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The Most Important Number in Politics Today

Screen shot 2009-10-07 at 12.30.47 PM.png

36

That's the percentage of Democrats who approve of the job Congress is doing in new Gallup data, a number that should strike fear into the hearts of Democratic incumbents in tough races heading into 2010.

Since March, a majority of Democrats have approved of how Congress is handling itself with the number peaking in May at 63 percent. But, over the past month the approval for Congress among Democrats dropped 18 points in the Gallup data, a decline that led overall congressional approval to sink to 21 percent -- the lowest that numbers has been since January.

That just more than one-third of all Democrats approve of the job the Democratic-led Congress is doing is rightly understood as a sign that the party's base is less than enthusiastic about the state of affairs on Capitol Hill at the moment.

Whether that is the result of the ongoing back and forth over the inclusion of the public option in the health care bill -- the base wants it, targeted lawmakers are nervous -- or the simple fact that the fight over the legislation has dragged on for months with no seeming end in sight, it's clear that the party base is not currently energized about how Congressional Democrats are doing.

Why does this matter? Because midterm elections are almost always exercises in base turnout. The electorate shrinks considerably from a presidential year and turning out your hard-core supporters becomes the name of the game.

The visceral distaste for then President George W. Bush among Democratic base voters -- and the Republican base's lack of energy in support of him -- is directly attributable to the considerable gains Democrats made in the House and Senate in 2006.

A disparity in base energy -- particularly in a midterm election -- is a major problem for any political party. Democrats still have a year to turn it around and enliven their base but the Gallup numbers should be seen as a worrisome omen.

By Chris Cillizza  |  October 7, 2009; 2:00 PM ET
Categories:  Most Important Number  
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Comments

Since the idiots who took this poll didn't bother to ask the most obvious question, WHY do you disapprove of Congress' actions, it hasn't any real credibility in its reportesd result, that only a third of Democrats disapprove of Congress actions. Any conclusions based on those results are equally meaningless.

For instance, if all those democrats disapprove of the republicans puerile approach to serving the people, and if they can bring Independents with them November next, the Republicans are in for real bad news.

When you can find a poll that asks questions that elicit usable information, like where on the curve of normal distribution of opinions Obama's administration, or Congress, jointly and severally, fall, THAT would be big news.

Don't expect that, though, because the pollsters have a resounding suspicion that THOSE poll numbers would be black clouds indeed for the Republicans.

When the Pollsters want to give us real indicators of where politics sits nationwide, they will pick much larger samples and ask questions that permit responders to specify just how much they agree or disagree with their particular Representative, Senator, Governor, and the President, and Why and how intensely they hold those feelings.

That kind of poll CAN'T be done overnight using a random sample of a thousand Northern Virginia voters who still have land lines.

Posted by: ceflynline | October 8, 2009 4:27 PM | Report abuse

All politics is local, hoever, I would hate to be a "blue dog" if we get health care reform with a STRONG public option through.

Posted by: nwsjnky1 | October 8, 2009 1:29 PM | Report abuse

FEAR FRIDAY MOON BOMBING COULD RAIN GREEN GOO ON EARTH FOR DECADES.

Friday's Moon bombing, via thermonuclear device, is feared to potentially dislodge gigatons of cublic meters of the moon's green cheese into the vacuum of space. Furthermore, the extreme temperature fluctuations - first from the melting in the nanoseconds following the blast, then from refreezing in the vacuum of space - are predicted to transmogrify the fine Stilton level quality of the Moon's cheese to more of a velveeta by the time the chunks reach earth and penetrate our atmosphere. The real fear is that not only will we suffer periodic showers of nacho-cheese of a comparable consistency to that pumped from cans at the ballpark commencing immediately after the blast, but that the debris ring will leave a trail of crystalized cheese chunks in our planet's orbit that we will reencounter annually during the early days of October. NASA predicts that these showers will be difficult to predict. Residents of earth, both legal and undocumented, should never enter open spaces without sound protection of a type to which cheese is not likely to adhere. Aluminum foil is one recommended material, though NASA encourages residents to expand their protective gear to golf-umbrella sized, at a minimum, rather than the more conventional but minimally protective beany style. Propellers are optional.

