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Friday Senate Line: Two Old Bulls in Trouble



Sens. Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) and Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) face tough 2010 reelection races.

The last several weeks have not been kind to two senators -- one Democrat, one Republican -- who came to Congress together nearly three decades ago.

The Democrat is Sen. Chris Dodd (Conn.) who found himself caught up in the furor over bonuses granted to AIG executives, the latest in a string of negative stories for Dodd -- Countrywide, the Irish cottage -- that have badly imperiled his chances at reelection. And, Republicans have recruited a top-tier candidate to challenge Dodd in former Connecticut Rep. Rob Simmons.

The Republican is Sen. Arlen Specter (Pa.) who, as recently as a month ago, appeared to be headed to his easiest reelection race in recent memory. But, that was before his vote for the $787 billion economic stimulus bill drove former Rep. Pat Toomey (R) into a near-certain primary challenge. Specter, who narrowly defeated Toomey six years ago, quickly moved to shore up his ideological right flank -- flip flopping to oppose the Employee Free Choice Act. Should Specter win the primary -- and that is very much up in the air -- his change of position on EFCA could hurt his general election appeal in a state as labor-heavy as Pennsylvania.

Friday Line

Both races crack the top five in our latest Senate Line. The number one ranked race is the most likely to switch parties in 2010.

As always, your kudos and critiques are welcome in the comments section below.

To the Line!

10. Illinois (D): Trying to predict what appointed Sen. Roland Burris (D) will do tomorrow much less next fall is a fool's errand. But, whether or not Burris decides to run for a full term, there are several heavyweights lining up to get into the race. Former commerce secretary Bill Daley is all-but-in and we hear that state Attorney General Lisa Madigan is leaning toward a bid as well. And, don't forget Alexi Giannoulias, the youthful state treasurer who is also very interested in running. Republicans' best (only?) chance at winning this seat rests in Rep. Mark Kirk who is expected to make a decision on the race next month. (Previous ranking: 9)

9. Colorado (D): Appointed Sen. Michael Bennet has made a solid debut so far although his wishy-washiness on the Employee Free Choice Act has turned him into something of public punching bag on the right and the left. Bennet, a virtual unknown before he was named to replace Interior Secretary Ken Salazar, is clearly vulnerable in 2010. But, there doesn't appear to be a serious primary challenge in the offing (does former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff really want to risk his "rising star" status on a race against a sitting senator?) and the Republican field has been slow to take shape. The most likely GOP candidate seems to be former Rep. Bob Beauprez but his disastrous 2006 run for governor raises questions about his political strength. Some within the GOP are excited about the possible candidacy of Ryan Frazier, a 31-year old African American member of the Aurora City Council. (Previous ranking: 10)

8. Louisiana (R): Sen. David Vitter dodged a major hurdle earlier this month when Family Research Council president Tony Perkins decided not to challenge him in the Republican primary. Perkins had run for the Senate once before (in 2002) and his social conservative platform would have highlighted the foibles in Vitter's personal life. Secretary of State Jay Dardenne remains a potential primary challenger to Vitter but the longer he waits, the more money and establishment support Vitter can stockpile. The Democratic side is bereft of candidates at the moment with former Rep. Don Cazayoux and state Sens. Rob Marionneaux and Eric LaFleur mulling at the moment. If no Democrat announces in the near term, watch for Shaw Group CEO Jim Bernhard, who has been itching to run statewide for several years, to make a move. (Previous ranking: 7)

7. Florida (R): We keep hearing whispers that Gov. Charlie Crist (R) is going to run for the open Senate seat -- although his people remain mum on the subject. The race makes sense for Crist, who wants to run for president in 2012, on two levels: first, it gets him out of an impossible budget situation in Florida and second, it allows him to joust with President Obama on federal issues on a daily basis. If Crist runs, it's hard to see Democrats winning. Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) continues to draw kudos on the campaign trail although it's not clear what the shape of the Democratic primary will be just yet. (Previous ranking: 5)

