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Choose your own House race!

It's now less than four months -- hooray! -- until the 2010 midterm elections and there are races breaking out all over the country.

In this version of the Fix's "Choose your own House race" competition -- you can check out past winners here and here -- we are looking at four races that are relatively new to the competitive ranks.

You can vote on the race you'd like to see get its own Fix post below. Here's a look at your four choices:

* In South Dakota, Republicans got their preferred candidate against Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D) in the form of state Rep. Kristi Noem. Herseth Sandlin has long been considered a rising star for South Dakota Democrats but she passed on a run for governor this year, a decision that could come back to haunt her.

* In North Carolina's 8th district former sports broadcaster Harold Johnson won a runoff race earlier this month and, with it, the chance to take on freshman Rep. Larry Kissell (D) in the fall. (Johnson beat Tim D'Annunzio, an early frontrunner for the Fix's worst candidate of the year award, in the runoff.)

* Ohio's 13th district should be safe territory for Rep. Betty Sutton -- President Barack Obama won it by 15 points in 2008 -- but the Democratic incumbent has been a poor fundraiser to date and is running against wealthy car dealer Tom Ganley (R).

* Florida Rep. Allen Boyd (D) has the worst of both worlds -- a serious primary challenge on Aug. 24 from his ideological left and then a real Republican waiting in the general election. Although Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) won this Panhandle seat by nine points in 2008, Boyd hasn't won re-election with less than 62 percent in his 14 years in the House.

By Chris Cillizza  |  July 6, 2010; 12:07 PM ET
Categories:  House  
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Comments

" What's with all the hate? All we are missing is a link to the latest Chris Matthews diatribe. All 4 races have legitimate interest nationally because if the GOP is going to retake the 40 seats they need, they are going to need to take seats that are going to need a GOP wave to take back-second or third tier targets. Posted by: TexasProud1"

And if a frog had wings... .

The races are each so marginal that they are a great white hope only to republican Resurgence derangement Syndrome Zombies. Nothing in any of those races actually looks like a republican chance.

So your hypothetical, "If the R's are to get the 40 seats they need" is more purely hypothetical than the ether wind.

It is a prayer in pure desperation, and isn't going to be heard.

Posted by: ceflynline | July 7, 2010 4:43 PM | Report abuse

What's with all the hate? All we are missing is a link to the latest Chris Matthews diatribe. All 4 races have legitimate interest nationally because if the GOP is going to retake the 40 seats they need, they are going to need to take seats that are going to need a GOP wave to take back-second or third tier targets.

Posted by: TexasProud1 | July 7, 2010 12:19 AM | Report abuse

"Not sure why all these attacks on Chris. I've known him for more than 10 years in professional realm and he's a straight shooter. Maybe its critics' wishful thinking or blind idealism -- and I'm a Dem -- but folks...DEMS ARE GONNA LOSE CONGRESSIONAL SEATS. Not what we want but its the plain fact. SO...naturally the kinds of seats Chris brings to your attention are conservative/marginal seats mostly held by Democrats. If you want to be informed, stop shooting the messenger, get real and listen. Nice work, Chris. Posted by: springsteen_politics

CC's problem is that, where he used to be interesting, if republican leaning, over time he has gotten trite.

Every day's posts are paeans to hope for discouraged republicans, and most are real stretches. Like these four races. Yeah, any one of them MIGHT go R, but there doesn't seem much reason for that. The SD Dem advertizes herself as a blue dog, touts her earmarks, ag work, and basic bring home the bacon approach to her job. The R is, from her home page, marching well in step with the T-s, and, although she has gotten elected to SSD' legislature, possibly another bullfrog tongue waiting to throttle her own neck. The Independent who is also running has a much more interesting resume, and may be a whole lot closer to SD conservatives in temperament and experience, (He is a Citadel Graduate) than NOEM is. So what makes this an interesting race, so far? That the R's decided on who to run?

The Ohio seat is as humdrum as it can be. Again the R is borderline T and should he cross the line with a RPauline quotation or two is toast in an industrial or ex industrial part of Ohio that feels thoroughly betrayed by Reaganomics and its descendants. Just what about a Big Wig Car Mogul is so likely to be attractive to the residents of the banks of Ohio's burning river?

