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Hawaii Results: Akaka Hangs On

In a race cast as a generational choice, Hawaii Sen. Daniel Akaka defeated Rep. Ed Case in the state's Democratic primary yesterday.

Akaka took 54 percent of the vote while Case received 45 percent. It was a victory for old-style machine politics as the state party brought its considerable resources to bear on Akaka's behalf. Case's argument that Hawaii needed to begin to look to a new generation of leaders (both Akaka and Sen. Daniel Inouye are 82 years old) failed to resonate with a majority of voters.

Akaka's victory should also be seen as a victory for liberals within the party. Akaka was one of only a handful of Democratic Senators to vote against the use of force resolution against Iraq in 2002. While Case was not in Congress at the time of the vote, he had said he would have voted in support of the resolution. Akaka centered his campaign on that difference, believing rightly that Democratic primary voters would see things his way.

It was not immediately clear who Akaka will face in the general election. Former Vietnam prisoner of war Jerry Coffee won the Republican primary even though he had previously withdrawn from the race due to health problems. Gov. Linda Lingle (R) has until Tuesday to select a replacement for Coffee on the ballot.

Regardless of who Lingle picks, Akaka is a strong favorite for re-election on Nov. 7.

In the other race of note in Hawaii, former Lt. Gov. Mazie Hirono appears to have narrowly defeated state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa for the Democratic nomination in the 2nd district. With 195 out of 196 precincts counted, Hirono had 21.81 percent to Hanabusa's 21.10 percent. Hirono's margin was just 799 votes.

The race for the Republican nomination was nearly as close. State Sen. Bob Hogue led former state Rep. Quentin Kawananakoa 50.6 percent to 49.6 percent -- a lead of 199 votes.

By Chris Cillizza  |  September 24, 2006; 10:31 AM ET
 
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Comments

Sandwhich Repairman: Ohio was another blog I answered, stick with the subject at hand. Have you ever been tested for ADD? Stay on subject. The subject, in this blog, happens to be Hawii elections.

Being so, I think Hawii will be more competitive in this election than in a long time. The Lingle/Aiona ticket wins the Gov/Lt. Gov race handily. Lingle appoints a candidate, my guess is independent prosecuter Peter Carlisle, to take on Akaka. Bob Hogue has an excellent shot at the 2nd congressional district.

Posted by: reason | September 25, 2006 11:53 AM | Report abuse

A handful of Democrats Cilizza? You dopes do this for a living and really have no clue do you?

Half of the caucus voted against it. Including Inouye.

Majority of Dems in the House voted against it.

The Media is truly incompetent.

Posted by: Armando | September 25, 2006 3:03 AM | Report abuse

reason: The word gets does not have an apostrophe. And OH-8?? What are you smoking??

Posted by: Sandwich Repairman | September 24, 2006 10:34 PM | Report abuse

How have the Hawaii and National Democrats allowed a situation with two 82year old senators and a Republican governor to name their replacements if they should die in office? Talking about Governor Linda Lingle becoming a king maker - she is about to appoint the Republican Senate nominee to face Akaka in November. The winner of the Republican primary has withdrawn from the Senate race for health reasons,

Posted by: Julie Wiskind | September 24, 2006 6:19 PM | Report abuse

First of all, amazing how a post concerning the Hawii primaries sparked conversation about Debbie Stebenow and George Allen...I must be missing something in the post here?

Well, from the post I read on this page I honestly figured Akaka would beat Case. He effectively made the argument at the end that he's the only native Hawiian in the senate. His campaign catered to native Hawiians whom he apparently got out to vote. Case is white, and Akaka got the native vote. Apparently that was enough, along with Inouye's support to pull him through. On the Republican side, Coffee actually withdrew from the race and gov. Lingle campaigned on his behalf, even after his withdrawl. Lingle knew that Mark Beatty had no chance to win the general election. Now, Coffee came through and won the primary. Now, Gov. Lingle get's to choose a Republican nominee to face Akaka in the general election. It will probably be announced on Tuesday. Who will she choose? I'm betting she chooses prosecuter Peter Carlisle, who could be a potential threat to Akaka in the general. He's known as a moderate with a good criminal background record. He could possibly appeal to moderate democrats that supported Case in the primary. This race of course is no top 10 contender by any means, at least not yet, but it has the potential to be close if Lingle can recruit and choose effectively. Anyone else have ideas of whom she may pick?

I'm surprised by the Bob Hogue win over Quentin Kawananakoa, whom is native Hawiian and I thought would be the more effective candidate. The dems. were predictable, giving the nomination to Mazie Hirono. Hirono lost the 02' race against Lingle and is a former Lt. Governor. Because of this, he's better known that Hogue. But, Hogue beat Kawananakoa so we will see if he gets his endorsement and backing from the establishment. Predictably in the 1st district Neil Abercrombie got the nomination for the dems to defend his seat and Noah Hough II for the Republicans. Abercrombie easily wins the general race handily. Not even close. I think the 2nd district will be close because it's an open seat and Hogue seems to be a pretty good candidate. The senate seat potentially could develop into a tough race for Akaka, depending on if Lingle can recruit well this late in the race. We'll see!

Posted by: reason | September 24, 2006 5:04 PM | Report abuse

Drindl - Allen's Presidential ambitions are over, but I would bet that it a miniscule percentage of the people South of the Potomac who will vote in this Senate race read the Weekly Standard, or have even heard of it.

