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Friday House Line: Jetting to Denver Edition

The Fix is hard at work packing for 13 -- yes, 13! -- straight days on the road covering the Democratic and Republican national conventions.

Friday Line

But, Friday just wouldn't be Friday without the Line. Below you'll find our rankings of the 20 House seats most likely to switch parties in the fall. The number one ranked race is the most likely to turn over.

As always, the Line is meant as a conversation starter so please use the comments section to offer your own opinions about our rankings. What races did we miss? What districts are ranked too high? Too low?

To the Line!

20. Florida's 16th district (D): Rep. Tim Mahoney (D) won this seat in large part due to Republicans' inability to get out of their own way (Mark Foley, we are looking at you). Republicans appear to be doing it again with a very nasty three-way GOP primary that concludes on Tuesday. (Previous ranking: 15)

19. Kansas' 2nd district (D): The surprise GOP primary victory by state Treasurer Lynn Jenkins over former Rep. Jim Ryun improves Republicans' chances of taking this seat back in the fall. Jenkins is widely regarded as a moderate and, as a woman, should have an easier time attacking the incumbent Nancy Boyda. (Previous ranking: N/A)

18. Minnesota's 3rd district (R): This race to replace Rep. Jim Ramstad (R) is the rare contest where both candidates -- state Sen. Erik Paulsen (R) and Iraq War vet Ashwin Madia (D) -- are running solid and well financed campaigns. This should be one of the best races in the country. (Previous ranking: 17)

17. Nevada's 3rd district (R): Rep. Jon Porter's re-election campaign isn't getting great reviews these days, a worrisome sign given that he eked out a win in 2006 by just 3,500 votes. State Sen. Dina Titus has negatives she needs to deal with but she is a well known figure in the state and an aggressive campaigner -- to say the least. (Previous ranking: 19)

16. Pennsylvania's 10th district (D): Republicans are very happy with the performance of first time candidate Chris Hackett (R). And, this northeastern Pennsylvania district did give President Bush 60 percent of the vote in 2004. But, Rep. Chris Carney (D) hasn't given Republicans much with which to make the case he should be fired. (Previous ranking: 12)

15. Louisiana's 6th district (D): The stars that aligned to elect Rep. Don Cazayoux (D) in a special election this year don't appear to be lining up again. Black state Rep. Michael Jackson is running as an independent and Republicans have a credible candidate in state Sen. Bill Cassidy. Democrats have to hope Jackson's campaign never gets off the ground so that Cazayoux can consolidate the district's significant black vote behind him. (Previous ranking: 20)

14. New Hampshire's 1st district (D): Former Rep. Jeb Bradley and former New Hampshire Health and Human Services Director John Stephen are currently bashing one another in advance of the state's Sept. 9 Republican primary. Regardless of who wins, Rep. Carol Shea Porter (D) is in trouble. Republicans may actually be better off with Stephen who can't be easily linked to Washington. (Previous ranking: 13)

13. Ohio's 15th district (R): To Republicans, state Sen. Steve Stivers (R) is a rising star in the state and nationally. To Democrats, he is a former lobbyist with ties to the stunningly unpopular administration of former governor Bob Taft (R). To Democrats, Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy (D) is a well-funded candidate who came within 1,500 votes of ousting an incumbent in 2006. To Republicans, Kilroy is someone to whom negatives seem to stick. Who is right? That's why they vote. (Previous ranking: 11)

12. Colorado's 4th district (R): Rep. Marilyn Musgrave (R) is in major trouble. A consistent underperformer in a district that should be safe for Republicans, she is facing a quality opponent in Betsy Markey, and the environmental lobby is also gunning for her. Unless something drastic changes, this race is going to keep moving up the Line. (Previous ranking: 16)

11. Illinois' 11th district (R): This open seat contest has been on hold for the last few weeks following the news that state Sen. Debbie Halvorson's (D) stepson was injured while serving in Afghanistan. Republican are thrilled with their candidate -- concrete magnate Martin Ozinga -- although, as a successful businessman, you can bet national Democrats will do a deep dig on Ozinga's finances. (Previous ranking: 9)

