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CT-Sen: Dodd Claws Back



Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd has seen his numbers improve over the summer. Photo by Melina Mara of The Washington Post

Two new polls in Connecticut show that embattled Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd (D) has begun to bounce back after hitting rock bottom in late spring over his association with failed lending giant Countrywide.

A new Quinnipiac poll released this morning showed Dodd trailing former Rep. Rob Simmons (R) by five points down from a nine-point deficit in a July Q poll and a whopping 16 point gap in an April survey. That data affirms polling done by Research 2000 for the liberal Daily Kos blog earlier this month that showed Simmons at 46 percent and Dodd at 42 percent -- well within the poll's margin of error.

Looking inside the Q poll, it's clear that Dodd's political fortunes have brightened somewhat.

In April, just thirty percent of Connecticut voters saw Dodd in a favorable light while 58 percent viewed him unfavorably. Those numbers steadily improved over the summer and now Dodd's fav/unfav stands at 40/48. (That is still FAR from great -- but more on that below.)

Dodd's job approval numbers have followed a similar uptick. In April just one in three voters approved of the job Dodd was doing; in the latest Q poll 43 percent approve of how the Democratic incumbent is performing his duties.

Dodd still is underperforming in both personal and job approval among self-identified Democrats who will, presumably, come home to the incumbent before next November. Nearly one in five Democrats saw Dodd in an unfavorable light in the September Q poll while one in four disapproved of the job he is doing.

And, Dodd's numbers on leadership remain strong with 59 percent of voters saying he possesses strong leadership qualities. Given his prominent position in the Senate as chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, Dodd will almost certainly make his ability to get things done for the state the centerpiece of his coming candidacy.

While it's clear from a close examination of the polling data that Dodd bottomed out politically in April, it's also evident that it is far too soon for Democrats to be overly confident about his re-election chances next fall.

Dodd still trails Simmons, a Congressman who lost his own re-election race in 2006, in every head to head matchup we've seen. And, in the new Q poll, Dodd doesn't break 42 percent against any of the other Republicans -- former Ambassador Tom Foley, state Sen. Sam Caliguri and investor Peter Schiff -- in the race despite the fact that the trio is virtually unknown to Connecticut voters.

And, while Dodd allies painted the Senate Ethics Committee's decision to clear him of an wrongdoing in a loan granted to him by Countrywide, the Q poll suggests that ruling has had little to no positive effect on Dodd's numbers. Fifty-nine percent of those tested said the decision had no impact on their vote while 26 percent said the ruling made them think less favorably of Dodd and just 14 percent said it made them more favorable toward him.

Perhaps most troubling -- still -- for Dodd -- is the fact that more people (51 percent) said he was not honest and trustworthy than said he was (40 percent). Voters don't usually cast a ballot for people they don't trust.

Dodd's disastrous spring is clearly behind him -- until, of course, his Republican opponent dredges it all up again next fall. And, his numbers have improved in a meaningful way in a relatively short period of time.

With more than a year still remaining before Dodd must face voters, he appears to have moved his campaign from life support to critical condition.

By Chris Cillizza  |  September 17, 2009; 11:00 AM ET
Categories:  Senate  
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Comments

don't bother with Narcissistic Personality Disorder, margaret. it's not worth your time.

Posted by: drindl
With the trolls sh*tting up this thread it's almost impossible to read.

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite


It's called pulling a Dole: referring to yourself in the third person.

Posted by: snowbama | September 18, 2009 2:25 PM | Report abuse

With the trolls sh*tting up this thread it's almost impossible to read.

Posted by: GoldAndTanzanite | September 18, 2009 12:02 AM | Report abuse

JakeD, I think changing the rules in MA is inappropriate. If it happens, it should not apply to this case. My question for you is, were you this upset when the Texas State Legislature acted in a similarly craven fashion a couple of years back?

Posted by: trep1 | September 17, 2009 10:19 PM | Report abuse

UPDATE: The Massachusetts House of Representatives has given initial approval to a bill allowing Gov. Deval Patrick to name an interim appointment to the Senate seat left vacant when Edward Kennedy died last month.

The House voted 97-58 in favor of the bill Thursday evening. It needs a second vote before it moves to the Massachusetts Senate, where its outcome remains unclear.

The House remained in session Thursday and a second vote was still possible tonight.

