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Friday Governors Line: A Republican Rust Belt Revival?




The Rust Belt could be a place where the GOP finds success in 2009/2010. (clockwise from top left Pa. Attorney General Tom Corbett, Wisconsin Gov. Jim Doyle, Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm, Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland)

If you're looking for a place where the Republican comeback -- if there is one -- might happen in 2010, look no further than the Rust Belt.

This group of states -- Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania among others -- are among the most economically depressed in the country as the collapse of the manufacturing sector has led to skyrocketing unemployment and financial malaise.

In each of these states, Democrats currently control the governorship but Republicans are heavily targeting the races under the belief that the deep economic unhappiness that abounds in each will lead voters to turn to the GOP for solutions.

Friday Line

Republicans' best chance is in Michigan where a deep bench of talented candidates coupled with unhappiness over outgoing Gov. Jennifer Granholm (D) makes the Wolverine State a ripe pickup.

New polling out of Ohio puts Gov. Ted Strickland (D) in the danger zone as he led former Rep. John Kasich by a narrow 44 percent to 39 percent margin. Republicans are excited about the candidacy of state Attorney General Tom Corbett in Pennsylvania's open seat and believe that Wisconsin Gov. Jim Doyle (D) is vulnerable as he seeks a third term in office.

All four states are likely to host very competitive contests in 2010. If Republicans can sweep the quartet or even win three out of four, it will give the party a foothold in several large and influential states heading into redistricting in 2011 and President Obama's reelection race in 2012.

For the moment, only Michigan cracks the Line, however. As always the races are ranked by their likelihood of switching party control.

Kudos and critiques are welcome in the comments section.

To the Line!

10. New Jersey (Democratic-held, up in 2009): Former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie (R) continues to lead Gov. Jon Corzine (D) in every public poll we've seen. And, Corzine is showing signs of real concern -- President Obama will be in the state to rally support for him next week and the incumbent has begun attacking the challenger on television. Why isn't this race higher on the Line then? Because we feel as though we've seen this all before. New Jersey voters are notoriously late deciders but when they decide it is usually for the Democrat. Will this race be the exception to that rule? (Previous ranking: N/A)

9. Florida (R): Polling in this race is a bit misleading. Nearly every survey out shows state Attorney General Bill McCollum and state CFO Alex Sink running neck and neck. But, we're hard pressed to find a smart operative who thinks that McCollum is really an even money bet against Sink. McCollum's two previous statewide losses -- for Senate in 2000 and 2004 -- have taken some of the bloom off the rose, and Sink is widely regarded as the best candidate Democrats could put forward. Still, Florida is one of the most competitive states in the country so this race will be close. (Previous ranking: 7)

8. Virginia (D-2009): There's no question that Virginia is a "must have" for Republicans as they try to remake their party nationally. Former state attorney general Bob McDonnell is a solid candidate -- far better than 2005 nominee Jerry Kilgore -- and historic trends in the Commonwealth are in their favor. (Virginians elected two Republican governors during the Clinton administration and two Democratic governors during the Bush administration.) Democrats nominated their strongest candidate -- moderate state Sen. Creigh Deeds -- in the June primary and the national party has already spent $3.5 million on ads attacking McDonnell. This race is already being cast as an early referendum on the Obama administration and both sides will go all out to win it. (Previous ranking: 10)

7. Oklahoma (D): The no-go decision by former Rep. J.C. Watts (R) gives Democrats a fighting chance in the Sooner State despite its strong Republican tilt. The Democratic field is surprisingly strong with Lt. Gov. Jari Askins and state Attorney General Drew Edmondson running. Rep. Mary Fallin, the state's former lieutenant governor, has to be considered the favorite for the Republican nod. (Previous raking: 4)

6. Michigan (D): The dire straits of the state's economy, the strength of the Republican bench and the relative weakness of the Democratic field make Michigan a golden pickup opportunity for Republicans. The GOP side is packed with quality candidates including state Attorney General Mike Cox, Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, Rep. Pete Hoekstra and businessman Rick Snyder. Any one of those men would be considered the favorite in the fall against Lt. Gov. John Cherry, the current Democratic frontrunner. (Previous ranking: 9)

5. Tennessee (D): The Democratic field in the race to replace term limited Gov. Phil Bredesen (D) continues to grow with state Senate Democratic Leader Jim Kyle forming an exploratory committee earlier this month. The quality of that field, however, remains to be seen. The Republican frontrunner continues to be Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam who is trying to re-create the team assembled by Sen. Bob Corker in 2006. Haslam, who is an heir to the Pilot Oil fortune, would be a favorite against any of the Democratic candidates mentioned. (Previous ranking: 6)

4. Nevada (R): National Republicans insist that embattled Gov. Jim Gibbons (R) will not be their party's nominee in 2010 -- whether he retires or is beaten in the GOP primary. If Republicans can get rid of Gibbons, their hopes of keeping the Nevada governorship improve considerably. Clark County Commission Chairman Rory Reid is looking more and more like the Democratic nominee so expect Republicans to try and make hay out of the fact that both he and his dad -- Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) -- are both on the ballot in 2010. (Previous ranking: 3)

3.Hawaii (R): A recent poll conducted by Research 2000 for the liberal blog Daily Kos showed Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D) and Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D) leading Lt. Gov. Duke Aiona (R) by nine and ten points, respectively. Republicans insist Aiona will surprise but after eight years of a Republican governor, it seems likely that this strongly blue state will return to its Democratic roots. (Previous ranking: 5)

2. Rhode Island (R): The narrowing of the Democratic field -- Lt. Gov. Elizabeth Roberts announced last month that she would run for reelection to her current post -- helps the party as it seeks to win a three way race against former Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I) and state Rep. Joe Trillo (R). Given the strong Democratic lean of the state, the race is likely to come down to Chafee and either state Attorney General Patrick Lynch (D) or state Treasurer Frank Caprio (D). (Previous ranking: 2)

1. Kansas (D): Is Sen. Sam Brownback (R) governor of the Sunflower State yet? Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh's decision to drop from the race clears the GOP primary for Brownback and Democrats -- or, more specifically acting Gov. Mark Parkinson -- have fumbled the hand-off of power in the wake of Kathleen Sebelius's ascension to the Department of Health and Human Services. Democrats have no heir apparent to the post and the Republican nature of Kansas will work in Brownback's favor. (Previous ranking: 1)

By Chris Cillizza  |  July 10, 2009; 12:50 PM ET
Categories:  The Line  
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Next: Kirk Opts Out of Senate Race (Or Maybe He Doesn't)?