10. New Mexico's 1st district (R): Bernalillo County Sheriff Darren White (R) put out a poll late last month that showed him ahead of former Albuquerque City Councilman Martin Heinrich (D) 47 percent to 41 percent. That seems about right but this race is going to get closer and closer. (Previous ranking: 10)

9. Ohio's 16th district (R): Earlier in the year, this race appeared to own a permanent spot in the top five of the Line. But, the reports we have been getting about state Sen. John Boccieri's (D) campaign aren't good. Couple that with a poll done for state Sen. Kirk Schuring (R) that shows him leading Boccieri 40 percent to 34 percent and you have a recipe for a far closer race than we initially expected. (Previous ranking: 6)

8. New Jersey's 7th district (R): State Sen. Leonard Lance (R) is hard to figure out. On the one hand, he ran an extremely sound primary campaign to secure the GOP nomination. On the other, he raised a little over $100,000 between mid May and the end of June. That is, well, terrible -- especially in a district like this one covered by the costly New York City media market. If Linda Stender, the 2006 Democratic nominee, can keep up her fundraising pace this race could move up the Line. (Previous ranking: 8)

7. Pennsylvania's 11th district (D): Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D) shouldn't be in trouble. But, he is, thanks in large part to his securing of millions in federal funds for a company run by relatives that eventually went belly up. Hazelton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) and the National Republican Congressional Committee are co-funding an ad using Kanjorski's own statements on the matter against him. (Previous ranking: 14)

6. New Jersey's 3rd district (R): State Sen. John Adler (D) has, to date, lived up to his promise as a candidate. He has raised the most money of any candidate running for an open House seat and has stayed on offense by attacking Lockheed Martin vice president Chris Myers as a tool of President Bush. A very tough hold for Republicans. (Previous ranking: 5)

5. Texas' 22nd district (D): Of all the districts Democrats won in 2006, the underlying demographics of this Houston-area seat are the least amenable to the party holding the seat in November. National Republicans -- in the form of Freedom's Watch -- have already begun to attack Rep. Nick Lampson (D) and there's more where that came from. (Previous ranking: 4)

4. Virginia's 11th district (R): Make no mistake: Fairfax County Board of Supervisors Chairman Gerry Connolly (D) is the frontrunner for the open seat of retiring Rep. Tom Davis (R). But, businessman Keith Fimian (R) is extremely well funded and has begun advertising on television already. This race could get more interesting in the coming months. (Previous ranking: 2)

3. New York's 13th district (R): New York City Councilman Mike McMahon looks certain to roll in next month's Democratic primary even as Republicans still seem divided about their candidate -- former Assemblyman Robert Straniere. And, did we mention that the current Republican incumbent was chased from office due to an infidelity scandal? (Previous ranking: 7)

2. Arizona's 1st district (R): The general election is set: former state Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick for Democrats and 2002 Republican primary candidate Sydney Hay for the GOP. And that matchup heavily favors Democrats; Kirkpatrick is well known and well funded while Hay is neither. (Previous ranking: 3)

1. New York's 25th district (R): The beat goes on for 2006 nominee Dan Maffei (D) who came within 3,000 votes of upsetting Rep. Jim Walsh (R). Walsh's retirement sent Republicans into a tizzy from which they never recovered. (Previous ranking: 1)

By Chris Cillizza  |  August 22, 2008; 9:50 AM ET
Categories:  The Line  
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Next: The Fix Heads to Denver

Comments

It would be really special if the media would let us enjoy the convention. All they talk about is negative things. What Hillary needs to say and What Obama needs to do and if they don't theres conseqences. This is our night and we don't want to hear abou Obama losing and why he lost. What is wrong with the media. Why are they talking about Obama losing the first day of the convention. I want to see if they talk about Mccain losing during the Republican convention.

