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Generic ballot moves toward Republicans

Several national surveys released over the past few days show Republicans pulling even or surging past Democrats on the so-called "generic ballot" question, an early warning sign for the party in power as the midterm election approaches.

In the latest Washington Post/ABC News survey, 46 percent of those polled said they would be inclined to vote for the Democratic candidate in their congressional district if the election were held today while another 46 percent said they would back the Republican candidate.

Those numbers represent a significant erosion of Democratic support on the question from even a few months ago. In a mid-October 2009 Post poll, Democrats held a 51 percent to 39 percent lead on the generic ballot question and back in June 2008 the party enjoyed a massive 15-point margin.

More troubling for Democrats is that when the Post/ABC sample was slimmed down to include not all adults but rather registered voters, Republicans carried a 48 percent to 45 percent generic ballot edge -- one of only six times that the GOP has held such an advantage since the Post/ABC poll began in 1981.

The Post/ABC poll is far from an outlier in recent data. A Gallup poll released earlier today showed the two parties tied at 45 percent on the generic ballot, a decline for Democrats from the party's 48 percent to 44 percent lead in a mid-October Gallup poll and wider 50 percent to 44 percent margin in data from last summer.

"The closeness of the two parties over the past several months on this 'generic ballot' measure is similar to that found in most Gallup readings from 1994 through 2005 (spanning the period when Republicans won control of the U.S. House and subsequently maintained it for more than a decade)," wrote Gallup's Lydia Saad in a piece explaining the poll's findings.

As we have written many times before in this space, the generic ballot can be a useful analytic tool -- assuming one understands what it can (and can't do).

The generic ballot IS a good general guide to the mood/temperature/inclination of people toward the two parties. During the 2006 and 2008 elections, for example, Democrats held generic ballot leads in the high teens -- a sign of the sweeping Senate and House gains they scored in each of those elections.

The generic ballot IS NOT a race-by-race guide to who will win or lose in November or an accurate measure of how many seats the parties will gain or lose. After all, each campaign will feature two (or more) specific candidates going up against one another -- each replete with his or her own strengths and weaknesses.

What conclusion -- if any -- then can be drawn from the recent generic ballot trend in Republicans' favor?

The most important one is that the political pendulum, which swung heavily in Democrats' favor over the past two elections, has moved swiftly back in the Republican direction thanks, in large part, to independents' waffling party loyalty.

Way back in the spring of 2007, we penned a post detailing the strong movement of independents toward Democrats in the Post/ABC generic ballot question .

We wrote:

"The generic Democratic candidate enjoyed a 35 percent to 17 percent edge in the survey among independents, although 15 percent of independents said they wouldn't support either party's candidate and 33 percent either didn't have an answer or refused to answer."

Fast forward to today and independents have reversed themselves. Fifty-one percent of independent registered voters now say they would vote for the Republican candidate while just 35 percent say they would choose the Democrat in the Post/ABC survey.

That independent trend is echoed In the latest Gallup numbers. Forty seven percent of political independents opted for the generic Republican candidate while just 31 percent said they would vote for the Democratic nominee. Independents leaving the Democratic standard on the generic ballot question has accelerated in the last few months; as recently as mid-December, Republicans held a far narrower 44 percent to 40 percent lead among independents on the question.

It doesn't take a math major, which we definitely are not, to see the problems building for Democrats in advance of the coming midterm elections. That said, there are at least two reasons for some level of optimism within Democratic ranks.

First, while Democrats are faltering on measures like the generic ballot, there remains real reservations toward Republicans present in these same poll. Half of the Post/ABC sample had a favorable opinion of Democrats while 46 percent had an unfavorable opinion while just 44 percent regarded Republicans favorably as compared to 52 percent who saw the party in an unfavorable light.

Second, House Republicans lag badly behind their Democratic campaign counterparts in the race for cash; the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee ended 2009 with $16.7 million in the bank while the National Republican Congressional Committee said earlier today that they closed January with $4.1 million on hand. That sort of cash disparity -- if it continues -- will complicate Republicans' ability to fully capitalize on what looks to be a very favorable national political climate.