6. Ohio (R): To date, the Ohio race may be Republicans' biggest success story this cycle. Former Rep. Rob Portman (R) got into the race early and managed to clear the primary field. Since then he has stayed below the radar, presumably to focus on fundraising in order to show a huge amount of money raised in his first quarter report. Democrats, meanwhile, seem headed to a primary between Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher and Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner -- among others -- that will deplete the eventual winner's resources and allow Portman to define himself in the absence of a Democratic opponent. Democratic strategists argue that the primary isn't a sure thing -- noting that a primary fight dissolved in 2006 in Ohio -- but we don't see either Fisher or Brunner blinking in the near future especially with polling that shows the primary to be a total jump ball. (Previous ranking: 4)

5. Pennsylvania (R): Arlen Specter has proven political handicappers wrong more times than we like to recall but his path to a sixth term is extremely difficult. Pat Toomey is running and is a well-known and well-liked presence among conservatives in the state who will play an outsize role in the primary. Specter's decision to oppose EFCA was something of a lose-lose for him; if he hadn't switched positions, it was hard to see him winning the primary but is it plausible to think he won back a big swath of skeptical conservatives by coming out against it? Sensing vulnerability, several Democrats who seemed disinterested in the race as recently as last month -- including Reps. Joe Sestak and Allyson Schwartz -- are apparently reconsidering. (Previous ranking: 6)

4. Connecticut (D): Even Democrats acknowledge now that Dodd is in for a very tough reelection race in 2010. Several independent polls have shown Dodd and Simmons running in a statistical dead heat -- never a good sign for a five-term incumbent. Dodd must strike early and often to turn this race from a referendum on his ties to Countrywide and AIG into a debate over Simmons's bad votes during his three terms in Congress. Can it be done? Absolutely. (Look at Sen. Tom Harkin's success in his campaign against then Rep. Greg Ganske in 2002 as evidence.) Is it easily done? No. (Previous ranking: N/A)

3. Missouri (R): When Rep. Roy Blunt (R) announced his candidacy in this open seat race, establishment GOPers in the state and nationally quickly lined up behind him. But, by all accounts, Blunt has gotten off to a very poor start that includes the decision not to sign on his campaign manager in waiting. It's also wishful thinking on Republicans' part to assume that former state treasurer Sarah Steelman isn't going to run; every conversation we've had with her has led us to the exact opposite conclusion. Secretary of State Robin Carnahan (D) is widely touted as a rising national star and a new poll shows her ahead of both Blunt and Steelman. (Previous ranking: 3)

2. Kentucky (R): Sen. Jim Bunning's (R) all-out war on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) and National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn (Texas) is one of the funniest -- and most fascinating -- storylines of this young campaign season. It is also a HUGE problem for national Republicans as the subtle attempts to urge Bunning not to seek reelection appear to have only stiffened his resolve to do just that. Bunning, a conservative darling, may be tough to beat in a primary but if he keeps on his current path it's hard to see him winning a general election. Rep. Ben Chandler, smelling blood, is reexamining the race and would be Democrats' strongest candidate. (Previous ranking: 2)

1. New Hampshire (R): Democrats' chances of winning this open seat improved dramatically when Rep. Carol Shea Porter (D) abruptly announced she would not seek the post, leaving Rep. Paul Hodes as the odds-on nominee. Cornyn is trying to convince Sen. Judd Gregg (R) to reconsider his decision to retire but after Gregg's high profile acceptance than rejection of an offer to serve as commerce secretary in the Obama administration, it's hard to imagine him going back on his word again. Republicans seem to be at a stand still in terms of candidate recruitment. (Previous ranking: 1)

By Chris Cillizza  |  March 27, 2009; 3:25 PM ET
Categories:  The Line  
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Next: Ted Kennedy: A Life (And a Review)

Comments

For the Illinois race, where are all of the young black politicians and community leaders? Is funding the campaign stopper? Is the support of the aging and experienced black politicians the problem? The black experience is significantly different from the white one, and it deserves to be represented by one of its own. Independent communities in this state can be clean politically. How can we energize individuals to keep a balance of representation?

Posted by: maab76 | March 31, 2009 10:41 AM | Report abuse

What about Stormy Davis in Louisiana? She doesn't have a chance, but she'd really liven up things! She could appear in ads and say "I'm not a prostitute. I just play one in the movies. But my opponents play that role in Congress and the Legislature."

