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Friday House Line: The Top 25!

With the November election rushing to its conclusion, The Fix is stepping it up accordingly.

Friday Line

Welcome to the new and improved Friday House Line in which we seek to bring our loyal readers the 25 -- yes, you read that right! -- House races most likely to switch parties in the fall election. (Because of the increased volume of races, the writeups will be shorter in all cases; in some districts we may refrain from any comment -- and you all know how hard that is for us.)

Although much has transpired in the political world since the last time we went through the most competitive House contests in late August -- the unveiling of the both parties' presidential nominees and the two national conventions -- the overall national landscape remains dire for Republicans.

A series of recent national polls has shown them with a deep deficit in the generic ballot test and the focus on the economy of late has darkened some of the optimism GOP strategists felt coming out of the GOP convention last month in St. Paul.

Republicans are also in terrible financial shape. At the end of August, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee had $54 million left to spend on races across the country, $40 million more than the National Republican Congressional Committee.

The difficult political environment for Republicans coupled with such a massive financial deficit and a number of open seats in vulnerable territory virtually ensures a double-digit Democratic pickup on Nov. 4. Whether that means 10 seats or 20 seats (or even 25) remains to be seen.

As always, the number one ranked race on the Line -- a new one -- is the most likely to switch parties in the fall election. The comments section awaits your thoughts and reactions.

To the Line!

25. Florida's 8th district (R): The sleeper race of the cycle to date is this central Florida district that Rep. Ric Keller (R) has held since 2000. Keller's weakness was exposed when he narrowly beat a talk radio host in last month's Republican primary. And now he must take on free-spending Democrat Alan Grayson in the general election. A Grayson poll showed him leading Keller by four points. That seems a little too optimistic for the Democrat but Keller is clearly in a real fight. (Previous ranking: N/A)

24. Washington's 8th district (R): There's almost no question that Rep. Dave Reichert's (R) Seattle-area district is moving away from his party. The question is how fast that movement is happening and whether Democrat Darcy Burner, who nearly beat Reichert in 2006, can finish the job this time around. A Survey USA poll conducted earlier this month had Reichert up 10 points but the extremely low number of undecided voters makes us a bit suspicious. (Previous ranking: N/A)

Boyda
Will there be money to defeat Boyda? (AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)

23. Kansas' 2nd district (D): After winning a somewhat surprise victory in the Republican primary last month, state Treasurer Lynn Jenkins (R) is now on television with her first ad of the general election, one that paints her as a fiscal conservative and a pragmatist. Rep. Nancy Boyda (D), a surprise winner in 2006, has taken quite a while to get settled in Congress. But, will national Republicans have the money to knock her out? (Previous ranking: 19)

22. Nevada's 3rd district (R): The DCCC and Freedom's Watch (the NRCC in absentia) are battling it out in this Clark County district that Rep. Jon Porter (R) has held since 2002. The DCCC spot paints Porter as a tool of special interests; Freedom's Watch casts state Sen. Dina Titus (D) as an advocate for higher taxes. This race is going to be nasty and close. (Previous ranking: 17)

21. Florida's 16th district (D): Rep. Tim Mahoney (D) has had his share of rough patches in his first re-election campaign -- the latest being his use of a Marine in uniform in one of his campaign ads. Attorney Tom Rooney won a hotly contested Republican primary and has been touting a poll that shows him within seven points of Mahoney. Maybe. (Previous ranking: 20)

20.Ohio's 15th district (R): State Sen. Steve Stivers is one of House Republicans' rare success stories this election cycle. Stivers has proven an able fundraiser and candidate -- recently claiming the endorsement of the Columbus Dispatch. Mary Jo Kilroy, the Democratic nominee in 2006 and again this year, has run a solid if unspectacular campaign. The DCCC is now hitting Stivers as a party insider, and will need to keep it up to keep Kilroy in the game. (Previous ranking: 13)

19. Alabama's 5th district (D): Democrats, once supremely confident about state Rep. Parker Griffith (D) keeping this seat, have grown more wary in recent days. Republicans believe a recently unveiled document that suggests Griffith under-radiated cancer patients in the late 1980s is the break they have been looking for in this open seat contest. (Previous ranking: N/A)

18. Florida's 24th district (R): In the last week, Rep. Tom Feeney's (R) Democratic opponent released polling that showed the race a dead heat and the incumbent went on television with a mea culpa ad admitting to a "rookie mistake" in taking a trip to Scotland with disgraced lobbyist Jack Abramoff. Uh oh. (Previous ranking: N/A)

