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And the winner is....

For the first time in the history of the Fix election prediction contest, we have a three-way tie for first!! (Which, of course, reminds us of Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman's pronouncement after finishing fifth in the 2004 presidential primary in New Hampshire that he was in a three-way tie for third.)

With more than 250 entries -- a record number -- the three winners came within .2 percent TOTAL of the final margin.

Before we get to the winners, let's look at the vote totals, according to the Associated Press:

Scott Brown 1,168,107 (51.9%)
Martha Coakley 1,058,682 (47.1%)
Joe Kennedy 22,237 (1%)

And now, the winners. The envelope please.....:

1. "Dummypants"
2. "bjammin109"
3. "KathyCorey"

All three called the race Brown 52 percent, Coakley 47 percent Kennedy one percent. And, all three have won themselves an official Fix t-shirt. (If you are one of the three winners, e-mail at chris.cillizza@wpost.com with your preferred size and a mailing address.)

"Dummypants" also wowed with his/her suggested headline coming out of the race: "Brown makes like Mookie, Coakley makes like Buckner." VERY well played.

For those who didn't win, never fear. We will have LOTS more prediction contests as the midterm elections heat up.

By Chris Cillizza  |  January 21, 2010; 3:30 PM ET
Categories:  Senate  
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Next: Political analysts predict tough midterm election for Democrats in Congress

Comments

Obaama:

Our host, Chris Cillizza, has asked that we simply ignore "Noacoler". Thank you for your cooperation.

Posted by: JakeD | January 22, 2010 1:31 PM | Report abuse

So I'm here less, Bondosan, but I do still post. There isn't any secret agreement with "the others" (although our secret meeting place is HEAVEN compared to here).

Posted by: margaretmeyers
------------------------------------------
There is still a few, precious hours to call into Air America.

Posted by: leapin | January 22, 2010 11:01 AM | Report abuse

If you think the sea level's going to rise, better get to higher ground, because the thought that we can stop it is laughable.

Posted by: Obaama
-------------------------------------------
He doesn't mean it can be stopped physically thru some kind of legislative action. He's counting on Obama's self-proclaimed ability to control the tides.

Posted by: leapin | January 22, 2010 10:54 AM | Report abuse

Some latter-day Madam deFarge should knit the names of all the climate catastrophe deniers into the wool and years from now when the coastal cities are flooding and people are dying of heatstroke in Connecticut she can read out the names to the displaced mobs so they can drag their loyal Republican neighbors from their homes and hang them from lampposts like they deserve.

Of all the damned idiocy. Glaciers breaking up, polar caps disappearing before our eyes, what the hell does it take to convince these nincompoops.

Posted by: Noacoler

>_>_>_>_>_>

If you think the sea level's going to rise, better get to higher ground, because the thought that we can stop it is laughable.

Posted by: Obaama | January 22, 2010 10:19 AM | Report abuse

Did I say 37th wrote on CLIMATOLOGY?

S/he writes on

COSMETOLOGY.

It was his/her FUTURE OF SPRAY-ON TANS paper

that was brilliant.

We won't be NEEDING them in the

FUTURE.

Posted by: margaretmeyers | January 22, 2010 6:25 AM | Report abuse

Some latter-day Madam deFarge should knit the names of all the climate catastrophe deniers into the wool and years from now when the coastal cities are flooding and people are dying of heatstroke in Connecticut she can read out the names to the displaced mobs so they can drag their loyal Republican neighbors from their homes and hang them from lampposts like they deserve.

Of all the damned idiocy.  Glaciers breaking up, polar caps disappearing before our eyes, what the hell does it take to convince these nincompoops.

Posted by: Noacoler | January 22, 2010 2:03 AM | Report abuse

Bondosan


what is your name supposed to mean?

Good Sleep?

Bon Dozzzing?


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 22, 2010 1:16 AM | Report abuse

Bondosan


Check out the climategate emails - the data you are referring to has been faked.

I hate to tell you, but the hottest decade was the 1930s.

But who cares about a dataset of 150 years?

10,0000 years ago New York and Chicago were covered with ice.

That ice was a quarter mile thick - and guess what ? ALL THE ICE MELTED. WHAT A CRISIS.

SORRY BONDOSAN but those people with the tree rings got you fooled?


BONDOSAN - let me tell you something - a little advice.

DON'T GIVE THE GLOBAL WARMISTS ANY GRANT MONEY.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 22, 2010 1:14 AM | Report abuse

Heh, guess who was on a Colbert clip for half a second saying that Obama hasn't delivered anything.