Comments

The list might need to expand to 15 races soon I think Chris. There are just so many races where the incumbent side is likely to lose.

Consider:
Virginia, Florida & New Jersey only just make this list. Despite being better than 50% odds of switching.

A sample of those that don't:
- CA (R incumbent, budget mess, strongly D state with a good couple of D candidates in Brown & Newsom)
- MN (R incumbent not seeking re-election, strongly D state with a much stronger bench than the R's thanks to Coleman's legal battle probably costing him a run)
- PA (D incumbent in swing state, with much stronger R bench with AG &/or Rep likely to run)

Posted by: JayPen | July 12, 2009 8:32 PM | Report abuse

Why are Minnesota (and especially) California not on this list? These are GLARING holes in this list. California (where bankruptcy isn't out of the question and the state is issuing IOU's) is in even worse financial shape than Michigan, yet they are 6th on this list and California isn't on it at all. What gives?

Regarding the Rustbelt, all they have to do is parade out the tapes of Republican's saying they were AGAINST bailing out GM/Chrysler (which are the lifeblood of many of these states), and they will cruise to victory. I don't think any more than 1 of these 4 rustbelt states (and my guess is that state would be Pennsylvania if Jim Gerlach runs) will flip to the Republican column given this.

Posted by: robbygtx | July 12, 2009 2:28 PM | Report abuse

Chrisfox aet al:

KOZ, JakeD:, Scrivenor are the internet equivalent of the idiots who made the CB bands unusable. When they hear a conversation going on, they must disrupt it, and make it so the only voice being heard is theirs. They mark their territory like bears, by urinating and defecating on it. We probably can't get them to go away by ignoring them, because they need only see their by line in the thread to feel fully justified. When they become too obnoxious I find somewhere else to debate. If they become too ubiquitous I may go find a paid subscription blog to hang out.

Until them I sometimes try to drag the rest of the voices back to the score we are investigating, which is the illusion that Republicans can look to the Rust Belt for their salvation in Governors races, and the reality that none of the Great White Hopes currently in the line has the two qualities it will take for them to be serious candidates this year or next:

Any concept of how to finance their particular state in the current meltdown,

and

Any real connection with the nearly three quarters of the population who are drowning in the floods pouring out of that melt down.

Sans empathy or foresight, they can only sing an ancient dirge and hope that nostalgia and amnesia are the mental states of most of the voters for the next decade or so.

And I would STILL like to know just what Kasich actually intends to tell the State of Ohio about his good buddy Bob Taft's casual tax cut because he couldn't think of anything better to do in what was even then recognized as period of aberrantly high tax revenues.

Posted by: ceflynline | July 11, 2009 3:44 PM | Report abuse

chrisfox8:

I have never used the term "mind control" in any post to this blog.

My knowledge of "neurolinguistic programming," acquired in part from the lame psy ops of surveillance operatives paid to troll political blogs, tells me that your repeated use of the phrase "mind control" is a indication that you could be a member of the aforementioned class.

Only your fellow paid trolls know for sure... at least until the Congressional investigation.

Too bad you have to work weekends. Do they at least let you look out a window?

http://nowpublic.com/world/govt-fusion-center-spying-pretext-harass-and-censor

Posted by: scrivener50 | July 11, 2009 11:59 AM | Report abuse

cf8, I agree with everything except the part about s50. Not sure about s50, who was/is a legitimate journalist (as I understand it). I clearly don't buy into his "agenda," but then again I wouldn't be surprised if, with respect to SOME of his issues, he got the last laugh in the end.

Posted by: broadwayjoe

==

I've known people who went nuts. The change is qualitative. S50 reminds me of the Disneyland guy I wrote about earlier.

He may at one time have been a journalist, I have now idea where that comes from, all I know is what I read here, and what I read here is a guy who believes that anyone who disagrees with him is being paid to post here and discredit him. That's loopy, and it's not even interesting. The guy is a gadfly and he needs medical help before he decides his neighbor is using laser beams to read his mind.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 11, 2009 11:26 AM | Report abuse

The announcement this week by Charlie Baker that he will seek the Corner Office gives Bay State Republicans wind in their sails. Gov. Deval Patrick's poll numbers are in the toilet and Baker will defeat him next year here in Massachusetts.

Posted by: deadbranch19 | July 11, 2009 11:26 AM | Report abuse

MEMO TO POTUS, Obama cabinet (via WH Staff capable of penetrating "the bubble")


Your economic policies, your administration and the rule of law itself are being subverted from within by a nationwide, multi-agency extrajudicial targeting and punishment "matrix" that seems to be below your personal radar.

CIA Director Leon Panetta and DHS Secretary Napolitano appear to perceive the depth and breath of this authoritarian, anti-democratic apparatus bequeathed to you by your predecessor administration and its "leave behinds" -- some of whom seem to hold you in an insincere embrace.

Upon your return, you must confront and disarm the betrayers of the Constitution who comprise what some regard as "the shadow government" -- before democracy and your presidency become their victims.

Good people are being destroyed in what amounts to an American genocide-politicide.

Is the "bubble" so impermeable that you no longer can perceive the proximate danger?


http://nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america

OR (if link is corrupted / disabled):

http://NowPublic.com/scrivener RE: "GESTAPO USA"

Posted by: scrivener50 | July 11, 2009 10:42 AM | Report abuse

scrivener50: bizarre psychotic paranoia about mind-control energy weapons, and a continual suspicion that people here are paid to discredit him. No I am not joking.


Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 4:16 PM
_______
cf8, I agree with everything except the part about s50. Not sure about s50, who was/is a legitimate journalist (as I understand it). I clearly don't buy into his "agenda," but then again I wouldn't be surprised if, with respect to SOME of his issues, he got the last laugh in the end.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | July 11, 2009 9:46 AM | Report abuse

@ margaretmeyers - I think here is a case where the main course (the Line) is less interesting than the appetizer (the leader). If you look at a number of seats on the line, it's just not that interesting. And for those who think Chris has some anti-Democrat bias, think about last year's Senate line. He ran out of ways to say Gilmore was dead in September! The Kansas race next year is pretty much the same. Everyone knows Brownback is going to win. [Unless one finds out that Brownback has a cookie in the city, with apologies to Friends.]

