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Ohio Senate race moves to 'Lean Republican'

With Labor Day behind us and the final sprint to the 2010 midterm election now begun in earnest, we are moving the Ohio Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Republican."

Democrats have been down on Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher's (D) candidacy for some time now as he has struggled to stay financially competitive with former Rep. Rob Portman (R) and has run through a large number of senior staff.

Portman has brought his massive financial advantage to bear on the race over the past few weeks with a series of ads touting his credentials, while Fisher has been relegated to the television sidelines.

The result? Polls that show Portman building a solid lead, including one released over the weekend that showed the Republican with a whopping 13-point advantage.

The poll numbers, combined with the general Democratic pessimism about the race, makes Fisher an underdog in the contest. While Fisher still has some cards to play -- most notably Portman's work as U.S. trade representative in the Bush administration -- he is now running from behind.

Make sure to check out all of our 2010 midterm coverage, including:

*The latest Washington Post/ABC poll
* A view of 2010 from Wisconsin
* What Congress might look like in 2011
* The five Senate races to watch
* The five House races to watch
* The five indicators that matter
* The five issues to watch

(And yes, we at the Fix really like the number five. It just has a certain ring to it.)

By Chris Cillizza  | September 7, 2010; 11:26 AM ET
Categories:  Senate  
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