Posted by: Blue | August 25, 2008 8:01 AM | Report abuse

The correct spelling is Hazleton, not Hazelton... just FYI.

Posted by: CW | August 24, 2008 6:15 PM | Report abuse

c830t

Posted by: ma747zda | August 24, 2008 1:02 PM | Report abuse

Mr. Cillizza, you have been making this mistake over and over for months. Erik Paulson in MN-03 is not a State Senator, he is a State Representative.

And, I don't know what reports you have been getting about Bocceri's campaign. Mine have been raving. Meanwhile Schuring has been stumbling, insulted the biggest city in the district, Canton, and has been running a very lackluster campaign.

Posted by: Jacob Waalk | August 23, 2008 2:37 PM | Report abuse

Republicans are the party of hate.

Let's watch them lead the charge into the mud in this campaign.

Posted by: Tom S | August 23, 2008 12:11 PM | Report abuse

The Democratic Party is extremely misguided - they are deceiving themselves into believing that they can make up for history by voting for Obama - what a joke.

The democrats want to nominate a black so badly - Jim Crow happened, slavery happened - voting for an underqualified cocaine snorting empty suit slimy fish Obama is not going to help race relations.

If ANYTHING, Obama's campaign tactics have HURT RACE RELATIONS IN THIS COUNTRY.

Obama is not even a descendent of slaves.

Obama is simply trading off the REAL SLAVE DESCENDENTS - Obama comes from a BLACK MUSLIM SOCIALIST FAMILY.


The Democratic Party is jumping and gushing at Obama who has no experience in running anything not even a dog catching department and no economic experience except for buying cocaine -


Can anyone please explain this CLEAR DELUSION?


The democrats have not noticed yet that Obama is a Black Muslim whose father was a Socialist and Obama is probably a great deal closer to being a Socialist himself than most people imagine.

.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 11:45 PM | Report abuse

Obama is gonna choose billionaire NYC mayor Bloomberg because that is his instruction from the oligarghy (international bankers and financiers) controlling the elections. Obama is their puppet. Bloomberg will privatize the US government to profit big time $$$ as planned because their wealth is going down with bad economy and currency. Bloomberg will privatize US programs, infrastructure and jobs and forsake President FDR's policies that benefits 80% of the forgotten people and Constitution.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 6:06 PM | Report abuse

CT-04 CT-04 CT-04!!!!!

This is my pick for closest in the country. GOP Rep. Shays actually has an ad up aligning himself with Obama!

Dem Jim Himes is running a great campaign and is on even pace with Shays in fundraising, and any Obama-effect rise in turnout in Bridgeport may finally end Shays career.

This is a top-10 race to be sure. The GOP is facing extinction in the northeastern suburbs, and already have seemed to lose NY-25 and couldn't even find a decent challenger for freshman Hall up in the Hudson Valley's NY-19. If NJ-07, another wealthy New York suburban seat, falls in November to the Dems in a close race, then it means Shays will have already lost in a landslide. 20 years ago, could anyone have imagined the GOP would hold only 3 safe seats (NJ-05, NJ-11, NY-03) in the entire New York Metropolitan area and that its great suburban machines (Nassau Republicans where are you?) would be powerless?

Posted by: CTMan | August 22, 2008 5:23 PM | Report abuse

What about the Buchannan v Jennings race in the disputed 2006 Florida 13th? Is there a rerun of that election and if so shouldn't that be in the top 10?

Posted by: Leichtman | August 22, 2008 5:07 PM | Report abuse

What about CA-4 where disgraced Republican John Doolittle is sneaking out the back door about to be replaced by Democrat Charlie Brown who is running one of the best ground games anywhere in America this election cycle.

Peter L. Roseville, CA

Posted by: Peter L. | August 22, 2008 4:40 PM | Report abuse

I am the victim here. vote for me, you all must be victims too. the rich are ripping you off. hope, change, promise. all the other stuff is just distractions from my coronation. and send money- don't forget, I just made a big ad buy in mississippi, Texas and kentucky, wyoming and the dakotas, all three of them. because I think I can win there.