Although I have strong opinions about politics, I also find it fascinating and, yes, entertaining. I'd go to the Fix regardless of the header. I think it's an interesting, if ominous, possibility that the Republicans could retake Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Indiana. So I think I found the lead in more interesting than the Line itself. I just wish that Chris C would alternate most likely to switch (half of which will be snoozefests by the end) with tightest or most interesting races. For my part, the GOP Texas primary will be the most interesting race since the Democratic VA primary.

Cheers!

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | July 11, 2009 2:37 AM | Report abuse

I only have a couple of hundred rifle rounds, Shrink, but then I live in Canada.

And I'm not saying that "all politics apes the ultimately corrupt human condition".

I'm saying American voters have made some spectacularly dumb choices and yet everyone in American public life feels compelled to pander with statements along the lines of "I think the American people are pretty smart, etc".

Voters never take responsibility. Most Bush voters now go around saying "I never much cared for Bush myself", lying to themselves and others. In fact, it can be tough to find Americans who admit to voting for Bush.

Anyway, the reason I'm commenting again is to say how nice it is to hear that Lincoln Chafee is running for Rhode Island Gov.

Chafee was the only Republican to vote against the disgraceful invasion of Iraq. In doing so, he gave a great example of politics that doesn't ape the corrupt human condition.

Bravo, Lincoln Chafee, for taking that stand! Best of luck in R.I., hope you win. You're a good egg.

Posted by: bourassa1 | July 11, 2009 12:55 AM | Report abuse

It wasn't politicians who re-elected GW Bush in 2004.

==

In a very real sense the 2004 election was a referendum on the use of torture. And people re-elected the man who insisted that we're not safe unless we commit atrocities.

I have never been more ashamed of my country than on that election night.

Oddly enough, that was Bush's last hurrah, and it was all downhill from there. He boasted about havin' polit'cal capital an' spennin' it, but he never got the chance

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 11, 2009 12:36 AM | Report abuse

Well again,

If the future of American elections is not about what we wish for, but what we can afford, that would pretty much eliminate the current narrative.

It is stupid to say that people get what they deserve. Or maybe it is spiritual, but it is irrelevant because it is like a thirteen year old saying, "whatever".

If all politics apes the ultimately corrupt human condition, then why bother? Time to stockpile ammo you two, because, like Randy Weaver said when asked why he had 70,000 rifle rounds at Ruby Ridge, "well when the government comes for you you can't just go to the store now can you?"

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 11:12 PM | Report abuse

I think douglasbarber hit the nail on the head. If there's one thing that's killing America, it's the refusal of Joe Sixpack to take responsibility for his own role in creating today's problems.

No matter how stupidly they act, the US public is always given a free pass. It's always someone else's fault for not giving Americans "what they deserve".

It wasn't politicians who re-elected GW Bush in 2004.

Posted by: bourassa1 | July 10, 2009 11:02 PM | Report abuse

why in the world is california not in the top 10?

you have an overwhelmingly democratic state with a termed-out republican governor. it's gotta be right up there.

Posted by: LALurker | July 10, 2009 10:37 PM | Report abuse

douglasbarber, you think you are a "realist" or something.

In fact, most of us do not lie for a living. In fact, spouses do not cheat unless they lose control of what they know to be right and good.

No one, not one has ever told themselves at the end of their days that they were glad to have cheated people. Personal integrity is a really big deal.

If you don't get that, I fell sorry for you.

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 10:33 PM | Report abuse

It's a source of constant amazement outside the United States that Republicans ever get any votes at all.

Posted by: bourassa1 | July 10, 2009 10:10 PM | Report abuse

shrink2 wrote, "These two parties promise waaaaay more than they understand."

That would be because voters demand way more than they are willing to pay for. See: California.

In the USA today, it's not only politicians who are corrupt. It's also voters. Over their head in debt, demanding public services but refusing to assent to tax hikes. Wanting to stand astride the globe but unwilling to have a draft.

And let me ask you: Do you really think that the private morality of the average married man is much better than the publicly disclosed infelicities of the known cheaters of the political universe?

Ahem. In a democracy, the people get what they deserve.

Posted by: douglaslbarber | July 10, 2009 10:07 PM | Report abuse

As a 55 year old who grew up in Pittsburgh I seriously doubt that folks there are chomping at the bit to vote Republican.

More likely, the probable appearance of Arlen Specter on the Democratic line has thrown that particular election out of whack.

Posted by: douglaslbarber | July 10, 2009 10:01 PM | Report abuse

If the future of American elections is not about what we wish for, but what we can afford, that would pretty much eliminate the current narrative. These two parties promise waaaaay more than they understand.

Look at the personal life, you see the public life, there are no sustainable lies.

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 9:00 PM | Report abuse

What a great day for discussion in The Fix comments sections. It's so much better when The Two Trolls aren't here.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 7:31 PM | Report abuse

"In each of these states, Democrats currently control the governorship but Republicans are heavily targeting the races under the belief that the deep economic unhappiness that abounds in each will lead voters to turn to the GOP for solutions."
___________
What? Have more tax cuts for the rich, abolish Social Security, abolish Medicare and Medicaid, ban regulation of hedge funds and other financial gimmicks the SEC doesn't understand?

This reads like an oped from the Washington Times or Fox talking points.

Posted by: broadwayjoe | July 10, 2009 7:21 PM | Report abuse

The most dynamic GOP up and comer is Audra Shay, the 38-year-old vice president of the "Young Republicans." She is campaigning to be the YR President. Unfortuantely, her campaign platform is a bit, er, narrow. Move over Sarah, here comes Audra...

HuffPo's profile of Audra (with great comments):

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/07/10/more-racist-online-musing_n_229367.html

Posted by: broadwayjoe | July 10, 2009 7:13 PM | Report abuse

Fairlingtonblade, my point is that The Fix put up a headline that says "lookee, the Republicans are gonna sweep the rust belt governorships." Then he gives us a list of 9 governorships that are most likely to change party, with a 10th that he says isn't actually likely to change hands.

Well, if the 10th state on his list isn't likely to change hands, that means the 4 rust belt states he has identified are even LESS likely to change hands. Which makes his headline look pretty bogus.

But it did get everyone to click on the link, so I suppose the Fix has got that going for him.

Posted by: margaretmeyers | July 10, 2009 6:58 PM | Report abuse

ceflynline,
please keep up the good work.

You are saying things I don't already know and it makes me look stuff up and think and I like learning. I used to pay to learn. Paid a lot actually.