David Plouffe, campaign manager for President Obama in 2008, best summed up the current state of play for his party in an interview with the Fix over the weekend.

"The wisest thing to do is prepare for a very tough election," Plouffe said. "But in this kind of turbulent electoral environment, I don't think any of us should presume an electoral outcome."

By Chris Cillizza  |  February 10, 2010; 3:17 PM ET
Categories:  House  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Jon Stewart spoofs Republican meeting in Hawaii (VIDEO)
Next: House Republicans make case for majority

Comments

As far as I'm concerned no politician is trust worthy. They're all in it for themselves and the money and perks they get from Wall Street, while trying to make themselves look good in the eyes of those who elected them.

They need to be able to work together not just for the benefit of their constituents but for the benefit and betterment of all Americans and for our nation's economic foundation and national security. They shouldn't be afraid to cross party lines and vote for what's morally the right thing to do, if they have any intelligence they should be able to intelligently explain their position to their constituents.

Posted by: Nevadaandy | February 11, 2010 1:10 PM | Report abuse

Nobody cares what some unemployed b[l]og troll with a 75 IQ regards as "far left"

Posted by: Noacoler | February 11, 2010 2:54 AM | Report abuse

All I can say is that Obama and the democrats set out to fool the American people, and somehow all they succeeded in doing is fooling themselves.

Somehow they tried to fool the American people by offering them all sorts of things in the campaign 2008.

But when they came to power, Obama and democrats swung far to the left - completely convincing themselves that they had a mandate for a far-left agenda. They did not.

So Obama spent the year, pretending he had the votes - but the moderates in his own party were not even on-board - but for some reason Obama and his pals convinced themselves that just because the democrats had the votes, that ALL the democrats agreed with their far-left agenda.


They did not.

Obama convinced himself, I guess - or did Obama know he was lying and deceiving all along - engaging in some elaborate bait and switch ???

The whole thing may be difficult to comprehend by an observer, who may be drawn to believe many of the things Obama said.

The easiest thing for everyone right now would be for Obama to admit that he had an Indonesian passport - and go back to Hyde Park.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 11, 2010 1:25 AM | Report abuse

Can all the companies in the country afford a 33% tax on the health insurance benefits they offer their employees ??


Can every company in the country afford to offer health insurance to all their employees ??


Will that cover everyone ???


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 11:56 PM | Report abuse

Hey Mitch McConnell, hey John Boehner ,let's do nothing , you can't critize white paint, and that is what we will be.

Hey John, hey Mitch we might win back the Congress. Oh no, what will we do, there is nothing we can do to change the economy, we will look stupid.

Het Mitch, hey John did you see the movie "The Mouse that Roared". ONG we are going to look incompetent. People will recognize that we are stupid.

Damm, Obama wins again.

Posted by: COWENS99 | February 10, 2010 11:01 PM | Report abuse

Doctors, nurses, health marketeers, charlatans, hangers on, managed care pimps, fellow travelers... we all feel bad for how you suckers are going to pay and pay and pay.

But we'll feel really bad if you vote Republican. Go ahead, vote Republican, it will be better than setting your house on fire. Actually, maybe not.

Posted by: shrink2 | February 10, 2010 10:27 PM | Report abuse

12BarBlues


So why doesn't Obama simply propose a law which states that insurance companies can not have a separate rate schedule for individuals - that individuals and small business owners have to get the same insurance rates as large corporations ???

Find some pieces of the health care plan that everyone can agree on - and get those passed???

Why doesn't Obama do that ???

Is it because if the democrats support improving the system we have now, they will lose the justification for a single-payer system ?


And lose the justification for a massive government program?


I wonder if Obama and the democrats have been resisting that route because it will expose their true plans.


We will see.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 9:33 PM | Report abuse

ddawd wrote: Is it in the Fed gov's place to ask a private company to justify how it prices its product? (minus an anti-trust investigation)
---------------------------------
Agree with you here. But what this does point out how out of control costs are. ABC's 39% increase will ripple throughout the nation, and we'll see other enormous increases.

