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Super Duper Tuesday primary prediction contest!

It's Christmas Day in Fix world -- 11 states are holding primaries, and another, Georgia, is hosting a special election!

Since we are in the Christmas (in June) spirit, it's time to give away some official Fix t-shirts. With SO many great races to choose from, it was hard to decide which ones to include. But we persevered.

So, in the comments section below, we want:

1. Order of finish -- with percentages in the Arkansas Democratic runoff between Sen. Blanche Lincoln and Lt. Gov. Bill Halter.

2. What percentage of the vote does state Rep. Nikki Haley get in the South Carolina governor's race?

3. Order of finish -- with percentages -- in the Nevada Republican Senate primary.

The Fixista who comes closest to the pin in all three races combined will win the Fix t-shirt -- not to mention the adulation of our entire political nerd community. (Need a cheat sheet? Check out our "What to Watch For" post.)

Polls close in South Carolina at 7 p.m. -- watch this space later today for a full hour-by-hour viewer's guide -- so any predictions made after that time won't be eligible.

Predict away!

By Chris Cillizza  |  June 8, 2010; 11:30 AM ET
Categories:  Senate  
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Next: Most top 2010 races being waged in (Hillary) Clinton country

Comments


Lincoln 52%
Halter 48%

Haley 46%

NV
Angle 33%
Tarkanian 32%
Lowden 22%

Fix Tweets by night's end: 289
Last Fix Tweet for the night: 3:30est

Posted by: fourhourelection | June 8, 2010 6:46 PM | Report abuse

Halter 54-
Lincoln 46

Hate to predeict this because Sen Lincoln is a class act and Halter is just a tool (of out-of-state interests- and otherwise, but a moderate is a tough thing to be in a primary and I dont see how she survives $10 million in negative ads and labor's ground ops-but I hope Im wrong

Haley 48

Nevada
Angle 35
Tarkanian 28
Lowden 24

Posted by: efjsdo | June 8, 2010 6:34 PM | Report abuse

AR Senate (Dem)
Halter 54%
Lincoln 46%

SC Governor (GOP)
Haley 39%

NV Senate (GOP)
Angle 38%
Tarkanian 34%
Lowden 27%

Posted by: JayPen | June 8, 2010 6:27 PM | Report abuse

Halter- 52%
Lincoln- 48%

Haley- 39%

Angle- 38
Tarkanian- 32
Lowden- 27%
Other- 3%

Posted by: IceTrea98 | June 8, 2010 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Halter- 52%
Lincoln- 48%

Haley- 39%

Angle- 38
Tarkanian- 32
Lowden- 27%
Other- 3%

Posted by: IceTrea98 | June 8, 2010 5:35 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln - 53
Halter - 47

Haley - 43

Angle - 37
Tarkanian - 32
Lowden - 31

Posted by: chrishaas | June 8, 2010 5:35 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln - 53
Halter - 47

Haley - 43

Angle - 37
Tarkanian - 32
Lowden - 31

Posted by: chrishaas | June 8, 2010 5:31 PM | Report abuse

AR-Sen:

Halter 52.8%
Lincoln 47.2%

NC-Gov:
Haley 44%

NV-Sen:
Tarkanian 34%
Angle 32.5%
Lowden 24%

Posted by: AnthonyJBrady | June 8, 2010 5:14 PM | Report abuse

Halter 53
Lincoln 47

Haley 43

Angle 37
Tarkanian 32
Lowden 24

Posted by: madoug | June 8, 2010 5:00 PM | Report abuse

Arkansas
Halter 54
Lincoln 46

South Carolina
Haley 42

Nevada Senate - Republican Primary
Angle 41

Tarkanian 35
Lowden 24

Posted by: culader | June 8, 2010 4:51 PM | Report abuse

Halter 53
Lincoln 47

Haley 42

Angle 38
Tark 28
Lowden 22
Christiansen 4
Chachas 3
Others 3
none of these 2

Posted by: Truthteller12 | June 8, 2010 4:50 PM | Report abuse

Halter 53
Lincoln 47

Haley 42

Angle 38
Tark 28
Lowden 22
Christiansen 4
Chachas 3
Others 3
none of these 2

Posted by: Truthteller12 | June 8, 2010 4:44 PM | Report abuse

Halter 53%
Lincoln 47%

Haley 43%

Angle 40%
Lowden 30%
Tarkanian 27%

Posted by: lrbrink90 | June 8, 2010 4:29 PM | Report abuse

Halter- 52%
Lincoln- 48%

Angle- 33%
Tarkanian- 25%
Lowden- 24%

Haley- 44%

Posted by: JROBBINS84 | June 8, 2010 4:20 PM | Report abuse

Arkansas Democratic primary:
Lincoln - 52%
Halter - 48%
Lincoln narrowly pulls out a win against Labor with Clinton's support!