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 6:57 PM | Report abuse

"And word is he's supporting a new ballot initiative this fall to bring casino's to Ohio...after personally campaigning AGAINST a similar initiative last year."

No, he is particularly AGAINST that idea because he needs money now, not February 1, 2010.

His tolerance of the possibility of slots at race tracks as an undesirable solution to needed income, given that the Republicans in the Senate have absolutely ruled out any OTHER source of revenue will be a mark in his favor come November.

Kasich has a Republican Record. He was mostly AGIN' anything that might have helped the middle class, and he won't be able to change his vocabulary by much. Even then, his new dialect won't be particularly convincing.

His record is ancient history, and not particularly attractive, so what is he going to run on? MORE tax cuts? Defense of marriage? For more years of Bob Taft? NAFTA?

I doubt that he actually wants to win, since he then gets four years of dealing with his own obstructionist party, since even should the Dems take both houses of the legislature, they won't have sufficient majorities to force an issue when repubs decide to be obstructionist.

I'd ALMOST like to se him try, though. No sympathies, just outright glee to see him stew under Republican Roasting.

Posted by: ceflynline | July 10, 2009 6:49 PM | Report abuse

@CF8 - "It's really quite an unnerving experience when someone you used to work with starts reporting bizarre memories..."

I can believe it. The freakiest experience of our lives was when the nanny to our kids told me that they're talking about her on the radio. Our mother-in-law stayed a few extra weeks and the nanny got into a good program for therapy. She was great for the next couple of years, but it was a scary time.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | July 10, 2009 6:24 PM | Report abuse

hmm, i don't have my glasses on,
is that the Bush Belt, or the Rust Belt?

Posted by: TheBabeNemo | July 10, 2009 5:48 PM | Report abuse

You know the face of a drunk.
Everyone knows he is, but he thinks he is
having a blast, partaaaay!
Florid drunk.

Republicans are aware that they better not run if they do not have something in the tank.

So what would that be?

There is no money to be made in corrupt politics. Unless you want to risk everything for a little bit of consensual relationships.

The problem is jobs and as Barak Obama is discovering, you don't just make jobs happen. Republicans were the problem, they have no answers. They will sit on the wire, caacking at the Democrats, but this is no time to run.

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 5:42 PM | Report abuse

But like Bush was at the helm when things fell apart and got blamed for everything

==

Yeah he got blamed because he just happened to be "on watch" at the time.

That's what most of us say about Reagan and taking credit for the Soviet collapse.

You don't think the breakdown had anything to do with the GOP and deregulation?

I'd ask you for a hit of that but I couldn't take the tweak that follows.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 5:30 PM | Report abuse

Gov. Strickland (Ohio) is also going to have to deal with breaking his promise not to expand gambling in Ohio (which voters have turned down multiple times in recent years). But, as soon as there was a budget shortfall where does he go? Installing slot machines across the state at racetracks.

And word is he's supporting a new ballot initiative this fall to bring casino's to Ohio...after personally campaigning AGAINST a similar initiative last year.

Gamble. Don't gamble. I don't really care. Just don't pretend it's going to fix your budget problems. Or any problem, for that matter. Just look at New Jersey and Michigan.

Posted by: dbw1 | July 10, 2009 5:21 PM | Report abuse

"Tell me again what John Kasich will actually have to run on next year."

Kasich will be able to campaign on the fact that he has been nowhere near the mess that's been created in our state of Ohio. He will also be able to run on a great track record of his time during the '90's managing us to a surplus and keeping Hillary-care from passing and plunging us into state-run health care and massive spending deficits.

By the way, I'm a conservative but I can't be too hard on Strickland. He's actually likeable, and is a true 'centrist'. But like Bush was at the helm when things fell apart and got blamed for everything, so too is Strickland steering the ship as it sinks and will probably take a big hit for it. It actually is probably going to be a tight race, though, between two good candidates.

Posted by: dbw1 | July 10, 2009 5:14 PM | Report abuse

ceflynline:

So from what you said, if the economy stays bad that's good for Democrats. But if it gets better, that's good for Democrats.

Hmmmmm....why is it that the states in the worst shape are run by Democrats, and many have been run by Democrats for many, many years?

Oh wait, I forgot. It's Bush's fault.

Posted by: dbw1 | July 10, 2009 5:08 PM | Report abuse

ceflynline writes
"Somehow I suspect that the economy is going to be a bad omen for the R's all over in stateraces. ANY state with budget problems will still have them in a year, so Republicans trying to run against taxes have a problem. Since most states already are down to cutting necessities, running against government isn't going to be profitable either. And the Republican Banner issues, abortion, gay marriage, strong on defense, etc. will only look like distractions from the main event when R's try to use them."


I agree. Criticizing is easy, coming up with plausible alternatives is not. The cuts already being made here already aren't popular & haven't solved the budget imbalance. The 2010 race is going to be all about rational budgetting & what it takes to pay for the expected services.

Posted by: bsimon1 | July 10, 2009 5:03 PM | Report abuse

I have never scene Mitten Romney or Sara Pallin's birth certificatess they cannot be president until they send a notarized copy to my house they are both polygamists too. Sarah Pallin is got to be a communist I hear her boast she can see Russia from her house & her lord & master (husbnad) Tod wants to have Alaska succeed from the US of A probably to join Russia.

Our next president should be Jon Stewart he is funny, if not him Mike Huckabee who is a rock and roller who I bet smokes weed, except I have not seen birth certificates from either one and they might be secret muslims it is hard to tell.

I tried to call my friend Lazlo Toth to get his opinion but his line was busy. I will try again later like the Magic 8 Ball says to.

Yours truly,

Anna Merikan

Posted by: roblimo | July 10, 2009 4:57 PM | Report abuse

Chris - surprised Massachusetts is not on your radar. The treasurer, Tim Cahill, announced he's leaving the democratic party and considering running against Patrick as an independent this week. Also, the CEO of a very popular health plan, Harvard-Pilgrim, who also was a major adviser to William Weld, declared he was running for the Republican nomination. With Cahill in the field drawing white urban ethnics, with a moderate, respected, Republican businessman the favorite for his party's nomination, and with Republicans winning 4 of the last 5 governors races, it'd seem this would be very high on your list.