Posted by: Garak | March 28, 2009 9:03 AM | Report abuse

-------------------------------------------

I can see it. When someone told her that she sucked she'd say "Of course I do. It just doesn't pay as well now as it used to."

Posted by: dennissuper | March 30, 2009 5:10 PM | Report abuse

I do agree, armpeg does sound like another Bushy, obsesed with the Fixed Noise Nutwork.

Posted by: dutterback2000 | March 30, 2009 5:07 PM | Report abuse

Sen. Roland Burris may loose in the primaries, but the Democrats will still hold the seat in one of the strongest Democratic states in the nation. However, I'm still suprised that there is no mention of Sen. Chuck Grassly of Iowa. If you recall, he is on the commity that passed the flawed legislation that allowed bonuses for AIG. If Sen. Dodd is in trouble, Grassly can't be far behind.

Posted by: dutterback2000 | March 30, 2009 4:57 PM | Report abuse

Sen. Blanche Lambert Lincoln is not listed, but her polls are dangerously weak for an incumbent, according to Politico.

Posted by: MarkR1 | March 30, 2009 4:33 PM | Report abuse

Sen. Blanche Lambert Lincoln is not listed, but her polls are dangerously weak for an incumbent, according to Politico.

Posted by: MarkR1 | March 30, 2009 4:33 PM | Report abuse

CC, I disagree with you that Sen. Judd Gregg "went back on his word". I believe Obama went back on his, frankly. Offering Gregg a high profiled position then suggesting that the commerce office will still be ran by White House insiders instead of Gregg. He's appointing Czar's all over the place and he just offered Sen. Gregg that spot to look bi-partisan, but to actually be extremely partisan. Sen. Gregg, I believe, thought Obama was offering him a legite voice in his administration when in fact he was not. Judd Gregg could, if he choose, run for re-election and would be the front runner for reelection.

Sen. Bunning from Ky. is a really odd case. He's in trouble in my view. It seems that noone wants to take him on in a primary, however he can't seem to raise money and has started a personal war against Cornyn & McConnell, his would-be largest financial backers. He would likely win a primary against whomever McConnell finds to run against him. Need evidence? In 2007, Gov. Fleisher beat McConnell's hand-picked primary opponent. Bunning certainly has the GOP base shored up and will likely be the R nominee. Cornyn & McConnell may as well get in line behind him or be prepared to lose the seat in the general. Fascinating stuff that could well cost McConnell trouble on the national stage.

Spector will find another way to win. I thought he may run as an independent instead of as a Republican. His vote against card check shows that he wants to win as a Republican. His hope is that the primaries are made inclusive to Independents & democrats, then they can vote for Spector in the primary & general election. My thought was that if Spector voted for card check, he would bypass a primary from Toomey & take him on in a general election with the help of money & organization from big labor. He'd have been the favorite by a mile. Now, though, he's angered the right & left with his vote for the stimulus bill & vote against card check. My guess is, Spector finds another way to win the primary & general.

Posted by: reason5 | March 30, 2009 12:11 PM | Report abuse

Del Boca - I suspect that K Street will be calling a lot louder than Florida.

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | March 29, 2009 5:06 PM | Report abuse

How does anyone as frightening stupid as armpeg even type? He doesn't have the brains of a canned ham. Just another cell in the Limbaugh insect mind.

Posted by: drindl | March 29, 2009 2:16 PM | Report abuse

If anyone was beaten by a grammarian it's nodebris and that other guy who was obsessed with Chris' use of disinterested. I suspect that nodebris was repeatedly sodomized by a grammarian for every grammatical infraction he incurred and thus fears grammatical errors by instinctively tightening his butt hole.

Although I'm sure that for nodebris, the experience was not totally unpleasant for him.

Posted by: Smooth_Jazz | March 29, 2009 2:05 PM | Report abuse

Chris Dodd can't lose no matter what he does, or what he did in the past. The people of Conn., like all Bozo Obama supporters, are all brainwashed Socialists. They have long ago given up their freedoms to a mommy and daddy-like government that does all their thinking, and leaves all their decision-making into the hands of a few government bureaucrats like Dodd. They'd be like zombies without him. He'll get re-elected.

Posted by: armpeg | March 29, 2009 1:00 PM | Report abuse

Attn: Republican Specter and Democrat Dodd

5 terms and 30 years is enough.