Posted by: 12BarBlues | February 10, 2010 9:22 PM | Report abuse

"I suspect there will be no more substantive posts tonight. I am watching a PBS special on the ancestry of several persons in conversation with Henry Louis Gates.
I recommend it. G'night y'all.

Posted by: mark_in_austin"

Duke-Carolina tonight. Then back to working on the dissertation. I'm not sure what to make of the ABC price hike. Not sure what to make of the high level government response. Is it in the Fed gov's place to ask a private company to justify how it prices its product? (minus an anti-trust investigation)

In any case, highlighting these kinds of price hikes can only strengthen Obama's hand. Let the teabaggers complain. They will only further marginalize themselves.

Posted by: DDAWD | February 10, 2010 9:14 PM | Report abuse

What is amazing is that it is OK for the warmists to point to the snow storms and claim that the snow is an indication of global warming.


However, if someone says that the snow PROVES that global warming isn't true, they say you can not point to one set of weather events and draw conclusions about the climate.

Is this a bunch of liars or what?

Unbelievable - simply unbelievable.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 9:09 PM | Report abuse

mark_in_austin


Why do you think that liberals are so condescending ?

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 8:51 PM | Report abuse

Ddawd, mm. and 12Bar, thanks for the comments. I am frightened of the Anthem 39% increase - it may be the next shot across the bow.

I suspect there will be no more substantive posts tonight. I am watching a PBS special on the ancestry of several persons in conversation with Henry Louis Gates.
I recommend it. G'night y'all.

Posted by: mark_in_austin | February 10, 2010 8:41 PM | Report abuse

Religion has a place in the public square.

==

religion is for illiterate wretches who can't handle reality.

Posted by: Noacoler | February 10, 2010 8:28 PM | Report abuse

Very simply, Obama has been extremely deceptive with the American people.


You can play all the games you want with the words - go right ahead but it will only make people more angry with Obama.


Obama campaigned pledging to be bipartisan - to bring the factions in Washington together - and that meant compromise and resulting CENTRIST POLICIES.


Obama got elected and started to do something extremely different from that commitment - there is a loss of trust - and Obama will never get that back -


Obama and the democrats have betrayed the American people - actually kicked them when they were down with the economic conditions.


Obama repeatedly said "I don't care about the economy - I didn't come to Washington just to take care of the economy " Obama went to Washington to put in his far-left agenda but did not tell anyone during the campaign.


It was all a FRAUD, a deception.


If you don't get it by now, I guess you never will.


The people of Massachusetts get it.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 8:24 PM | Report abuse

As noted by others, Anthem Blue Cross increases its rates to the individual policy market by up to 39%. The Republican candidate for governor has requested (yes, requested) them to delay until May 1. Anthem hasn't responded to Poizner yet, possibly because the increased rates to into effect Mar 1 (yes, that's in 2 weeks). California has no legal power to regulate health insurance rates.
----------------------------
If we don't do something to control health costs, we will be eaten alive.

Only Americans can save America. If we just give up, because it's too hard, we will become a third world nation and our story will be told.

Posted by: 12BarBlues | February 10, 2010 8:22 PM | Report abuse

Noacoler

Religion has a place in the public square.

It is you, who comes out of your padded room for only a few hours a day, who should not be in the public square.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 8:09 PM | Report abuse

The bizarre thing about John Brennen's remarks - telling people to avoid politically motivated discussions on national security policy.

But isn't it John Brenne, with his position in National Security, who should stay out of politics???

We have the curious situation, in which someone who should not be wading into the partisan debate, actually going into the partisan debate -

AND then telling people who it is perfectly fine for them to be involved in the partisan debate to STAY OUT of the partisan debate.

WACK - JOB.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 8:04 PM | Report abuse

Noacoler

another laugh from the peanut gallery - did the nurses come in and give you your dinner yet? you seem cranky.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 8:00 PM | Report abuse

Little Johnny: Mommy where do Republicans come from?

