Education
Healthcare
Policy StatementsTransportation
Gambling
Environment

Also: Medina NEVER said that she thinks that 9/11 was an inside job or even gave a hint that she was leaning that way! ALL SHE SAID (and please replay it) WAS THAT QUESTIONING EVEN YOUR OWN GOVERNMENT IS OUR RIGHT AND OUR FREEDOM!
Glen Beck is a Shill and took her sound bytes out of context. GB works for and get's some money from Clear Channel which is a huge financial supporter of Perry. Yes, GB as you said in that interview - "Perry can go ahead and kiss you now!"
Good job Glen Beck, Texas does not deserve Debra Medina....

Posted by: bfinancial | March 2, 2010 3:56 PM | Report abuse

Bill White had his day as the Mayor of liberal leaning Houston. The conservative side of Texas won't give him a second glance.

I predict that Perry wins a third term in November and the White House in 2012!

Posted by: ProgMan | March 2, 2010 3:50 PM | Report abuse

Just try to get into an elevator with Sen. Bunning - he will bite your head off !


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | March 2, 2010 3:37 PM | Report abuse

I think we all hope that Texas continues to "succeed," but are much less keen to see the state "secede." Key to Texas' continued success will be the defeat of secessionist Rick Perry at the hands of pragmatic Bill White.

Posted by: contradiction | March 2, 2010 3:35 PM | Report abuse

Why does Chris Cilizza and the Washington Post have such a bias against Ron Paul and the Tea Party movement?

Do you love unlimited war and empire? Love bailouts?

I'm fed up with your garbage coverage.

Posted by: zf123 | March 2, 2010 3:30 PM | Report abuse

I'm disappointed. I really thought i would get some crap from my side and shock from the other that i called Kay Bailey Hutchinson a "really good senator".

Posted by: elijah24 | March 2, 2010 3:28 PM | Report abuse

Perry - 52
Hutchinson - 41
Medina - 8

Yeah, I know. Rethugs cheat.

Posted by: DonRitchie | March 2, 2010 3:26 PM | Report abuse

Perry - 45
Medina- 29
Hutchison - 26

Tea parties are for little girls with imaginary friends.

Posted by: drindl | March 2, 2010 3:20 PM | Report abuse

It's real easy; if you support sucession then you hate America and the constitution.

Be it Perry, Medina, Delay or Mr. & Mrs. Palin's affiliation with the Alaska Independence Party. Even Scalia says it has no constitutional basis.

Perry - 48
Hutchison - 33
Medina - 19

Runoff

Posted by: MerrillFrank | March 2, 2010 2:55 PM | Report abuse

Texas politics: YAWN.......

Posted by: jckdoors | March 2, 2010 2:33 PM | Report abuse

Off topic, but as I said I thought the administration would do yesterday,

Posted by: AndyR3 | March 2, 2010 1:31 PM

where is your unemployment prediction? still saying it will go down .2% a month? why don't you move to Quebec.

Posted by: doof | March 2, 2010 2:14 PM | Report abuse

nativeSATX, thank you.

The confusion I have comes from the person who said s/he was considering voting for Medina, but has, "...absolutely no interest in the Tea Party movement." It seems to me her positions are indistinguishable from the TEA peoples' positions. I am wondering why a person would want to make sure equating support with her and support for the TEA movement was a mistake. Maybe a clue is provided by Seenitall5, part of her support could be a mis-politic protest vote, doing something absurd to upset the political patronage apple cart.


Posted by: shrink2 | March 2, 2010 2:10 PM | Report abuse

Texas votes to succeed? That actually sounds like a good Perry slogan:

Vote to Succeed!

(with the "u" pronounced like a short "e")

Posted by: JakeD3 | March 2, 2010 2:01 PM | Report abuse

Ken, I will take Quebec for Texas. The food in Montreal is awesome, and folks in Texas don't even know what bar-b-que is supposed to be, I mean they make it out of Beef!

Posted by: AndyR3 | March 2, 2010 2:01 PM | Report abuse

Jefferson Davis...oops I mean Rick Perry will win by 10%. And though thats unfortunate for the people of TX, It's not bad for the country. Hutchinson is a really good senator, and i hope she is there for a long time. I don't know that she would be as good in an executive roll.

Posted by: elijah24 | March 2, 2010 2:00 PM | Report abuse

Perry wins. After he is also succesful in November, Texas votes to succeed. In Canada Quebec will be sympathetic to their efforts.

Posted by: kenpasadena | March 2, 2010 1:56 PM | Report abuse

Women traditionally outperform their polls so Medina and Hutchison will probabaly do better than predicted. Perry will fall short of the 50 percent needed to put this away and the game will be decided in overtime. Polls suggest Hutchison has the better shot in a general against White so who knows, maybe Perry will pull out for the good of the Republican party especially those down ballot. I'm kidding of course, Rick Perry will always do what is best for Rick Perry.

Posted by: ColonelFannin | March 2, 2010 1:55 PM | Report abuse

shrink2: here's Debra Medina's issues page from her own website: http://www.medinafortexas.com/issues.php

Highlights: "Private property and gun ownership are essential elements of freedom."
1. Eliminate property tax
2. Protect gun ownership:
3. Secure our border:
and drum roll please...
4. Restore Sovereignty:

These are apparently the most important "issues facing Texas." Apparently jobs, education, healthcare, the environment, etc... aren't issues worth mentioning.

Medina also said during a debate that she wasn't sure 9/11 wasn't an inside job...

Posted by: nativeSATX | March 2, 2010 1:55 PM | Report abuse

Off topic, but as I said I thought the administration would do yesterday,

"Obama calls for adding GOP ideas to health plan"

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/03/02/AR2010030200175.html?hpid=topnews

"The proposals Obama mentioned are: sending investigators disguised as patients to uncover fraud and waste; expanding medical malpractice reform pilot programs; increasing payments to Medicaid providers and expanding the use of health savings accounts."

Posted by: AndyR3 | March 2, 2010 1:31 PM | Report abuse

For many of us in Texas, Debra Medina's real name is "none of the above". So looking at every vote for her as a Tea Party vote will lead to amusing consequences.

Posted by: SeenItAll5 | March 2, 2010 1:29 PM | Report abuse

Just curious, df198081, to flesh out your point about Medina and the Tea Party, could you lay out what you consider the positives and negatives of Medina's candidacy?
Appreciate it.

Posted by: shrink2 | March 2, 2010 1:26 PM | Report abuse

Perry - 49
Medina - 28
Hutchison - 23

It's a Tea Party Party

Posted by: JakeD3 | March 2, 2010 1:19 PM | Report abuse

Chris, not sure I buy the Medina vote as a bellwether on Tea Party influence. I am considering a vote for Media, yet have absolutely no interest in the Tea Party movement.

Posted by: df198081 | March 2, 2010 1:14 PM | Report abuse

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