Posted by: bsimon1 | October 7, 2009 11:20 PM | Report abuse

FEAR FRIDAY MOON BOMBING COULD CAUSE MOON RINGS, DIM MOONLIGHT

http://nowpublic.com/world/nasas-friday-moon-bombing-weapons-test-disguise

OR (IF LINK CORRUPTED / DISABLED):

http://NowPublic.com/scrivener

Posted by: scrivener50 | October 7, 2009 9:37 PM | Report abuse

I think if health care is passed, and some pro-job creation legislation is passed by the first of the year, you will see Democrats more likely to praise the current Congress. Many Democrats are ambivalent toward the current Congress because Congressional leadership has been unable to silence and overcome conservative Democrats. When people like Mike Ross in the House and Ben Nelson in the Senate are constantly whining and behaving like Republicans, and getting tons of publicity for it, many rank-and-file Democrats get very concerned.

Posted by: OHIOCITIZEN | October 7, 2009 9:36 PM | Report abuse

BRIGHTHOUSE cable in florida is having systematic signal interruption during prime time. Oddly enough, CNN or FOX are never affected but MSNBC is always out. This is the fifth time in a month and it is beginning to look like a trend.

Posted by: seemstome | October 7, 2009 9:29 PM | Report abuse

FWIW: the last couple threads in "The Rising" have been Democrats, so that should make drindl and broadwayjoe happy. Our gracious host has yet to profile an actual THIRD PARTY candidate among "The Rising".

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 8:40 PM | Report abuse

shrink2:

What would you think about a Palin-Bloomberg ticket?

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 8:25 PM | Report abuse

why not bring back the Bull Moose Party. Again, you need a party
to run with. That is why the Nader people always amused me... the
guy could not get elected mayor, because he was running as an
individual, not a collective. Since there is not a dime's difference
between the parties... why would they work to make one man look
them and they look bad.

Posted by: angriestdogintheworld | October 7, 2009 8:19 PM | Report abuse

without a Party to work with he COULD have said the mid-terms
don't matter. I'm still unclear of why he quit the race... lesbian
daughter wedding pictures and ninjas in his yard springs to mind.
And obviously, my point was that a vote split between multiple
candidates does not represent mandate.

Posted by: angriestdogintheworld | October 7, 2009 8:14 PM | Report abuse

If Rush wants to purchase a team with a long losing streak and very poor management, making them the laughingstock of the industry

he should buy the Obama administration.

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 8:14 PM | Report abuse

If she can't get Mitt Romney to agree to be her VP candidate, I hope that Gov. Palin makes a break from the GOP and takes advantage of that growing distrust of government in general. The American INDEPENDENT Party is ready, willing and able to step up and help her : )

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 8:10 PM | Report abuse

One day a salesman stood up in a business meeting at IBM and suggested that instead of just selling big boxes to companies that they should also sell them services.

He was laughed at and asked to sit down, so he eventually quit.

He started a company that would be the largest IT services company in the world.

Hi name was Ross Perot.

Posted by: JRM2 | October 7, 2009 8:08 PM | Report abuse

Just because support from the base has dropped doesn't mean it will go to the Repubs.

I believe this is a result of the enormous tasks at hand in fixing this badly damaged country, the result being a growing distrust of government in general.

Posted by: JRM2 | October 7, 2009 8:05 PM | Report abuse

Are you equating Ross Perot with Adolf Hitler?

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 8:02 PM | Report abuse

angriestdogintheworld:

You are forgetting that I'm not a Republican. I actually hope that BOTH major parties continue to slide downwards and a real third party movement can take hold.

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 7:18 PM | Report abuse
=====================================

how Hitler got in with 18% and Ross Perot almost. The Two-
party system has many drawbacks but when you have a majority
electing a ding-a-ling, you are vested, and the other half goes
along (in theory based on margin of victory). I think Obama has
deferred to Congress to run the show as a partnership. It
stands in sharp contrast to the NeoCons as either represents a
step forward or two steps back. In this case... since the
NeoCons left us with two Vietnams and crashed capitalism, HAS
to be a step forward as we work our way forward.

Posted by: angriestdogintheworld | October 7, 2009 7:44 PM | Report abuse

What about 56? BHO's approval just went up SIX points according to the latest AP poll--a fact noted by most media outlets.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | October 7, 2009 7:30 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for posting

http://www.craigspr.org

Posted by: craigspr | October 7, 2009 7:27 PM | Report abuse

Mental Health = Psychological Flexibility

Neuropsychological flexibility, actually.

Healthy people adapt to reality, they adjust their wishes and fears, test their assumptions and think both carefully and critically about the what they expected versus what actually happened.

