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Minnesota: Two House Races Getting Hotter

After serving as one of the hotbeds of House races over the past decade, Minnesota seemed headed for a ho-hum election in 2006. But events over the past ten days have put two seats on the map -- the open 6th District and Rep. Jim Oberstar's 8th District.

First, the 6th. Republicans selected state Sen. Michelle Bachmann as their nominee over the weekend, choosing the conservative legislator from a field of four potential candidates.

National Democrats quickly sought to portray Bachmann as too extreme for the district. "Most Minnesotans wish Michelle Bachmann was hiding in the bushes when she was instead voting against lower gas prices and a higher minimum wage," said Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Communications Director Bill Burton. "Michelle Bachmann's singular focus on her own extremist agenda renders her unqualified to serve Minnesotans in Congress."

Bachmann has played a leading role in a number of hot-button social issues over the past few years and is one of the leading voices in favor of a state constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage. During her speech at the state GOP convention, Bachmann called herself a "woman on a mission" and compared the Democrats' economic policy to "totalitarianism."

Democrats will pick their nominee at an endorsement convention this weekend. Former Blaine Mayor Elwyn Tinklenberg has been in the race for the better part of the last year, while 2004 6th District nominee Patty Wetterling dropped out of the Senate race and jumped into the House contest in late January. Wetterling is clearly the more liberal of the two candidates, an ideological positioning that should maker the favorite among the left-leaning attendees of the convention. Tinklenberg is anti-abortion and has painted himself as the more electable Democrat in a district that gave President Bush a 15-point victory in 2004.

Carl Forti, the communications director at the National Republican Congressional Committee, said 6th district voters "recognized [Wetterling's] true liberal nature when she lost the race in '04, and nothing has changed." Last cycle, Wetterling, a nationally known child safety advocate, lost by a 54 percent to 46 percent margin to Rep. Mark Kennedy (R). Kennedy is seeking the open seat being vacated by Sen. Mark Dayton (D) this fall.

To the north of the Minneapolis-St. Paul-based 6th, lies the vast 8th District -- held by Democrat Jim Oberstar since 1974. Republicans have rarely challenged the long-serving Democrat; his lowest winning percent in his 16 terms came in 1992 when he won with 59 percent.

But Republicans have reason for hope this cycle as former Sen. Rod Grams (R) has decided to enter the race and won the formal endorsement of the party over the weekend. Grams, who held the 6th District for one term before being elected to the Senate in 1994, now lives on a farm within the confines of the 8th.

Since his loss to Dayton in 2000, Grams has been itching for a return to Congress. He ran an abbreviated primary campaign for the Senate against Kennedy in 2005 before bowing out in the face of widespread party support for the congressman. While Grams ensures a stiffer challenge than usual for Oberstar, he is a an underdog in the fall. Oberstar ended March with $350,000 in the bank; Grams had a negative $2,500 cash balance in his Senate account.

By Chris Cillizza  |  May 8, 2006; 1:16 PM ET
Categories:  House  
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Next: Ohio 18: More Trouble for Bob Ney

Comments

How will John Binkowski change this race?

http://www.jpbinkowski.com/

Posted by: Dave | May 20, 2006 12:34 AM | Report abuse

Gramms isn't running in this race to win. Even he knows he doesn't stand a chance. But the State GOP knows that with a viable candidate running in every district that it will help the ticket all the way up the line. This is about getting butts to the polls and trying to assist Kennedy and Pawlenty in their respective races. The MN GOP knows they are running way behind and will use any tool or tactic they can to get votes. And that is all Gramms is these days . . . a tool!

Flash
Centrisity.com

Posted by: Flash | May 10, 2006 1:57 PM | Report abuse

I can see why they have embarked on a campaign pointing out Bachmann's doctrinaire conservative bent, but I wish the Dems would stop automatically using the tired old phrase "extremist agenda" as if they can't think of other words--it makes them sound like Republicans (who still say "tax and spend liberals" as if they are parrots who don't know anything else).

Posted by: Staley | May 9, 2006 2:55 PM | Report abuse

I think it is important to point out that MN-1 is also hot. Tim Walz outfundraised Gil Gutknecht last quarter. Walz is a real moderate with strong grassroots support. Plus, he's one of the post 9/11 vets running for Congress.

Posted by: Anne | May 9, 2006 11:38 AM | Report abuse

Rod Grams? Might as well run Ted Kennedy in Mississippi, or Rick Santorum in Massachusetts. He'll make Oberstar work, but he'll win easily.

Posted by: Q | May 8, 2006 10:20 PM | Report abuse

Karen -

Rep. Mollohan was featured in a piece last week. If you're not gonna check your facts first, just shut up.

Posted by: Ohio guy | May 8, 2006 5:09 PM | Report abuse

Rod Grams? Uff-Da!!!

Chris, derelict to talk about Rod Grams and not mention his infamous (in Minnesota, at least) campaign commerical with his mother. If it wasn't the last gasp of someone throwing in the towel, I don't know what was. And along with the towel went any chance of him winning an elected office.