Posted by: DDAWD | January 21, 2010 11:38 PM | Report abuse

Margaret, I appreciate your kind words.

37th: Check out this article just posted on the NYTimes:

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/22/science/earth/22warming.html?

Here's the first two paragraphs:

"The decade ending in 2009 was the warmest on record, new surface temperature figures released Thursday by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration show.

The agency also found that 2009 was the second warmest year since 1880, when modern temperature measurement began. The warmest year was 2005. The other hottest recorded years have all occurred since 1998, NASA said."

Perhaps I'm looking at the past through rose-colored glasses, but I vaguely remember a time when both major political parties dealt with facts and recognized problems, even if they didn't always agree on the solutions.

Now Republicans invent their own facts, deny that problems exist, and offer no solutions.

But they know that they hate taxes and that Curt Schilling played for the Red Sox.

Sigh.

Posted by: Bondosan | January 21, 2010 10:33 PM | Report abuse

BREAKING NEWS


Obama never got Ben Bernanke confirmed to his re-appointment to be Chairman of the Federal Reserve.


Another case of Obama mis-management.


In the current environment, looks like Obama will not be able to confirm Bernanke - and his term ONLY HAS 10 DAYS LEFT TO GO.


Obama really made a critical error by not concentrating on the economy last year.

Other things apparently have gone mis-managed as well.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 10:25 PM | Report abuse

Obama just experienced a lost of a swing of 30 points in Massachusetts.


Obama started at a 62 - 36 edge.


Which is + 26 - Brown won by 5 that is a 30 point swing.

Ouch Ouch Ouch.

I think this dose of reality is the right medicine for Washington.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 10:19 PM | Report abuse

I want a recount! I'm sure that a combination of hanging chads, absentee ballots and a little assistance from Acorn will move matters in my direction (50-48-2 in favor of Brown).

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | January 21, 2010 9:13 PM | Report abuse

I want a recount! I'm sure that a combination of hanging chads, absentee ballots and a little assistance from Acorn will move matters in my direction (50-48-2 in favor of Brown).

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | January 21, 2010 9:13 PM | Report abuse

BJ was off by 200 percent in his prediction. Now I suppose he will regal us with his unemployment foreshadows.

Posted by: Moonbat | January 21, 2010 8:49 PM | Report abuse

BREAKING NEWS


NANCY PELOSI HOLDS NEWS CONFERENCE TO ANNOUNCE SHE AGREES WITH 37thandOst


37thandOStreet is RIGHT AGAIN


Todays Washington Post reports in the article about Pelosi's news conference:

"To satisfy what she and other House leaders saw at the White House's preference, Pelosi has been struggling for days to sell the Senate legislation to reluctant Democrats in order to get a health-care bill to the president's desk quickly. But party moderates have raised doubts about forging ahead without bipartisan support -- a challenge as the midterm election approaches -- while liberals rejected the Senate bill as not going far enough"


____________________________________

BIPARTISAN SUPPORT - JUST ABOUT WHAT I HAVE BEEN SAYING ALL MONTH.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 8:38 PM | Report abuse

Poor Madge. The utter imbecelic liberal mutual admiration society has been disbanded after three long years of uniturrupted failure. Kind of like NBC.

Posted by: Moonbat | January 21, 2010 8:36 PM | Report abuse

Obama and the democrats have been deluding themselves all year long.

I guess their heads are spinning round and round and round -

Obama's head turned around at least eight times during that ABC interview.

Bring McConnell and McCain in.


Figure out what 80% of the health care bill the Republicans will accept - create a truly bipartisan bill. That will pass.


Obama

Obama then has to get a real jobs bill in there. I would suggest a mix of a federal WPA-style jobs program - and massive incentives for small businesses to hire workers. Make small businesses a really sweet deal to hire people.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 8:30 PM | Report abuse

SuzyC


Touche and you have a point


However -


The point is that Obama is talking crazy talk since the election on Tuesday.

Obama actually said that he is supposed to be telling the American people "about what their values are."

This is certainly not clear thinking about what happened this week.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 8:22 PM | Report abuse

The trolls won

==

of course they won. Not only do they have no other uses for their time, e.g. a job, but they have no need to be accurate or honest, and, most of all, it was never a fair fight. The fix was in.

Almost all the posters who were worth reading have given up and left, yet CC still acts like he's got a big problem with people like me.