South Carolina Republican primary:
Nikki Haley - 42%
Haley survives affair allegations to win a pluarity. Haley moves to run-off against Attorney General McMaster.
Scott & the Club for Growth wins big in
SC-1. How would Thurmond feel about his ancestor losing to a black Republican?
Bob Inglis moves to run-off in SC-4.

Nevada Republican primary:
Tankarian: 35%
Angle: 34%
Lowden: 26%

Tankarian rides late surge to pull out victory!

Posted by: reason5 | June 8, 2010 3:45 PM | Report abuse

Ark.
Halter - 51%
Lincoln - 49%

S.C.
Haley - 50%

Nev.
Angle - 36%
Lowden - 34%
Tarkanian - 30%

Posted by: acasilaco | June 8, 2010 3:45 PM | Report abuse

Halter: 52
Lincoln: 48

Haley will get 44%

Angle: 37
Lowden: 31
Tarkanian: 28

Posted by: HowardEducated | June 8, 2010 3:31 PM | Report abuse

Halter - 51.6%
Lincoln - 48.4%

Haley - 39.4%

Angle - 33.8%
Tarkanian - 30.7%
Lowden - 29.4%

Posted by: jirka | June 8, 2010 3:11 PM | Report abuse

AR Senate:

Halter - 51
Lincoln - 49

SC Governor:

Haley - 47%

Nevada Senate:

Angle - 35
Tarkanian - 31
Lowden - 27

Posted by: jeff_hauser95 | June 8, 2010 3:05 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln 51%
Halter 49%

Haley 44%

Angle - 45
Tarkanian - 30
Lowden - 25

Posted by: morning135 | June 8, 2010 3:02 PM | Report abuse

Halter - 53.5%
Lincoln - 46.5%
The anti-incumbent mood this cycle overwhelms Clinton's preferred candidate in his home state.

Haley gets 48.6%, into a runoff with Rep. Barrett, which she'll win handily (and Bob Inglis gets forced into a runoff himself with a narrow plurality in SC-04).

Tarkanian - 35.8%
Angle - 35.1%
Lowden - 29.1%
Enough voters are turned off by the negative campaign for Tarkanian to pull out a narrow win.

Posted by: mpr3 | June 8, 2010 2:57 PM | Report abuse

Halter - 52.7%
Lincoln - 46.4%

Haley - 48.7%

Angle - 35.3%
Tarkanian - 32.5%
Lowden - 31.3%

Posted by: mcgruff4-06 | June 8, 2010 2:45 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln - 51
Halter - 49

Haley - 38

Angle - 34
Lowden - 23
Tarkanian - 22


Posted by: jbison | June 8, 2010 2:45 PM | Report abuse

Halter - 50.9
Lincoln - 49.1

Haley - 44.7

Angle - 33.3
Tarkanian - 24.7
Lowden - 23.9

Posted by: blert | June 8, 2010 2:33 PM | Report abuse

Halter- 52.5%
Lincoln- 47.5%

Haley- 43%

Angle - 42%
Lowden - 31%
Tarkanian - 27%

Posted by: recordsandmaps | June 8, 2010 2:20 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln - 51.3%
Halter - 48.7%

Haley - 42.3%

Angle - 35.1%
Tarkanian - 32.5%
Lowden - 28.9%

Posted by: 2241mr1 | June 8, 2010 2:10 PM | Report abuse

Bill Halter - 52%
Blanche Lincoln - 48%

Nikki Haley - 55%

Sharron Angle - 38%
Danny Tarkanian - 31%
Sue Lowden - 28%

Posted by: andyroo312 | June 8, 2010 2:08 PM | Report abuse

ARKANSAS
Halter: 53%
Lincoln: 47%

SOUTH CAROLINA
Haley: 42%

NEVADA
Tarkanian: 34%
Angle: 32%
Lowden: 25%

Posted by: sykesjustin | June 8, 2010 2:06 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln- 51%
Halter- 49%