House Speaker Robert DeLeo, a Democrat, said the change in law is needed to ensure Massachusetts continues to be represented by two senators until voters can choose a replacement during a Jan. 19 special election.

Of course, that was not such a big concern when Republican, Mitt Romney, was Governor and the Dems changed the law to prevent Massachusetts from being represented by two senators ; )

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 7:33 PM | Report abuse

Either PA or CT.

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 6:55 PM | Report abuse

trep1:

Did I tell you that I'm thinking about moving to New London for the election?

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 5:13 PM | Report abuse

I think the only way Dodd loses is if he faces a strong primary challenge. I would love for CT's AG Richard Blumenthal (sp?) to get into the race, but it is not likely to happen. None of the R's in the ring right now pose a statewide threat. Chris Shays possibly could, but the R label is badly damaged here. There is really no way he should stay at #1 on the Senate line.

Posted by: trep1 | September 17, 2009 5:04 PM | Report abuse

mikeinmidland:

We'll see tomorrow if Sen. Dodd drops to at least 3rd on the Friday Line ; )

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 4:29 PM | Report abuse

JRM2:

My last post was actually to Mr. Cillizza on the newer thread. Next canard?

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 4:13 PM | Report abuse

As I mentioned yesterday, Dodd can't lie back in his lawn chair just yet, but IF he behaves himself, and IF there are no further scandals, and IF he campaigns his little heart out, he should be able to pull this one out.

I just can't see Connecticut electing a Republican--not in this climate, not with the shambles the Republican party is currently in and all the absurd shenanigans.

Besides, they've already got Joe Lieberman. He's a crypto Repub. of the old school right there, regardless of what label he sticks on himself.

Posted by: sverigegrabb | September 17, 2009 3:30 PM | Report abuse

He who must not be named is now reduced to having intellectual bouts with scrivner

hahahahahahahahaah!

Posted by: JRM2 | September 17, 2009 3:19 PM | Report abuse

You want to know why this trend exists?

Because as badly damaged as Dodd is his Republican opponent has nothing to offer, no ideas whatsoever, just like the rest of the Republican party.

Posted by: JRM2 | September 17, 2009 3:17 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 2:44 PM | Report abuse

don't bother with Narcissistic Personality Disorder, margaret. it's not worth your time.

Posted by: drindl | September 17, 2009 2:32 PM | Report abuse

He wasn't even a teenager when Dohrn and Ayers were violent Leftists.

>>>>>>>>>>

and yet he was drawn to them.

you tried that ruse earlier. It was not convincing then either. It is not each instance. It is the sum total where the picture begins to form. think of one of those photo collages which is made up of all these little images, yet you have to stand across the room to see that the entire piece makes up the socialist flag.

when off the prompter, his true self shines through. stupid cops. greedy doctors. mean nation. typical white people. clinging to guns and religion. take a step back and look at the whole picture.

Posted by: snowbama | September 17, 2009 2:24 PM | Report abuse

snow white, Obama was born in 1961. He wasn't even a teenager when Dohrn and Ayers were violent Leftists.

Hey, and they're WHITE f-ups, so why is Obama responsible for them? You should be pointing your finger at GWB.

Posted by: margaretmeyers | September 17, 2009 2:11 PM | Report abuse

Well, scrivener50, you still haven't explained why you weren't concerned about the LRAD back in July but now you are:

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/hall-of-fame/hall-of-fame-the-case-against.html

"TO: JakeD @ 6:28 p.m.

This ain't no acoustic LRAD. We're talking "people cookers" here... "DEW assassination squad..."

...or is it the "Fryin' Legion"?

I jest, to contain my outrage...

[REDUNDANT LINKS OMMITTED]"

Posted by: scrivener50 | July 11, 2009 9:03 PM

So, why should I waste my time with you?

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 2:05 PM | Report abuse

Look, he is a politician - that means he lies, period. Anyone who thinks any politician has their best interests at heart just needs to look at the amount of money given to Bacus by the health industry to ensure you either buy health insurance or pay a fine.

Soooooo...what does he say - he was not influenced at all. Right, and Krissy Dodd was bum rushed by a Republican, he never, ever got special favors from Countrywide and AIG is not his friend.

Posted by: zendrell | September 17, 2009 1:50 PM | Report abuse

"This article is a waste of time and energy. It is simply a report on popularity and has nothing to do with the issues facing the nation today. It does not even investigate the truth or falsity of the ''charges'' against Dodd. That would be journalism.

