Texas Governors Race: Prediction Time!

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I was only 1% off each (did someone else get closer?):

Perry 52, Hutchison 32

Posted by: JakeD2 | March 2, 2010 11:45 AM

Perry finishes with 51%, 30% Hutchison, and 19% Medina.

Kay Bailey Hutchison is about to concede the Texas governors race. She has called Gov. Rick Perry and Debra Medina, a KBH aide says.

Holding steady: Perry 52% (with 21% precincts reporting) 30% Hutchison 17% Medina

Polls are closed. Perry is currently at 53% (with 2% precincts reporting)

Perry - 50.7
Hutchison - 24.2
Medina - 17.1

I don't see a prediction from broadwayjoe, so I'll submit one for him.

Martha Coakley: 55
Scott Brown: 40
Huffingtonpost: 5

Coakley wins by 15.
No runoff needed. √ check

I hope I'm not too late.

Perry: 55
Hutchison: 28
Medina: 15
Bush: 2

The only runoff will be Hutchison leaving town. Quickly.

perry 53

hutchison 38

medina 9

Ah, the Brick Wall responds with insults. As usual.

BB

FairlingtonBlade

There is a middle - only Obama does not want it -

Did you see Obama get visibly upset when Boehner started to talk about such a compromise?

Your comments are delusional -

You are basically saying that Obama's campaign commitments were a complete crock.

Yea, well if you put it that way......

.

Medina is a third party candidate, and there support always collapses come election time. So I'm picking Perry to outperform, due to the enthusiasm the far right has at the moment.

Perry 49
KBH 37
Medina 14

Let me get this straight:

The liberal position is this: the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th and 9th amendments DO APPLY TO THE STATES.

The 2nd Amendment APPLIES ONLY TO THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.

The 10th Amendment APPLIES TO NO ONE.

Is that the correct position of the liberals ???

.

As the summit proved that Republicans have elevated policy disagreements to philosophical ones, there is no middle.

Government can't do big things. Except S-CHIP. And overhaul the tax system. And welfare reform.

Reconciliation is wrong. Except for tax cuts. And S-CHIP. And welfare reform. And judicial nominations.

Black is white. Up is down. Bipartisanship means you do what I want to do. Who needs to win elections? Just hold your breath until the other side gives in.

BB

Obama now wants to add 4 Republican ideas to his 2000 page bill - complete with massive government spending and massive new taxes.

Is this a complete joke???

Does Obama have a fundamental misunderstanding as to what the objections are - so he is unable to meet the Republicans in the middle ???

Or is Obama just stupid ???

.

lukemiller:

Did you try clicking on the "latest polling" link (above)? The RCP average has Medina at 17.8%

Perry 48%
KBH 43%
Medina 9%

Shocked to see so many people predicting more than 10% for Medina.

Easy.

Perry 42%
Hutchison 29%
Medina 19.5%

Just try to get into an elevator with Sen. Bunning - he will bite your head off !

.

Perry:47%
Hutchison: 39%
Medina: 14%

Perry is forced into a runoff, which he will likely win. But the general election in my home state of Texas is definitely a toss-up.

Hmmm...

Perry 42, Hutchinson 34, Medina 24

Perry: 43
KBH: 31
Medina: 26

Perry 42

Medina 30

Hutchinson 28

Perry 49
KBH 37
Medina 14

Perry - 49
Medina - 28
Hutchison - 23

Tea Partay

Perry - 48%
KBH - 38%
Medina - 13%

Perry 52%
Hutchison 34%
Medina 14%

Medina less of a factor than many expected. Perry wins outright. KBH plays nice and endorses Perry, but does not resign her seat. White easily wins the D nod.

Goodhair 50.01
KBH 35
Medina 14.99

Perry: 48.7
Hutchison: 37.1
Medina: 14.2

Perry 50
Hutchison 29
Medina 21

Medina: 48
Perry: 40
KBH: 12

Perry: 46
Hutchison:35
Medina:19

Perry: 52%
Hutchison: 32%
Medina: 16%

Perry 53
KBH 29
Medina 17

Perry 50
Hutch 37
Medina 13

Perry 44.9

Hutchison 28.9

Medina 17.9

Rick Perry - 45%
Kay Bailey Hutchison - 42%
Debra Medina - 13%

Perry 44
KBH 30
Medina 26

Perry 51, Hutchison 29, Medina 20

Perry: 47.5
Hutchison 27.3
Medina: 25.2

Perry 47
Hutchison 34
Medina 19

Perry 49.5%
Medina 25.3%
KBH 25.2%

Run-off
Medina 51%
Perry 49%

General
White 60%
Medina 40%

Perry 50%
Hutchison 38%
Medina 12%

Perry 48.3
KBH 32.1
Medina 19.5

Perry 55%
Hutchison 27%
Medina 18%

King2641:

At least change the percentages a little bit between your multiple posts.

