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The Battle is Joined in the Buckeye State

With fewer and fewer contested elections each cycle, today's primary in Ohio is an embarrassment of riches for political junkies.


(washingtonpost.com)

Not only will the state's voters pick the Republican nominee for governor, they'll also choose candidates in five contested House races. Below The Fix provides a cheat sheet on the races; use it to impress your friends and vanquish your enemies or, at the very least, to help you follow the results tomorrow night.

Check this blog again this evening and tomorrow morning for updates on winners and losers; raw vote totals are available at the Ohio Secretary of State's Web site.

Let's start with the two most controversial races on today's ballot -- the open-seat contest in Ohio's 6th District and embattled GOP Rep. Bob Ney's primary challenge in the 18th District.

GOP Aims for Early Knockout in the 6th

In this southeastern Ohio district, the question is whether state Sen. Charlie Wilson (D) can win his party's nomination as a write-in candidate (after he failed to collect enough signatures to get his name on the ballot). The National Republican Congressional Committee is working hard to keep Wilson from winning the nomination, going so far as running television ads and sending direct mail pieces that attack his little-known opponents (Bob Carr and John Stephen Luchansky). The NRCC's theory is that by attacking Wilson's opponents as being "too liberal" for the district, Democratic activists may be convinced to support them fearing that Wilson is "too conservative" for their tastes.

Insiders predict that Wilson, who has the unanimous support of state and local party organizations, will win the nomination. Should Wilson advance he is likely to face off against state Rep. Chuck Blasdel (R) this fall in one of the most competitive districts -- by the numbers -- in the country. President Bush carried the 6th by 49 percent to 47 percent over John Kerry in 2004, but Rep. Ted Strickland, the likely Democratic nominee for governor, has held the seat since 1996.

A Slam Dunk For the Democratic Nominee?

While Rep. Bob Ney's Jack Abramoff problem appears to be mounting, he should easily survive today's GOP primary challenge from financial analyst James Harris. Ney has won the unanimous support of county chairmen in the 18th District and continues to raise solid money -- $474,000 in the bank of of April 12.

The Democratic race for the right to take on Ney in the fall is between attorney Zack Space and Chillicothe Mayor Joe Sulzer. Sulzer was the early favorite in the contest, but Space has run a surprisingly strong campaign, and national Democratic strategists describe the primary race as a pure toss up. Sulzer has had a financial edge in the campaign's final days; he had $172,000 on hand as of April 12 compared to Space's $76,000. Whoever winds up as the Democratic nominee, this is a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats due to Ney's potential legal problems.

The Taft Factor

The other main event today is in the gubernatorial race, where Secretary of State Ken Blackwell appears to be pulling away from state Attorney General (and former Auditor) Jim Petro in the Republican primary. Several polls released in the final days of the race pegged Blackwell as the frontrunner, with leads ranging from 12 to 21 points. Blackwell, who is African American, would be the second black Republican to win a gubernatorial nomination this year(former Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Lynn Swann won the GOP nod in Pennsylvania).

While a Blackwell victory would make national news, he would still start the general election behind Ted Strickland, a deficit due in no small part to the ethical problems surrounding outgoing Gov. Bob Taft (R). Blackwell used television ads to link Petro and Taft in the primary and is likely to stay as far from the incumbent as possible in the fall. Nonetheless, Blackwell will not be able to erase the "R" after his name, which could seal his fate among the state's disgruntled voters. The Fix ranked the Ohio governor's race as the second most likely gubernatorial seat to change parties this year in out most recent Friday Line on governors races.

Here's a quick look at the other action in the state today:

*Ohio's 2nd District: Former Rep. Bob McEwen (R) is hoping for an upset over Rep. Jean Schmidt (R) in a rematch of their 2005 special-election clash to replace Rep. Rob Portman, the newly nominated head of the White House budget office. Schmidt took 31 percent of the Republican primary vote, edging out McEwen who received 26 percent.

McEwen argues that he only lost that race because the conservative vote was split among several candidates, a division that allowed Schmidt to sneak through. This time he is the lone challenger to Schmidt and -- in theory -- will unite the conservative base behind him. But beating an incumbent -- even one who has struggled like Schmidt -- is no easy task. McEwen has, however, stayed financially competitive with Schmidt thanks to more than $130,000 in personal donations.