"What we have gotten instead is a gossip column.

"Posted by: marik7 | September 17, 2009 1:14 PM"
---------
How clueless can you get? The sole purpose of "The Fix" is to discuss politics, not policy. Other reporters at the Post and elsewhere report on political issues, including allegations of wrongdoing as you mention.

That is explicitly, obviously not the purpose of this blog, which is to offer fairly sophisticated insight into the political side of our democracy, such as the significance of particular polls or endorsements or changes in politicians' positions.

Your comment is like denouncing a recipe or cooking blog because it is about food and doesn't address foreign policy challenges of today. Duh. That's not its purpose.

If you have no interest in the field of politics (as opposed to policy), the answer is simple: Don't read a blog that's solely and entirely about politics. And if you do, don't blame it for being about the very subject it was founded to discuss.

Or, of course, you could go rant about that food column for ignoring missile shield issues in Europe... That would make about as much sense.

Posted by: fairfaxvoter | September 17, 2009 1:39 PM | Report abuse

Just when I thought for a moment that snowbama had put together some cogent (if incorrect) thoughts....

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=ZTQyOTlkZmUwNWMwM2NiNTg5MzRhYThkMjcxN2Q1Mzc=

Can you at least use quotes or something, if you can't figure out how to post the url? Thanks.

Posted by: mikeinmidland | September 17, 2009 1:35 PM | Report abuse

TO: JakeD @ 1:14 p.m.

And THAT'S your best comeback? The old "tin foil hat" meme?

The very definition of "lame psy ops?"

Please Google those three words in quotes, although the material may sound vaguely familiar to you...

http://nowpublic.com/world/govt-fusion-center-spying-pretext-harass-and-censor

Posted by: scrivener50 | September 17, 2009 1:25 PM | Report abuse

This article is a waste of time and energy. It is simply a report on popularity and has nothing to do with the issues facing the nation today. It does not even investigate the truth or falsity of the ''charges'' against Dodd. That would be journalism.

What we have gotten instead is a gossip column.

Posted by: marik7 | September 17, 2009 1:14 PM | Report abuse

scrivener50:

LOL!!! Time to adjust your tin-foil hat again.

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 1:14 PM | Report abuse

Dodd shouild be limited to two terms, as they do in Illinois... one in office and one in jail

Posted by: archinmo1 | September 17, 2009 1:05 PM | Report abuse

Dodd shouild be limited to two terms, as they do in Illinois... one in office and one in jail

Posted by: archinmo1 | September 17, 2009 1:05 PM | Report abuse

CC posts a story that slightly contradicts the notion of Republican Resurgence? Imagine that. But here come the frustrated wing-nuts to roll their terrible eyes and gnash their terrible teeth. Poor Dodd!

He's smiling, though. It's harder than you would think to beat an incumbent.

Posted by: nodebris | September 17, 2009 1:00 PM | Report abuse

TO: JakeD @ 12:11 p.m.

"Your problem is proving that the military weapons are secretly being targeted at U.S. citizens."

As but one of many thousands of victims of these officially-enabled war crimes, I can tell you that the best evidence is that this IS true...

...and that both good AND bad people on the inside KNOW IT IS TRUE.

The burden of "proof" is NOT on the victims of this inhumane and criminal campaign of official covert genocide -- as I predict will very soon become publicly evident.

It is not my "problem" to "prove" anything. The "problem" is with the official monsters who are now being EXPOSED.

http://nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america
http://nowpublic.com/world/domestic-torture-radiation-weaponry-americas-horrific-shame


Posted by: scrivener50 | September 17, 2009 12:55 PM | Report abuse

Keep in mind that the Countrywide loan was just the tip of his iceberg. All the financial sector mess, including Dodd LYING about the AIG bonuses, will come back to bite him:

http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/03/21/aig.dodd/

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 12:55 PM | Report abuse

And Carter of all people knows that racism does not explain Americans’ distaste for overweening liberalism: He’s the white guy who lost 44 states to Reagan.

This showy self-righteousness is of a piece with Mr. Carter’s other forays into political controversy, for instance in his likening of Israelis attempting to protect themselves from murderous terrorists bent on bombing schools and pizza shops to Apartheid-era South African hooligans and the Bull Connors of the Jim Crow South. Mr. Carter’s cheap moralizing and his obsequiousness before such killers as Yasser Arafat left the Middle East much worse off than he found it, not least for those Palestinians with whom he later confessed himself to be “in love.”

