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NV-Sen: Heller Won't Run

Nevada Rep. Dean Heller has decided not to run against Harry Reid (D-Nev.), robbing Republicans of their top recruit against the Senate Majority Leader in 2010, according to an informed source.

Heller, who was elected to the vast 2nd district in 2006, called National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn (Texas) earlier today to pass on his decision.

Heller turned down the race despite internal Republican polling -- conducted by the Tarrance Group -- that showed him leading Reid by nine points. Many Republicans believe that Heller would have made the race had it not been for the political implosion of Nevada Sen. John Ensign (R). Ensign's acknowledgment of an extramarital affair with the wife of his former chief of staff is seen as extremely damaging to the Republican brand in the state.

Even as Heller removed himself from consideration, a new name -- Nevada Republican Party Chair Sue Lowden -- emerged as a possible Reid challenger. A group of Nevada Republicans led by Robert Uithoven, who managed Gov. Jim Gibbons' (R) 2006 campaign, released a survey showing Lowden ahead of Reid 48 percent to 42 percent.

Republicans insist that Reid's numbers are so bad that any credible challenger -- including Lowden -- will be in a strong position to beat him.

Perhaps. But, Reid is also a savvy pol who is doing everything he can to get ready for a real race in 2010. He ended June with $7.3 million in the bank -- evidence of his readiness for the challenge.

By Chris Cillizza  |  August 11, 2009; 1:52 PM ET
Categories:  Senate  
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Next: Morning Fix: Nelson Strikes Back

Comments

My! My!, another dream just went down the drain. How will Drugball explain this.

Posted by: SWAMPYPD | August 13, 2009 11:05 PM | Report abuse

I think Harry Reid is in deep trouble. Dean Heller could have beaten Reid, why he didn't run is beyond me. The winds of change is blowing in Nevada in 2010! Jim Gibbons will lose a primary to Joe Heck and Harry Reid will lose the General to Sue Lowden. Reid is a savvy politician, but he can't run from & hide from his record. Voting for Thune's gun bill isn't going to save him and it fools noone. Reid will suffer Daschle's fate in 2004 and Santorum's fate in 2006...he's a gonner.

Posted by: reason5 | August 12, 2009 3:48 PM | Report abuse

Given your knack for picking the losers Jake I'm not really all that concerned.

Why don't you send another dollar to Sarah.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | August 12, 2009 2:46 AM | Report abuse

It would be nice for Reid to be defeated in the primary, or at the very least, to waste most of his $7.2 million war-chest on such a battle.

Posted by: JakeD | August 12, 2009 2:38 AM | Report abuse

I don't want Harry Reid replaced by a lying Republican but it would be nice if he was defeated in the primary. He's been a colossal disappointment. I tried to believe he had a plan but them came Guantanemo and his insane collapse on the NIMBY opposition, unable to simply state that the prisoners would be unable to escape, no more than any others.

He hasn't pursued the Obama agenda with anything but faint-heartedness.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | August 12, 2009 1:08 AM | Report abuse

@mibrooks: of course they lie. They've been lying at least since Reagan. But in the past the lies had at list a smidgeon of foundation in fact. Not anymore. Now the lies are floridly nutty, entirely groundless, bizarre, and they come not just from the shock jocks on the radio but from high elected GOP officials.

Crazy, sick, twisted lies. Euthanasia, death panels, eugenics, totally black helicopter.

Somewhere along the way they just snapped, and I think it's having a black president that did it. We never saw anything as just plain crazy as the birthers. I mean, even ANN COULTER is backing away from the Base.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | August 12, 2009 12:37 AM | Report abuse

broadwayjoe - Keith O can say anything he/she/it wants about Michelle Maglagang's book, but it is an outright lie. The right, as has been proven repeatedly in the current healthcare "debate" routinely lies.

Posted by: mibrooks27 | August 11, 2009 10:40 PM | Report abuse

fork, broadwayjoe - I saw Hardball, too, and Chris Mathews DID NOT say that the audience was hand picked. Instead, he said that the crazies were left out. Audience members had to request a seat ahead of time. The Secret Service weeded out the nut cases that might impose a danger (which is likely the entire tinfoil hat brigade that screeches like diseased monkey's at the other meetings).

Posted by: mibrooks27 | August 11, 2009 10:36 PM | Report abuse

Palin's "with book" will probably have a pic with heavy makeup and lotsa gam so it sells big to her "admirers"

Posted by: chrisfox8 | August 11, 2009 9:29 PM | Report abuse

@broadwayjoe: commonly these books are left crated and shuffled from store to store, each shuffle counting as another sale.