Mother: Well son when mommy and daddy are brother and sister and they do the nasty nine months later a Republican is born.

Posted by: rl5614 | February 10, 2010 7:59 PM | Report abuse

bsimon1 and Mark, it is also true that when a small-business owner does get health insurance coverage, and pays 12 to 20K for it, not only does he not have that money to invest in his company, he does not have that money to save for his own retirememnt, or to put his children through college.

Posted by: margaretmeyers | February 10, 2010 7:32 PM | Report abuse

Hey 37th keep your preliterate superstitions to yourself.

There's no tooth fairy either.

Sorry.

Posted by: Noacoler | February 10, 2010 7:27 PM | Report abuse

Mark, did you see this?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/08/AR2010020802911.html

Calif. insurer's rate increases draw attention of federal government

It's about SecHHS Sebelius demanding Anthem Health to explain their rate hikes. The explanation they gave was that the recession led to a lot of people dropping coverage and as a result, they needed to raise rates in order to cover the disproportionately sick who remained on the plan.

In New Orleans, the small businesses are heavily service oriented. I haven't seen a survey, but just from talking to the few people I know who are business owners, the biggest problem is simply the consumer base is drying up. No one to buy what they are selling. Not being able to get credit isn't a good thing, but even if they could get credit, that wouldn't lead to people being able to buy anything.

Posted by: DDAWD | February 10, 2010 7:14 PM | Report abuse

God gave his answer to the Copenhagen Global Warming conference.


Anyone else?


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 7:11 PM | Report abuse

broadwayjoe


Why don't you call Rasmussen and ask him what it means ???


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 7:10 PM | Report abuse

What conclusion -- if any -- then can be drawn from the recent generic ballot trend in Republicans' favor?

Short answer: this is bogus.
Long answer: this is totally bogus

Posted by: broadwayjoe | February 10, 2010 7:06 PM | Report abuse

bsimon1's initial post was the most telling piece of new information. I did not see anyone address it, so I thought it fair to recognize it; better late than never.

If anyone else spoke to it and I missed his/her comment, I apologize.

I have thought from my own law practice that no credit for small biz was the "biggie'. I am surprised by a survey that puts health care costs first. Could it be that b/c there are more unionized small businesses in WI and MN than in TX that health costs score higher as a growth killer?

Posted by: mark_in_austin | February 10, 2010 6:59 PM | Report abuse

Jesus ANOTHER zouk moniker? What is this now, forty if them?

Yeah really enviable life you have their, zouk

Posted by: Noacoler | February 10, 2010 6:58 PM | Report abuse

Are you better off than you were 4 years ago ??

Dump Obama.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 6:57 PM | Report abuse

"The last eight years" includes more than a year of Barry the incompetent boob Obama.

It is on Barry's watch that there have been three (3) terrorist attacks by Muslims in the United States.

It is on Barry's watch that unemployment has gone from 7.6% to more than 10%.

This headless chicken in the White House has been a dismal failure since Day One.

Miserable failure Obama.

Posted by: screwjob2 | February 10, 2010 6:51 PM | Report abuse

The trust issue is going to be huge with Obama - people believed his assurances during the campaign - and now Obama has violated that trust, and Obama is not going to get it back.

Obama has really backed himself into a bad corner.

Obama will make history as the dumbest President since Buchanan.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 6:50 PM | Report abuse

Very simply, Obama has been extremely deceptive with the American people.


You can play all the games you want with the words - go right ahead but it will only make people more angry with Obama.


Obama campaigned pledging to be bipartisan - to bring the factions in Washington together - and that meant compromise and resulting CENTRIST POLICIES.


Obama got elected and started to do something extremely different from that commitment - there is a loss of trust - and Obama will never get that back -


Obama and the democrats have betrayed the American people - actually kicked them when they were down with the economic conditions.


Obama repeatedly said "I don't care about the economy - I didn't come to Washington just to take care of the economy " Obama went to Washington to put in his far-left agenda but did not tell anyone during the campaign.


It was all a FRAUD, a deception.