Maybe that would change if I kissed his butt like Jake but I ain't sticking MY tongue up there.

Posted by: Noacoler | January 21, 2010 8:17 PM | Report abuse

Obama says he "did not spend enough time last year speaking to the American people about what their values are."
Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 8:07 PM


37, check these Obama stats.

SPEECHES, COMMENTS & REMARKS: 411
NEWS CONFERENCES: 42
INTERVIEWS: 158
TOWN HALL MEETINGS: 23

http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2010/01/20/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry6119525.shtml

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 21, 2010 8:17 PM | Report abuse

Broad____joe


Please apologize to the American people.

And Rasmussen.

Not Rasputin Rasmussen.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 8:09 PM | Report abuse

Obama says he "did not spend enough time last year speaking to the American people about what their values are."


WHAT ???


Did Obama really say that? Like he is supposed to be telling us what our values are ???

Obama is completely confused.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 8:07 PM | Report abuse

Check and see: I did predict/guarantee the winning margin would be five. :)

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 21, 2010 8:02 PM


You're right but that was in the NJ race. You predicted Corzine would win by five.

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 21, 2010 8:06 PM | Report abuse

Check and see: I did predict/guarantee the winning margin would be five. :)

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 21, 2010 8:02 PM | Report abuse

"Bondosan, I have been feeling much as you have.

For the last few months I feel that Cillizza is mostly maneuvering for more television time (I understand that is wise for a family man), and posting Republican and conservative talking points with no analysis involved between their emails and his blog. This makes his column boring to read, frustrating, and not very informative (the Edwards is my daddy post for example)."
__________

Co-sign.

The trolls won. Nowadays, some of Fix strings feature "comments" exclusively from the three trolls--it's turned into their private email. :) I am still waiting for the slightest positive mention of our 44th President by the Fix. Guess I'll be waiting awhile. It's easier to cut and paste RNC media advisories and treat a Washington Post internet platform like a personal facebook.

BTW, some of the legit analysis is indicating Coakley lost because of her inability to get her base out (especially the young people), much like Creigh Deeds failed to do in his race against McDonnell in Virginia. She took the win for granted (she vacationed during the campaign!) and paid the price. Of course Drudge/Fix World will push the Coakley-loss-as-referendum-on-BHO false narrative without any factual basis.

Oh well.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | January 21, 2010 7:59 PM | Report abuse

Mr Cillizza, do you have a consolation prize? I haven't seen broadwayjoe today. Please send it to him.

Posted by: SuzyCcup | January 21, 2010 7:58 PM | Report abuse

Does 37th think there is

ANY topic

he doesn't know everything about?

His papers on climatology are brilliant, I hear.

I hope his toilet training is going well.

.


Posted by: margaretmeyers | January 21, 2010 7:44 PM | Report abuse

Bondosan, I have been feeling much as you have.

For the last few months I feel that Cillizza is mostly maneuvering for more television time (I understand that is wise for a family man), and posting Republican and conservative talking points with no analysis involved between their emails and his blog. This makes his column boring to read, frustrating, and not very informative (the Edwards is my daddy post for example).

The other problem I have here is that the comment section really is just a lot of blather. It's politics as a game of high sticking. I can make jokes about the Centerfold from Massachusetts (or the Senator from Cosmopolitan), or I can

POKE FUN

at 37th and Mr. Quitter Palin.

But in the end, this blog isn't about policy or good governance (quite the opposite) or a better future. That goes for Cillizza's column and the recent flood of posts from the trolls. It's mostly repetitive shouting and vicious speculation. The people who I enjoy reading -- you, Mark, Mike, bsimon, drindl, Koolkat, BB, Ddawd, Elijah, Optimyst, Joe (a bunch of others, too) -- they aren't here so much. So I don't have much to say to the three trolls under the bridge. Who would? All you want to do is posture, jibe and ask ANYONE ELSE? There's almost no discourse.

So I'm here less, Bondosan, but I do still post. There isn't any secret agreement with "the others" (although our secret meeting place is HEAVEN compared to here).

Posted by: margaretmeyers | January 21, 2010 7:38 PM | Report abuse

Is it possible that 5 or 6 names on here have been 2 people working together ??


They leave and come in together.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 6:45 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: JCWilmore | January 21, 2010 6:43 PM | Report abuse

broad____joe is DDAWD

DDAWD is broad____joe

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 6:32 PM | Report abuse

Bondosan, as per gridlock...