Send money. It will get you used to my taxes.

Posted by: snObama | August 22, 2008 4:22 PM | Report abuse

When Obama moved to the center on a host of issues to sound reassuring, he sacrificed his reputation for bold, innovative change and for courageous integrity. When he wowed world leaders and public audiences on his foreign trip from Afghanistan to Berlin, he came across at home instead as a celebrity on a Paris Hilton scale. The more the U.S. media gave his grand tour favorable coverage, the more his poll numbers fell.

Even Paris Hilton's famed YouTube video hurt Obama in the end much more than it did McCain, because Hilton, like McCain, spoke coherent, honest and detailed sense on energy issues. She acknowledged the nation's need to maintain and expand offshore oil drilling and other conventional energy resources.

By contrast, the alternative energy resources that Obama advocates are still largely non-existent in terms of technological and engineering capability. When Hilton shows a greater, more confident and far more detailed mastery of one of the three key issues in the entire campaign than the Democratic nominee, he really has problems.

Posted by: lib losers.....again | August 22, 2008 4:17 PM | Report abuse

Sen. Barack Obama heads into his nominating convention in Denver next week on the skids: Four years ago Sen. John Kerry, the doomed Democratic contender against President George W. Bush, was in a far stronger position heading for his nominating convention in Boston than Obama is now.

Three major polls this week put Sen. John McCain of Arizona, the Republican putative presidential nominee, either breaking even or ahead of Obama by as much as 3 percentage points. McCain's gaffe about how many houses he owns isn't likely to significantly change the situation. Obama's eagerness to zero in on it makes a mockery of his overconfident and naive pledge to stay positive throughout his campaign.

Posted by: goose is cooked | August 22, 2008 4:16 PM | Report abuse

When Obama’s campaign took over the Democratic Party earlier this year, it embraced Howard Dean’s 50-state strategy, which is aimed at courting Democrats nationwide. The strategy has generated controversy, though, because many Democrats say it wastes money in states where they have no chance of winning.

It's not my money. what do I care. Same as my tax and spend policies. I didn't learn a thing from hillary.

Posted by: snObama | August 22, 2008 4:10 PM | Report abuse

Barack Obama’s presidential campaign has put the brakes on ads that were running in seven states carried by the GOP in the 2004 presidential election, FOX News has learned.

Of the seven states — including Alaska, Georgia, Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota — Florida and Virginia are considered key battlegrounds this year. Obama’s decision to stop advertising in those states is raising eyebrows.

the bubble has burst. the beginning of the end looms.

Posted by: never mind | August 22, 2008 4:08 PM | Report abuse

The democrats have so much white guilt -

they want to nominate a black so badly -


that they jumped at Obama who has no experience, no economic experience except buying cocaine -


AND the democrats have not noticed yet that Obama is a Black Muslim whose father was a Socialist and Obama is probably a great deal closer to being a Socialist himself than most people imagine.


.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 4:07 PM | Report abuse

Illinois' 10th! Where did it go from last time? Kirk sent out negative mailers that hit doors today, which means he's running scared.

Posted by: LF | August 22, 2008 2:41 PM | Report abuse

Chris,

There is an oversight on #18, Minnesota's 3rd. Those of us in the local MN political scene would be remiss not to let you know that Erik Paulsen is not a current state Senator, nor was he ever. Erik Paulsen is a former State Representative. Just wanted to get the details straight, keep up the good work.

Posted by: J Krapek | August 22, 2008 2:39 PM | Report abuse

Chris,

The NY 26th District is a very tight race. This is Tom Reynolds's old district. With his retirement & the general upset with the GOP in upstate NY, this is a district that is ripe for flipping to the Democrats. Jack Davis has the ability & the whereabouts to stage a strong run.