17. Minnesota's 3rd district (R): This suburban Twin Cities district is playing host to a great congressional race to replace retiring Rep. Jim Ramstad (R). The contest looks like a toss up but the DCCC is now up with a commercial casting state Sen. Erik Paulsen (R) as a career politician and Patriot Majority Midwest is also hammering Paulsen on TV. It could make the difference. (Previous ranking: 18)

16. Louisiana's 6th district (D): A new poll commissioned by Rep. Don Cazayoux (D) shows him with a comfortable lead in a three-way race with state Sen. Bill Cassidy (R) and state Rep. Michael Jackson who is running as an independent. And, the DCCC is now up with an ad whacking Cassidy for his support of privatizing Social Security. Still, the demographics of the district are tough -- especially if Jackson can peel of a significant portion of the black vote from Cazayoux. (Previous ranking: 15)

15. Pennsylvania's 10th district (D): This is among the quietest competitive races in the country. Rep. Chris Carney (D) hasn't done much to make himself vulnerable in his first two years in office but this northeastern Pennsylvania district leans strongly toward Republicans and GOP strategists expect John McCain and Sarah Palin to run well there. (Previous ranking: 16)

14. New Hampshire's 1st district (D): Former Rep. Jeb Bradley's narrow Republican primary win sets up a rematch with freshman Rep. Carol Shea Porter (D). Being a former Member of Congress isn't exactly the best resume on which to run in a change election but Democrats are worried. (Previous ranking: 14)

13. New Mexico's 1st district (R): This is a great race between two solid candidates -- Bernalillo County Sheriff Darren White (R) and Albuquerque City Councilman Martin Heinrich -- in a district that is almost evenly divided along partisan lines. One of the best contests of the cycle and a true toss up. (Previous ranking: 10)

12. Ohio's 16th district (R): State Sen. John Boccieri (D) has long been the favorite in this race. State Sen. Kirk Schuring (R) has hung tougher than many expected. But, can he withstand the new DCCC ad onslaught? (Previous ranking: 9)

11. Illinois' 11th District (R): It's dueling polls time! State Sen. Debbie Halvorson's (D) poll has her leading concrete magnate Marty Ozinga (R) 43 percent to 35 percent. Ozinga's poll has the race a dead heat (Halvorson 38 percent, Ozinga 36 percent). Split the difference and Halvorson leads by five. That seems right. (Previous ranking: 11)

10. New Jersey's 7th District (R): The ads in this race are GREAT. Hard to choose whether we like the "Lance Dance" or "Linda Stender is a Big Spender" better. (Previous ranking: 8)

9. New Jersey's 3rd district (R): Polling released by Lockheed Martin vice president Chris Myers (R) shows the race close. But state Sen. John Adler's (D) massive financial edge could change all that quickly. (Previous ranking: 6)

8. Colorado's 4th district (R): A quick look at Rep. Marilyn Musgrave's (R) career in Congress shows a candidate who vastly underperforms in a comfortably Republican seat. Democratic nominee Betsy Markey is the best candidate Musgrave has faced and, according to polling in the contest, leads the incumbent. Republicans believe an alleged conflict of interest on Markey's part is a silver bullet but we remain skeptical. (Previous ranking: 12)

7. Pennsylvania's 11th district (D): Every cycle there is (at least) one incumbent who has done himself such grave political damage that reelection becomes an impossibility. It's looking increasingly likely that Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D) is that guy this year. (Previous ranking: 7)

6. Virginia's 11th district (R): Long considered an easy pickup for Democrats, strategists on both sides acknowledge that the race between Fairfax County Board of Supervisors Chairman Gerry Connolly (D) and wealthy businessman Keith Fimian (R) is closer than expected. Still, northern Virginia should be very good ground for Democrats this fall. (Previous ranking: 4)

Lampson
Lampson looks likely to be a Democrat that goes down. (AP Photo/Michael Stravato)

5. Texas's 22nd district (D): If any Democratic incumbent loses this fall (none did in 2006), it will be Rep. Nick Lampson. (Previous ranking: 5)

4. New York's 25th district (R): Dan Maffei, who nearly ousted retiring Rep. Jim Walsh (R) in 2006, has held the number one slot on the Line for as long as we can remember. Why did he drop? If anyone is going to be hurt by Rep. Charlie Rangel's (D) ongoing ethics problems, it's Maffei -- a former Rangel staffer. (Previous ranking: 1)

3. New York's 13th district (R): Former Assemblyman Robert Straniere (R) was nominated for a New York Supreme Court judgeship this week. Straniere also happens to be the Republican nominee for the Staten Island based seat of retiring Rep. Vito Fosella (R). Did we mention this is all part of an elaborate move to get Fosella back on the ballot? Ah, New York politics. (Previous ranking: 3)