Although Democrat Paul Hackett nearly upset Schmidt in last year's special election, he turned down entreaties from party leaders to run again after deciding to drop from the Senate primary. As a result, the Republican victor today will have little trouble holding the seat in the fall.

*Ohio's 4th District: What started as a cakewalk for state Sen Jim Jordan has turned into a battle royale as free-spending businessman Frank Guglielmi has pulled into a dead-heat with the Republican frontrunner. Guglielmi has poured $1.5 million into his campaign -- a massive total for a House race, and one that has put Jordan, who had raised $672,000 as of April 14, back on his heels. This district, which is being vacated by Rep. MIke Oxley, went for President Bush by 25 points in 2004 and will not be seriously contested in the fall.

*Ohio's 13th District: The Democratic primary to replace Rep. Sherrod Brown -- the party's nominee against Sen. Mike DeWine (R) this fall -- features four legitimate candidates: former Rep. Tom Sawyer, 2004 14th district nominee Capri Cafaro, attorney Betty Sutton and former Cleveland city councilman Gary Kucinich (brother of Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio's 10th District).

Democratic strategists say the race has come down to Sawyer, who held a seat in Congress from 1986 until 2002, and Sutton, who has been bolstered by the strong involvement of EMILY's List. While Sawyer began the race with a considerable name identification edge over Sutton, he has raised just over $50,000 -- a platry sum compared with the $420,000 Sutton has raised. The X-factor is Cafaro, who has donated more than $1 million of her own money to the campaign. Republicans believe that if the controversial Cafaro manages to win the nomination they have a very good chance of taking the seat in the fall, despite the fact that Kerry won there by 12 points in 2004. Lorain Mayor Craig Foltin is the likely Republican nominee.

By Chris Cillizza  |  May 2, 2006; 6:00 AM ET
Categories:  Governors , House  
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Comments

"Ken Blackwell will help bring Ohio back to the way the founders meant for this country to be: a Christian nation with Christian values."

Actually the founding fathers meant this to be a SECULAR nation with moral values derived from religion(not necessarily christian). Your opinion is exactly why I'll never vote for anyone like Blackwell. Quit shoving your own values down everyone else's throat.
PS - The Earth is not the center of the universe. Burning people at the stake for disagreeing with you is passe.

Posted by: IHATE BIBLETHUMPERS | May 3, 2006 1:02 PM | Report abuse

Angela,

You owe our host an apology. He does not need to apologize for "refusing" to mention a candidate who drew THREE PERCENT in his primary for a safe Republican district! Yeah, just as newsworthy as Paul Hackett!

Posted by: Brittain33 | May 3, 2006 9:20 AM | Report abuse

Leonidas,

How is he going to do that if he loses to Strickland? Looks like Blackwell will win the primary but Petro has like 46% of the vote thus far. Dewine has about 71% of the vote, almost 30% of Republicans are voting for one of the 2 other no names in the race.

Posted by: Rob Millette | May 2, 2006 11:24 PM | Report abuse

Ken Blackwell will help bring Ohio back to the way the founders meant for this country to be: a Christian nation with Christian values.

-----------------
http://scrutator.net

Posted by: Leonidas | May 2, 2006 11:11 PM | Report abuse

Check out live blogging at http://www.rightangleblog.blogspot.com/

Posted by: Mr. Right Angle | May 2, 2006 8:44 PM | Report abuse

To Rasmussen Reports Representative:

President Bush Job Approval
Poll Date Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 04/21 - 04/30 35.2% 59.3% -24.1%
USA Today/Gallup 04/28 - 04/30 34% 63% -29%
CBS News 04/28 - 04/30 33% 58% -25%
Rasmussen 04/28 - 04/30 40% 59% -19%
Cook/RT Strategies 04/27 - 04/30 36% 59% -23%
NBC/WSJ 04/21 - 04/24 36% 57% -21%
CNN 04/21 - 04/23 32% 60% -28%
FOX News 04/18 - 04/19 33% 57% -24%
Pew Research 04/07 - 04/16 35% 55% -20%
Gallup 04/10 - 04/13 36% 59% -23%
LA Times/Bloomberg 04/08 - 04/11 39% 57% -18%
CNN/USA Today/Gallup 04/07 - 04/09 37% 60% -23%


Why are your numbers for "Bush Job Approval" so far off from other leading polling firms ? You are +10 points to Fox News ?

How can your numbers be +6 to +10 off ? Rasmussen is nowhere close to every leading polling firm in the entire nation. How can your polling be that far off ? What is your margin of error ?