One has to wonder if this will work both ways. Democrats in congress don't seem to be interested in obstructionism as the Republicans are. Hell, Republicans seemed to lose their sh*t even over the bill to delay the switch to digital TV. Mitch McConnell just straight up lied about the 80% concordance on health care. He and 37 of Republicans won't vote on anything. Just like with the stimulus package. Democrats conceded point after point and still got no movement in terms of votes. I don't know if the Democrats would filibuster everything under the sun if they became the minority party (the could certainly have easily done so during the Bush years. They were never as depleted as the Republicans are now.), but they will have all the incentive in the world to do so. I think Democrats have a greater sense of morality and patriotism to do that.

But what Democrats can do is be more forceful with the political fight. I don't know if you read Nate Silver's great column on comparing the Iraq War vs health care. With the case of Iraq, the public was against it. However, Bush and the Republicans lied, lied, lied, and lied about Hussein and his connections to Al Qaeda until they garnered public support.

The provisions of the health care bill are very popular. It contains a mandate, contains protection for those with pre-existing conditions, will reduce the deficit. However, like with the Iraq War, the Republicans lied, lied, lied, and lied. They argued about a government takeover even though there's zero government involvement in HC distribution. They said there would be no mandate - a straight lie. They said it would increase the deficit - a straight lie. They chirped about death panels - also a lie. But the lies stuck and a bill containing provisions popular with the public became unpopular.

cont...

Posted by: DDAWD | January 21, 2010 6:06 PM | Report abuse

What can the Democrats do? Well, they can do what they always do, run scared. That seems to be the path of everyone of them except for Pelosi and Obama. What they need to do is to start yelling back just as loudly. They need to call McConnell a liar. And yes, use that word. Martha Coackley should have been calling Brown a liar instead of talking about baseball. If the Democrats can hammer the truth just as loudly as Republicans hammer lies, I think they will win some more battles. I mean, hell, allowing the Republicans to run over everyone hasn't been working for pretty much my whole life. Republicans went broke in their mindless support of Bush and paid dearly for it, but if Democrats refuse to press that advantage, then Republicans won't stay in the wilderness forever and come back to cause more trouble.

It's been shown over and over that Democrats' policies and stances are very popular with the public. And it makes sense. In terms of population, only like 15% of the country is represented by Republicans in the Senate. But the tiny minority is making the large majority seem inept. You and I obviously know what's going on since we follow politics. But when Democrats talk to their constituents, they need to make it crystal clear what the opposition is doing. They can't just call them the party of no. Republicans aren't simply saying no. They are negating the people who want to say yes. Dems need to say this over and over and over again. It's not easy. Dems would rather make good policy than make loud speeches, but that's part of the territory. Curling into the fetal position just because Scott Brown is going to keep a seat warm for two years accomplishes nothing. Dems need to make Republicans pay for creating gridlock.

Posted by: DDAWD | January 21, 2010 6:06 PM | Report abuse

Bondosan


Global warming is based on faked data - it was agreed by the IPCC this week that the glaciers aren't melting either.


Everytime someone who is a real scientist tracks down what the warmists have said, it doesn't add it.

It is amazing - all the warmists did was set up some wacky ideas to get the grant money flowing - then the leftists in the European community took up those lies as a means to advance their agenda. It's over.

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 5:52 PM | Report abuse

Simply not the case, Leapin. One of the major problems in California are ballot initiatives, many of which can be completely contradictory: Fully fund all afterschool programs, but don't you dare raise any taxes.

I do understand why wingnuts love gridlock: government is bad, government doesn't work, let's do away with it, and I'll just sit on my porch with my shotgun.

Well, we're heading in that direction....

Posted by: Bondosan | January 21, 2010 5:50 PM | Report abuse

A who-guessed-best contest.

How childish.

Posted by: Noacoler | January 21, 2010 5:46 PM | Report abuse

Wouldn't presume to argue with an unemployable wingnut about gridlock but this ruling is a major advance in the financialization of the USA and no country in history has ever recovered from financialization. Neither will we. This all but ensures we will never have another leader who will stand up for the American people.

No doubt the trolls are excited about their new shackles and collars. Nice rhinestone!

Posted by: Noacoler | January 21, 2010 5:43 PM | Report abuse

To see where this leads, I recommend reading Ezra Klein's recent piece in the WaPo:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/31/AR2009123103487.html?