Unhealthy people are rigid. They have to adapt reality to their wishes and fears. They reject non-conforming facts. Curiosity is anathema.

Posted by: shrink2 | October 7, 2009 7:23 PM | Report abuse

angriestdogintheworld:

You are forgetting that I'm not a Republican. I actually hope that BOTH major parties continue to slide downwards and a real third party movement can take hold.

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 7:18 PM | Report abuse

WOO HOO!!! Happy days are here again ...

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 2:13 PM | Report abuse

=====================================

I've heard of Coo Coo for Cocoa Puffs but a poll showing the
repuglicans half what they were when they lost the election by 8
points? Then again, if Bush/Cheney Darkside were still around
they would be tweeking those numbers with Orange Alerts and
Bird Flu epidemics.

Posted by: angriestdogintheworld | October 7, 2009 7:15 PM | Report abuse

yeah, shrink, i bet these are harder to deal with, mental health wise, than your average patient.

Posted by: drindl | October 7, 2009 6:27 PM | Report abuse

"Obama's policies are hurting average Americans. You have to be crazy to continue supporting the Dems economic policies when you are out of work, making less or scared to death Obama and company are going wreck the country."

You folks are very easily 'scared to death.' Your rightwing handlers know how to push your hot buttons and feed you propaganda. Because you apparently don't know that it was republican policies that wrecked the economy. Apparently you don't read newspapers or have a functional memory, and get all your 'infomration' from Fox.

This is just sad.

Posted by: drindl | October 7, 2009 6:24 PM | Report abuse

Meghan Stapleton, Palin spokesperson, also noted at the time:

"The Palins have no intention of providing a ratings boost for David Letterman by appearing on his show. Plus, it would be wise to keep Willow away from David Letterman."

Dave probably wanted to get Willow into his secret bedroom located above the Ed Sullivan (who would be turning over in his grave) Theatre.

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 6:12 PM | Report abuse

Seems like Gov. Palin was onto something when she noted:

"Laughter incited by sexually-perverted comments made by a 62-year-old male celebrity aimed at a 14-year-old girl is not only disgusting, but it reminds us some Hollywood/NY entertainers have a long way to go in understanding what the rest of America understands - that acceptance of inappropriate sexual comments about an underage girl, who could be anyone's daughter, contributes to the atrociously high rate of sexual exploitation of minors by older men who use and abuse others."

What do you think of this, shrink2:

http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/addiction-in-society/200910/so-david-letterman-thinks-sarah-palin-is-white-trash

In other news, N.O.W. came out against David Letterman for the "toxic" work environment and urged CBS "to take action immediately to rectify this situation. With just two women on CBS' board of directors, we're not holding our breath."

http://www.cnn.com/2009/SHOWBIZ/TV/10/07/letterman.now/index.html

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 5:56 PM | Report abuse

"...having a Muslim stamp sold by the post office, the Muslims demonstrating in Wash.DC this past month...
Posted by: libertymeanslife | October 7, 2009 5:07 PM "

What's wrong with a Muslim stamp?

And, are you talking about the prayer gathering?

Posted by: Crucialitis | October 7, 2009 5:42 PM | Report abuse

"you liberals are going to need a... (blah blah blah)" I stopped listening after you specified "liberals" because the rest was bound to be blathering homophilia.

Posted by: Crucialitis | October 7, 2009 5:38 PM | Report abuse

I'd rather have Alvin the chipmunk than any Republican. The party of hate is going to be shocked again at the next elections. They never learn. Their Fuhrer is running out on them, he's buying a football team with all the money those right wing retards gave him. They're leaderless again. Maybe Sarah will take charge ... lmao

Posted by: wasaUFO | October 7, 2009 5:26 PM | Report abuse

Y'see the problem with post-it boards in general are the saelij and libertymeanslife crowd.

At least here there are a few things I can read each day with actual information, intelligent repartee or at least a funny joke.

Posted by: shrink2 | October 7, 2009 5:18 PM | Report abuse

Ask the same group if they want to turn the government back over to Republicans.
Not after they spent thirty years doing everything they could to turn America into a third world country.

No Way!