2. Arizona's 1st district (R): It's a sign of how over this race is that the cash-flush DCCC hasn't dropped a dime on former state Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick's (D) behalf. (Previous ranking: 2)

1. Alaska At-Large district (R): Embattled Rep. Don Young's narrow win the Republican primary effectively ends his party's chances at holding this seat. State Rep. Ethan Berkowitz (D) should start measuring the drapes. (Previous ranking: N/A)

By Chris Cillizza  |  September 26, 2008; 8:00 AM ET
Categories:  The Line  
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Comments

The Video Obama, 4 Other Democratic Senators and 5 Fannie Mae Officials Don't Want The American People To See:
http://www.youtube.com/user/TheMouthPeace
If you agree, then pass it along To All Your Friends.

Posted by: gdodd414 | September 28, 2008 4:11 PM | Report abuse

For the hardcore (I'm looking at you jdunph1), new polling out today:

CA-4 Charlie Brown up 46-41 over McClintock (Research 2000).

NH-1 Shea-Porter and Bradley splitting two polls (UNH, Research 2000) both within the margin of error.

WY-AL Trauner and Lummis tied at 42 (Research 2000).

Posted by: mnteng | September 27, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Chris -

Seems like Wisconsin's 8th district should be a strong contender to make your list. A mid-Sept. poll by Public Opinion Strategies for Republican John Gard showed him only one point down to one-term Democrat incumbent Steve Kagen, 45-46. Kagen has had an at best mediocre first term, and last quarter Gard out-fundraised Kagen. The NRCC has reserved airtime, and this rematch should come down to the wire.

Posted by: wiactivist | September 26, 2008 3:56 PM | Report abuse

Kansas 2nd needs to come off the list. Boyda will keep the seat. Consider adding Nebraska 2nd. Jim Esch (D) is coming on strong and Lee Terry (R) is growing more out of touch. In Omaha we have seen very little leadership from Terry on this financial meltdown. If the House Republicans continue to frustrate progress it will be very bad for Terry. TD Ameritrade has substantial operations in the district. Also, many major Omaha area companies (First National Nebraska Bank, Mutual of Omaha Insurance, and Berkshire Hathaway) may experience negativity related to the situation.

Posted by: ooooomaha | September 26, 2008 3:54 PM | Report abuse

Chris! The Columbus Dispatch is well known as a right-wing rag! It's owned by an extremely conservative family, and even before it was, the only time it endorsed a Democrat was when it was clear the Republican had no chance at all of winning. For them to endorse Stivers in OH-15 is entirely unremarkable.

Posted by: JonSM99 | September 26, 2008 2:59 PM | Report abuse

You forgot CA 4th CD - Good old Charlie Brown (D) will take the seat being vacated by Republican John Doolittle who is about to be indicted by the feds.

Posted by: isart | September 26, 2008 2:39 PM | Report abuse

Madame Selena, if anything you are wrong. It's the Obama campaign that is 'cratering'.

People are connecting ACORN to the bailout and realizing that this is welfare for the rich -- most of whom support Obama.

So he can pretend all he wants about being for 'poor' people, but this is helping 'his' backers more than anyone.

Posted by: username | September 26, 2008 2:25 PM | Report abuse

Obamatards have no clue why they are for these 'Democrats'.

This is the party of the rich, and this is proof.

These people are criminals. They have an empty sordid candidate so they have to resort to these types of tactics.

But people are finding out fast. This Congress has a 9% approval rating and doesn't deserve to be re-elected.

Posted by: username | September 26, 2008 2:17 PM | Report abuse

mark_in_austin:

Back to the underscores now that we have registration again, I see.

Lampson was in trouble the second Sekula-Gibbs lost the primary. CQ Politics had Lampson with >$1 million in his warchest as of June 30. I have a feeling that it's going to be an expensive race, though I wonder how much people are paying attention what with Ike, etc.

How are Doherty's numbers in TX-10?

Posted by: mnteng | September 26, 2008 1:12 PM | Report abuse

Chris,
Good analysis as usual. But you left off some seats that should be on that list: NY-26, 29; Wyoming A-L; Louisiana-4, 7; NC-8; CA-4; MO-9; MI-7; OH-1, 2, and the most obvious one--the last Israelite standing CT-4 where Chris Shays is going down, etc., etc., etc. You say 25 is the high end for us. I suspect that not only can we win more House seats than that, but that we will. Just like two years ago, I'm believing that we're not going to lose a single Democratic seat in the House or Senate. My Congressman Rep. Cazayoux looks a lot better today than he did at the start of the cycle, and only 39 days away from the election he has to be the favorite.
Reps. Lampson and Boyda will survive because like former President Clinton said about Sen. Obama at the Convention: "They're on the right side of history."