I read a few years ago that someone dropped a postcard into several hundred copies of some right-wing bơk, sorry I don't remember who the author was, promising $10 to everyone to sent it in.

He didn't get a single card.

I think the righties just buy these things kinda like union dues.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | August 11, 2009 9:12 PM | Report abuse

Keith O is saying Michelle Maglagang's book is no. 1 on the NYT non-fiction best seller list. Is that possible? Is that a function of bulk purchases by conservative Big Money or are these real sales to individual people?

Posted by: broadwayjoe | August 11, 2009 9:00 PM | Report abuse

@fork - Instead of making an impossible to check assertion, how about you give us a quote. Just one.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | August 11, 2009 8:30 PM | Report abuse

On Hardball today, Chris Cillizza implied that President Obama's town hall audience was hand picked (because he didn't hear any crazy people asking questions). Of course Chris didn't appear to bother to investigate how the audience was picked and report on that; he just opined, with his great powers of perception and his vast knowledge to determine the truth. I must say, Chris is perfect for Hardball; Chris Matthews makes his career on interviewing reporters like Chris, who love to give their opinion, but are too lazy to do the work of reporting.

Nice job Chris. Keep it up.

Posted by: fork | August 11, 2009 8:15 PM
__
I saw it. What about the part where he implied these lunatics and thugs would win the health care debate with the "big lie." Only to do a complete 180 after the female analyst on the show said that was total BS.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | August 11, 2009 8:24 PM | Report abuse

On Hardball today, Chris Cillizza implied that President Obama's town hall audience was hand picked (because he didn't hear any crazy people asking questions). Of course Chris didn't appear to bother to investigate how the audience was picked and report on that; he just opined, with his great powers of perception and his vast knowledge to determine the truth. I must say, Chris is perfect for Hardball; Chris Matthews makes his career on interviewing reporters like Chris, who love to give their opinion, but are too lazy to do the work of reporting.

Nice job Chris. Keep it up.

Posted by: fork | August 11, 2009 8:15 PM | Report abuse

@d: BTW, when is the last time you read a single positive mention of BHO or a BHO/Dem issue, a positive BHO poll, a positive mention of Dems, progressive issues... Last year? Maybe not even then.

By contrast: Palin (about six recent posts), Pawlenty, Romney, Chip (Barack the Magic N-gro CD) Salsman, "oh my! Rehashs of RNC newsletters.

Not criticizin'.

Okay to have an agenda (this one here's pretty clear--e.g., "Hillary's a ______"), we all have 'em, but call it out, own it.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | August 11, 2009 8:08 PM | Report abuse

Wayne Newton? Isn't he dead?

==

"Sit you down, father! Rest you!"

Posted by: chrisfox8 | August 11, 2009 7:38 PM | Report abuse

well, you got a point, broadwayjoe...

Posted by: drindl | August 11, 2009 7:31 PM | Report abuse

...and when you asked for the reaction of Reid's office to this Heller development and to your personal take on it, his office said what? Do Reid's polls also say he's way behind someone who is not even running yet (very hard to believe)? Amigo, this is still the Washington Post, the national political paper of record. Fewer GOP press releases (e.g., Palin in 2012, Pawlenty in 2012, Corzine's in trouble) and more reporting, por favor...

Posted by: broadwayjoe | August 11, 2009 7:24 PM | Report abuse

Heller replaced Jim Gibbons in the House, now what does that tell your about Nevada. Maybe Nevada will follow the celebrity trend and turn to Carrot Top. By the way... Wayne Newton is alive and filing bankruptcy, again.

Posted by: whocares666 | August 11, 2009 7:06 PM | Report abuse

Wayne Newton? Isn't he dead?

Posted by: drindl | August 11, 2009 6:29 PM | Report abuse

vbhoomes, please email me at

mark_in_austin@operamail.com


Posted by: mark_in_austin | August 11, 2009 5:43 PM | Report abuse

Almost everyday since BO’s election the statists have come on this blog to indicate that a certain political party is dead and completely disorganized. Now they will have you believe that the same party is now a master organizer in protest over healthcare (I mean health insurance reform the statist changed the terminology today).

Posted by: leapin | August 11, 2009 5:22 PM | Report abuse

America is knee deep in the excrement from Republican policies and deceptions. The Party has been reduced to a vocal minority of organized thugs and bigots. It's all they can do to distract the country from fixing the mess they made, let alone get elected. After a few more months of tortured yelling and screaming the voters will step on the whimpering wounded and put it out of its misery.