If you don't get it by now, I guess you never will.


The people of Massachusetts get it.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 6:45 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: DDAWD | February 10, 2010 6:33 PM | Report abuse

The basic difference between the progressives, Barack Obama, and the Democrap Socialist Parties agenda, and the conservative, Republican, and Tea Party one, is:

The progressives, Barack Obama, and the Democrap Socialists, all believe that they are the American peoples elites and betters, and should be their rulers, telling everybody else what to do, and how to do it--i e Socialism/Communism a la Saul Alinski's book "Rules for Radicals", and Karl Marx's "Communist Manifesto" and "Das Kapital".

The conservatives, Republicans, and Tea Party Americans believe that the American people should rule themselves with elected representatives, who do what they're told by the American people, the way our founding fathers set up our Representative Republican form of governing---a la our Constitution and Bill of Rights.

The way they try to do it is:

The progressives, Barack Obama, and the Democrap Socialists will do anything to their political ends--lie, steal, cheat, the use of violence, name-calling or character assassination, it doesn't matter to them as long as it achieves their political goals.

Conservatives, Republicans, and Tea Party Americans will use peaceful means, demonstating and abiding by the laws.

Posted by: armpeg | February 10, 2010 6:30 PM | Report abuse

NEWS ITEM: SENATE INTEL PANEL GOP HONCHO TARGETS OBAMA COUNTER-TERRORISM ADVISER JOHN BRENNAN

Could Brennan's internal opposition to ongoing Bush-era atrocities explain hard-right attacks on a former Bush CIA official who apparently respects human rights and rejects the dictates of an extremist cabal?

FED CELL TOWER MICROWAVE WEAPON SYSTEM SILENTLY ASSAULTS, TORTURES, IMPAIRS EXTRAJUDICIALLY 'TARGETED' AMERICANS, SAYS VETERAN JOURNALIST

• Regional Homeland Security- administered fusion centers use a nationwide microwave/laser electromagnetic microwave/laser "directed energy" weapon system to silently assault, impair, subjugate, torture unconstitutionally "targeted" Americans and their families -- an American genocide hiding in plain sight.

• Victims' own cell phones may be used to target them for silent impairment.

• How a young FBI agent's "I believe you" gave victim the faith to go public.

JOURNALIST EXPOSING ONGOING U.S. CELL TOWER MICROWAVE TORTURE DESCRIBES LATEST ATTACKS

http://nowpublic.com/world/u-s-silently-tortures-americans-cell-tower-microwaves (see article, comments)
http://nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america
OR NowPublic.com/scrivener ("stories" list) OR poynter.org/subject.asp?id=2

Posted by: scrivener50 | February 10, 2010 6:28 PM | Report abuse

jjhare, you got it.

I am an old lefty and you are right on the money.

Posted by: shrink2 | February 10, 2010 6:21 PM | Report abuse

Week in, week out, same distorted hyperventilating GOP puff.

Dems in trouble, GOP comeback, Palin a serious candidate, on the one hand, on the other hand, he said she said, TPaw, Romney, yakyakyak.

Ho work for Fox News why don't you. Bloody RNC steno.

Posted by: Noacoler | February 10, 2010 6:02 PM | Report abuse

Reagardless of the republican opposition ('just say to NO'), the public feels that democratic infighting was primarily responsible for zero accomplishments even when the democrats had massive majorities in congress and their guy was in the white house. The survey merely reflcts this obvious fact.Public was told that democrats needed majorities along with the white house to change the culture in DC and take the country in a new direction. It appears that democrats could not get anything going while G. Bush was able to get unpopular wars going even when both houses of congress were held by the democrats. The message: Republicans would get things done. Public needs democrats to keep the republicans in check.

Posted by: philly3 | February 10, 2010 5:56 PM | Report abuse

This is clearly a result of the Democrats and Obama's plans to convert our once great country into a socialist state. The people want their freedom. Less taxation, less government interference and a health care system that is fixed with a few minor adjustments and not a complete over hall.
Is that clear enough for you?
Those arrogant SOB's, Obama and the Democrat controlled congress and could not get anything we wanted done. They couldn't even get what they wanted done with a filibuster proof majority. They will get what they deserve in November.