Chris needs to rethink his template, because as the year goes on it becomes more and more fable and less and less fact.

CC needs to go back to his roots.

Posted by: ceflynline | July 6, 2010 6:00 PM | Report abuse

Not sure why all these attacks on Chris. I've known him for more than 10 years in professional realm and he's a straight shooter. Maybe its critics' wishful thinking or blind idealism -- and I'm a Dem -- but folks...DEMS ARE GONNA LOSE CONGRESSIONAL SEATS. Not what we want but its the plain fact. SO...naturally the kinds of seats Chris brings to your attention are conservative/marginal seats mostly held by Democrats. If you want to be informed, stop shooting the messenger, get real and listen. Nice work, Chris.

Posted by: springsteen_politics | July 6, 2010 4:43 PM | Report abuse

And the Answer to the Florida question is just who the real republicans running for the nomination are.

The man he beat by at least 24% in 2008.
A Reaganite losing candidate from 1982.
An ex tennis player.
An Airline Pilot.
A funeral Home Director.

And three independents in the general whose quals are at least as good as the T-Person the R's will nominate in August.

Back to the thinking cubical, CC. You need some better reading in your convenience room than Grimm's Fairy tales.

Posted by: ceflynline | July 6, 2010 4:42 PM | Report abuse

Quite obviously, noneof the above. They are all the Republican resurgence Template that dominates the fix for no particular reason but that it makes CC totally predictable.

Kissle/Johnson had the reputation of neither one of these bums can win against the other reputation when it was on and when Johnson couldn't put any distance between himself and a proven all time loser, he gained non-likely winner status himself.

The Ohio 13th has been strongly Democratic since 1977, and was Sherrod Brown's district till he was elected to the Senate. The Republican is a car salesman whose web sight has all the charm of a floor sales man who has to set you up and then get his sales manager's approval. TA true Reaganite in a district that never bought Reaganomics. Borderline T-Party, but not admitedly so.

The South Dakota Seat was once Daschle's, which he left when he ran for the Senate. Sandlin has occupied it since she won the special election for the seat in 2004 vacated when the republican resigned after being convicted of vehicular Homicide. Her Republican opponent is again borderline t-party but not an avowed T=Person. There is also a credible independent in the race. Noem will have to watch her tounge very carefully because she could cut her own throat and surrender lots of votes to the Independent.

And if the Florida race is so good, why can't CC name the republican in the race?

Posted by: ceflynline | July 6, 2010 4:36 PM | Report abuse

How about FL-25 next time? One of the few seats where the dems are on offense.

Posted by: hilltopper1 | July 6, 2010 3:43 PM | Report abuse

Just more Cillizza hucksterism for the GOP and bashing of the Dems. I guess he's wondering whether to buy his 3rd Mercedes and needs to be sure the wealthy can continue to exploit the rest of us.

==

I don't think salary wealth is Cillizza's coin, my guess is that visceral satisfaction is access to the jerks he hero-worships. Look at it this way .. He's young, not very talented, not at all gifted analytically, but gets to sit in the same room with all those ... those wonderful Repu-u-ublicans, wow, those great suits, and those ties, an' they're all like so conservative an' stuff. I'm sure his voice cracks.

Who cares that the destroy everything they touch? On the one hand. On the other hand. It remains to be seen. The case can be made.

Posted by: Noacoler | July 6, 2010 3:41 PM | Report abuse

And Chris' poll seems to be backing-up the "Alvin Greene" effect! Given the choice between 4 races they know nothing about and care nothing about, 41% of readers choose the first name mentioned!

>the crowd goes wild<

Posted by: margaretmeyers | July 6, 2010 2:55 PM | Report abuse

All these races were plucked right off that GOP memo from last week, weren't they?

Posted by: margaretmeyers | July 6, 2010 2:51 PM | Report abuse

Y-A-W-N

Just more Cillizza hucksterism for the GOP and bashing of the Dems. I guess he's wondering whether to buy his 3rd Mercedes and needs to be sure the wealthy can continue to exploit the rest of us.

What a tool.

Posted by: ethanquern | July 6, 2010 2:02 PM | Report abuse

Let's see -- a plug for every Republican, and a knock for every Dem. Predictable -- this could be 'written' by a program.

Posted by: drindl | July 6, 2010 12:47 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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