Posted by: Bondosan
-------------------------------------------
Gridlock is not necessarily a bad thing. Especially when it prevents adding more bad to an already bad situation. Also since that existing bad situation was created, as usual, by liberal policies and liberal spending then more liberal policies and spending are not usually the solution.

Posted by: leapin | January 21, 2010 5:22 PM | Report abuse

Actually, 37th, it's usually so easy to ridicule you, Zoukie, and Jake that it really isn't worth the effort.

I was surprised that you oppose the Supreme Court decision that essentially removes any spending limits by corporations on elections. You are to be commended for that.

However, what baffles me is why you three stooges seem to be thrilled by the fact that the 30+ million Americans who don't have health insurance will continue to do without, probably for the rest of their lives.

Or that the U.S. will now do nothing to address climate change, which is quite real.

This is all because the Republicans have made a careful, calculated choice: obstruct, block, obfuscate, lie, and confuse. Eventually the people will get frustrated with the "party in power" and vote you guys in.

If the Republicans ever become the majority party in either chamber again (doubtful, but always possible), the Democrats will do the same.

To see where this leads, I recommend reading Ezra Klein's recent piece in the WaPo:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/31/AR2009123103487.html?

Posted by: Bondosan | January 21, 2010 5:14 PM | Report abuse

Getting the Israelis and Palestinians to agree to negotiate, or even to agree to the framework in which negotiations will take place, "is just really hard," US President Barack Obama said in an interview with Time magazine published Thursday, as the president was completing his first year in office. (Snip) Obama admitted that the administration ''overestimated our ability to persuade [both sides] to [negotiate] when their politics ran contrary to that.''

what an idiot.

Posted by: drivl
------------------------------------------
With these these guys history doesn't appear to go back further than 2000.

Posted by: leapin | January 21, 2010 5:14 PM | Report abuse

Getting the Israelis and Palestinians to agree to negotiate, or even to agree to the framework in which negotiations will take place, "is just really hard," US President Barack Obama said in an interview with Time magazine published Thursday, as the president was completing his first year in office. (Snip) Obama admitted that the administration ''overestimated our ability to persuade [both sides] to [negotiate] when their politics ran contrary to that.''

what an idiot.

Posted by: drivl | January 21, 2010 4:57 PM | Report abuse

Poor Nancy was busy trying to count past 200 today. Knowing what we know about liberal mathematics, is it at all surprising this was an all day affair. not only did she have to remove her own sox and shoes..........


She did not have time to send out her daily email telling her supporters what to think today.

she apologized for allowing them to linger in front of Oprah all day with empty skulls but at the root, that is the life of a liberal.

tomorrow look for fat cat trouble.

Posted by: drivl | January 21, 2010 4:53 PM | Report abuse

my only complaint about the contest is that the Fixer himself never made a prediction. Thus job security does make cowards of us all.

Congrats to the 3 winners!!

Posted by: miglefitz | January 21, 2010 4:39 PM | Report abuse

The democratic talk machine on this blog, which now appears to have been co-ordinated, has been silenced.


They have no idea who to ridicule anymore.

That's all they were doing - now they realize how unrealistic their policies were - not only health care, but their climate wackiness rested on fake data the whole time.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 4:32 PM | Report abuse

The democratic talk machine on this blog, which now appears to have been co-ordinated, has been silenced.


They have no idea who to ridicule anymore.

That's all they were doing - now they realize how unrealistic their policies were - not only health care, but their climate wackiness rested on fake data the whole time.


.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 4:32 PM | Report abuse

I think the big question is whether corporate spending on political 30-second attack ads are now tax-deductible.


I mean, if you are going to destroy the political system, you might as well go all the way, right?

.

Posted by: 37thand0street | January 21, 2010 4:18 PM | Report abuse

Cilliza,thanks for all you do. I am an ardent reader of the fix. Your idea of rewarding your readers is simply great. And by the way,I saw the pic of you and your baby on your twitter background and he looked so cute.Don't remove it anytime soon.

Posted by: postfix1 | January 21, 2010 4:00 PM | Report abuse

Congrats to the winners. My close-but-not-quite prediction only has me more eager for another shot at the t-shirt!

Posted by: acasilaco | January 21, 2010 3:44 PM | Report abuse

Way to go, dummypants. I so admire that name.

Posted by: margaretmeyers | January 21, 2010 3:39 PM | Report abuse

Congrats (I gave the "protest" Kennedy vote at 3% way too much credence):

Posted by: JakeD | January 21, 2010 3:35 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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