Posted by: Tom in Rochester | August 22, 2008 2:31 PM | Report abuse

you can always tell a democrat convention -- it's like a swarm of angry mindless, soulless insects.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 2:10 PM | Report abuse

hey ignoramus - the sign off is cutting the coward from your name. Please stick with LOUD and DUMB, or drindl, or CLaudialong or Sphinctator or whatever you are calling your feeble self these days.

go back outside and yell at the neighborhood kids again if you need negative attention so bad.

Posted by: loony libs | August 22, 2008 2:09 PM | Report abuse

What you are posting is libel and I suggest that Chris remove it and any of your posts from this site before legal action is taken.

Posted by: Observer - | August 22, 2008 1:22 PM

you are truly a piss ant aren't you?

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 2:06 PM | Report abuse

you can always tell a drudge link -- it's like a swarm of angry mindless, soulless insects.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 2:03 PM | Report abuse

the moron kingofzouk. jeezus, you come back here and he's STILL here every day all day? but then as braindamaged as he is, it's not surprising he has no job. his old mom must get tired of his cheeto stained face though. what a loser.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 2:01 PM | Report abuse


'Obama plan ships dollars overseas – by the billions'

You''re very confused. That was the bush plan. Billions of unaccountable taxpayers' dollars to incompetent republican contractors to pretend to rebuild Iraq.

MISSION ACCOMPLISHED. In the hole to the tune of a trillion.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 1:56 PM | Report abuse

rtfanning -
...more on the ACORN indictments. "According to Elyshya Miller, ACORN’s head organizer for Kansas City, ACORN identified certain forms as potentially fraudulent and turned them over to prosecutors in late October; four organizers were responsible. A week later, all four organizers were indicted by a grand jury."

So, it seems that ACORN, itself, looked for irregularities and proactively went to authorities with that information. They expanded that overight in all of their field offices and irregularities were uncovered in registrations in Kansas City, Missouri, Wisconsin, and Colorado. In every case, it was ACORN that handled the investigation, ACORN that found and terminated contract employees who committed fraud, and ACORN that turned that information over to federal authorites. In NO CASE, **EVER**, has ACORN itself ever been indicted. What you are posting is libel and I suggest that Chris remove it and any of your posts from this site before legal action is taken.

Posted by: Observer - | August 22, 2008 1:22 PM | Report abuse

rtfanning - First, Obama NEVER worked for ACORN. He worked as a faith based organizer for a group of churches. Be that as it may, ACORN has worked for low and middle income families fighting against preditory lending laws, worked to raise the minimum wage, advocated uiversal health care, and been involved in voter registration drives.

ABout those indictments you refer to... In 2006, less than a week before an election, four *contract* workers (hourly workers, collecting voter registration cards) for ACORN were indicted in Kansas City for falsifying registration records. They were terminated by ACORN.

If that is all you've got, it's pretty lame.

Posted by: Observer | August 22, 2008 1:14 PM | Report abuse

Dear ,"another lying cheat "

Obama had only one job in 47 years.
He was with ACORN.

ACORN has been indicted in 15 states for voter fraud.

Do you { all you Obamanites }realy think Obama is something OTHER than a slimeball Communist meglomaniac ?


Posted by: rtfanning | August 22, 2008 12:58 PM | Report abuse

But a YouTube video of the speech, at about the 16-minute mark, shows Obama added the following lines:

"We cannot continue to rely on our military in order to achieve the national security objectives we've set.{ outside the boundaries of Posse Comitatus in order to enforce reparations} We've got to have a civilian national security force that's just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded."

Obama plan ships dollars overseas – by the billions


http://www.worldnetdaily.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=56405

Obama's Global Poverty Act by Edward Cline -- Capitalism Magazine


http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?ID=5152

These people have to be stopped in the most important election of our lifetimes

Posted by: rtfanning | August 22, 2008 12:51 PM | Report abuse

"i'm just sayin'" - Everyone knows that Obama's father was a bum that ran out on his mother. Obama never knew the guy and he fathered children in oddball places that are Obama's half siblings. How, though, is this any diferent than the two half sisters of Cindy McCain? Both live in poverty, penniless, while Cindy claims she is an "only child". Same deal with John and a bunch of kids that he reportedly fathered. If you feel the need to throw mud, expect the favor to be returned.