Haley- 53%

Angle- 40%
Tarkanian- 31%
Lowden- 29%

Posted by: RamMan11 | June 8, 2010 2:02 PM | Report abuse

Halter - 51.4%
Lincoln - 48.6%

Haley - 43%

Angle - 37%
Tarkanian - 29%
Lowden - 26%

Posted by: gateway_joe | June 8, 2010 2:00 PM | Report abuse

Halter 56%
Lincoln 43%

Haley 45%

Angle 46%
Tarkanian 30%
Lowden 22%

It is all a crap shoot anyway, but, in the Arkansas contest, I figure that most people seemed to see Lincoln as losing, and perhaps this will keep some supporters home, and, Halter's supporters are more motivated. Finally, we should do a contest over who will get more coverage over the next week, the winning Halter or the losing Lincoln. I say this because I saw far more coverage of Artur Davis, the losing candidate in Alabama, than I saw of Ron Sparks, who beat Davis very decisively. I guess this just shows how out of touch our mainstream media is.

The polls I saw of Nevada, where each of the 3 candidates were tested one to one with Harry Reid, these polls seemed to say that Tarkanian is somewhat stronger than the other two. Perhaps a decisive primary win will change this dynamic.

Posted by: gckarcher | June 8, 2010 1:22 PM | Report abuse

Halter: 54%
Lincoln: 46%

Haley: 45

Nevada Senate (R):
Angle: 37%
Tarkanian: 33%
Lowden: 29%

Posted by: JacksonEuler | June 8, 2010 1:21 PM | Report abuse

Halter - 51.2%
Lincoln - 48.7%

Haley - 52.8%

Tarkanian - 32%
Angle - 31.7%
Lowden - 28.7%

Posted by: sdevolve | June 8, 2010 1:21 PM | Report abuse

Halter - 51.2%
Lincoln 48.7%

Haley - 52.8%

Tarkanian 32%
Angle 31.7%
Lowden 28.7%

sdevolve@hotmail.com

Posted by: sdevolve | June 8, 2010 1:17 PM | Report abuse

Halter - 53%
Lincoln - 47%

Haley - 52%

Angle - 38%
Lowden - 29%
Tark - 33%

Posted by: jmurphy4 | June 8, 2010 1:04 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln-52.4
Halter-47.6

Haley-49.7

Angle-37.6
Tarkanian-34.5
Lowden-27.9

Posted by: pinwizard39 | June 8, 2010 12:47 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln-52.4
Halter-47.6

Haley-49.7

Angle-37.6
Tarkanian-34.5
Lowden-27.9

Posted by: pinwizard39 | June 8, 2010 12:47 PM | Report abuse

Nevada SEN (R)
Angle 37%
Lowden 32%
Tarkanian 30%

SC Gov (R)
Haley 46%

AR SEN (D)
Lincoln 50.4%
Halter 49.6%

and for fun:
CA GOV (R)
Whitman 56%
Poizner 44%

CA SEN (R)
Fiorina 41%
Campbell 34%
DeVore 25%

CA SOS (R)
Taitz 49%
Dunn 47%

IA Gov (R)
Branstad 57%
Vander Plaats 33%

Posted by: unipostid | June 8, 2010 12:46 PM | Report abuse

Looks like poor little drivl has exhausted what's left of her brain capacity already today by posting the same screed cut and paste on every thread.

what's the matter old goat, still can't find a single nice thing to paste about Messiah?

Maybe if you stopped visiting those empty headed leftist loon sites, you may recover from your cranium vacancy.