Rasmussen polling and statistics are unreliable and inconsistent.

Nobody wants to buy polling that is unreliable and meaningless.

I have emailed Rasmussen 12 times and can not get an answer from them. About their polling.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

or email them at

Info@rasmussenreports.com

And ask WHY ?

Posted by: Polling Fraud | May 2, 2006 7:15 PM | Report abuse

bob - you hit the nail right on the head when you said that some white republican voters will not vote for Blackwell in November. There is a certain republican shill who regularly posts on ths blog about how, in his opinion, Blackwell will win over a large part of the black vote.

My thinking is, if some people will vote for him simply b/c he is black, then also some people will vote against him b/c he is black - it works both ways and that cannot be overlooked. This would explain why Strickland enjoys an 18-point lead over Blackwell when he is supposedly garnering such a large part of the black vote.

Posted by: Ohio guy | May 2, 2006 6:53 PM | Report abuse

Mr. Vivabush -

As an Ohioan, for me the question is not whether or not the 2004 election was thrown (in some 1930s smoky backroom sort of fantasy), but whether or not Ken Blackwell was trying to enfranchise voters or discourage their voting. Clearly, anyone with an eye or an ear in Ohio in fall 2004 witnessed repeated none-too-subtle attempts by the Secretary of State/Bush campaigner Blackwell (which role was foremost in his mind - or his public rhetoric, for that matter - who knows?) to discourage voting among first time voters, recognizing that while 'you' may have mobilized your base to vote, nevertheless the avalanche of first time voter registration was largely from Democratic strongholds and, thus, those voters were actively discouraged from voting, often being convinced that the secretary of state would seek any opportunity to throw out their ballots. And, yes, local boards generally oversee election procedures on the day of the election, but let's not be disingenuous: Blackwell attempted to recast accepted standards for accepting voter registration and throwing out ballots cast in the wrong precinct (even if the person had only moved that year within the county). Remember the debate over what stock paper the registration had to be on to be deemed 'acceptable' by the office of the Secretary of State? Nonsense. Rank discrimination, and shameless opportunism rather than statesmanship and enfranchisement.

Re: 'voting machines were rushed to underserved, chaotic areas'...I am not inclined to accept the word of such a demagogue (as you give for him, speaking to a bunch of Brothers, reassuring them about their little voting concerns... stooges, my friend; and if you don't think 'social conservatism' was the common currency in those meetings, you're less a politico thatn I thought).

No, the election may not have been 'thrown' in some paranoid version of events - although I stopped trusting the Diebold Corporation after their very chairman - a Bush 'Ranger' - vocally and openly promised to 'deliver' the state to Bush. Conflict of interest? Maybe in a society kinder and gentler than ours... In our society today it is rarely necessary to be so antiquated in one's methods as to cut a smoky backroom deal. That's a straw man, a false image...

And, yes, politics is a game to some: a sport, comparing averages and spending and percentages, betting on horses, et cetera. Unless this is grounded in some sense of justice, fairness, and social vision I find it nothing but the most anti-social cynicism, and its effect on American society is and has always been pernicious, and for the last two centuries.

Posted by: Mark | May 2, 2006 6:49 PM | Report abuse

If Jim Petro wins todays primary he will be seen as the status-qo candidate in the fall insuring a Ted Strickland win. Ken Blackwell has ran as a reform candidate (weather he is or isn't doesen't matter, that will be his strategy in November). Blackwell, as a Republican African-American, will get a large amont of "free" media coverage, and set up massive national battle for Ohio governor with the victoriuos party getting a step ahead before the 2008 election.

Posted by: Mike06 | May 2, 2006 6:03 PM | Report abuse

Viva

Here's what I'm talking about...

Survey USA
APRIL 28*

DEM Primary
Cafaro 24%
Sawyer 24%
Sutton 24%
Kucinich 12%
Grace 7%

Posted by: RMill | May 2, 2006 4:21 PM | Report abuse

Embarrassment of riches for political junkies, wow, what a statement for a person who is paid for watching politics. The riches are with Capri Cafaro and her $1.9 million to finance her race in the 13th district against a woman financed by Emily's list with $420,000. Sounds like Ohio will have an economic boom with politics and advertising in April and the first 2 days in May. Wealthy businessman Frank Guglielmi might win the Republican nomination in the 4th District. I think the riches will benefit OHIO, nothing makes people spend their money like competition. Sadly, I think the Democrats pulled the rug out from under Paul Hackett and denied the people a chance to support him in the Senate race. Perhaps that move angered a few veterans who will sit on their hands rather than vote for power hungry Democrats like Brown.