Posted by: jca-CrystalCity | July 10, 2009 4:56 PM | Report abuse

@FairlingtonBlade: I've known a few people who went from sane-but-a-little-odd-once-in-a-while to psychotic. It's really quite an unnerving experience when someone you used to work with starts reporting bizarre memories, like the guy who said that he had been on a ride at Disneyland that took a detour into a secret chamber where government officials and rich old people were sodomizing kids.

Or the guy who did PCP a few times too many and started painting crucifixes 16 hours a day, when prior he hadn't been religious at all.

If you've ever talked to someone gone mad, "florid" would spr-r-r-r-ring to mind.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 4:44 PM | Report abuse

@shrink2 - I'm well aware of grammar (an adverb modifies an adjective or a verb; hence Think DifferentLY). Florid and psychotic conjure up entirely different images to me. 'sall.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | July 10, 2009 4:38 PM | Report abuse

floridly psychotic is a standard psychiatric phrase. I am sure I have seen it a few times today (among other things I do for $$, I review referrals to hospital on-line. If you think that is odd, my friend from medical school started a business that reads blood smears scanned from all over the world, to tell people whether or not they have cancer or whatever).

Further BB, an adverb in front of an adjective is quite ordinary.

The adverb converts the adjective to a noun, like "simply blue".

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 4:34 PM | Report abuse

Somehow I suspect that the economy is going to be a bad omen for the R's all over in stateraces. ANY state with budget problems will still have them in a year, so Republicans trying to run against taxes have a problem. Since most states already are down to cutting necessities, running against government isn't going to be profitable either. And the Republican Banner issues, abortion, gay marriage, strong on defense, etc. will only look like distractions from the main event when R's try to use them.

EVEN should the economy turn around remarkably in a year, the repubs can't take credit, and the results will still lag in the way they might help state finances, so it is hard to see what the republicans actually have for a platform.

The current optimism seems to be based on the hope that the economic disaster we so far have dodged will hit soon, and THAT will NOT be all that salubrious for republicans.

Tell me again what John Kasich will actually have to run on next year.

Posted by: ceflynline | July 10, 2009 4:33 PM | Report abuse

I agree that the Virginia governor's race may be an early referendum on President Obama's administration. I'm also guessing that State Senator Deeds thinks it may be, too, and that's why he may have chosen not to appear at the President's town hall meeting last week here in Virginia. Perhaps I'm wrong, but assuming I'm right, I've decided to write a song to describe Mr. Deeds' challenge. My song is titled "Creigh's Obama Blues" and is sung to the tune of "Folsom Prison Blues" which was made famous by Johnny Cash, who is listed on Mr. Deeds' MySpace page as one of his favorite singers.

So, without further ado, here's my tongue-in-cheek rendition of "Creigh's Obama Blues":

I hear the Prez’ a comin’
he’s comin’ ‘round the bend
and all he wants to do here
is tax, tax, tax and spend.

I’m stuck with Prez’ Obama,
and his growin' debt.
he’s takin’ all our money,
and makes Virginians fret.

When I was nominated,
my voters told me, “Creigh
always be a good man,
don’t have a spendin’ spree.”
But I know that Prez’ Obama,
is gonna spend us dry.
When I see his wasteful spendin’,
I hang my head and cry.

Well, if they freed me from Obama,
if this campaign was just mine,
I bet I’d move it all a little farther down the line.
Far from Prez’ Obama,
that’s where I want to stay.
‘cause his taxin’ and his spendin’
scare my votes away.

THE END

Posted by: VirginianforFreedom | July 10, 2009 4:30 PM | Report abuse

Far more extensive than just a CIA / JSOC "assassination ring"?


'PANETTA'S BOX'....

A SECRETIVE SECURITY / MILITARY / INTEL 'MULTI-AGENCY COORDINATED ACTION PROGRAM'...

A NATIONWIDE, SECRETIVE EXTRAJUDICIAL TARGETING AND 'TORTURE MATRIX'...

...NOW BEING EXPOSED TO CONGRESS...

...EXPOSED NEARLY A YEAR AGO HERE:

http://NowPublic.com/scrivener

RE: "GESTAPO USA: Gov't-Funded Vigilante Network Terrorizes America"

Posted by: scrivener50 | July 10, 2009 4:29 PM | Report abuse

Texas....a long Republican stronghold just might flip to the Dems if the GOP continue their destructive path with latino voters. Tom Schieffer,brother of CBS reporter is running and will be very aggressive. Perry has no chance to win...he has never gotten a majority of vote and voters are fedup with his stupdity. Kay Bailey Hutchinson is a sold GOP chance to keep the state house but she must win over right wing neo cons that continue to self destruct the GOP

Posted by: jnorow | July 10, 2009 4:26 PM | Report abuse

Now that's an adjective and an adverb I never thought to see together. What exactly is floridly psychotic? Perhaps Audrey II is floridly homicidal.

==

Really? In my experience the two words go together like ... like ... bullets and guns.

Paste it into google in quotes and you'll get lots of hits.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 4:19 PM | Report abuse

h, please...is there anyway we can restrict these "comments" to those which are actually ON TOPIC? If you want to talk about the President's birth certificate or secret Muslim agendas or the death of Vince Foster or other such "topics" please go elsewhere to do so. Chris's topic for The Line this week is about races for Governor in 2009 and 2010...let's stick with that.

==

A word of advice. The posts here are in descending order, the newest ones at the top. So we read from the bottom up, and the first part of the next post is the poster's moniker.

Whenever we see "JakeD" or "king_of_zouk" or "scrivener50," most of us just keep scrolling to the next post. It's good time management, because with those three you really need to read nothing more than the moniker to know what's in the post.

JakeD - mindless crap about Obama's ineligibility to be president, pointless snide remarks, sneer-quotes. Low IQ.

king_of_zouk: grade-school wordplay, over-the-top caricatures of liberals, too stupid to be worth insulting

scrivener50: bizarre psychotic paranoia about mind-control energy weapons, and a continual suspicion that people here are paid to discredit him. No I am not joking.

You may add others to this list. You may add me, for that matter. But PgUp is Your Friend

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 4:16 PM | Report abuse

Now that's an adjective and an adverb I never thought to see together. What exactly is floridly psychotic? Perhaps Audrey II is floridly homicidal.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | July 10, 2009 4:12 PM | Report abuse

@taylorb1 - You must be new around here. :-) You just need to pick through the insult fests for those that are either on topic or engaging. It'd kind of like walking through a field popular for running dogs. You have to step carefully!