Posted by: thebobbob | October 7, 2009 5:12 PM | Report abuse

Why are we dissatisfied with our present government? Too many answers to post but for starters: 1) our govt. is too liberal, becoming socialist. The Empire State Bldg. honored Communist China by lighting red and yellow on the 60th anniversary of communist takeover of China this past week; Obama bowing to the King of S.Arabia, befriending the Venezuela socialist leader, having a Muslim stamp sold by the post office, the Muslims demonstrating in Wash.DC this past month; Obama getting less friendly with Israel; Obama appointing so many Czars which can be done without Congress approval, most of whom are radicals; Obama lying on natl. TV when interviewed by George S. saying he did not know ACORN was getting federal money when he was a big part of ACORN while in Chicago. Congress attempting to ram a health care bill thru that had so many extremely bad sections for Seniors, etc. Nancy Pelosi saying the Tea Parties were Nazi like, as well as other liberals saying bad things about these people who are people from the heart of America; the Democrats wanting to give health care to illegals; the Democrats not doing enough to solve our problems with illegals entering our country, breaking our laws, etc. I could go on and on. The Democrats in Congress are awful. We need to kick all of them out of office.

Posted by: libertymeanslife | October 7, 2009 5:07 PM | Report abuse

"So these dissatisfied Democrats can't cause much damage."

Disagree; see CC's point about lack of enthusiasm in the base and what it means to Democrats in historically Republican districts.

Democrats may not vote Republican; but will they contribute, canvas, or bother voting?

It's not a good sign; but I agree that the economy will be key and there's still a lot of time between now and 11/10 -- more time than is displayed in the graph above.

Posted by: nodebris | October 7, 2009 4:52 PM | Report abuse

Obama's policies are hurting average Americans. You have to be crazy to continue supporting the Dems economic policies when you are out of work, making less or scared to death Obama and company are going wreck the country. There only response is to print more money which in turn makes the economy even weaker. All of the present Dems in Congress need to be retired in 2010 and 2012.

Posted by: saelij | October 7, 2009 4:46 PM | Report abuse

"...it's clear that the party base is not currently energized about how Congressional Democrats are doing."

Not sure it's that clear. Democratic disapproval of Congress as a whole could stem exclusively from frustration with Congressional Republicans, rather than disenchantment with their own party.

Posted by: kingpigeon | October 7, 2009 4:38 PM | Report abuse

you liberals are going to need a chiropracter after trying to twist your way into blaming someone else for all your failures. did you forget that you have had congress for three years now. that the press is your water carrier. that you have the WH in charge of making decisions. Ok that last sentence was funny in its preposterous assumptions.

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 4:23 PM | Report abuse

Chris, I think you are misinterpreting the data.

As asked, "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?', the data could just as easily mean that Democrats were happy in the Spring when the party was able to move several important pieces of legislation quickly (look, even the Republicans were happier when things were happening). Now? Everything’s locked down in insolence and acrimony, no legislation is passing, and everybody can see the results. I think the poll shows Democrats and Republicans angry at this sad stalemate.

Interpreting this data to mean the public has become raving Republicans 11 months after the election is a mistake.

Posted by: margaretmeyers | October 7, 2009 3:58 PM | Report abuse

It's no problem to you, Chris that one of your posters is calling another a pedophile--and this about democrats? Is this the kind of sewage you want here? I have to point out that as this is a semi-moderated blog, the Post is responsible for the comments section here -- and a lot of people find this kind of thing very offensive:

'this explains a lot. we can see the evidence when the butch liberals are tougher than thier "male" counterparts. and the males go for the boys. the last segment are the bosses who sleep with their employees or drug their victims.

surrender is no longer just a political approach. it is woven into the fabric of liberalism.

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 3:02 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: drindl | October 7, 2009 3:35 PM | Report abuse

"But the low approval rating isn't going to strike fear into the hearts of Congressional Democrats, because it won't really affect them."

This is true. The only people they are afraid of work on K Street.

Posted by: shrink2 | October 7, 2009 3:34 PM | Report abuse

The Gallup poll is an outlier. Other polls are showing much different results. fyi:

'It is interesting to note that James Clifton who bought the Gallup organization is a big Republican donor. He gave thousands to Right Wing Republican Georgia Senate candidate Herman Cain. (See http://www.opensecrets.org ) Cain ran as a huge backer of cutting taxes for the wealthiest Americans.'

so this is no surprise.

Posted by: drindl | October 7, 2009 3:31 PM | Report abuse

shrink2: Oh, I agree. It's a problem for the country that Congress can't get anything done. (At least, a problem for those of us who actually want Congress to accomplish things. i.e., Democrats.) But the low approval rating isn't going to strike fear into the hearts of Congressional Democrats, because it won't really affect them.