Posted by: Jill | May 2, 2006 4:05 PM | Report abuse

According to Vivabush:

Blackwell merely enforced Ohio election law, nothing more nor less.

[What about starting his campaign for governor early by appearing regularly on Fox News during the fall of 2004? He should not have served in both positions. It's a clear conflict of interest that shows his serious lack of ethics.]

Keep in mind that Ohio elections are actually run by local county elections boards, boards and staff that are equally Democrat and Republican who keep an eye on each other that all business is conducted according to state and federal election law.

That's not true in Clermont County.
http://news.enquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/a rticle?AID=/20060502/NEWS01/605020350/10 77

Partisan politics at work?
Democrats stymied by GOP in Clermont
BY HOWARD WILKINSON | ENQUIRER STAFF WRITER

Tonight, every county board of elections in Ohio will have one Republican director and one Democratic deputy director supervising the counting of votes to ensure that it is done fairly.

Every county, that is, except Clermont - where there will be a Republican director but no Democrat deputy. That's because of a dispute between the Republicans and Democrats on the county Board of Elections.

Posted by: bob | May 2, 2006 3:16 PM | Report abuse

According to Vivabush:

Blackwell merely enforced Ohio election law, nothing more nor less.

[What about starting his campaign for governor early by appearing regularly on Fox News during the fall of 2004? He should not have served in both positions. It's a clear conflict of interest that shows his serious lack of ethics.]

Keep in mind that Ohio elections are actually run by local county elections boards, boards and staff that are equally Democrat and Republican who keep an eye on each other that all business is conducted according to state and federal election law.

That's not true in Clermont County.
http://news.enquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/a rticle?AID=/20060502/NEWS01/605020350/10 77

Partisan politics at work?
Democrats stymied by GOP in Clermont
BY HOWARD WILKINSON | ENQUIRER STAFF WRITER

Tonight, every county board of elections in Ohio will have one Republican director and one Democratic deputy director supervising the counting of votes to ensure that it is done fairly.

Every county, that is, except Clermont - where there will be a Republican director but no Democrat deputy. That's because of a dispute between the Republicans and Democrats on the county Board of Elections.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 2, 2006 3:15 PM | Report abuse

RMill:
I voted at high noon and no one was in front of me so therefore no one was there to look over my back and see me vote for all the Republican winners.
They told me that turnout was pretty good and had been pretty steady since 6:30.

It has rained off and on since Noon but we should just now be getting into the bulk of the voter turnout. Lorain has 3 levies on the ballot so that should get a yield of about 33-35%. There are levies in several other communities as well, 25 total so county turnout should be above the yield.

Posted by: vivabsuh04OH | May 2, 2006 2:43 PM | Report abuse

Viva

The Survey USA poll is at least three weeks old. What I said was reports from people "on the ground" was that Sutton was surging.

The wishful thinking is that you know Craig can beat Cafaro and maybe Sawyer but will have a tougher time with Sutton.

Any word on how voting is going in Lorain? Cuyahoga is a mixed bag. If the machines are working, everything is fine. Turnout will tail off this afternoon because of rain and news reports about problems getting machines up and running this AM.

Posted by: RMill | May 2, 2006 2:25 PM | Report abuse

If Blackwell wins today, the second biggest winner is Mike DeWine.

In both parties there are constant arguments about whether the best way to win is to seek cross-over voters or mobilise the base. Both theories have some merit. DeWine's risk is that if Petro wins today, conservatives will stay at home in November. If Blackwell is on the ballot in November, conservatives will turn out. They may not be enamoured of DeWine, but given a straight choice between him and Sherrod Brown, they will hold their noses and vote for him.

Quentin Langley
Editor of http://www.quentinlangley.net/

Posted by: DeWine's chances | May 2, 2006 2:14 PM | Report abuse

The real story... is how new electronic voting machines in Central Ohio render an individual's vote effectively public by placing it in full view of other people at a polling place.

How skinny are you? Are the other voters standing over your shoulder? When I voted with a punchcard in 2004 it was the same kind of setup (no curtains, etc.). If you don't want people to see, stand closer to the machine, but the way the machines were setup where I voted today the person would have to be standing behind you to see, which would make it pretty obvious what they were doing.