I'm looking forward to the 2010 midterms, particularly in the Senate where we've got some easy pick-ups awaiting us, and where we could get to a larger than two-to-one ratio in overall seats. Thanks Chris.

Posted by: jdunph1 | September 26, 2008 12:27 PM | Report abuse

mnteng, In Lampson's race the Rs are spending heavily, but what surprises my friends in Houston is the attack on Lampson form the USCoC. The Chamber is a strongly R group, of course, but this was over the top - during the hurricane, no less.

In TX CD10, the news that Rush is gonna appear at a fundraiser in SA for McCaul has energized Austin Ds to the point that McCaul is trying to play down any connection to Rush. McCaul is married to
ClearChannel boss's daughter, so that is what is going on for him in SA, way outside his district. ClearChannel is HQ'd in SA, I believe.
-----------------
Thanks, CC, for directly intervening.

Posted by: mark_in_austin | September 26, 2008 12:06 PM | Report abuse

"Rep. Nancy Boyda (D), a surprise winner in 2006, has taken quite a while to get settled in Congress."

That's a curious perspective, Chris, considering she is LITERALLY (I mean this is not just my opinion, it is a fact) the ideological fulcrum of the entire House of representatives.

Boyda's voting record and ratings puts her at the very center (not one jot or tittle to the right or left) of the 110th Congress.

That is a singular achievement for a freshman Congressperson, one worth noting whenever you mention her, in any capacity.

I would hardly call it "getting settled" Chris, that is both disingenuous and somewhat revelatory of your leanings,(AGAIN.)

So much for non-biased reporting: "The Fix" is in...

AND once again, you put the "O" in "POUNDITS..."

Posted by: JEP7 | September 26, 2008 11:43 AM | Report abuse

What about the 8th District in NC? The polls suggest that Democrat Larry Kissell, who almost knocked off inclumber Rep. Robin Hayes, is within striking distance. My bet is that Obama's strong coattails (even fi he doesn't win the state) will play a big factor in this district. I think this is definitely in the top 25, Chris you should take a closer look!

Thanks!

Posted by: jk46517 | September 26, 2008 11:34 AM | Report abuse

What about MI-7. Apparently new polling shows Mark Schauer ahead of the incumbent Walberg. The poll released by Myers Research & Strategic Services for congressional candidate Mark Schauer (D-Battle Creek) shows the state Senator leading incumbent Congressman Tim Walberg 42% - 36%, outside the 4.38% margin of error.

Posted by: dschauer | September 26, 2008 11:25 AM | Report abuse

Chris: One of 2006's closest house races was for the Robin Hayes seat (NC8 I think). What does that race look like this time around? Does Larry Kissel have a shot?

Posted by: hkma | September 26, 2008 11:04 AM | Report abuse

Thanks, Chris, for both The Line and the comment.

It looks like HRC's HillPAC is setting up to help Dina Titus in NV-3 and Chris Carney in PA-10, so maybe that will help the D's in those races. I wonder if FL-21 will make a showing on The Line at some point.

And I'd really appreciate another post on the ad buys in the House races. In the end, money will be a big factor in these close races.

Posted by: mnteng | September 26, 2008 10:58 AM | Report abuse

Mr. Fix, how do you think Amendment 48 will influence the race in Colorado's 4th district? The proposal is an amendment to the state constitution that would define the term "person" as a fertilized egg.

Musgrave did sign the petition to put the measure on the ballot, and Markey opposes the amendment to the state constitution.

It doesn't sound like Colorado Republicans are latching on to the proposal like one might expect - both Bob Schaffer's and Musgrave's campaigns have been mum on the iussue. Perhaps the measure will not rally the Republican pro-life base like one might have thought.

Posted by: JohninMpls | September 26, 2008 10:46 AM | Report abuse

OK Let's talk about the House.

.

Posted by: 37thandOStreet | September 26, 2008 10:31 AM | Report abuse

mibrooks27


Go visit the Obama headquarters in Chicago and see their operation - can you be serious here? - there are weeks and weeks of harassment and mocking in the archives of The Fix stretching all the way back to January and before to 2007 - this has been going on every day, every week, every month and it is obvious the harassment is from the Obama people.


So.


You can distract more - say "No its the other guy and point across the aisle" Address the issue.

.

