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Poll: Tom DeLay's Reelection Woes

In the wake of Rep. Tom DeLay's (R-Texas) permanent resignation as House majority leader, a new poll shows that the Texan faces several major challenges in his campaign for a 12th term.

The negative coverage of lobbyist Jack Abramoff -- and his ties to DeLay and his aides -- have clearly had a negative effect on the Texan's image in the eyes of voters, according to the survey, which was commissioned by the Houston Chronicle. Just 28 percent of those tested had either a "very" or "somewhat" favorable opinion of DeLay, while 60 percent had a "very" or "somewhat" unfavorable opinion.

Former Rep. Nick Lampson (D) led DeLay 30 percent to 22 percent in a hypothetical general election matchup. Former Republican Rep. Steve Stockman, who is running as an independent, received 11 percent. When voters leaning toward one of the candidates are pushed to make a decision, Lampson received 32 percent, DeLay 25 percent and Stockman 14 percent.

Perhaps most damning for DeLay is the finding that 47 percent said he should "withdraw as a candidate" for the 22nd district; 40 percent of respondents rejected that notion. That response is all the more troublesome when one considers the poll's sample, which included 42 percent self-identifying Republicans compared to 27 percent Democrats and 23 percent independents.

By Chris Cillizza  |  January 16, 2006; 10:16 AM ET
Categories:  House  
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"the modern day Christian right movement has nothing to do with the teachings of Jesus, does it? Not when there is so much money and power available to work against the poor, weak, infirm and powerless."

Would you like to help the poor Oscarina? I'm homeless. I've been sleeping on the street and haven't spent a penny since 2004. Help me by going to my website: GOP Christian. I'm more poor than anyone you've ever thought about helping and I'm more Right-Wing than anyone you've ever criticised. I know the poor better than you and the only reason Democrats support them is because so many of them are left-wing communists and drug-dealing sorcerers who would euthanize the infirm and abort the weak and powerless. If you're not a Mammon worshipper, sell what you have, give the rest to the poor people who deserve it, and come and follow me; start by voting Republican.

Posted by: Rev. Thomas S. Painter (R) | March 15, 2006 3:10 PM | Report abuse

JoeyD...I too want to see that, but I'm afraid that all the money in the world will not help when Alito gets to the Supreme Court. For the Court will probably not rule on the "States Right" issue of how DeLay came home, forced the second redistricting of Texas...after three Republican judges had done a fair job of redistricting after the 2000 census...chased the Ardmore bound Democrats with the FAA, and all the illegal rest of it.
The timing is not right either...the Republican primary is in March, and even if the court should return Texas to its pre-DeLay districts it will probably be too late to correct the problem, unless they allow special elections.

Posted by: Arminda | January 18, 2006 6:47 PM | Report abuse

It's not enough to just crush the man's political career....I NEED to see the Supreme Court overturn what havoc has been done to Texas by the redistricting Delay orchestrated! Who do I have to pay to get that done?

Posted by: joeyD | January 18, 2006 1:53 PM | Report abuse

As that gorgeous gray haired former Texas Governor used to say: "Put a fork in him Delay is done!" Remember Anne Richards now living happily on New York City's upper East Side?

Posted by: Big Dave | January 17, 2006 12:23 PM | Report abuse

It is amazing that all those who still support Tom Delay and the rest of the subversive, treasonous GOP radicals who have hijacked our 200+ year old system can look themselves in the mirror and believe themselves honest, moral or patriotic. Just because somebody mouths the words of being a born again Christian you let them lie, cheat, steal, subvert, manipulate, cover up and subvert? As an independent, I can only laugh about the naive, ignorant ideologues that are being played masterfully by this most corrupt Republican mafia, which uses fear and religious tripe to keep you in line and give up all your freeedoms - very unlike the real language of the "fear no evil" text as you walk through the valley. Even facts and full confessions are not enough to break the hypnotic political spells that Delay, Bush, Cheney, etc. have cast over their lamb to the slaughter-like followers. Just imagine how much these fools would be screaming if the Democrats ever did anything like what Bush-Delay have done - there would have been impeachment hearings early in 2002, but they just cannot be honest or fair, as they have been blinded by the GOP spell. And now we have a Supreme Court that will be dominated (5 of 9 Justices) by Catholics, who the fundamentalist Christians were saying to be the workers of the devil only a few years ago. Who will pull the switch to break the GOP-Christian spell? Certainly Jesus himself would never approve of what the GOP is doing and would throw these GOP moneychangers out of the temple, but then, the modern day Christian right movement has nothing to do with the teachings of Jesus, does it? Not when there is so much money and power available to work against the poor, weak, infirm and powerless. The current GOP administration is more and more like the old Soviet Union everyday - secretive, deceitful ultranationalist, paranoid, corrupt, self-serving, godless...