Posted by: Blarg | October 7, 2009 3:25 PM | Report abuse

jaked - her traffic just jumped 1000 percent. imagine. a visitor. watch out olbermann and retching madcow, the moonbat is

approaching from behind.

chrissy NAMBLA will think this is about him now.

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 3:17 PM | Report abuse

As an utterly dissatisfied Democrat, I think this is the wrong way to see the problem.
Of course I'll never vote Republican.

==

This pretty much sums it up.

All these CC blog entries carry the implicit assumption that any bad news for Democrats translates perforce to good news for Republicans, and that just isn't true at all.

I've worn out the frying pan / fire analogy already but yeah that's how it is.

Even if Democratic dissatisfaction translated to many staying home on election day, the GOP is still way short of voters, and considering what sort of heavy-brow-ridge nutjob they're going to nominate, they need a lot more than Democratic dissatisfaction.

They'd need a miracle.

And Romney, Pawlenty, Palin, whoever, can't supply one.

Maybe Palin can do some "speaking in tongues" or handle a rattlesnake in church.

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | October 7, 2009 3:10 PM | Report abuse

Interesting:

http://www.smirkingchimp.com/user/claudia_long

Thanks for the heads up : )

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 3:07 PM | Report abuse

exactly. another failed liberal attempt at commerce. do you get why she has so much free time?

But that was back when attacking every aspect of a president was noble, expected and the highest form of patriotism.

As you now know, that sentiment is strictly racist these days.

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 3:04 PM | Report abuse

It ushered in the 1960s sexual revolution and gave women control over their own fertility. But according to a new study, the Pill may also have changed women's taste in men. Scientists say the hormones in the oral contraceptive suppress a female's interest in masculine men - and make boyish men more attractive.


this explains a lot. we can see the evidence when the butch liberals are tougher than thier "male" counterparts. and the males go for the boys. the last segment are the bosses who sleep with their employees or drug their victims.

surrender is no longer just a political approach. it is woven into the fabric of liberalism.

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 3:02 PM | Report abuse

snowbama:

Is she the same "Claudia Long" from www.shirkingchimp.com?!

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 3:01 PM | Report abuse

"So these dissatisfied Democrats can't cause much damage."

As an utterly dissatisfied Democrat, I think this is the wrong way to see the problem.
Of course I'll never vote Republican.

But the useless Congress is causing a great deal of damage.

Posted by: shrink2 | October 7, 2009 2:58 PM | Report abuse

Ms. NAMBLA is unusually nasty today. Perhaps it was spending the whole minimum wage paycheck on "company". Or the boss finally figuring out where the entire development project money went - to the FIX?

Is there some sort of loose arrangement whereby claudia takes the early am shift and chrissy clocks in afternoons. That way an angry feminist liberal loon can always watch over the blog.

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 2:54 PM | Report abuse

The opinion of the American people in 2010 will be determined by the state of the economy in June- July 2010 as reflected in the employment figures next fall.

==

And even if the job numbers have not improved significantly I doubt people are ready to leave the frying pan for the fire. Republicans would make things a lot worse and both sides know it.

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | October 7, 2009 2:54 PM | Report abuse

very good comment by blarg--sums it up.

The democrats who are dissatisfied with congress are those on the left end of the scale. I know lots of them. But they will never, ever vote for a republican, so it's a meaningless number, except as blarg says, in a close race if the dems stay home.But I really don't see much changing in 2010.

All the noise about dissatisfaction on the right is from the small number of unstable people [just 2% of the population] who pay attention to rightwing TV and radio.

Posted by: drindl | October 7, 2009 2:52 PM | Report abuse

The opinion of the American people in 2010 will be determined by the state of the economy in June- July 2010 as reflected in the employment figures next fall.

Posted by: Gator-ron | October 7, 2009 2:50 PM | Report abuse

The "conservative" SCOTUS is the problem.
They made graft protected free speech.
Pay to play is enshrined in the constitution,it turns out.

"Lobbying" is not free speech, it is influence peddling and as much as everyone says they despise "special interests", they control Congress. Not a partisan issue. I can list industry spokesflaks on both sides.

So go ahead, hate on Congress all you want America, they are only doing what they are paid to do, just like everybody else.

Posted by: shrink2 | October 7, 2009 2:41 PM | Report abuse

More Bad News for Democrats... no wonder you attract such idiotic posters as joke and snowflake, who have no other lives but this board. Did you ever count how many hundreds of posts they both make every day?