Try to find a video clip. And then tell me you'd ever vote for him.

Posted by: Matthew | May 8, 2006 3:54 PM | Report abuse

Gee, can't find the Mollohan news on Chris's babbling. So, Congressman Jefferson and Congressman Mollohan will not be covered, only republicans with ethics problem. Maybe that is why 10 people comment.

Posted by: Karen | May 8, 2006 3:53 PM | Report abuse

Um...Oberstar's seat heating up?

Is this that famous WashPo balance rearing its head again? Who is your editor Chris? Why do you HAVE to "balance" a possible Democratic pick-up with a no chance in hell republican pick-up? It diminishes your credibility and makes you look weak. It's silly. We haven't forgotten about the Frank Ballance post. So instead of going after "balance" and a false sense of balance at that, how about you just call it as you see and report the truth.

Posted by: Adam | May 8, 2006 2:56 PM | Report abuse

It sounds to me like the Dems should be pretty happy about having Bachmann in the race. From my experience the real extreme wacko's don't have much of a chance especially in purple states like MInnesota. Also Oberstar will win in a walk, period.

Posted by: Andy R | May 8, 2006 2:42 PM | Report abuse


THE '06 FIX IS ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

WWW.ONLINEJOURNAL.COM

Blackwell grabs governor nod while (surprise! surprise!) voting machines malfunction

By Bob Fitrakis and Harvey Wasserman
Online Journal Guest Writers

May 8, 2006, 00:20

Ohio's Republican Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell has grabbed the GOP nomination for governor in a vote count riddled with machine breakdowns.

In Franklin and Delaware Counties, election officials had to "shut down and recalibrate [machines] throughout the day," according to the Columbus Dispatch. Election officials use recalibration as a code word when machines are malfunctioning, including the recording of votes for wrong candidates.

Blackwell became infamous in 2004 for his role in swinging the Buckeye State, and the presidency, to George W. Bush, with whom he met with on Election Day in Columbus. Karl Rove also accompanied Bush on his visit to Columbus. Exit polls showed a clear victory for John Kerry until a massive mysterious late vote surge reversed the popular vote for Bush. The state was later the target of the first congressional challenge to an electoral delegation in US history.

Blackwell is the first African-American nominated by a major party for the Ohio governorship. The nod is widely considered a payback for his role in stealing the 2004 election, just as Florida Secretary of State Katherine Harris was handed a safe congressional seat after handing the state to Bush in 2000. Harris, currently a US representative is now a candidate for the US Senate. Both Harris and Blackwell simultaneously oversaw their state's vote count while serving as co-chairs of the Bush-Cheney campaign.

Blackwell has courted the extreme right-wing fundamentalist church network in Ohio. He now advocates an absolute ban on abortion, even in the case of rape or endangerment of the mother. His Democratic opponent, Congressman Ted Strickland, is the first ever Methodist minister nominated for Ohio governor. Blackwell's campaign has deliberately flown under the radar. He has refused to disclose his public schedule as he nurtures a network of far right-wing theocrats with unannounced church and Christian school appearances.

Blackwell's pious stand against abortion was recently tainted by revelations that he has owned stock in Barr Pharmaceutical's morning-after pill. Blackwell also owned stock in Diebold while he was attempting to give the company a multimillion dollar no-bid contract.

But while Blackwell was handily defeating Attorney General Jim Petro for the nomination, Diebold and ES&S voting machines, both companies with partisan ties to the Republican Party, were at center stage. Electronic and mechanical breakdowns delayed poll openings throughout Franklin (Columbus) and Cuyahoga (Cleveland) counties. In some cases faulty plugs were blamed. In others the machines just did not seem to work.

As a result, Congresswoman Stephanie Tubbs Jones (D-Cleveland) went to court to demand that affected polling stations in Cuyahoga County stay open until 9:30pm, a demand that was granted. (Rep. Jones was the initial co-signer of the historic challenge to the 2004 Ohio Electoral College delegation.)

The Cleveland Plain Dealer reported last Thursday that, "Cuyahoga County election workers continued to count votes Wednesday, with about 85 percent of the votes cast on the touch-screen machines counted by 11:15 a.m. But 70 memory cards -- with results from 200 precincts -- were missing. Cuyahoga County board of elections officials are checking the voting machines to see if the cards were inadvertantly left inside."

This is the second straight election where large amounts of memory cards that record the vote electronically have been lost or misplaced. In the November 2005 Ohio election, nearly 200 memory cards were lost in Montgomery County and in Lucas County contracted election workers, including a Republican mayoral candidate, could not be located for hours when transporting the memory cards.

In Franklin County, the Board of Elections acknowledges that 20 percent of the polling stations opened late. Republican BOE Director Matt Damschroder says at least 50 people left without voting, reminiscent of the tens of thousands that went home in 2004 as a result of inner city precincts being short-changed on voting machines.

Also in Franklin County, some voting machines were loaded without the option to vote on various school levies, a mistake reminiscent of ballots sent out in 2004 without John Kerry's name on them in Hamilton County.