Posted by: Andrew | May 2, 2006 1:31 PM | Report abuse

The Fix is the name of his blog. It isn't in reference to Ohio.

Posted by: Yep | May 2, 2006 1:31 PM | Report abuse

Blackwell's campaign commercials were disgusting. What's that, no wedge issue to run on? Better try to re-hash Issue 1 from 2004 then. No message whatsoever, apart from "I hate gays".

I hope Petro takes him down, even though I'm a Dem who voted for Strickland and will do so again in November. Petro's sleazy, but at least he's not a sleazy bigot.

Posted by: Lorain Countyite | May 2, 2006 1:20 PM | Report abuse

Mr. Chris Cillizza:

I understand your concern about the "The Fix." The state of Ohio is nothing compared with the state of California.

If would like a real story on a " Fix in Progress" please feel free to investigate California...especially at the assembly and state senator races then of course our congressional races.

Thanks for your time and consideration.

Posted by: lbjgal | May 2, 2006 1:12 PM | Report abuse

As a resident of Lorain County and an independant let me say for the record that it doesn't matter if Blackwell or Petro wins today. Petro is a crook who punishes businesses that don't give him money and Blackwell is a religious zealot. Neither one will win this fall, no matter what divisive issue Rove (if he isn't in jail) cooks up. Gay terrorists? Perhaps immigration? See how that helps the Republican candidate for the 13th district. Lorain is what, 70% hispanic? Watch how the Republican's message of hate and fear comes home to roost this fall.

Posted by: ImpeachBush | May 2, 2006 12:55 PM | Report abuse

Capri Cafaro is not a great candidate. I hope Tom Sawyer wins. He's a decent and honorable man, despite what the obviously biased GOP worker or volunteer Vivabush posts.

The Unions will work for him (or anyone) over Foltin. How many people and jobs have left Lorain?

Blackwell is perhaps the worst candidate for governor Ohio has ever had (including Taft, and that's saying a lot). If you read the Post regularly, you'd also know that history suggests that white GOP voters are going to abandon him in droves in November, handing the victory to Strickland. It's not an opinion, it's what has happened to many other black GOP candidates, and there's certainly no reason to think it won't happen in Ohio. The GOP loves to claim that they don't have any race issues any longer, but their voting patterns suggest otherwise. (The same thing is likely to happen to Swann and Steele as well.)

Posted by: bob | May 2, 2006 12:17 PM | Report abuse

In my experience with electronic voting, you stand away from other voters. There is not mob standing around you as you vote, so that is just silly to say it is so public. I hope to hear the report of high voter turnout today in OHIO, there is much to celebrate in our nation, instead of seeing leaders in other nation's assassinated (like the guy in Turkey).
Voting is best, even for Democrats.

Posted by: Karen | May 2, 2006 12:04 PM | Report abuse

well, when all is said and done, it's not about what the deadenders in the 32 percent (are we below 30 yet?) group want, it's about the massive and overwhelming landslide of voters who know that the middle class is doing worse and worse while Bush's comrades are doing better.

Get used to whining from the GOP - it's gonna be with us for quite a long time. Especially those going to jail for thier crimes.

Posted by: Will in Seattle | May 2, 2006 12:01 PM | Report abuse

The real story (that local media is missing!) is how new electronic voting machines in Central Ohio render an individual's vote effectively public by placing it in full view of other people at a polling place. No curtains. Voter intimidation should be a real concern.

Posted by: Ohioan | May 2, 2006 11:58 AM | Report abuse

Amazing how Cilizza failed to mention an Iraq war vet who is running in District 4, but his mention of Paul Hackett clearly shows his own bias. A Democrat who speaks against the war is given headlines and blog space, while a man like Nathan Martin, who served for over a year in Iraq, (came back in December) gets ZERO mention. Cilizza can't even mention his name, a real pity. But I bet since Nathan has clobbered all other Republican contenders in the debates, and is running ads across the District, that if Nathan does win tonight, I challenge Cilizza to speak about DAVID (Nathan) had enough rocks to clobber all other Goliath's.

Posted by: Angela | May 2, 2006 11:43 AM | Report abuse

VB: while I know zip about Lorain your logic is circular since it leads us to conclude that Foltin is too weak to be mayor of Lorain, OH. If this is the case then why would you think he is suited to act as a Representative?