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | July 10, 2009 4:10 PM | Report abuse

In case anyone new here is wondering, scrivener50 is *floridly* psychotic

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 4:05 PM | Report abuse

Kasich has just one major problem, the state is broke, and Strickland won't play by the republican riles that say that democrats have to do the adult thing and raise taxes rather than cut necessary programs. "He passed the biggest tax increase in Ohio History" has been used by too many sucessful Republicans, like Rhodes, Voinovitch, and taft, to attack Democrats like Gilligan and Celeste for doing the right thing and regularizing Ohio's finances. Strickland and the Ohio House tried to get as balanced a budget as possible passed and the republicans in the Senate balked. Now economic deterioration makes that attempted budget moot, and the Senate wants to blame Strickland for not sending them a Republican Budget. The also won't even TRY to propose a balanced republican budget of their own.

Kasich is going to have to run on some platform that explains how to balance a budget, and Strickland has already expropriated all of the basic republican points for himself. Once Kasich has to talk about Ohio and prosperity and republican in the same paragraph, he will slit his own throat at every other word.

Besides, the Republicans really need Strickland in office next year because THEY realize that WHOEVER is gorvernor will have to raise LOTS of taxes regardless, and don't want that to be them.

Kasich is a republican sacrifice.

Posted by: ceflynline | July 10, 2009 4:04 PM | Report abuse

GOP has no chance in PA Senate Race. Take it to the bank.

Rust belt has not yet turned into poverty stricken South. When it does, GOP will make the gain and keep it poor for ever.

GOP is the master of manipulating the poor and uneducated.

Posted by: SeedofChange | July 10, 2009 4:01 PM | Report abuse

An interesting twist to the New Jersey Governor's race is that for the 1st time ever, NJ will have a Lt. Governor. Does anyone know who Crisite & Corzine may choose as their Lt.? Whom will this addition help more? If Cristie is helped or unaffected by it, he's looking great for the win.

Posted by: reason5 | July 10, 2009 3:50 PM | Report abuse

Wouldn't it be a shame if voters in the rust belt ran to embrace the same GOP that so deeply destroyed their economies just because the current Democratic leaders couldn't immediately fix the huge problems they inherited? It's almost like battered-wife syndrome...

Posted by: benniecsmith | July 10, 2009 3:41 PM | Report abuse

"How to deal with funding state services in an era of lower tax revenues is also likely to prove a contentious issue with a not easily predicted outcome."

This is what serious people should be talking about. Neither Party, certainly neither Party's defenders have a clue how to handle the unemployment crisis. Tax revenues are going to continue to dwindle until the people paying taxes make living wages.

Meanwhile, on a lighter note, I am smirking again...the taylorb1 homily on relevance followed by The Scrivener.

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 3:38 PM | Report abuse

GOP GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATE CHRIS CHRISTIE APPROVED WARRANTLESS CELLPHONE TRACKING OF NEW JERSEY CITIZENS: ACLU

As U.S. attorney, Chris Christie approved the covert tracking via cellphones of so-called "targeted" citizens" without first obtaining a court warrant, according to the New Jersey office of the American Civil Liberties Union.

http://www.aclu-nj.org/news/njsfederallawenforcementus.htm

Covert GPS tracking, using cellphones and covertly implanted GPS beacons secreted in or on the vehicles of so-called "targets," is the very backbone of the Bush-Cheney- spawned extrajudicial targeting and punishment "torture matrix."

Unjustly targeted persons charge that this police state apparatus is destroying lives and livelihoods in an unconstitutional campaign conducted by vigilante "community stalkers" -- many of whom are affiliated with federal volunteer organizations involved in community policing and "anti-terrorism" programs.

Victims also allege that the "harassment protocol" includes electromagnetic torture via classified microwave radiation "directed energy weapons" that have been proliferated to law enforcement under programs administered by various federal agencies, including the Department of Justice.

The mainstream media has yet to quiz the Obama administration on the subject of directed energy weapons.

Candidate Christie and the federal officials who have enabled the warrantless surveillance and tracking of American citizens should be held to account for a wholesale violation of constitutional rights.

For more on the unconstitutional police-state programs to which CIA Director Leon Panetta may have been referring:

http://NowPublic.com/scrivener RE: "GESTAPO USA"

Posted by: scrivener50 | July 10, 2009 3:29 PM | Report abuse

Oh, please...is there anyway we can restrict these "comments" to those which are actually ON TOPIC? If you want to talk about the President's birth certificate or secret Muslim agendas or the death of Vince Foster or other such "topics" please go elsewhere to do so. Chris's topic for The Line this week is about races for Governor in 2009 and 2010...let's stick with that.

Posted by: taylorb1 | July 10, 2009 3:26 PM | Report abuse

I suspect these races are likely to prove volatile until the last minute. There will be far more than the usual uncertainty both in how the econcomy performs between now and the election and also in how the voters wind up responding. How to deal with funding state services in an era of lower tax revenues is also likely to prove a contentious issue with a not easily predicted outcome.

Posted by: dnjake | July 10, 2009 3:24 PM | Report abuse

I see the lib idiocy is not confined to the king, make that queen and queen of the fix.

Is there one Lib out there who can engage on the issues and debate logically and sensibly. so far it is a dearth of intellect on the left.

Posted by: king_of_zouk | July 10, 2009 3:22 PM | Report abuse

still not a shred of evidence that drivl or chrissuxcox can string two logical sentences together. the best they can muster is third grade sandbox insults, Daily Kos cut and pastes, al gore style chanting and other brain dead mechanisms.

Not once on this blog has a Liberal attempted to defend the silly positions of the Obimbo administration. In their defense, what would they say?

Posted by: king_of_zouk | July 10, 2009 3:20 PM | Report abuse

Well, Zoukie, Ann Coulter IS putrid and evil...making her the pin-up girl and jerk-off fantasy focus for all the evil Republicans (Darth Cheney, Krauthammer, all of Fox Noise, Limp-baugh, Rum-dummy, et al)

Posted by: al_jal | July 10, 2009 3:19 PM | Report abuse

"atlas shrugs?"

Anyone who takes that book seriously after the age of 14 probably rides a tricycle

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 3:15 PM | Report abuse

http://atlasshrugs2000.typepad.com/atlas_shrugs/2009/07/checking-out-the-latest-imports.html

Obama pulls a clinton. pictures don't lie. A bow is a bow. An ogle is an ogle.