Posted by: oscarina | January 17, 2006 11:41 AM | Report abuse

To my friend who made the comment about the reams of info on Abramoff and the relative silence on Jefferson out in Louisiana: 1) who's Jefferson; 2) who cares?
The GOP cannot continue to excuse its corrupt leadership by pointing fingers at every Democratic pissant who crosses an ethical line.
On the GOP side its the leadership scheming against our basic institutions; on the Democratic side its obscure grafters like Jefferson with sticky fingers.

Posted by: robert chapman | January 17, 2006 11:38 AM | Report abuse

I liked the engineer who votes for fixing the problem, not the blame.
Still, in this instance the problem has to do with blame. WE ARE NOT DEALING WITH SINCERE PEOPLE WHO ARE TRYING TO HELP.
The central truth about the Abramoff scandal is that there are two bad actors involved in a very dubious transaction.
People who try to generalize and say that the money is the problem are ignoring the fact that Abramoff, DeLay, Ney et al are all into power for the sake of power and are only using the money as a means to the end.
This IS a case where fixing the blame IS fixing the problem.

Posted by: robert chapman | January 17, 2006 11:31 AM | Report abuse

Delay is the equivalent of the godfather of the politcal right. It's not just Delay that needs to go, it the whole dang bunch of immoral, hypocritical neoconservative right wing zealots need to get the hell out of DC. Bush, Rove, Cheney, Hastert, Frist, Ney, Blunt, Delay, Sen. Santorum, Sen.Allen, Fox News, Washington Times, Pat Robertson, Ralph Reed, James Dobson, Grover Norquist, Ann Coulter, Bill O'Reilly , Jerry Falwell the the likes. Its time to clean up DC and get back to the business of protecting the rights to individuals constitutional rights, return the separation of church and state to our governing philosophy etc.

I say, let Delay stay in the race and lose and be the poster boy for the GOp in 2006. He could help the Dems more by being in the race vs deciding not to run.

Posted by: DB | January 17, 2006 12:36 AM | Report abuse

Tom DeLay's problems not withstanding, the Democrats will not become a majority party again unless they learn the methods of "branding."

Read, THE WINNING FORMULA: COMPASSION & TOUGHNESS in today's posting of the *Intrepid Liberal Journal*.

For more on the corrupt Republican Party, BREZHNEV REPUBLICANS, in the January 8th posting of the *Intrepid Liberal Journal.*

Posted by: Intrepid Liberal | January 16, 2006 8:06 PM | Report abuse

Anent Tom DeLay's potential election woes, as my dear departed father would say, "It couldn't happen to a nicer guy"!

Posted by: klipvm | January 16, 2006 6:41 PM | Report abuse

If DeLay stays in the race, he's toast. My fear is that the Rs will realize that and kick him out in time to hold the seat. I read an article the other day where a TX political scientist said there was just a 50/50 chance DeLay would stay in the race through November.

Posted by: Sandwich Repairman | January 16, 2006 6:02 PM | Report abuse

I am republican...I think Delay is getting his due and will most likely spend some time in the hoosgow.

I am curious though as to why you have reams on the Abramoff scandel and one obscure link at the end of your blog last Wednesday about Jefferson from La....which looks like out and out bribery.

Not saying that what Abramoff and the guys that played ball with him is less bad...just harder to prove.