Posted by: 37thandOStreet | September 26, 2008 10:30 AM | Report abuse

"The return of registration will, hopefully, bring a renewed level of civility to the dialogue on the blog. Registration should weed out the vast majority of spam posters and those simply hoping to distract or detract from the ongoing conversation." -- Chris
___
Oh, really...Read below:
____

"Chris:

Is there anyway to track the comments back to Obama Paid Staffers at Obama Headquarters in Chicago - they have shifts of people who come in - these people are paid by Obama to harass and mock other posters who are exercising their Freedom of Speech which is guaranteed by the Constititution.


I am sickened by the behavior of the paid Obama staffers at Obama headquarters in Chicago.


This behavior is indicative of the GENERAL HOSTILITY TOWARD THE CONSTITUTION WHICH OBAMA AND HIS WIFE MICHELE HOLD - CLEARLY BOTH OBAMAS RESENT THAT THE CONSTITUTION ALLOWED THE JIM CROW ERA - BOTH OBAMAS ARE ALSO ANGRY THAT THE CONSTITUTION ALLOWED THE SLAVE TRADE TO CONTINUE UNTIL 1808 - AND THEY ARE BOTH ANGRY ABOUT THE 3/5 COMPROMISE - CLEARLY THIS HOSTILITY HAS MANIFESTED ITSELF INTO A GENERAL HOSTILITY TOWARD ALL THE CONSTITUTIONAL FREEDOMS AMERICANS HOLD DEAR.


SERIOUSLY THIS IS AN ISSUE - THE PHILADELPHIA SPEECH MADE CLEAR REFERENCES TO THE IDEAS WHICH INDICATED THIS HOSTILITY TOWARD THE BASIC FRAMEWORK OF OUR GOVERNMENT NAMELY THAT INDIVIDUAL FREEDOMS ARE SUPREME TO THE GOVERNMENT.


CLEARLY BOTH OBAMAS HAVE A HOSTILITY TOWARD THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE PAST WHICH ALLOWED THE JIM CROW ERA, THE SLAVE TRADE, THE DRED SCOTT DECISION, THE 3/5 COMPROMISE AND THE FUGITIVE SLAVE ACT - THEY HAVE MANIFESTED THIS ANGER INTO A HOSTILITY AGAINST CONSTITUTIONAL FREEDOMS SUCH AS FREEDOM OF SPEECH - THUS THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM HARASSING BLOGGERS ON THE INTERNET WHO DO NOT AGREE WITH THEM, THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM SHUTTING DOWN FREEDOM OF SPEECH AT STREET FESTIVALS IN CHICAGO, THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM INTERFERING WITH ELECTIONS IN MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA AND ACTING TO PREVENT THE CITIZENS OF MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA REVOTES WHICH WOULD CONFORM AFTER THE DATES, THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM WITH AFFIRMATIVE ACTION WHICH IS DISCRIMINATION AGAINST WHITES AND DEPRIVES PEOPLE OF WHAT THEY HAVE EARNED BASED ON MERIT - THE OBAMAS ARE HOSTILE TOWARD THE FREEDOMS OF THE CONSTITUTION AND THEY BOTH BELIEVE THEY ARE JUSTIFIED IN TRAMPLING ON CONSTITUTIONAL FREEDOMS BECAUSE OF THE JIM CROW ERA AND BECAUSE THE CONSTITUTION ALLOWED SLAVERY FOR 75 YEARS FROM 1790 - 1864.

Posted by: 37thandOStreet | September 26, 2008 7:09 AM"

Posted by: broadwayjoe | September 26, 2008 10:29 AM | Report abuse

"37thand0" -- I think you have made your point (repeatedly) about your allegations about the Obama campaign and their paid bloggers.

Let's try to stay on topic. This post is on House races.

Chris

Posted by: Chris_Cillizza | September 26, 2008 10:28 AM | Report abuse

The reason so many posters on THE FIX ARE UPSET is that the Obama campaign has over 300 paid staff bloggers who harass and mock internet bloggers who do not agree with the Obama campaign's ultraliberal views.


It is true.


The Obama campaign, and the candidate and his wife in particular, are hostile toward FREEDOM OF SPEECH OF BLOGGERS because they lump Constitutional Freedoms into a Constitution which they believe is at fault over the Slave Trade, over the Dred Scott Decision, over the Jim Crow era, over all the stuff that you have read in your dusty history book.

This is what we want:


1) We would like the Washington Post to require ALL the internet posters at the Obama campaign, paid and unpaid, including volunteers, to identify themselves in their postings as a part of the Obama Campaign. That way when these people harass and mock other internet bloggers everyone can see clearly that it is the Obama Campaign engaging in such UNAMERICAN AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR.