Posted by: king_of_zouk | July 10, 2009 3:12 PM | Report abuse

First Iran and now China. It seems the surest way to get a malign regime to slaughter its citizens is to have the Obama administration offer it an outsretched hand and a guarantee of indifference toward human rights abuses. Welcome to the Land of Hope.

Posted by: king_of_zouk | July 10, 2009 3:03 PM | Report abuse

Dresden, Germany - A German zoo changed the name of one of its monkeys Friday from! 'Obama' to 'Okeke' after a black group warned the original name implied a racial slur. The newborn mandrill was named Obama this March, in honour, zookeepers said, of US President Barack Obama. (Snip) The zoo said it choses names beginning with the same letter for all newborn animals in any one year. In 2009 that letter was O

word has it that the monkey requested the change, feeling that he deserved a more honest and sincere moniker.

Posted by: king_of_zouk | July 10, 2009 3:00 PM | Report abuse

MSNBC’s Keith Olbermann, whose bilious hatred of conservatives and Republicans oozes from every proverbial pore of his spirit, had some interesting things to say yesterday about these objects of his daily derision. Specifically, he cited conservatives’ “pervasive immorality and holier-than-thou hypocrisy” as the wellspring of “the reeking pile of manure that is the right wing media and right wing commentary.” (Snip) And, for good measure, Olbermann characterized conservative columnist Ann Coulter as “putrid” and “evil.”

drivl, your soulmate.

Posted by: king_of_zouk | July 10, 2009 2:58 PM | Report abuse

Oh geez -- why do I even bother to come here?

drivl

do us all a favor then. don't you ever tire of being "the nasty hag" in the room. We do.

Posted by: king_of_zouk | July 10, 2009 2:48 PM | Report abuse

A correction is needed: Mark Parkinson is NOT the acting Governor of Kansas. He succceded to the office when sebelius left is the real, full time governor. Besides, isn't Arnold the only acting governor? Of course some would dispute calling what he did as "acting."

Posted by: HistorybuffinKC | July 10, 2009 2:47 PM | Report abuse

pssst, Joking.
I am hardly ever serious, except at work.
Making fun of politicians is just sport.
And I don't think the Democrats really are all that different from Republicans, I guess that was the point.

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 2:25 PM | Report abuse

Speaking of MN, MN Post has a lineup of all the potential candidates for all three parties whose names have been mentioned, including some extreme longshots:

http://www.minnpost.com/stories/2009/06/29/9821/gubernatorial_candidates_ins_and_outs_and_maybes_of_the_race

Counts of possible candidates are:
Repubs: 23
DFLers: 14
IP: 3

Posted by: bsimon1 | July 10, 2009 2:23 PM | Report abuse

shrink2 writes
"Look at these pictures!
Do the Republicans always have to run these candidates? You would expect that in Utah, I suppose, but the rust belt?"

pssstt!! read the caption & article text. Three of the four are Dems.

Posted by: bsimon1 | July 10, 2009 2:18 PM | Report abuse

@margaretmyers - I was a little surprised at that, though Chris C explained his reasoning:

"All four states are likely to host very competitive contests in 2010... For the moment, only Michigan cracks the Line, however. As always the races are ranked by their likelihood of switching party control."

I'd be interested in seeing a slightly different Line. Namely, the ten closest races rather than the 10 most likely to switch. That way we could move snoozefests such as Kansas and Hawaii off the Line and bring on some of the more interesting races.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | July 10, 2009 2:12 PM | Report abuse

Joking!

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 2:09 PM | Report abuse

This could be troubling for the Democrats. There might be an even distribution of states (and note, 3 of the top 4 are held by Republicans), but the Dems are having to defend a lot more population. That has national implications, especially with northern states such as Michigan losing population and facing fratricidal matchups brought on by redistricting.

@drindl - I really don't get it. The insult fests with Jake and Zouk I can understand. Why get nasty with anyone who doesn't think that the House will be 430 - 5? This isn't DailyKos or the HuffPost. Not every Republican is evil. Not every Democrat is pure. And, yes, I'm familiar with the page-up key. Just can't figure out why one of the regulars here acts like they've accidentally tuned into Rush Limbaugh show (and then listens for hour after hour).

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | July 10, 2009 2:08 PM | Report abuse

Look at these pictures!
Do the Republicans always have to run these candidates? You would expect that in Utah, I suppose, but the rust belt?

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 2:07 PM | Report abuse

Minnesotastudent asks
"This is the first governors line since Pawlenty's announcement that he is not seeking reelection, right? Why not include MN on the list, the Dems have a deep bench there."

It is a reasonable question, to which there are reasonable answers that support The Fix's exclusion of MN.

1) The state is a toss up right now with no known candidates or advantage to either side. Each of the 10 races cited are more likely to change hands
2) MN hasn't had a DFLer in the Gov's office in nearly 30 years

The Line will change over the coming 18 months. MN may or may not one day be on the line for 2010. A lot depends on whom the nominees are. If Jim Ramstad gets the GOP nomination, the DFL will have a harder battle. However, if they nominate Rep Bachmann, the DFL will have a cakewalk. Having said that, the DFL's record is poor when it comes to nominating compelling candidates for Gov. They should be reassessing their nomination process & focus on attracting the 10-15% of voters that continue to back IP candidates over the doorknobs offerred by the DFL.

Posted by: bsimon1 | July 10, 2009 2:06 PM | Report abuse

' Infantile. I guess bigots never tire of being told they are smart, that they are in the know and that the libs will lose someday.'

you got it -- in a word, infantile. they're either regressed or they never left.

but then most repulbicans i know have very poor parenting skills and their kids usually end up a mess, so it's not really surprising-- just passed down from generation to generation of bubbas.

Posted by: drindl | July 10, 2009 2:00 PM | Report abuse

Laughing at Republicans is all this has become. No one actually cares what CC (nor the rest of the beltway insiders) think.
It is just intellectual sport. Punditry is just entertainment. He is just setting them up...we watch them get knocked down.

It would be boring if CC were fawning over my favorites. Those people exist, I never read them (except the New Yorker, every page, every week, for the quality of the writing even more than the content). But I wonder why the bigots don't get tired of Faux News endlessly telling them they are Right, over and over. I mean, affirmation is one thing, but wouldn't it be like listening to some motivational speaker saying how great you are again and again? Infantile. Even my little boys get tired of being told how cute they are, how smart they are, how they "did Great!" I guess bigots never tire of being told they are smart, that they are in the know and that the libs will lose someday.