Posted by: toby | January 16, 2006 5:30 PM | Report abuse

Chirs if nick ask mr to help I will. there is somethig wrong down there in texas. They could not get nick relected for congress. Years ago congress Sheila J. Lee want that job. I told her that if she could not raise a lot of money. Do not run They have by pass an ran other people Like the Mayor of Dallas. They all lost.

Posted by: | January 16, 2006 4:22 PM | Report abuse

I don't think he'll even run in November. Once the poo *really* hits the fan, DeLay'll be lucky if he's not packing for the clink by that point.

Posted by: jay lassiter | January 16, 2006 3:38 PM | Report abuse

"That response is all the more troublesome when one considers the poll's sample,"

Troublesome to who? To you? You don't say. I'm personally tap dancing around the room.

Posted by: Commentor | January 16, 2006 3:23 PM | Report abuse

I have webbed feet!

Posted by: Professor Wizzleteets | January 16, 2006 3:06 PM | Report abuse

The Republicans in Congress are going to die the death of a thousand little cuts. Every day from now until the mid-term elections there will be a revelation about a Republican Congressman or Congressional staffer. The Abramoff scandal, and other scandals, will finally invade the American Public's consciousness and the Republicans will pay the price at the polls.

The Richmond Democrat

Posted by: J.C. Wilmore | January 16, 2006 3:00 PM | Report abuse

as an engineer, you work with the reality of the system that you're trying to fix...

only a fool settles for blame as the answer to a problem....

the system needs to be changed to recognize two things.....your leaders are the monied.

the monied need to be educated that pissing in the waters that they drink is not too smart....there are many countries where the difference in income doesn't translate to a HUGE difference in quality of life because they have recognized that fact....

many countries get 5 weeks of paid vacation a year, and healthcare as a given...


why don't we have good quality of life for everyone? old people on fixed income eating cat food, children going without, cycles of poverty ignored....that's stupidity

intervention and reeducation could eliminate the major parts of the penal system and supporting agencies including reallocation of funds for doing something besides containment.....

look at LA and see how containment works....we've got our own pakistans internally where the response is to fire a couple of missles into the problem rather than address it directly.

use your brains for discernment, find problems and fix them non-partisanlly, knock off the party rhetoric.....blame honestly and allow the people that depend on you believing them to earn your trust not demand it.......kick some ass.

Posted by: by the by, us vs. them doesn't work from either side.... | January 16, 2006 2:48 PM | Report abuse

Tom delay clearly violated his oath of office by saying from a church pulpit on national television that the church should be used to change politics...

Tom delay clearly violated his oath of office when he went on record in the public media, and in congress as saying that the executive and legislative branches of the government should be used to change the judicial process by controlling the disbursement of funds that the judicial process depended upon....

the point is violating his oath of office is grounds for impeachment without any charges needing to be true against him.

the fact that he is guilty of pandering, strongarming, money laundering, political bullshitting, and collusion with the forces-of-evil as a way of getting his, while butter-don't-melt-in-his-mouth 'cause he's a 'haint.....are irrelevant......

just based upon the premise that he has violated his oath of office and that is a known fact to everyone...the media, congress, the president....oh he's done that too....fraudulent acquirement of "war" powers.....oh, that's why they keep screaming about there's a war on rather than a containment of resources by the monied elite, using the military presence of a dominant superpower and it's $400 Billion in resources while they decrease social security benefits by $30 a month for all us citizens.....oh my, oh my are they taking advantage of "old people" and dependent children? YES!!!!!!!!

RE: Tom deal-aid ->

his ass should be kicked down the stairs of congress and out onto the street, and his allegiance with the great-satan-money-is-his-gawd recognized....he is a self serving sleazeball.....and remarkably like the late great george wallace in demeanor and coyness.....and I really don't mean to demean george wallace with that comment....I dislike appearing too honest the contrast might set the statue of liberty on least the torche...

Dear buttheads.....the french gave us the statue.....clean up your dislike of being called bullies by the french and recognize the truth in that.........NOW.

