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The Fix Heads Home to Connecticut

Not even vacation could keep this Connecticut native from heading home to observe first-hand tomorrow's Democratic primary between Sen. Joe Lieberman and wealthy businessman Ned Lamont.

This race is not only the biggest thing to hit Connecticut politics since, well, forever, but it also has major national implications about how the war in Iraq is viewed by Democratic base voters.

The Post's Dan Balz has been in Connecticut for much of the last week, filing dispatches about the race. Be sure to read his Sunday piece about the implications of a Lieberman loss for Democrats nationally, and his story in today's paper on Lieberman's last-minute attempt to deal with the Iraq issue.

Lamont is still the favorite tomorrow, but a new Quinnipiac poll out today shows that Lieberman has made inroads into what was once a double-digit margin. Lamont leads 51 percent to 46 percent among likely Democratic primary voters.

Make sure to check this space frequently over the next two days for dispatches from Connecticut. Meanwhile, keep the conversation going in the comments section below.

By Chris Cillizza  |  August 7, 2006; 4:05 PM ET
Categories:  Senate  
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Next: CT Governor: Playing the Bush Card

Comments

Just like Zell Miller , Joe Lieberman is starting to realize that his extreme side of the party is spinning out into Never never land , and in order to do what is the Best for his country he is having to drive out of the foggy left side of the road so he can stay focused on the road to fix the problems that were the direct result of Clinton Administration Foreign Policy in the 1990s that sat on their asses and did not stay engaged in Middleastern UN policy to combate the hatered that was allowed to spin out of control . The Government should be constantly engaged in Pro Exceptance of all ways of life , so Hatered for one over the other ways of life are not used by Tyrants to spin hatered through people to gain support for their ideals to rule useing hatered . If Clinton Administrators were doing so good during the 1990s then why did the hatered grow in the Middleast and span the globe to wipe out the west ???????????????

Posted by: Anthony Newbill | August 8, 2006 10:10 AM

Posted by: Anthony Newbill | August 8, 2006 10:23 AM | Report abuse

Why is Lieberman's fate such a surprise and why would it not say something about the national mood. Is this not the same Lieberman who campaigned for the Democratic nomination in 2004 and placed near the bottom in every state he ran in!

It seems that should have told everyone then how a Republican cross-dressing as a Democrat was being received by actual Democrats. Even Al Gore, his running mate in 2000, endorsed one of Lieberman's opponents.

Lieberman is dead meat in the Democratic party as are the rest of the crossdressers in the DLC.

Posted by: Jo | August 8, 2006 7:34 AM | Report abuse

The "Kiss" from George Bush to Sen. Lieberman is more like the one from Michael to Fredo in "Godfather II".

Posted by: Mark Hayden | August 8, 2006 6:56 AM | Report abuse

More support for the notion that Lieberman is is in trouble for many, many reasons that have nothing to do with Iraq can be found in the latest August 7, 2006 Quinnipiac poll of likely Democratic voters.

See http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x11362.xml?ReleaseID=945

According to that poll, only 36% of Lamont supporters indicate that "Lieberman's support of the war in Iraq" is the "main reason" that they support Lamont.

9% indicate it is not a reason at all for their support of Lamont.

And 54% of Lamont backers indicate that it is "only one reason" (i.e., not the sole reason) that they intend to vote for Lamont.

Posted by: This Primary Challenge is About Much More than Iraq! | August 7, 2006 10:18 PM | Report abuse

A lengthy blog entry entitled "29 Reasons that Lieberman is In Trouble that have Nothing to Do With Iraq (with sources)" was recently posted on Daily Kos.

I urge all of you to read it if you get a chance.

You can find it at this website:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/8/4/222041/6912

In the diary, you will find a detailed, thoughtful, and carefully prepared list of 29 reasons that Lieberman is in trouble with Connecticut voters (with citations provided in support of each of the claims made.)

You will also find 3 additional overarching arguments against the notion that the Iraq war is the sole issue that is motivating Lamont and his supporters.

The Mainstream Media does a real disservice to Lamont and his many supporters by mindlessly repeating the falsehood that Lieberman is only vulnerable because of the Iraq issue and that
Lamont is a single issue candidate. Such coverage reflects lazy reporting of the worst sort that does a discredit to the profession of journalism.

Posted by: This Primary Challenge is About MUCH More than Iraq! | August 7, 2006 9:44 PM | Report abuse

Greg - Personal experience from Viet Nam in 1969. We were winning the ground war where I was. Things were getting better with respect to infrastructure, etc. (at least for Brown and Root [now Haliburton - War Profiteering Since The Big One!] and Morrison-Knudson)

But -- we had already lost the war.

My point: A case can be made for things getting better, even when it is past tipping point. It all depends on how narrow your focus is. Lieberman probably believes it because he so badly wants to believe it.

B.U. Dem - Does Connecticut matter nationally? We won't know for a while. LBJ beat Gene McCarthy in the 1968 New Hamshire Primary by 49% - 42%. Everybody acted as if McCarthy had won (a lot of people now think that he did) and in less than two months LBJ was out.

CT may be a blip on the radar screen, or a spike. That Leiberman was a V.P. candidate just six years ago, a party elder, etc. means that "national" people will be looking at it and taking things from it.

It's what makes this stuff interesting, because statistics can predict only so much.

I saw that "kiss" for the first time last night. Weird! Prophetic? George Bush as Judas?

Posted by: Duh! | August 7, 2006 6:50 PM | Report abuse

for your incumbant protection service.

I used to love the Washington Post when you were the newspaper of Woodward and Bernstein, but I am hating the newspaper of Bob Woodward. Is access really worth losing your soul, your mission and your readers?

As for today's story, wouldn't balance be asking for a response from Lamont's team? Wouldn't it be worth pointing out that Lieberman's speech was full of lies? Isn't it worth noting that he is changing his story on the war every time he runs for something but backing Bush when he is not? Isn't the day before an election too late to change your stance on Iraq? Would it

Posted by: Greg in LA | August 7, 2006 6:22 PM | Report abuse

The poll is 51-45 (a 6 point lead).

Posted by: DemFromCT | August 7, 2006 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Chris, is this race really as nationaly significant as it is being trumpeted as? Ben Nelson is arguably more conservative in voting record and in fact than Lieberman, and he's not facing a primary challege just because he represents a much more conservative state. Do you really think this sort of rage that could lose Lieberman his nomination has any depth outside of our own deepwater-blue New England?

Posted by: BostonUniversityDemocrat | August 7, 2006 5:10 PM | Report abuse

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