Still a toss-up, with advantage Allen. The advantage of incumbency and money. If Jim Webb could relax and smile a bit, it would help. He still needs to learn how to "speak to the camera," and not the people with whom he is having a conversation or addressing. He's still got time.

Posted by: Nor'Easter | September 24, 2006 4:31 PM | Report abuse

Apparently, Case also supported the credit card industry rather than American families when voting for the bankruptcy bill. If that is true then he deserved to lose.

Posted by: Yockel | September 24, 2006 3:41 PM | Report abuse

Stabenow is ahead by double digits. Bouchard has no chance against her unless she does an Edwin Edwards; caught in bed with a live boy or dead girl.

Allen isn't done yet, but he certainly is adept at shooting himself in the foot. Just like fellow tobacco-chewer Conrad Burns. Another reason why it's bad for your health??

Posted by: Sandwich Repairman | September 24, 2006 2:48 PM | Report abuse

We are standing in a very dangrrous period with dangerous people in power in this country. The only thing can make a huge difference, at this time, is the role that media is playing in our lives and the world as whole. Your role in saving some momentum in this madness has proven that you can make a difference. Journalism has a moral and ethical obligation to seek the truth and report it to the world. Please do the job you chose and help the world to pass this difficult time and encourage others too. Please report the truth even if it means cutting off your paycheck. This is your obligation to yourself, family, country and the whole humanity.Lets not another insane war in Middel East happens because you did not do your job to report the truth and let the hell falls on the only Earth we have. No one will win these wars including you, your families, country or the world because these madness are not aimed for winnig but distroying.

Posted by: Ana | September 24, 2006 2:43 PM | Report abuse

STICK A FORK IN GEORGE ALLEN:

'If you're a Republican politician, you really know things are getting bad when a leading conservative magazine attacks you, brutally mocks you, and otherwise rips you to shreds. Well, that's exactly what has happened to George Allen, with The Weekly Standard's just-released October 2 issue. It's bad news right from the git-go, with the front-page picture of Allen and a monkey (see above) and the article's title, "George Allen Monkeys Around: Forget the presidential campaign. Can he still win his Senate race?" '

There's a photo of him with a monkey on his back, okay? HE IS SO OVER.

Posted by: DRINDL | September 24, 2006 2:05 PM | Report abuse

Anybody out there still think that data mining is used for national security purposes. It's 1984, people --WAKE UP:

WASHINGTON -- As Democrats drive to extend their power in Congress, holding on to Debbie Stabenow's Senate seat is a must. And the Michigan incumbent is currently ahead in the polls.

But Republican strategists are working hard to upset Stabenow, in part through a low-profile appeal to a group that most politicians rarely think of as a voting bloc -- snowmobilers.

And the stealth campaign to woo the thousands of working-class, historically Democratic Michiganders whose cold-weather passion is snowmobiles is just one small example of a technique known as "micro-targeting" that GOP strategists are using across the country as they try to pull off another election day victory against the odds.

But if control of Congress comes down to three or four dozen closely contested races, as now seems likely, then micro-targeting and the other technologies that Republicans are using in battleground states could make a difference.

The GOP system -- built around a database nicknamed Voter Vault -- combines huge amounts of demographic, financial and other personal information on individual voters with the data-mining techniques used by direct-mail advertisers to deliver surgically targeted appeals to voters identified as likely to respond, including many who might be considered part of the Democratic base.

In Michigan, for example, the GOP contacted snowmobilers by mail, telephone or other personal communication suggesting that Democrats' environmental views stood in the way of greater opportunities for snowmobiling.

Though details of the GOP system are secret, snowmobilers and other categories of voters are identified from such diverse sources as credit card transactions, product warranty files, magazine subscription lists, consumer surveys, vehicle registrations and other public records.

Posted by: DRINDL | September 24, 2006 1:40 PM | Report abuse

'Akaka's victory should also be seen as a victory for liberals within the party. Akaka was one of only a handful of Democratic Senators to vote against the use of force resolution against Iraq in 2002. '

Apparently, Mr. Akaka has been vindicated. From Slate:

"The New York Times, the Washington Post, and the Los Angeles Times all lead with a government report finding that the war in Iraq is hurting the fight against terrorism. The classified National Intelligence Estimate, issued last April, finds that the occupation of Iraq has been a crucible for new, more decentralized extremist cells, while global outrage over the war has proved to be a boon for terrorist recruiters.
The NIE represents the opinions of all 16 intelligence agencies and was approved by Director of National Intelligence John D. Negroponte. It's worth noting, as all the papers do, that a 2002 NIE was used to build the case for invading Iraq. That history makes the report's stark assessment of the war all the more sobering. Since the report is still classified, the papers rely on sources familiar with the document for tidbits, and as a result the stories all sound very similar. TP won't pretend it's surprised that all three papers do their cover pieces on the same day, five months after the report was issued. It sounds, however, as if the slim 30-page report is a little short on specifics as well: There's no attempt to discern the chances of the U.S. being attacked again, nor does the report make any policy suggestions. The report simply states, one sources tells NYT, "that the Iraq war has made the overall terrorism problem worse."

Posted by: drindl | September 24, 2006 1:39 PM | Report abuse

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