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Dodd on the Rebound



Connecticut Sen. Christopher Dodd may be working his way back into contention. (Joshua Roberts/Bloomberg News)

After enduring months of bad press over his ties to embattled corporate giants Countrywide and AIG, Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd (D) appears to have turned a corner in his uphill battle for reelection in 2010.

A new Quinnipiac University poll shows Dodd trailing former Rep. Rob Simmons (R) 45 percent to 39 percent, a marked improvement from the 16 point deficit Dodd faced in an April Q poll.

Dodd's gains, expectedly, have come from Democrats -- less than six in ten of whom were backing him in the April survey. Now, 67 percent of Democrats are behind Dodd and, barring some other scandal, that number should continue to grow. (Dodd's greatest strength in this race is that he is running in an overwhelmingly Democratic state where, if he can come even close to consolidating his party's base behind him, he can win.)

Dodd continues to lag badly behind Simmons among independents, however, losing that critical voting bloc by 23 points -- a margin he must find a way to narrow if he is to win next November.

Other data in the poll affirms the mild progress Dodd has made. His personal favorability score is now at 37 percent up from 30 percent in April and his job approval number is 38 percent up from 33 percent in April.

Still, there are any number of warning signs in the numbers for Dodd. The most striking is that of the 53 percent of people who disapprove of the job he is doing as a senator, roughly half (24 percent) said their feelings toward Dodd are rooted in the belief that he lacks integrity or is dishonest. That is a very difficult perception for a politician to overcome.

Dodd remains the most vulnerable Democrat running for reelection in 2010. But, as evidenced by the positive press he received recently over the passage of a credit card reform bill (he is the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee) and these latest poll numbers, he is starting to show some signs of life.

By Chris Cillizza  |  May 27, 2009; 11:42 AM ET
Categories:  Senate  
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Comments

Dodd is not much of a player, win or lose.. I doubt the DNC cares about him other than as a party favor or fluffer and of course they need his fall in line vote

Posted by: newbeeboy | May 28, 2009 9:32 AM | Report abuse

Irish_Bruin:

You don't think the Republican running ads of Dodd finally admitting to the AIG bonus will gain any traction?

Posted by: JakeD | May 27, 2009 5:11 PM | Report abuse

I really don't think Dodd is as much trouble as some believe. As noted Connecticut is a solidly Democratic state. All 8 counties went for Obama in 2008, with only one of which he didn't win by more than 55% of the vote.

2010 is still a long way off, and keep in mind that both Obama and Biden will be stumping the state on Dodd's behalf. Obama's popularity, assuming it holds, is sure to rub off on Dodd.

Posted by: Irish_Bruin | May 27, 2009 4:59 PM | Report abuse

republican wit=oxymoron.

Posted by: drindl | May 27, 2009 3:30 PM | Report abuse

Republican wit+oxymoron.

Oh wait, that's rush limbaugh.

Posted by: drindl | May 27, 2009 3:29 PM | Report abuse

>

This is a bit confused. The socialistic thing to do is to protect credit card holders from tricky rate changes and such. The free market philosophy would dictate we allow the credit card company to charge whatever rate it feels just and under whatever terms it feels just, as long as the borrower has signed a contract allowing tricky changes. He has the freedom to make his bed and lie in it. It does not follow that coddling credit card companies and their terms is overly "democrap socialistic", it is the other way around.

Posted by: mattfugazi | May 27, 2009 2:24 PM | Report abuse

nodebris--re. Republican wit. It bothered you didn't it?

Posted by: armpeg | May 27, 2009 1:56 PM | Report abuse

FairlingtonBlade:

I move back on Election Day ...

Posted by: JakeD | May 27, 2009 1:40 PM | Report abuse

armpeg wrote: "Democrap Socialist Party"

Ah, what passes for wit in the Republican party . . .

Posted by: nodebris | May 27, 2009 1:22 PM | Report abuse

Don't do it Jake. What would you do instead of golf six months out of the year? :-)

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | May 27, 2009 1:18 PM | Report abuse

P.S. to armpeg: don't forget about Biden (D-MBNA).

Posted by: JakeD | May 27, 2009 12:05 PM | Report abuse

I am almost tempted to move to CT just so I could vote against Dodd.

Posted by: JakeD | May 27, 2009 12:04 PM | Report abuse

By the way. Dodds new-found concern with banks charging high fees for credit card use, and similar credit card user rip-off's that the Democrap Socialists and their propaganda arm in the MSM are using to clean up Dodd's sleazy record, was done long ago by then Sen. Al D'Amado, (R.-N.Y.) who the same MSM crucified for doing it. Now though when a Democrap Socialist proposes the same thing, the MSM has suddenly found religion, surprise, surprise!

Posted by: armpeg | May 27, 2009 11:58 AM | Report abuse

With the Democrap Socialist Party--controlled Main Stream Media in Dodd re--election mode from now till Nov. 2010, and with the Connecticut voters too dumb to know a crook when they see one, how can Dodd lose? Only Republicans are held to account.

Posted by: armpeg | May 27, 2009 11:49 AM | Report abuse

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