Posted by: I think you're confusing ANTICHRISTians with christians.... | January 16, 2006 2:31 PM | Report abuse

Lordy,Lordy another C.C.C.!!!!
Delay and Abramoff and now the infamous Ralph Reed.Clearly,one more Christian Coalition Crook has been exposed.Praise Budda,Praise Allah,Praise Vishnu,Praise anybody other than those sleazy Christains.

Posted by: Anonymous | January 16, 2006 1:54 PM | Report abuse

If Delay loses this seat it proves:

1. There is justice in this world.

2. There is a Democratic Santa Claus and some intelligence in Texas.

3. There is a chance of the Dems taking the House.

Posted by: Peter L. | January 16, 2006 1:38 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for spotting the typo KennyB. It's fixed.

Posted by: | January 16, 2006 12:49 PM | Report abuse

Beware criminals who claim morality, carry bibles, and then pander to money.

That template fits Ralph Reed, Abramoff, Tom Delay, Duke Cunningham, Rick Santorum, Bob Ney... all of the "immoral majority" in congress are the same. They want an NSA spying device in your bedroom and they are transactionally immoral and absolutely corrupt.

Posted by: Long Beach, CA | January 16, 2006 12:36 PM | Report abuse

Delay's "hammering" of his colleagues isn't going to strike fear into the hearts of the average voter. 40% still support him; not coincidentially, about the same amount will always support GWB unless he starts barbecuing babies in the Rose Garden. Probably 40% now think that the Kennedy assassination was a good thing. The term "partisan wacko" no longer applies just to the fringes of the voting demographic. As the world changes faster and faster these voters cling to obvious, comforting delusions - such as the idea that Delay actually cares about them (ha!) - even more tightly.

Posted by: lpdrjk | January 16, 2006 12:27 PM | Report abuse

I am still holding out the hope that Tom DeLay will get to do the "perp walk." In wondering why there are still 40% of voters in the Sugarland area of Texas that still suport DeLay, look no further than his reputation as "the Hammer." If he does come out of this with another term in Congress, attribute this to the calling in of many favors owed to him.

Posted by: cactusflinthead | January 16, 2006 11:30 AM | Report abuse

I keep hearing that "Delay is innocent until proven guilty". We've now degenerated into speaking about our publicly elected officials as if they were OJ Simpson?

Shame on him.

Who, in God's name who, are these 40% that still support Delay? Are the American people so fooled that the ends are always justified by the means, regardless of how unethical? So, by that argument, what exactly are the ends? Other than to increase the power, wealth, and influence of himself and his cronies, what has this man done to benefit the constituents he represents?

Shame on us. We, the American voters get the government we deserve.

Posted by: George Mycik | January 16, 2006 11:05 AM | Report abuse

This will be interesting to see. DeLay always liked to pressure members to do what the leadership thought was good for the party, rather than themselves. So now DeLay faces the possibility that what's best for his party would be for him to drop out and let another Republican run in the general election. I wonder which way he'll go...

Posted by: adam | January 16, 2006 10:56 AM | Report abuse

There were some flaws to this poll, though there's no doubt that the numbers aren't good for DeLay.

Posted by: Tom DeLay vs the World | January 16, 2006 10:48 AM | Report abuse

There were some flaws to this poll, though there's no doubt that the numbers aren't good for DeLay.

Posted by: Tom DeLay vs the World | January 16, 2006 10:48 AM | Report abuse

Your blog entry today has a typo. You write: "The negative coverage of *lobbying* Jack Abramoff -- and his ties to DeLay...," when you clearly mean to say: "The negative coverage of *lobbyist* Jack Abramoff -- and his ties to DeLay..."

Posted by: KennyB | January 16, 2006 10:48 AM | Report abuse

Dear Chris,

NOW will you put Delays' congressional seat on your list of those races likely to switch parties?
I think you were afraid to list his seat until the roof fell in on Delay.
Show some guts!
ricky from omaha
ps i love to read your blog

Posted by: ricky | January 16, 2006 10:37 AM | Report abuse

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