Posted by: shrink2 | July 10, 2009 1:54 PM | Report abuse

chrisfox -- I don't even think they realize it -- it's just been the standard MSM tilt for many years. The media was liberal at one point more than 30 years ago, so piece by piece, republicans bought it. Only 6 corporations control every media company in this country and the CEOS of all of them are Republicans.

There's just this center-right tilt in The DC Beltway Bubble, but it extends to all the major papers, including the NYTimes. I cancelled my subscription in repsonse to their 2 years of over the top crticial coverage of Clinton, and when I do read it online, it's always the same -- everythng is seen from the perspective of Bad News for Democrats, Good News for Repubicans. It got comical during the last part of the election when they tried to present palin as a serious candidate with something to say.

They propped her up so much it was painful, until they just couldn't do it with a straight face anymore, as every thing that came out of her mouth was too bizarre.

Posted by: drindl | July 10, 2009 1:49 PM | Report abuse

Another day, another headline of Good News for Republicans.

==

You beat me to it.

Really gotta wonder why Cillizza is shilling for these guys.

Posted by: chrisfox8 | July 10, 2009 1:34 PM | Report abuse

Granholm has been a great Governor during bad times in Michigan. Unfortunately she picked a decent but unspectacular running mate in 2002, and he doesn't have the charisma or talent to win on his own.

As a sitting Lt. Gov., Cherry is the establishment pick. I'd be OK with him, but he won't win in the fall. So I'm hoping a good Dem challenger appears.

Posted by: mikeinmidland | July 10, 2009 1:29 PM | Report abuse

Little history on Bob McDonnel--

"It’s not clear to me whether Del. Bob McDonnell should be pitied or condemned. The Republican nominee for attorney general here in Virginia, he’s had the misfortune to have had his House of Delegates campaign managed by a pedophile, Robin Vanderwall, who is currently serving a seven-year jail sentence for attempting to lure a little boy to a park for sex. McDonnell has based a significant portion of his campaign on his ability to stop these child predators, so one would think he’d start by looking at his own campaign staff. But, for the sake of argument, let’s just chalk this up to an unfortunate oversight on the part of our intrepid crime fighter.

Unfortunately for McDonnell, he’s batting .000 with Mr. Vanderwall. It seems that this gentlemen isn’t just interested in having sex with children, but also laundering money for indicted lobbyist Jack Abramoff.

It seems that Abramoff was hired by a gambling business to persuade rather a large number of conservative Republicans to vote against a bill that would prohibit internet gambling, Rep. Bob Goodlatte’s Internet Gambling Prohibition Act of 1999. He had the business — eLottery — write a check to Grover Norquist’s Americans for Tax Reform. Norquist’s group then wrote a check to the Faith and Family Alliance, who turned around and wrote a check to Ralph Reed’s Century Strategies. In the Washington Post, Susan Schmidt and James Grimaldi described the transaction as follows
:
According to the e-mails, Reed provided the name and address where Norquist was supposed to send the money: to Robin Vanderwall at a location in Virginia Beach.

Vanderwall was director of the Faith and Family Alliance, a political advocacy group that was founded by two of Reed’s colleagues and then turned over to Vanderwall, Vanderwall said and records show.

Vanderwall, a former Regent University Law School student and Republican operative, was later convicted of soliciting sex with minors via the Internet and is serving a seven-year term in Virginia state prison."

A republican who solicits sex with 7 year old boys, who was head of the "Faith and Family Alliance" -- rich, very rich. But as we have been seeing, pretty much par for the course and the party.

Posted by: drindl | July 10, 2009 1:28 PM | Report abuse

If they don't even feature in The Line what's with the 'watch the rust belt states go red' headline?

Posted by: margaretmeyers | July 10, 2009 1:25 PM | Report abuse

Creigh Deeds --

arlier today, Creigh Deeds had some choice words in response to the release of Bob McDonnell's/Bill Bolling's economic "plan":
As Governor, my chief responsibility will be to restore confidence in Virginia’s economy. I will take the personal responsibility of leading our Commonwealth’s economy and spearheading bipartisan efforts for job creation. I intend to work with Democrats and Republicans to create jobs, but I don’t intend to pass the buck on Virginia’s economy.

My opponent has a long record of supporting Jim Gilmore’s fiscal gimmicks and opposing Mark Warner’s bipartisan economic recovery plan. So, it’s no wonder my opponent wants to appoint somebody else to be in charge of job creation.""

Bob McDonnel is a lackey of the loathed Gilmore, which isn't going to do him a lot of good.
'

Posted by: drindl | July 10, 2009 1:19 PM | Report abuse

Deeds winning the primary (and handedly) was the worst possible outcome for McDonnell. He likely would have beaten Moran or McAullife in a standard NOVA/Richmond/Chesapeake vs. the Rest of VA Dem/Rep split - peeling off just enough of the center to tip it.

Deeds, though, has the "Real VA" Cred. NOVA/RCH/CPK Dems will vote for the D, and enough of "The rest" will vote for him, that I honestly don't even think it will be close.

Funny aside, Tom Corbett is the dad of a good freind of mine from college. I even crashed at his house once while on a road trip. Good times.

Posted by: VTDuffman | July 10, 2009 1:10 PM | Report abuse

Another day, another case of rightwing MSM amnesia:

'In each of these states, Democrats currently control the governorship but Republicans are heavily targeting the races under the belief that the deep economic unhappiness that abounds in each will lead voters to turn to the GOP for solutions.'

Voters to turn to the GOP for WHAT? Laughs, maybe, but solutions? You mean like the same ideology that destroyed this county financially to begin with?

SERIOUSLY CC, DO YOU REALLY NEED TO SUCK UP TO REPUBLICANS AND PRINT THEIR PRESS RELEASES EVERY DAY?

Do you have a brain of your very own? Just wondering.

Posted by: drindl | July 10, 2009 1:05 PM | Report abuse

Oh geez -- why do I even bother to come here?

Another day, another headline of Good News for Republicans.

Retch.

Posted by: drindl | July 10, 2009 1:02 PM | Report abuse

This is the first governors line since Pawlenty's announcement that he is not seeking reelection, right? Why not include MN on the list, the Dems have a deep bench there. Check it out: http://mncampaignreport.com/diary/3494/gubernatorial-power-rankings-june-09

Posted by: Minnesotastudent | July 10, 2009 1:01 PM | Report abuse

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