Posted by: Observer | August 22, 2008 12:29 PM | Report abuse

Keep an eye on Daniel Johnson in NC-10.

Posted by: McHenry on the run | August 22, 2008 12:25 PM | Report abuse

silly zouk, I'm not interested in a pissing match. Got anything on the Friday Line?

Posted by: bsimon | August 22, 2008 12:04 PM | Report abuse

simple simon:

Just trying to drive you away. I know all it takes is reason, morality, rationality and logic to totally confound and perplex you goofy Libs.

but you still have hope and change. My observations indicate that has morphed into "hope to change" based on the endless flip-flops and non-positions.

Posted by: kingofzouk | August 22, 2008 11:56 AM | Report abuse

"bsimon, you came back. so did I. who is being driven away? get over yourself."

Thanks for the input. You know how much I value your insight & advice.

Posted by: bsimon | August 22, 2008 11:53 AM | Report abuse

bsimon, you came back. so did I. who is being driven away? get over yourself.

Posted by: kingofzouk | August 22, 2008 11:50 AM | Report abuse

"I hate to tell you fellow fixters, but a blogs success is driven by traffic. I am sure the WaPo is delighted over the volume from yesterday, despite the paucity of intelligence and content."

That's short term thinking. Sure, a drudge link boosts traffic for one day, or a couple hours. but if it drives away people who are reliable regulars, long term traffic can go down. Do they want repeat business, or infrequent traffic spikes, but otherwise minimal interest?

Posted by: bsimon | August 22, 2008 11:48 AM | Report abuse

U.S. Sen. Barack Obama's presidential campaign paid more than $800,000 to an offshoot of the liberal Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now for services the Democrat's campaign says it mistakenly misrepresented in federal reports. An Obama spokesman said Federal Election Commission reports would be amended to show Citizens Services Inc. -- a subsidiary of ACORN -- worked in "get-out-the-vote" projects

Posted by: another lying cheat | August 22, 2008 11:44 AM | Report abuse

Here we go again. A new Reuters/Zogby poll shows Barack Obama has converted a seven-point lead over John McCain last month into a five-point deficit as of last week. How'd he manage it? Simple: He turned to Democratic centrist advisers touting strategies that have produced decades of electoral disasters.

Posted by: bubble has burst | August 22, 2008 11:42 AM | Report abuse

DEPENDING on which opinion poll you read, US Presidential candidate Barack Obama is either tied with rival John McCain, leads by a tiny margin, or has been overtaken. This is confusing to many pundits, who don't understand why a far-left, first-term Senator with dodgy mates, no policies, a profound humour deficit and a habit of committing astonishing gaffes isn't in front by 20 points. After all, Obama isn't exactly starved of press coverage

Posted by: why, why? | August 22, 2008 11:40 AM | Report abuse

Obama's half-brother earns $1 a month:

Obama at Saddleback Forum: "I think America’s greatest moral failure in my lifetime has been that we still don’t abide by that basic precept in Matthew that whatever you do for the least of my brothers, you do for me"

One must assume that after he is elected, we can all expect to net about a buck a month.

Posted by: i'm just sayin' | August 22, 2008 11:39 AM | Report abuse

I hate to tell you fellow fixters, but a blogs success is driven by traffic. I am sure the WaPo is delighted over the volume from yesterday, despite the paucity of intelligence and content.

Typically, when a lot of Liberals show up, the level of discourse drops like a stone. the intelligence is not measurable in positive terms. the derangement syndrome marches on.

Posted by: kingofzouk | August 22, 2008 11:37 AM | Report abuse

im glad the republican tent is not big enough for them
----------
the GOP tent is full of toe-tapping hypocrites, indicted but pardoned iran-contral conspirators and yet to be indicted iraq fraudulent intelligence conspirators

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 11:31 AM | Report abuse

bondjedi writes
"the "spam attack" of last night was the result of Drudge linking to the article and prominently featuring it high above the fold."