The inescapable conclusion is that Mr. Carter has defective judgment. We already knew that: We’ve known it since he clenched his fist and proclaimed energy conservation the “moral equivalent of war” while clad in a sweater. We’ve known it since his disastrous economic policies further impoverished the poor while he smugly posed as their champion. And he has gone from hammering nails into Habitat for Humanity houses to hammering what remains of his reputation to smithereens. The nation was poorer for his presidency and is poorer still for his emeritus shenanigans.

Posted by: snowbama | September 17, 2009 12:53 PM | Report abuse

More of Obama's "friends".

The sub-headline over the article says it all: "The investigation into a cop killing in the '70s leads to a law professor who helped launch Barack Obama's political career." The law professor is former Communist terrorist Bernardine Dohrn, a leader of the Weather Underground known for praising mass murderer Charles Manson.

Writer Peter Jamison, who is based in San Francisco, where the cop killing occurred, spent months working on the story and developed many different sources of information. Jamison, who can't be dismissed as a right-winger pursuing a partisan agenda designed to make Obama look bad, examined the evidence in the 1970 Park Police Station bombing case. He finds that it goes straight to Dohrn and other members of the Weather Underground, including her husband, fellow terrorist Bill Ayers, now a professor of education at the University of Illinois.

Posted by: snowbama | September 17, 2009 12:41 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 12:40 PM | Report abuse

AndyR3:

You are forgetting the trend that most people don't trust OTHER people's Congressmen and -women. Their approval ratings overall have never been lower, so it is bound to have an effect next even if the economy is still limping along.

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 12:34 PM | Report abuse

CC writes "Voters don't usually cast a ballot for people they don't trust."

If that were true at least 50% of the people in Congress would not be there. Voters think every politician lies so it makes no difference if they trust him or not.
This poll is a sign of the turning tide of the Economy. Connecticut was hit hard last spring since much of the finance and insurance industry is based there, now as things get better Dodd's polls are going up. I would expect this trend to continue and if the Dems can pass Healthcare, Cap and Trade, and Bank reform (which will be Dodd's baby) then he wins comfortably.

Posted by: AndyR3 | September 17, 2009 12:29 PM | Report abuse

armpeg - I must remind you that the Liberal ethics committee found nothing wrong with that behavior. Still trying to decide if Wrangle is a crook or not. Does that inspire confidence?

Remember Tom Delay had to step down just for the accusation. Yet still no actual conviction, this many years later.

Posted by: snowbama | September 17, 2009 12:22 PM | Report abuse

snowbama:

She asked me a question, and then curses me out for actually answering her question. Oh well ...

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 12:21 PM | Report abuse

mikeinmidland:

Hopefully, our gracious host can find another poll showing Sen. Dodd (D-CT) slipping again before then.

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 12:20 PM | Report abuse

Nobody gives a sh*t what you want.

Posted by: drindl


CC: I thought you were going to eliminate the ugly posters. We see the main cause of the nastinees on full display.

We also see the limit of the left's ability to reason and debate.

Posted by: snowbama | September 17, 2009 12:19 PM | Report abuse

Alright CC--When are you posting your next Senate Line? I expect to see Dodd's seat drop to at least 3rd, if you are being honest.

Yes, he was in a bit of hot water last spring, but now we have a poll showing him in a statistical tie 14 months from the election. As a deep-pocketed, well-connected incumbent, I think his chances are a lot better than 50/50.

Posted by: mikeinmidland | September 17, 2009 12:18 PM | Report abuse

armpeg:

Good points.

scrivener50:

No, those are real AF weapons (so is the LRAD, but you previously stated that you weren't worried about that ; )

Your problem is proving that the military weapons are secretly being targeted at U.S. citizens (and, laughably, reporters / politicians). That's the logical "leap" you are making. Not to give you even more ideas, but the AF is not secretly dropping A-bombs on U.S. citizens either ...

drindl:

I thought that you are supposed to be "ignoring" me? That's working out just as well as your "threat" to leave if chrisfox8 got banned.