Posted by: nychap44 | February 10, 2010 5:54 PM | Report abuse

If Obama can not get his own democratic moderates behind his health care plan, why would the Repubicans want to be on board?


Obama has real confusion here.

Obama is basically spinning in the wind - and he doesn't yet realize he is actually twisting.

Obama's agenda is long gone, the American people won't let the democratic moderates OR the Republicans vote for it.

That is the central reality - and Obama doesn't want to start over with the health care bill - the American people respond by saying they want to start over by electing a new President.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 5:54 PM | Report abuse

WHAT IS WRONG WITH THIS PICTURE ???


Note on the front page of the Post website:

NOTE TO NEWSPAPER SUBSCRIBERS
Report delays to homedelivery@washpost.com


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 5:49 PM | Report abuse

Don't put it past americans to be stupid enough to give the country back to the same people that drove it off a cliff, especially if democrats continue to attempt to perfect being the wimpiest, most inneffective, most ruderless super majority in 30+ years, which they are doing exceptionally well right now.

Posted by: jfern03 | February 10, 2010 5:46 PM | Report abuse

"armpeg, you are out of control!

Run for office, do something important.
Stop it with the somehow I ended up in a Vietnam rice paddy, therefore I am mentality"

Haha, is he pretending to have served in the military again?

I swear, for as uninteresting losers the Republicans on this board are, they sure lead fantastic lives. If only I loved Reagan. Perhaps I wouldn't be spending 13 hours a day working in a lab.

Posted by: DDAWD | February 10, 2010 5:45 PM | Report abuse

Yeah, we have a great democracy. You can either vote republican, a party of thugs, criminals and scam artists whose agenda is to empower corporations. Or you can democrat that also feeds from the same trough, a party only marginally different from republicans. This is a sham system.

Posted by: kevin1231 | February 10, 2010 5:42 PM | Report abuse

"The problem is folks like Cillizza do not care about the American people. They care about protecting their positions at failing companies, which means protecting their bosses. Their bosses are happy to inflame this kind of protest because it protects the status quo. While the status quo is unacceptable for most Americans, it's fine for the top 10% or so. Since those folks own all the major media, there's really no incentive to cover things honestly.

So all we get is hacks like Cillizza and constant Republican propaganda.

This state of affairs cannot last forever. The second-class-citizen status for folks under 55 will eventually become an organizing force and all the power the gray hairs have enjoyed will evaporate very quickly. If I were over 55 I would hope the intergenerational revenge would be as light as possible, but it appears the over-55 set is willing to take their chances.

Posted by: jjhare | February 10, 2010 5:22 PM"
_____________________

A repost of jjhare's reality based post was recommended. A welcome trip outside the Drudge/Fix matrix.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | February 10, 2010 5:28 PM | Report abuse

Gut feel, reality generic poll (2/10/10):

Dems 56%
Dale Robertson's TeaParty/GOP 28%
The Brotherhood/Klan 7%
Communists 7%
Losers and sociopaths 2%

Posted by: broadwayjoe | February 10, 2010 5:22 PM | Report abuse

The Washington Post and other media outlets help the Republicans a great deal by failing to fact check anything. Since most articles are now basically a "he-said she-said" affair with no effort to determine the truth, nonsensical lies dominate our political debates. Most people do not have the time or inclination to seriously study politics; however, our political media basically puts the onus of determining truth on the reader.

And just for the record -- the baby boomers bankrupted this country. Barack Obama came along far too late in the game to be responsible for the mess we're in. The problem is the "me" generation that has successfully pushed through multiple tax cuts while demanding ever-increasing entitlements for themselves. As a 30 year old man, I know that Medicare and Social Security will very likely not be anything like the programs they are today by the time I retire. Instead I'm forced to pay huge amounts to support the benefits other people enjoy.