Interesting. From a journalist/blogger perspective, earning an 'above the fold' drudge link can likely only be surpassed by winning the VP scoop race.

Posted by: bsimon | August 22, 2008 11:27 AM | Report abuse

dems to allow undicted co-conspirator in islamic terrorist case to speak at their convention.
im glad the republican tent is not big enough for them.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 22, 2008 11:11 AM | Report abuse

Paranoid people - the "spam attack" of last night was the result of Drudge linking to the article and prominently featuring it high above the fold.

Instead of the usual kooks who wander in with their drivel, the link brought in the thousands of other kooks who refresh Drudge for the latest.

Posted by: bondjedi | August 22, 2008 11:09 AM | Report abuse

Chris,

You continue to underestimate Larry Kissell. Hayes is in trouble. Mention it sometime

Posted by: Max | August 22, 2008 11:02 AM | Report abuse

McCaul [R], TX - CD 10, is running behind among under 40s and ahead among over 60s. Doherty [D], the tv judge, has a shot.
-------------
The 1200+ posts to "Analysis: Why the Home Debate Matters" were generally turgid. It is time to resurrect registration, WaPo.!

Registration Resurrection!

Posted by: MarkInAustin | August 22, 2008 11:02 AM | Report abuse

Mr. Chris Fix,

I am inclined to think that Scrivener is on to something, but even if there is no organized effort, SOMETHING is up with the vitriol, personal attacks and endless drivel about things other than the subject at hand.

Thanks!

Posted by: dch | August 22, 2008 11:01 AM | Report abuse

In Senate news, a new poll puts Franken ahead of Coleman 41 to 40. 8 for IP candidate Dean Barkley (who faces primary challenges), leaving 11 percent undecided. This is a surprise result - so should probably be considered an outlier unless/until other polls confirm Franken has caught up. Given the inclusion of the IP candidate & 'undecided' it could be more accurate than polls that push respondents to pick only Coleman or Franken.

http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/08/21/senatepoll/

Posted by: bsimon | August 22, 2008 10:47 AM | Report abuse

If The Fix is thirsty, The Fix should go around the corner from the Xcel ctr for tasty beverages at Great Waters brewery.

Posted by: bsimon | August 22, 2008 10:35 AM | Report abuse

RE: LAST NIGHT'S SPAM ATTACK ON YOUR BLOG

Chris:

Before you leave, I'd like to suggest that you ask the WaPo web people to try to find out whether some organized entity is spamming your site, cluttering up your most popular threads with weird and rude chatter, making it difficult for "real" readers to sift through their disinformational garbage.

As I've written here before, it's possible the personal insults directed at you and at posters to his blog are part of what appears to be a concerted effort to harass, and to compromise the quality of discourse here.

I have some theories, but of course they are unproven and just speculation. Whatever the genesis, some people or some entity is waging a cyber-war on the Washington Post, and your web people should try to track it down to the source. Sophisicated spammers have ways of "spoofing" their IP addresses, but perhaps a forensic examination by WaPo would reveal some clues as to the perpetrators.

At least if they think their "targets" are fighting back, maybe they will stand down for fear that they may be violating a host of laws, regulations and policies against propagandizing and harassing in this manner.

As stated before, registration won't work, because paid "specialists" will simply register under the cover of multiple names.

Enjoy Denver. Won't it be a huge surprise when Obama takes the podium at Invesco Field as the Democratic Party's VICE-presidential nominee! Well, whatever happens, it should make for interesting times.

Posted by: scrivener | August 22, 2008 10:32 AM | Report abuse

What about Chabot in OH-1, and mean Jean Schmidt in OH-2?

Posted by: Varnson | August 22, 2008 10:15 AM | Report abuse

I hear Wilco is playing at the convention CC. You must feel like you're at the gates of heaven!

Posted by: scrapster | August 22, 2008 10:09 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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