2) We would like the Editors and Reporters at the Washington Post to clearly state to the Obama Campaign that harassing and mocking the readers of the Washington Post is unacceptable behavior for a candidate for President of the United State, a position which is suppose to protect FREEDOM OF SPEECH NOT TRAMPLE FREEDOM OF SPEECH.


3) We would like a PUBLIC APOLOGY FROM OBAMA AND HIS WIFE WHO IS RUNNING THIS UNDERHANDED INTERNET CAMPAIGN OF HARASSMENT AND MOCKERY - AND A FIRM COMMITMENT FROM BOTH OBAMA AND HIS WIFE THAT THEY WILL NOT ALLOW THEIR CAMPAIGN OR FAMILY MEMBERS TO ENGAGE IN THIS UNAMERICAN AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR ANYMORE.

.

.

Posted by: 37thandOStreet | September 26, 2008 10:26 AM | Report abuse

37thandOStreet - I never heard of a paid blogger or poster by the Obama campaign nor by the DNC or, even, any organization connected with them. The RNC, the Swift Boaters, and the McCain campaign ALL do have paid posters. They even advertised for them. I sure would be interested in a reliable citation for your claim.

Posted by: mibrooks27 | September 26, 2008 10:25 AM | Report abuse

The reason so many posters on THE FIX ARE UPSET is that the Obama campaign has over 300 paid staff bloggers who harass and mock internet bloggers who do not agree with the Obama campaign's ultraliberal views.


It is true.


The Obama campaign, and the candidate and his wife in particular, are hostile toward FREEDOM OF SPEECH OF BLOGGERS because they lump Constitutional Freedoms into a Constitution which they believe is at fault over the Slave Trade, over the Dred Scott Decision, over the Jim Crow era, over all the stuff that you have read in your dusty history book.

This is what we want:


1) We would like the Washington Post to require ALL the internet posters at the Obama campaign, paid and unpaid, including volunteers, to identify themselves in their postings as a part of the Obama Campaign. That way when these people harass and mock other internet bloggers everyone can see clearly that it is the Obama Campaign engaging in such UNAMERICAN AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR.


2) We would like the Editors and Reporters at the Washington Post to clearly state to the Obama Campaign that harassing and mocking the readers of the Washington Post is unacceptable behavior for a candidate for President of the United State, a position which is suppose to protect FREEDOM OF SPEECH NOT TRAMPLE FREEDOM OF SPEECH.


3) We would like a PUBLIC APOLOGY FROM OBAMA AND HIS WIFE WHO IS RUNNING THIS UNDERHANDED INTERNET CAMPAIGN OF HARASSMENT AND MOCKERY - AND A FIRM COMMITMENT FROM BOTH OBAMA AND HIS WIFE THAT THEY WILL NOT ALLOW THEIR CAMPAIGN OR FAMILY MEMBERS TO ENGAGE IN THIS UNAMERICAN AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR ANYMORE.

.

.

Posted by: 37thandOStreet | September 26, 2008 10:23 AM | Report abuse

Texas CD 10 is not a given for Rep. McCaul[R]. But probably it is not quite top 25 yet, I will agree.
-----------------------
As I write this, there have been two posts before mine that were succinct and to the point of the House races.

There has been one post by a person who is taken by Dave Letterman's anger at McC, one by a FOX viewer who thinks SHP was scolded by another R for not sticking to her talking points, and two of Street Corner's now familiar attempts to make this site his/her own personal blog.

So I am going to push the "Report" button the next time I notice that Street Corner/WoW has posted a repeat performance
of an oft posted message, unless it is on point. I invite other serious posters to join me in that.

"Scrivener" is another relatively bright guy who posts repeated similar messages.
The opinions of these folks should be welcome, but their repeated attempts to monopolize flow off topic call for a response from any of us who like discussion, even heated debate.

Posted by: mark_in_austin | September 26, 2008 10:09 AM | Report abuse

"The reason so many posters on THE FIX ARE UPSET is that the Obama campaign has over 300 paid staff bloggers who harass and mock internet bloggers who do not agree with the Obama campaign's ultraliberal views."


--------------

Paranoia fantasy.

Posted by: wpost4112 | September 26, 2008 9:59 AM | Report abuse

Methinks you doth protest too much, 37thandOStreet. All campaigns, to one extent or another, use "letters to the editor" and calls to talk radio from supposed ordinary folks to get talking points out. Blogging is no exception. Unfortunately from your perspective the McCain crew isn't as computer skilled as Obama's supporters.