Posted by: Judge C. Crater | May 2, 2006 11:36 AM | Report abuse

lj,
That the City of Lorain is as you say, the truth is that Lorain continues to bleed jobs and you yourself know that Ford closed last year and few businesses are coming in.

Also let me remind you that Foltin is just the mayor and every other elected office is held by Democrats. How do you think you'd do if you were the Democrat mayor and every other elected official was Republican? How much control would YOU have?

Foltin has worked miracles with the deck he has been handed. Lorain is far from a disaster and is doing as about one might expect given the conditions.

Posted by: vivabsuh04OH | May 2, 2006 11:03 AM | Report abuse

being a female resident of lorain county i feel i must comment. all of the literature sent out by emilys list(to which i used to contribute) has been nasty and what i thought was beneath them. not once did they address any issue espoused by ms. sutton (to date the voters in lorain county have heard not one). she is counting on a ride on sherrod brown's coattail. emilys lists money could have been better spent i would think. also a point to address is that ms. cafaro has not begged for any money. if any one thinks mr. foltin is qualified just take a look at the state of affairs in the city of lorain-sad at best.

Posted by: lj | May 2, 2006 10:42 AM | Report abuse

"Sutton is surging"?

Surging to what, the bottom? Hell Kucinich is even ahead of her. RMill you usually know what you're talking about. Wishful thinking perhaps?

At 24-21% it would appear to be a deadheat between Sawyer and Cafaro and either one is beatable by Foltin. Love it.

Posted by: vivabush04OH | May 2, 2006 9:56 AM | Report abuse

Blackwell is a definate media hound and the most "politically active" Secretary of State in a long time.

His political activities on behalf of Bush in 2004 caused a stir, but not enough to do anything about it. A constitution amendment was offered to disallow such political activity from the public official in charge of elections and it was soundly defeated by Ohio voters.

Personally, I'd like to see Blackwell lose and out of politics in Ohio and to limit the political activites of the State's chief elections officer, regardless of party. But its not my call.

Posted by: RMill | May 2, 2006 9:46 AM | Report abuse

The 'paranoid conspiracy crap about Blackwell'? There's no conspiracy. He's just a sleazy common criminal, like Bob Ney, like Jack Abramoff. But that's what passes for 'leadership' in the modern republican party.

Posted by: Drindl | May 2, 2006 9:43 AM | Report abuse

Sorry, I made a mistake

Sawyer 24%
Cafaro 21%

However, the on-the-ground reports seem to back up that Sawyer is fading, Sutton is surging and Cafaro's money has kept her towards the top. I believe that it will still come down to Sawyer and Sutton. If Cafaro wins, I'd vote for Foltin (gald I won't be put in that position, voting in Cuyahoga County).

Posted by: RMill | May 2, 2006 9:42 AM | Report abuse

Chris:
You're going to have to pay attention to OH 13 especially after today. Our strongest candidate is Lorain Mayor Craig Foltin who is one of the best politicians I know. He has won 4 city-wide elections by swinging Democrat and independent votes in overwhelmingly Democrat areas. Lorain is about 10-1 Dem while the 13th District is split 60-40% Dem-GOP.

I am plesantly surprised to see RMill's Survey America numbers showing Cafaro leading Sawyer and Sutton. If in fact she is in the lead it is because of the huge amounts of money she has poured into the campaign. Money will not be an issue in November in this race since the NRCC is committed to winning this seat.

Sawyer has the most name recognition but not in Lorain County and frankly the resputation is a negative one especially amongst the union people who have been actively campaigning against him. I personally would rather see him win since the union folks will probably take a walk in this election in the fall.

Sutton on the other hand is the most dangerous of them all, what with all her outside state monies from EMILY's List and unions. I'm glad to see that she's 3rd behind Cafaro and Sawyer. Unfortunately it appears that Sawyer is fading.

Posted by: vivabsuh04OH | May 2, 2006 9:38 AM | Report abuse

Columbus Dispatch
April 30

DEM Primary
Flannery 14%
Strickland 86%

REP Primary
Blacwell 56%
Petro 44%

Other interesting Ohio notes:

President Clinton recorded a message being sent by automated phone calls for State Sen. Charlie Wilson in the OH-6 race urging voters to write-in Wilson.