Numerous poorly trained poll workers made mistakes that denied early-bird voters their ballots. Jammed printers, bad calibrations and other electronic and mechanical problems led to voting failures in other counties around the state, including Delaware and Union. Ironically, in Cuyahoga County the breakdowns forced the election board to issue paper ballots, which election protection advocates have been demanding all along. Blackwell's opponent Petro is from Cuyahoga County, perhaps the area with the greatest volume of Diebold voting machine malfunctions.

The most widespread complaint was a lack of privacy. New ES&S voting machines in Franklin County have come without curtains for secrecy. Thousands of machines stand open, with voter preferences clearly visible to poll workers. The lack of privacy and other problems led one Cuyahoga County voter to smash two machines, in a protest that may become a trend if such violations of basic voter rights continue.

Mentioned nowhere in the major media is the fact that since 2000, election boards under the tenure of Blackwell as secretary of state, have stripped nearly 500,000 citizens from the voter registration rolls, most of them from urban Democratic strongholds. Prior to November 2004, 170,000 were removed in the Cleveland area, 105,000 in Cincinnati and 28,000 in Toledo. After 2004 another 170,000 were purged in Columbus. In Cleveland, 24.93 percent of all voters were purged between the 2000 and 2004 election. There may well be more removals in other counties. But overall the numbers approximate 10 percent of the entire voting population of Ohio, nearly all of them Democrats. The total is more than three times the alleged 119,000 margin by which Bush took the state in 2004.

This was Ohio's first statewide election conducted entirely on electronic machines. Though the "glitches"-- the new media euphemism for massive breakdowns -- were numerous, the outcome was not unexpected. Blackwell led Petro in the polls throughout the campaign, and the results were consistent with most predictions.

Such was not the case in November 2005, when virtually impossible outcomes from vote counts coming from electronic machines resulted in the defeat of two state-wide election reform issues. No plausible explanation has ever been given for that shocking outcome, nor has anyone been able to explain why the historically accurate polls by the Columbus Dispatch and the University of Akron were monumentally flawed regarding the election reform issues only.

The widespread anger and distrust generated by yet another error-filled election in 2006 received the standard dismissal from Daniel P. Tokaji, who has become the voting machine industry "go-to guy." After the 2004 debacle Tokaji, an Ohio State University law professor, repeatedly defended Diebold and its cohorts against any hint of wrongdoing. He also dismissed and discredited the exit polls in the 2004 election in a story the AP sent worldwide, although he admits he has absolutely no training in polling and bills himself as a "election systems expert." A former staff attorney with the ACLU Foundation of Southern California, Tokaji said, "The kinds of problems we've been hearing about are the kind of problems you expect to happen when there's new voting equipment in place."

They are also what you would expect in a state where it's widely believed the secretary of state will never lose an election in which he is responsible for the vote count. Should that prove to be the case again in November, the Republicans will put in charge of America's most pivotal state a right-wing extremist guaranteed to deliver Ohio's electoral votes to the GOP, no matter what those who cast the ballots really want.
Bob Fitrakis and Harvey Wasserman are co-authors of "How the GOP Stole America's 2004 Election and Is Rigging 2008". They are co-editors, with Steve Rosenfeld, of "What Happened in Ohio?" soon to be published by The New Press.

Posted by: che | May 8, 2006 2:16 PM | Report abuse

It also important to realize the context surrounding the "hiding in the bushes" comment. Bachmann was spotted literally hiding in the bushes spying on a gay marriage rally at the State Capitol last year.

Posted by: Sean | May 8, 2006 2:14 PM | Report abuse

Not quite sure how it is "heating up" when the challenger to an incumbent who is very popular in a district that favors Democrats has a negative campaign account balance and recently lost a bid for statewide reelection (and whose big victory was in 1994 -- the year that Republicans could have nominated a French pornographer and still won with a few points to spare).

I guess any race heats up when you recognize the name of the hopeless challenger ... but that's like discussing a heatwave when it is one degree outside and it was below zero the previous day.

Posted by: MB | May 8, 2006 1:56 PM | Report abuse

I'm not going to say "typical WaPo" but with regard to the Oberstar district:

1) By how many points did Oberstar run ahead of Kerry in 2004?
2) By how many points did Kerry win the district?
3) Who are Grams's likely contributors?

Heated up? Um . . .

Posted by: Dave in Northridge | May 8, 2006 1:45 PM | Report abuse

http://dflers.org/story/2006/5/8/94927/60182

Some interesting thoughts from the DFL on Grams' chances.

Posted by: MN Dem | May 8, 2006 1:41 PM | Report abuse

I think with the Republican selection of Bachmann, the Democrats will have a great opportunity to get this seat now either with Patty Wetterling (my personal preference) or Elwyn Tinklenberg.

However, Rep. Oberstar's seat is safe, with or without Rod Grams vying for it--especially in a year with a Democratic party tilt.

Posted by: Jason | May 8, 2006 1:28 PM | Report abuse

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