Posted by: lpryluck1 | September 26, 2008 9:57 AM | Report abuse

The reason so many posters on THE FIX ARE UPSET is that the Obama campaign has over 300 paid staff bloggers who harass and mock internet bloggers who do not agree with the Obama campaign's ultraliberal views.


It is true.


The Obama campaign, and the candidate and his wife in particular, are hostile toward FREEDOM OF SPEECH OF BLOGGERS because they lump Constitutional Freedoms into a Constitution which they believe is at fault over the Slave Trade, over the Dred Scott Decision, over the Jim Crow era, over all the stuff that you have read in your dusty history book.

This is what we want:


1) We would like the Washington Post to require ALL the internet posters at the Obama campaign, paid and unpaid, including volunteers, to identify themselves in their postings as a part of the Obama Campaign. That way when these people harass and mock other internet bloggers everyone can see clearly that it is the Obama Campaign engaging in such UNAMERICAN AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR.


2) We would like the Editors and Reporters at the Washington Post to clearly state to the Obama Campaign that harassing and mocking the readers of the Washington Post is unacceptable behavior for a candidate for President of the United State, a position which is suppose to protect FREEDOM OF SPEECH NOT TRAMPLE FREEDOM OF SPEECH.


3) We would like a PUBLIC APOLOGY FROM OBAMA AND HIS WIFE WHO IS RUNNING THIS UNDERHANDED INTERNET CAMPAIGN OF HARASSMENT AND MOCKERY - AND A FIRM COMMITMENT FROM BOTH OBAMA AND HIS WIFE THAT THEY WILL NOT ALLOW THEIR CAMPAIGN OR FAMILY MEMBERS TO ENGAGE IN THIS UNAMERICAN AND ANTISOCIAL BEHAVIOR ANYMORE.

.

.

Posted by: 37thandOStreet | September 26, 2008 9:45 AM | Report abuse

Hey Chris I love your countdown but one that continually is missed is the Wisconsin 8th. Rep Kagen is very well financed but this district has traditionally been a republican seat. Yes after a long term republican retires a dem has been elected to replace them (Jay Johnson replacing Toby Roth, Kagen replacing Mark Green) but they seem to only last one term. John Gard is running again and the last election was very close. Gard is a Tommy Thompson protege and is well financed. Personally I dont like him and think he would be dreadful, however I do think this is a race worthy being in the top 25 if not top 10.

Posted by: kbcman | September 26, 2008 9:35 AM | Report abuse

John McCaint has suddenly gotten quite concerned about the crisis on Wall Street.

Just more lies....

So much so that he has announced he’s suspending his campaign and rushing back to Washington so he can work with Congress on solving the problem and he wants Obama to do the same which will mean putting off that pesky debate they were supposed to have on Friday.

The situation was so urgent in fact that McCaint called up David Letterman personally to cancel his appearance on his show so he wouldn’t waste any time tackling the problem.

Except that he apparently had time to stick around long enough to film an interview with Katie Couric, to "expalin" the pathetic interview with peeeuuu Palin whereas she fumbles and get confused on such a simple subject....and literally self destructs on CBS.....

So while McCaint was at the West 57th street CBS News Location.....at same point in time he would have been on Letterman.

Needless to say, Dave wasn’t impressed. In fact Dave had some pretty good points to make during the course of the show.

David Letterman was absolutely furious at Senator John McCain for snubbing him and instead making an appearance on a CBS News interview with Katie Couric.

According to Letterman, McCaint personally called him and apologized for bailing out at the last minute.

He said he was suspending his campaign to rush to Washington and help fight America’s biggest economic crisis since the great depression.

Letterman understood the urgency of this issue and said it was ok.

Boy, Was he mad when he knew that McCaint did not actually go to Washington to solve the ‘Crisis’ and fix the ‘Crater’ in the economy?

Letterman stopped his interview with Keith Olbermann midway to show a live TV feed of McCaint getting makeup for his interview with Katie Couric.

Letterman said something is terribly wrong with McCain’s campaign ..and it smells....(peeeuuu Palin anyone)and that he was just playing a political game by saying that he was suspending his campaign.

And when Dave saw McCaint with Couric having makeup applied to his cancer ridden head he yelled out and said: "Hey John, do you need a ride to the airport??????.

He felt this a political gimmick to stop his sliding poll numbers from sliding further. He repeatedly asked the same question - ‘Where is your running mate, Sarah Palin?’.

You do not suspend a campaign a month before elections, you get your second in command to run the show instead.

A total of 10 minutes was used up by Dave Letterman to shred McCain and his publicity stunt into pieces.

View David's Anger @
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjkCrfylq-E

After the Walter Cronkite moment of 1968 now 40 years later for McCaint on David Letterman......I don’t think McCain will be scheduling a follow-up appearance anytime soon.