==

What do you expect? Snowbama is in a mental institution and when he's not venting his rage here all he has to do is listening to the ramblings of his fellow mental patients. Dullards with depression, real exciting. So he posts here until someone forces him away from the PC to let one of the ramblers get a shot.

And JakeD might as well be in a mental institution, because posting here is his whole "life."

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | October 7, 2009 2:34 PM | Report abuse

Isn't Democratic approval still twice what it was in Jan '09? Wonder what it was at in Nov. '08, your chart doesn't go back that far.

Posted by: nodebris | October 7, 2009 2:34 PM | Report abuse

Does this mean Democrats are going to vote for the Republican Party?

No.

Does it mean that Congressional Democrats are in trouble?

No.

Because after the dust settles you still have an opposition party with nothing to offer whatsoever and plenty of bad ideas that have failed and failed recently. Voters haven't forgotten what a fecal pile the GOP left us with.

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | October 7, 2009 2:31 PM | Report abuse

This number isn't as important as you say.

If you're unhappy with Congress because nothing gets done or because the Democrats are too meek, voting for the Republican is counterproductive. So these dissatisfied Democrats can't cause much damage. They might stay home, which will matter in sufficiently close districts. Or they might vote for someone else in a primary, if there's a decent opposing candidate. But for the most part, people will continue to hate Congress and vote for their Congressmen anyway. Just like they always do.

By the way, in May 2008 the Congressional approval rating among Democrats was 16%. That was 6 months before an election in which the Democrats gained huge numbers of seats. So it's hard to worry too much about 36%.

Posted by: Blarg | October 7, 2009 2:31 PM | Report abuse

looks like someone's mailbox is about to be full of complaint letters.

the usual idiot has little else to do. Can one do battle with a person with all their time free and no sense of scale. CC, she can spend all week sending mass emails. You had best comply, as you typically do.

Is it any wonder why liberal men are so gutless. could anyone be forced to listen to this tripe all day, every day in person?

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 2:30 PM | Report abuse

"The visceral distaste for then President George W. Bush among Democratic base voters -- and the Republican base's lack of energy in support of him -- is directly attributable to the considerable gains Democrats made in the House and Senate in 2006."

Think you're mixing up cause and effect?

But I imagine there will be a sort of regression to the mean effect in 2010. I don't think you'll see a change in party control barring a major event. Obama is seen as competent in comparison to his predecessor in 2006, so I don't think this will be a backlash election. I think people will just go to their natural inclinations. This means some blue dogs lose, but it also means people will tend to support the incumbent. That aspect will mitigate the losses the Dems will most likely take in 2010. You can't predict what will happen a year from now, but I can't imagine there will be the anger that there was in 2006. The environment will definitely be less favorable, but it won't be downright toxic.

Posted by: DDAWD | October 7, 2009 2:29 PM | Report abuse

It doesn't take much brainpower (more than the trolls can muster, of course) to figure out that most voters (excluding the rightwingnut fringe) are disappointed with Congress because of the failure to enact Democratic initiatives, which is why the voters gave the Dems such a healthy majority last November. Hard to see these voters going Republican.

Posted by: koolkat_1960 | October 7, 2009 2:29 PM | Report abuse

More Bad News for Democrats... no wonder you attract such idiotic posters as joke and snowflake, who have no other lives but this board. Did you ever count how many hundreds of posts they both make every day?

Sad.

Posted by: drindl | October 7, 2009 2:22 PM | Report abuse

CC writes:
"The visceral distaste for then President George W. Bush among Democratic base voters -- and the Republican base's lack of energy in support of him -- is directly attributable to the considerable gains Democrats made in the House and Senate in 2006."

Perhaps you mean this the other way around? That the considerable gains by the Ds in 2006 were directly attributable to distaste of GWB by Ds and apathy by Rs.

In any case, it would have been more informative to know why approval of Congress by Ds has dropped. Is it because of dissatisfaction with the job the Ds are doing? Or is it because of R obstructionism?

Posted by: mnteng | October 7, 2009 2:20 PM | Report abuse

WOO HOO!!! Happy days are here again ...

Posted by: JakeD | October 7, 2009 2:13 PM | Report abuse

it's clear that the party base is not currently energized about how Congressional Democrats are doing.


Ummmm

they have done nothing. what's to get excited about? Present ident Barry has yet to make a single decision of consequence. He is like a deer caught in the headlights.

Posted by: snowbama | October 7, 2009 2:06 PM | Report abuse

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