What is particularly obnoxious is listening to old folks talk about leaving debt for their grandchildren. Y'all already did that. The policies enacted since the 1980s have ensured the decline of our nation and its eventual demise.

And now I have to listen to the gray-hairs whine about Obama constantly. When folks protested against war and torture we're ignored; however, if you protest against non-existent tax increases or policies that were never proposed, you get wall to wall coverage.

The problem is folks like Cillizza do not care about the American people. They care about protecting their positions at failing companies, which means protecting their bosses. Their bosses are happy to inflame this kind of protest because it protects the status quo. While the status quo is unacceptable for most Americans, it's fine for the top 10% or so. Since those folks own all the major media, there's really no incentive to cover things honestly.

So all we get is hacks like Cillizza and constant Republican propaganda.

This state of affairs cannot last forever. The second-class-citizen status for folks under 55 will eventually become an organizing force and all the power the gray hairs have enjoyed will evaporate very quickly. If I were over 55 I would hope the intergenerational revenge would be as light as possible, but it appears the over-55 set is willing to take their chances.

Posted by: jjhare | February 10, 2010 5:22 PM | Report abuse

armpeg, you are out of control!

Run for office, do something important.
Stop it with the somehow I ended up in a Vietnam rice paddy, therefore I am mentality. Get after the Jews, the Browns, the Blacks, the

Commiedemocrapicostatistfacistobamalibs.

(hope I didn't leave anyone out)

armpeg, you need to throw your name in the hat. Run armpeg run, the Republican Party needs more candidates just like you.

Posted by: shrink2 | February 10, 2010 5:06 PM | Report abuse

This is bogus.

Few people vote party; they vote candidate. But if this "poll" helps this space's relentless GOP comeback/Dems in Trouble narrative from the RNC this week, power to you. I don't have much confidence in these polls that call 500 landphones in the middle of the workday and sometimes include dubious questions like "When you do think BHO became a commie?"

BTW, BHO at 56% approval (Research 2000).

Posted by: broadwayjoe | February 10, 2010 5:06 PM | Report abuse

The Rasmussen Generic ballot poll has the Republicans at 44%, Democrap Socialist's at 36%. Since the Rassmusen polls have been proven the most accurate of all polls in the elections of the past 10 years or so, it's probably more accurate than the poll done by Pollster/Wash.Post/ABC News.
It shouldn't be a surprise though, consitering that we now have a incompetent president Barack Obama, who has never so much as run a Hot Dog stand, and a Democrap Socialist Party trying to shove their Communist agenda down the throats of the American people, who by every poll that's been taken, don't want Communism to take over the reigns of our government. The American people also have finally seen through Obama's con, and they don't like being fooled. This Communist, racist white--hater, and America--hater hasn't changed his spots. He's been that for all of his adult life, and he's not about to change now. He'll stay the course of Saul Alinski's book "Rules for Radicals", no matter what, even if that screws up our economy; our freedoms, or our Constitution.
Slowly, but surely the American people are seeing this shyster for what he is, and has always been, and the polls reflect that.
The midterm's will be fun.

Posted by: armpeg | February 10, 2010 4:48 PM | Report abuse

The amazing thing is how the GOP has persuaded people that they were not behind the wheel when all this went off the road. A lazy press, endlessly dumping nit-wit polls as opposed to developing stories, contributes to the smoke and mirrors of responsibility.
Posted by: margaretmeyers
---------------------------------------
No, the amazing thing is how the DSP has quadrupled everything that they said put the country off the road. And they thought that the people, being nit-wits to them, would lap it up.

Posted by: leapin | February 10, 2010 4:46 PM | Report abuse

I will tell you why Obama's position right now is so stupid.


Obama couldn't get his own moderate democrats to support his far-left health care bill


The result is he has many in his own party OUT ON A LIMB - READY TO BE THROWN OUT OF OFFICE BY THE VOTERS.


IN this atmosphere, of Obama's own making, NOW Obama thinks he is going to get Republicans to back him and hand Obama a victory ???


The moderate democrats do not want to back up Obama anymore, so why would the Republicans do that ????