Thanks Again Dave.... for showing us the truth..yet again......McCaint can't multi-task.....

Its the end of the peeeuuu Palin bubble and McCaints lies.......

"Thanks but no thanks for more of the lies that bridge America to nowhere......"

Posted by: AlexP1 | September 26, 2008 9:13 AM | Report abuse

.


Chris:

Is there anyway to track the comments back to Obama Paid Staffers at Obama Headquarters in Chicago - they have shifts of people who come in - these people are paid by Obama to harass and mock other posters who are exercising their Freedom of Speech which is guaranteed by the Constititution.


I am sickened by the behavior of the paid Obama staffers at Obama headquarters in Chicago.


This behavior is indicative of the GENERAL HOSTILITY TOWARD THE CONSTITUTION WHICH OBAMA AND HIS WIFE MICHELE HOLD - CLEARLY BOTH OBAMAS RESENT THAT THE CONSTITUTION ALLOWED THE JIM CROW ERA - BOTH OBAMAS ARE ALSO ANGRY THAT THE CONSTITUTION ALLOWED THE SLAVE TRADE TO CONTINUE UNTIL 1808 - AND THEY ARE BOTH ANGRY ABOUT THE 3/5 COMPROMISE - CLEARLY THIS HOSTILITY HAS MANIFESTED ITSELF INTO A GENERAL HOSTILITY TOWARD ALL THE CONSTITUTIONAL FREEDOMS AMERICANS HOLD DEAR.


SERIOUSLY THIS IS AN ISSUE - THE PHILADELPHIA SPEECH MADE CLEAR REFERENCES TO THE IDEAS WHICH INDICATED THIS HOSTILITY TOWARD THE BASIC FRAMEWORK OF OUR GOVERNMENT NAMELY THAT INDIVIDUAL FREEDOMS ARE SUPREME TO THE GOVERNMENT.


CLEARLY BOTH OBAMAS HAVE A HOSTILITY TOWARD THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE PAST WHICH ALLOWED THE JIM CROW ERA, THE SLAVE TRADE, THE DRED SCOTT DECISION, THE 3/5 COMPROMISE AND THE FUGITIVE SLAVE ACT - THEY HAVE MANIFESTED THIS ANGER INTO A HOSTILITY AGAINST CONSTITUTIONAL FREEDOMS SUCH AS FREEDOM OF SPEECH - THUS THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM HARASSING BLOGGERS ON THE INTERNET WHO DO NOT AGREE WITH THEM, THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM SHUTTING DOWN FREEDOM OF SPEECH AT STREET FESTIVALS IN CHICAGO, THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM INTERFERING WITH ELECTIONS IN MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA AND ACTING TO PREVENT THE CITIZENS OF MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA REVOTES WHICH WOULD CONFORM AFTER THE DATES, THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM WITH AFFIRMATIVE ACTION WHICH IS DISCRIMINATION AGAINST WHITES AND DEPRIVES PEOPLE OF WHAT THEY HAVE EARNED BASED ON MERIT - THE OBAMAS ARE HOSTILE TOWARD THE FREEDOMS OF THE CONSTITUTION AND THEY BOTH BELIEVE THEY ARE JUSTIFIED IN TRAMPLING ON CONSTITUTIONAL FREEDOMS BECAUSE OF THE JIM CROW ERA AND BECAUSE THE CONSTITUTION ALLOWED SLAVERY FOR 75 YEARS FROM 1790 - 1864.


.

Posted by: 37thandOStreet | September 26, 2008 8:57 AM | Report abuse

Hey Chris - NEWS ALERT: HAS ANYONE THERE GOT A TIVO? ON FOX ONLY FORTY MINUTES AGO "Don't you ever read the talking points?"

GERALDO BEING SOCIAL WITH THE DEUCY THE BIMBO AND THE OTHER ONE AND NEAR THE CLOSING THE OTHER ONE SAID SOMETHING LIKE

"Don't you ever read the talking points?"

IT WAS DISTINCT

IT MADE ME TURN AND STARE

COULD SOMEONE WHO HAS THE FACILITY CHECK THIS OUT?

(RIGHT TOWARDS THE END OF THE SEGMENT WHERE GERALDO MAKES AN APPEARANCE)

Posted by: jamesmoylan | September 26, 2008 8:44 AM | Report abuse

Much will depend on the rapidly cratering McCain campaign coupled with voter anger over the bailout.... Democratic gains in the House could be large

Posted by: MadameSelena | September 26, 2008 8:30 AM | Report abuse

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