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 12:11 PM | Report abuse

Only in the Democrap Socialist Party could a low-life crook like Chris Dodd not only get away with his rip--offs, sleazy and criminal dealings, and scams, but get the backing of his party for re-election. But then again, when your party controls the judicial process so that you can't be held to account, and you have a Democrap Socialist Party--controlled Main Stream Media helping you to squelch all your misdeeds, how can you lose? This crook not only was one of the primary reasons for the Fannie Mae, Freddie Mack, and bank failures that caused this economic meltdown that we're in with his and Barney Frank's "Community Reinvestment Act", but he actually took kick-backs from Countrywide for his "special" mortgage deal as "a friend of Angelo". Any Republican caught doing the same, would not only be doing hard-time, he would have been run out of office and tarred and feathered for life. The MSM would have crucified him/her. Chris Dodd though being a Democrap Socialist, I'm sure, will not only get a free pass as he's had to date, he'll get re-elected in that Democrap Socialist Party--controlled state by the lemmings there who are all too blind, dumb and stupid to know a crook within their midst when they see one. They'd crucify any Republican.

Posted by: armpeg | September 17, 2009 12:07 PM | Report abuse

TO: JakeD @ 11:27 a.m.

Do you mean those "imaginary" weapons like the ones developed at a cost of multi-billions by agencies such as the U.S. Air Force's Directed Energy Directorate labs at Kirtland Air Foce Base, New Mexico?

Here's a USAF video. Don't take my word for it, watch the official propaganda:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mSGprwJx_zs

And JakeD, this link's also for YOU:

http://nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america

Posted by: scrivener50 | September 17, 2009 12:01 PM | Report abuse

what's Nate Silver's url again?

www.fivethirtyeight.com

it's also listed under the blogs list on this page.

Posted by: DDAWD | September 17, 2009 11:55 AM | Report abuse

Nobody gives a sh*t what you want.

Posted by: drindl | September 17, 2009 11:53 AM | Report abuse

Because I want to vote against Sen. Dodd (D-CT) and volunteer for his opponent.

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 11:51 AM | Report abuse

Why not just go straight to North Korea, where they share so many of your views?

Posted by: drindl | September 17, 2009 11:41 AM | Report abuse

scrivener50:

I think the good Senator has just a little more to worry about than your imaginary silent, harmful microwave and laser directed energy weapons. Besides, didn't you dismiss the LRAD previously as "not" the caliber weapon you were worried about?

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 11:27 AM | Report abuse

URGENT TO SENATOR DODD (Staff: please forward)

You have been the subject of a relentless, organized campaign of smears and orchestrated set-ups. As a victim of these Gestapo-like tactics, please take up the following cause in the name of restoring democracy and the rule of law to America:


ATTENTION TEAM OBAMA: Where is the DOJ Civil Rights Division investigation into the covert use of silent, harmful microwave and laser directed energy weapons on unjustly targeted Americans and their families...

...by a Bush-legacy federal-local "multi-agency coordinated action program" that continues to commit civil and human rights violations... using a federally-enabled, GPS-activated vigilante army to stalk, harass and financially and physically destroy unjustly targeted citizens at the grassroots?

http://nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america OR http://NowPublic.com/scrivener RE: "GESTAPO USA"

Posted by: scrivener50 | September 17, 2009 11:21 AM | Report abuse

Please PLEASE go somewhere else. Didn't you "threaten" to never post again if chrisfox8 got banned?

I am still thinking about moving to CT next year ; )

Posted by: JakeD | September 17, 2009 11:19 AM | Report abuse

"Disastrous" "not honest and trustworthy" 'Democrats shouldn't be over-optimistic" "unfavorably" "rock-bottom" "claws".

This is how a rightwinger writes a 'positive' story on Democrats.

Contrast that with all the upbeat, positive and fawning language used in stories about Republicans.

We aren't all as stupid as Fox News viewers, CC. Not as easily fooled. This is getitng boring?

what's Nate Silver's url again?

Posted by: drindl | September 17, 2009 11:10 AM | Report abuse

"Disastrous" "not honest and trustworthy" 'Democrats shouldn't be over-optimistic" "unfavorably" "rock-bottom" "claws".

This is how a rightwinger writes a 'positive' story on Democrats.

Contrast that with all the upbeat, positive and fawning language used in stories about Republicans.

We aren't all as stupid as Fox News viewers, CC. Not as easily fooled. This is getitng boring?

what's Nate Silver's url again?

Posted by: drindl | September 17, 2009 11:08 AM | Report abuse

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