Perry 48%
Hutchison 40
Medina 7
Other 5

Definitely a runoff:

Perry 42 percent
Hutchinson 34 percent
Medina 24 percent

And Perry wins runoff but loses general to White

Perry 50
Hutchison 27
Mediana 15

Perry 48%
Hutchison 40
Medina 7
Other 5

Is there a "limit" to how many entries for The Fix t-shirt?

If I post every five minutes until polls close, I think I can cover all possibilities.

Perry 48
Hutchison 43
Medina 9

Runoff!

KBH forces a run-off and comments that "There is a long time between now and April 6. Anything can happen."

Goodhair - 48
KBH - 30
Medina - 21
Kinky - 1

BB

Perry 50%, Medina 11%, Hutchison 39%

Perry 53
KBH 30
Medina 17

Perry - 53%

Hutchison - 34%

Medina - 13%

Perry 52, Hutchison 32, Medina 16

Perry 42, Hutchison 33, Medina 25

CAC2, I have some health problems - but without getting specific - I was laughing so hard I had an accident -

guys notice my response to doof - I extended his point by referencing San Diego - I stay away from here weeks on end because I hate the petty moronic cross statements which seem to take control of this board all too often

Perry 52, Hutchison 32, Medina 16

A bunch of backwards rednecks deciding who will be the lead backwards redneck. That's exciting...

A bunch of backwards rednecks deciding who will be the lead backwards redneck. That's exciting...

Perry 58, Hutchison 35, Medina 7

doof, I think we are both correct - but to add substance to your argument - go back to San Diego - the Republican right tried to block KBH from the convention - She is a Senator because no republican will challenge her, and no Democrat can win in Texas because the Lower Rio Grande valley (LRGV) will not vote until the Democrats clean out the corruption in the LRGV.

A Democrat DA accepted 1 million dollars payable to his office in exchange for dropping a criminal investigation against an engineering firm which billed the Brownsville Navigation District 21.4 million for a non-existent bridge - FBI Director Mueller finds nothing to investigate - the people have had it and will not vote Democrat

Perry 50, Hutchinson 29, Medina 21

Perry 47
Hutchison 28
Medina 25

I have goodhair kind of high because I know a lot of Medina's supporters do not want to chance a run-off with KBH so they are pulling for Mr. Goodhair

Perry 49

Kay 32

Medina 19

Waooo haaaa haaaaa

funny how everyone how everyone down there is backing off of secession.

.

This election is interesting for two reasons - Texas Republicans are rejecting a Washington insider KBH, and embracing the right.

Posted by: bobbywc | March 2, 2010 11:12 AM

Texas is rejecting Kay because she is a RINO. She's pro-illegal. She deserves to lose. Same will happen to McCain.

Texas Inside Joke

Goodhair 53%
Avoid Justice 37%
Ms911conspiracy 10%

Perry 51.5

Hutchinson 30.5

Medina 18

bobbywc:

What's YOUR prediction?

Perry 54, Hutchison 28, Medina 18

Perry 51
KBH 34
Medina 15

The street talk is, if Perry has to go to a run-off, Medina's voters will put him over the top with no problem.

This election is interesting for two reasons - Texas Republicans are rejecting a Washington insider KBH, and embracing the right.

Texas is changing - when Bush I went further right against Bill Clinton he lost.

the question is, will Texas middle of the road Independents go right or go with Bill White (Dem.)

The fact that Shami outspent White big time and has some intereting ideas, but will loose big time tonight tells me even Texas Democrats are still too to the right of the national Democrats - they just could not give a fair shot to Shami - who is a good man.

Bill White will loose in November unless there is a shocker related to Perry.

Why? Bill White made a big deal about getting in bed with the most corrupt Democrats in the State of Texas. In Starr County it was announced this morning the Texas rangers were called in over mail ballots - this is where Democrats steal elections - politiqueras get paid by the ballot - the more they steal from seniors for any given candidate the more they get paid.

early polling in cameron county shows the people refused to vote. the people of the LRGV will never vote Republican - but they also will not vote in the numbers needed for a Dem to win statewide until a Dem denounces the corruption in the LRGV. Bill not not only refused to denounce the corruption, he also embraced the politicos known for using politiqueras - this angered the voters and as the results will show tonight - the super super super majority stayed home.

I placed a blank ballot in the box such as many other Texans in the LRGV

An interesting side issue - texas is where innocent people come to die from a lethal injection - Medina (Rep) and Shami (Dem) both called for a stay of all executions until texas can get its act together - White (Dem) said - let the innocent die - this should tell you just how radical right wing Texas has become

Bobby Wightman-Cervantes

Perry 48, Hutchison 27, Medina 15

Perry: 51
Hutchison: 39
Medina: 10

Perry 45, Hutchison 30, Medina 15

Perry 50.4
Hutchinson 38.6
Medina 9.8

perry 53, hutchison 33, medina 14

Perry 51, Hutchison 35, Medina 14

Perry 48, Hutchinson 32, Medina 20

Perry 50, Hutchison 34, Medina 16