OBAMA HAS BECOME RADIOACTIVE.


NO ONE WANTS OBAMA'S HEALTH CARE PLAN - ANY SUPPORT FOR OBAMA IS RADIOACTIVE.


If Obama now still tries to jam something through, it will be the biggest political disaster in history.

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Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 4:37 PM | Report abuse

Over the past few weeks, we have been subjected to some extremely un-Presidential behavior from Obama.


Robert Gibbs too jumped into the silliness.

We have a bunch of people who have little experience - who have no idea what they are doing - and now they have no direction.

Obama is looking like Jimmy Carter more and more.

If inflation starts again, Obama will certainly be a one-term President.


OH forget it, Obama should resign.

If this was a parliamentary system, Obama would be back in Hyde Park already.


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Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 4:32 PM | Report abuse

John Brennen should resign.

Obama should never have sent John Brennen out there to do a partisan battle. At the very least, the administration should apologize and say it was wrong to send him out there in such a role.

Robert Gibbs has been acting in a very undignified way too.

You get the feeling the wheels are beginning to come off of this administration - they do not have an agenda anymore.


The speeches have been haphazard - Obama is confused.

Obama is very confused.


Well - After listening to Obama during the campaign and the commitment to be bipartisan - it is difficult to believe that Obama has been so befuddled by his inability to put through a far-left agenda.

I guess it was a hidden agenda all along - and they are really angry that it did not work.

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Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 4:27 PM | Report abuse

this is no surprise. Libs have had a year of outright rule and two years before that of congress. Of course the effects of that downturn are now being felt and no longer confused.

Everyone with a brain clearly understands that if you want spending, taxes and weakness, vote D.

most people don't.

Posted by: drivl | February 10, 2010 4:04 PM | Report abuse

OK

Posted by: 37thand0street | February 10, 2010 4:00 PM | Report abuse

The Republicans have got the easier job right now. With the economy, the wars, unemployment and health care reform all in the ditch it is very easy to stand on the side of the road and complain loudly and colorfully.

The amazing thing is how the GOP has persuaded people that they were not behind the wheel when all this went off the road. A lazy press, endlessly dumping nit-wit polls as opposed to developing stories, contributes to the smoke and mirrors of responsibility.

Posted by: margaretmeyers | February 10, 2010 3:56 PM | Report abuse

When a person is talking about himself and his ideas and refers to himself in the third person, we wonder, why?

Chris, when you say we instead of I, are you including an editor, or is it some kind of joke?

Meanwhile, its the economy. Generic ballots right now are less interesting than your dirt detail; dig up the dish Chris, it is who (all of) you are.

Posted by: shrink2 | February 10, 2010 3:39 PM | Report abuse

Clearly the Dems are losing the soundbite wars. Repubs are capitalizing on typical Dem disorganization & failure to deliver a consise message.

What the Dems should be campaigning on:

"California's biggest for-profit health insurance company has announced a big rate increase. ... Anthem Blue Cross has started telling individual policy holders -- that is, folks who buy directly from them, not through their employer -- that their premiums will jump by as much as 39 percent beginning March first." (NPR.org)

don't have an employer that buys your health insurance? No problem! Buy your own. 40% rate increases? Get a job & make your employer buy the insurance. Pretend that cost is not reflected in a lower salary. That is, if you can find a job...

"Survey: Health care costs block expansion

Managers at 178 companies in Minnesota and western Wisconsin said that affordable health care poses the biggest current obstacle to expanding their businesses, according to a survey conducted for Bloomington-based HealthPartners.

Twenty-one percent of employers said rising health care costs create an obstacle to investment and expansion, almost doubling the numbers who blamed government regulations (12 percent), economic conditions (11 percent) or access to investment funding (9 percent)."

http://www.finance-commerce.com/article.cfm/2010/02/10/Survey-Health-care-costs-block-expansion


Or, go with the Republican plan. Cut taxes & everything else will work itself out.


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Posted by: bsimon1 | February 10, 2010 3:27 PM | Report abuse

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