As more comes out about Rove firing US attorneys because they would prosecute Dems during an election, about the steroid-pumped, wife swapping evangelical crusaders from Blackwater murdering Muslims in the name of GW Bush, the numerous executive decisions that the courts are overturning because of bogus legality.

Voters will never trust Republicans in government again.

Posted by: thebobbob | August 11, 2009 4:19 PM | Report abuse

Vapors and miasmas that MAY indicate that the resurrection of the Republican Party is still only a theory and a poor one at that:

Lots of Republicans are dropping from office or declining to run, even when someone can find a poll that shows them to be the favorite. Maybe even THEY don't put much trsut in those polls.

The economy hasn't looked like ti was in free fall since February, has consistently been less bad than prognosticators thought, and keeps popping up with little gems of good news, like the DOW out of Hooverville, that probably don't mean as much as they might but certainly don't mean bad news in buckets, like the Last Days of Pomposity.

And Obama got a few cheers in his Town Hall today, so not EVERYBODY is screaming mad about the Health Care overhaul.

And, of course, the Man of the Moment, Charlie Crist has to find a Senator who doesn't want to be one, lest he put in place his Iago, that still small voice out to ruin his master for jealousy's sake.

Just the Republican ungood news is enough to give me hope.

And then comes the report on Rove, Meijers, and Inglesias.

Like Chickens and diarrhea, it doesn't look good, and the only prescription for curing the problem involves arsenic in the drinking water.

Posted by: ceflynline | August 11, 2009 4:07 PM | Report abuse

Interesting news, but I could have waited til tomorrow a.m.'s Morning Fix to learn about it. Hope you are taking time off and tuning out all this political stuff during your break. It will still be there when you tune back in.

Posted by: fairfaxvoter | August 11, 2009 3:42 PM | Report abuse

DwightCollins: I'll take Reid any day over the week over that philandering, vapid, low-IQ POS John Ensign.
(Oh, and btw: Where's your outrage over that, Mr. Conservative? That's right: IOKIYAR.)
Reid has his flaws -- I wish he'd retire, quite frankly -- but he has nothing directly to do (unless you have some valid proof) with union goons, any more than Newt Gingrich or any other prominent conservative does with those violent folks opposed to the health care plan.

Posted by: vegasgirl1 | August 11, 2009 3:21 PM | Report abuse

rovner writes
"What, exactly, are the Post's standards when it comes to posting polls? Whatever objections the Post has to SurveyUSA and Rasmussen -- and I share some doubts there -- they pale in comparison to a plainly partisan poll taken -- and publicized -- only to criticize one side."


Are you criticizing the reference above to the poll showing Heller 9 pts above Reid? It seems like a very relevant point to the story - and the Fix explictly cited it as a partisan poll - so what's the big deal? Its not being cited as an accurate poll, its being cited as an argument presented to Heller for why he should run.

Posted by: bsimon1 | August 11, 2009 2:52 PM | Report abuse

There is absolutely no way that David Lee Roth is a republican! He's way too smart!

Posted by: jasperanselm | August 11, 2009 2:51 PM | Report abuse

The Borgen Project has some good info on the cost of addressing global poverty.

$30 billion: Annual shortfall to end world hunger.
$550 billion: U.S. Defense budget

Posted by: atsegga | August 11, 2009 2:40 PM | Report abuse

What, exactly, are the Post's standards when it comes to posting polls? Whatever objections the Post has to SurveyUSA and Rasmussen -- and I share some doubts there -- they pale in comparison to a plainly partisan poll taken -- and publicized -- only to criticize one side.

Posted by: rovner | August 11, 2009 2:40 PM | Report abuse

"How about Wayne Newton?"

Does David Lee Roth still have a standing gig in Vegas?

Posted by: bsimon1 | August 11, 2009 2:27 PM | Report abuse


I think the most credible voice on Reid's chances of re-election belongs to Heller.

Thank you Mr. Ensign. Thanks, Mr. Heller. You just saved Harry Reid a lot of campaign expenses.

Posted by: mikeinmidland | August 11, 2009 2:21 PM | Report abuse

It would be a crying shame to not field a good candidate when Reid is so vulnerable. How about Wayne Newton?

Posted by: vbhoomes | August 11, 2009 2:20 PM | Report abuse

Chris:

You really need to go enjoy the time with little Charlie.

Posted by: JakeD | August 11, 2009 2:15 PM | Report abuse

is nevada really happy with reid?
isn't it time to replace him...
remember that the abuses voters have suffered at the hands of union goons and the police of people asking for info on health care reform originated from him...
don't donate to his campaign...
FIRE HIM.....

Posted by: DwightCollins | August 11, 2009 2:04 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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