Rep. Chuck Blasdel scrambled to reach a settlement on outstanding taxes owed on two businesses he owned. The original tax estimate was in excess of $50,000. He ended up setlling with AG Jim Petro to pay $9,492 plus fees. Sweetheart deal? Blasdel was also endorsed by the US Chamber of Commerce while little known opponent and US Army veteran Dick Stobbs was endorsed by his Vietnam Commander, former Brigadier General Thomas White, former Secretary of the Army.


OH-15, OH-18
US Reps Pryce and Ney benefited from illegal fund raising activities by Freddie Mac, which received the largest fines in history from the FEC late last month ($3.8 M fine).

Rep. Pryce is also getting a fundraising boost from First Lady Laura Bush, who is special guest at today's (May 2) noon luncheon at the Hyatt Regency Columbus.

Posted by: RMill | May 2, 2006 9:36 AM | Report abuse

Survey USA
May 1

DEM Primary
Flannery 20%
Strickland 64%

REP Primary
Blackwell 54%
Petro 37%

Plain Dealer/Mason Dixon
April 24-26
DEM Primary
Flannery 11%
Strickland 64%

REP Primary
Blackwell 50%
Petro 29%

Congressional Races

Survey USA
April 20
REP Primary
OH-2
McEwen 33%
Schmidt* 56%

OH 6
April 20
DEM Primary
Carr 9%
Lucnhansky 6%
Wilson 54%

REP Primary
Blasdel 41%
Ginter 11%
Harmon 11%
Stobbs 2%

OH-13
April 13
DEM Primary

Cafaro 24%
Grace 10%
Kucinich 15%
Sawyer 21%
Sutton 14%

Posted by: RMill | May 2, 2006 9:18 AM | Report abuse

Let's stop with all this paranoid conspiratorial crap about Blackwell, Bush, Ronald Reagan or any Republican disenfranchising anyone. Plain and simple, we outhustled ACT, ANSWER, Moveon.org and the paper tiger Democrat Party who did not get much more than 60% of their voters to turn out and vote while we were averaging 70%+ in our areas.

Blackwell merely enforced Ohio election law, nothing more nor less. Keep in mind that Ohio elections are actually run by local county elections boards, borads and staff that are equally Democrat and Republican who keep an eye on each other that all business is conducted according to state and federal election law.

Ken Blackwell was in Sheffield last Friday at 9:30 in the morning to meet with two groups of people. He first met with 41 Black ministers and their friends. Topic: the economy, stupid, not gays, not guns, not cultural matters but taxes, jobs, education and training. Many of these Blacks are Democrats and they asked him specifically about the so-called Black disenfranchisement. Bottom line-- there was none. In fact, there is documentation that local boards of election responded to long lines by sending more voting booths. They went away satisfied with his answers. Many of these Blacks will be working with us here in Lorain County for Ken Blackwell and Jeanette Bradley, our current State treasurer who is also up for relection. beginning tomorrow.

The next group he met with was a diverse group of mostly white but also Hispanic and black voters and not party regulars. I might add that virtually all of the Lorain County GOP leadership has supported KB and will do so through November.

For those who are unfamiliar with Lorain County, this is not SWOhio but Democrat stronghold NEOH. We're the county just west of Cleveland. To get a diverse group of 100+ on a Friday morning during work hours for a Black Republican candidate is telling.

Already I have heard the Dems gloat that Strickland has it made and the party rooms are being booked for November. Indeed I hope they underestimate Blackwell and the rest of our ticket.

If you want to continue to believe the crap about stolen elections, go right ahead and bottoms up on the Kool Aid.

Posted by: vivabush04OH | May 2, 2006 9:13 AM | Report abuse

FYI
Blackwell is Secretary of State not AG.

Chris-

Also, full conversion statewide to the electronic voting systems will play a part in today's proceedings.

Cuyahoga County, the largest county in Ohio, is doing so for the first time.

Also, while the primary results are in little doubt, it will be interesting to see the vote totals for Senator DeWine and whether token opposition draws voter support as a sign of dissatisfaction with GOP leadership in Ohio.

Posted by: RMill | May 2, 2006 9:00 AM | Report abuse

Blackwell deserves to be frogmarched for his conduct as Attorney General during the 2004 Presidential election. Black voters should turn out in droves against a figure who disenfranchised them.

http://www.intrepidliberaljournal.blogspot.com

Posted by: Intrepid Liberal Journal | May 2, 2006 7:53 AM | Report abuse

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