Posted by: bumblingberry | June 8, 2010 12:44 PM | Report abuse

Arkansas
Halter 51
Lincoln 49

South Carolina
Haley 38

Nevada
Angle 40
Tarkanian 31
Lowden 29

Posted by: robbygtx | June 8, 2010 12:42 PM | Report abuse

AR Senate:
Halter - 50.9%
Lincoln - 49.1%

SC Governor:
Haley - 47%

Nevada Senate:
Angle - 36
Tarkanian - 33
Lowden - 31

Posted by: clouseryan | June 8, 2010 12:27 PM | Report abuse

And Republicans still fighting hard to keep BP from having to pay for its negligence, and sticking taxpayers with the bill:

Sen. David Vitter (R-LA) has been fighting aggressively to defend the oil industry even as BP’s oil disaster gets worse and worse by the day. Yesterday, Vitter blasted an e-mail attacking his Democratic opponent this November, Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-LA), for having the audacity to point out that unregulated free-market policies have allowed the “oil industry to ruin our wetlands.”

Also on Monday, Vitter sent yet another letter to the Obama administration requesting a “quick end” to the “six-month ban on drilling in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico.” The moratorium was issued to allow federal authorities to investigate the problems at deepwater drilling platforms and to propose new regulations. Indeed, deepwater drilling platforms like BP’s Atlantis platform in the Gulf of Mexico have been cited for “disturbing reports” of safety lapses.

Vitter, who has been bankrolled by over $783,835 from the oil and gas industry, has been a reliable ally for companies like BP. Shortly after BP’s spill this year, Vitter introduced a bill to limit an oil company’s liability to the amount of its profit in the last four quarters, or $150 million, whichever is greater.

Posted by: drindl | June 8, 2010 12:15 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln - 55%
Halter - 45%

Haley - 49%

Angle - 37%
Tarkanian - 33%
Lowden - 30%

Posted by: DaveyT503 | June 8, 2010 12:15 PM | Report abuse

Halter- 55%
Lincoln - 45%

Haley - 49%

Angle - 37%
Tarkanian - 33%
Lowden - 30%

Posted by: DaveyT503 | June 8, 2010 12:13 PM | Report abuse

Halter 54% to Lincolns 46%
Haley 46%
Angle 32% to Tarkanian 26% to Lowden 25%

Posted by: Reaganite1 | June 8, 2010 12:12 PM | Report abuse

I will make a radical prediction - the only winner who matters - the American people

Politicos of all philosphies know the gig is up and we want change and new faces.

So my prediction is- the American people win in every election
Bobby WC

Posted by: bobbywc | June 8, 2010 12:11 PM | Report abuse

Halter 53%
Lincoln 47%

Haley 43%

Angle 33%
Lowden 30%
Tarkanian 25%

Posted by: Glessing | June 8, 2010 12:09 PM | Report abuse

Halter 55%
Lincoln 45%

Haley 45%

Angle 40%
Tarkanian 35%
Lowden 25%

Posted by: timschultz | June 8, 2010 12:06 PM | Report abuse

I think after witnessing this Present ident throwing a baseball in his Mom jeans, and noticing his foreign policy of surrender and apology and further noting that his reply to jihadists and adversaries is to cower and hide, that very few people are presently concerned with his opening up a can of whoop a$$ on them.

some PR hack told him to go out there and look tough.

someone should tell him to go out there and actually DO something.

Other than party and golf and bball and vacation and party and eat and drink and smoke and party and spend and spend, that is.

Posted by: bumblingberry | June 8, 2010 12:05 PM | Report abuse

Lincoln 51%
Halter 49%

Haley 41%

Angle 37.5%
Tarkanian 35%
Lowden 27.5%

Posted by: jnorow | June 8, 2010 12:03 PM | Report abuse

Halter- 53.7%
Halter - 46.3%

Haley - 45.4%

Angle - 34.6%
Lowden - 32.4% (early votes keep poultry for physician care candidate close)
Tarkanian - 29.9%


Posted by: PDXOwl | June 8, 2010 11:57 AM | Report abuse

AR Senate:
Halter - 51
Lincoln - 49

SC Governor:
Haley - 52%

Nevada Senate:
Angle - 38
Tarkanian - 35
Lowden - 25

Posted by: tgraff1 | June 8, 2010 11:57 AM | Report abuse

Lincoln - 52%
Halter - 48%

Haley - 44%

Angle - 37%
Tarkanian - 34%
Lowden - 29%

Posted by: DDAWD | June 8, 2010 11:46 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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