Please retire and enjoy your federal congressional pensions with the annual COLA.

Del Boca Vista is waiting for both of you.

Posted by: Digital_Voter | March 29, 2009 11:12 AM | Report abuse

I agree with those who feel that confusing uninterested with disinterested is a pretty serious blunder. Smooth_Jazz's outburst was peculiar, perhaps he was cruelly beaten by a grammarian when he was a child.

Posted by: nodebris | March 29, 2009 2:35 AM | Report abuse

If either Specter or Dodd are replaced by other candidates, may the new candidates be as engaged and knowledgable. Both Specter and Dodd have been a credit to their states. I consider both men gentlemen and statesmen. Yes, they have some negatives, but no human being alive does not have some negatives.

Posted by: EarlC | March 28, 2009 9:22 PM | Report abuse

FWIW, Disinterested can mean fair and impartial (as in a disinterested party), but it can also be synonymous with uninterested per virtually all the major dictionaries:

http://dictionary.reference.com/dic?q=disinterested&search=search

Per American Heritage Dictionary:

"Usage Note: In traditional usage, disinterested can only mean "having no stake in an outcome," as in Since the judge stands to profit from the sale of the company, she cannot be considered a disinterested party in the dispute. This usage was acceptable to 97 percent of the Usage Panel in our 2001 survey. But despite critical disapproval, disinterested has come to be widely used by many educated writers to mean "uninterested" or "having lost interest," as in Since she discovered skiing, she is disinterested in her schoolwork. Oddly enough, "not interested" is the oldest sense of the word, going back to the 17th century. This sense became outmoded in the 18th century but underwent a revival in the first quarter of the early 20th. Despite its resuscitation, this usage is widely considered an error. In our 2001 survey, 88 percent of the Usage Panel rejected the sentence It is difficult to imagine an approach better designed to prevent disinterested students from developing any intellectual maturity. This is not a significantly different proportion from the 89 percent who disapproved of a similar usage in 1988."

Put another way, stop arguing over tangential inconsequential stuff.

Posted by: kreuz_missile | March 28, 2009 7:27 PM | Report abuse

Smooth_Jazz - Just because you're uninterested (I might even say apathetic) about proper use of the language doesn't mean that it's unimportant.

Posted by: bobsewell | March 28, 2009 7:01 PM | Report abuse

I'm surprised that North Carolina did not make the top 10, with popular AG Roy Cooper eyeing a challenge and with Burr only at 37% in a head-to-head poll at the moment.

Posted by: LACinDC1 | March 28, 2009 4:22 PM | Report abuse

That's what elections are supposed to be for.

The difference: with an appointee, they are competing with a fictional ideal person, as opposed to another fallible human candidate. Then, it's not about what the flaws are, but whose flaws end up dominating the election.

Posted by: kreuz_missile | March 28, 2009 2:58 PM | Report abuse

What if everyone in Congress had to stand up to the approval process that they put all these appointed schmucks through..just wonder who (Senate & House) could pass a simple litmus test for taxes, morality, qualifications and ethical minimums??????

Chris, do you have any idea or estimate??

Posted by: newbeeboy | March 28, 2009 2:45 PM | Report abuse

Doggone it, Chris, it pains me -- PAINS me! -- to see a person of your manifest acumen confuse "disinterested" with "uninterested." If a person's DISinterested it means he or she doesn't care either way. If he or she is UNinterested it means the person lacks interest in the issue, or question.

Posted by: chuckbarb23 | March 28, 2009 2:36 PM | Report abuse

Specter is toast unless he becomes and independent, but even then he has a tough path. There is no way he can win the PA Rep. primary, given that the moderate Republicans from the Philly suburbs have all become Democrats, leaving the party completely populated by pro-life, backwoods religious fundamentalists opposed to his pro-choice politics and uncomfortable with his Judaism. But even as an independent, he'll have trouble getting labor support with his EFCA flip-flop, and the fact that most Pennsylvanians now consider him too old for the job.

Posted by: mjames2 | March 28, 2009 2:11 PM | Report abuse

EXTRAJUDICIAL PUNISHMENT NETWORK.


Google it.

You -- or someone close to you -- could be its next victim.

Unless Team Obama -- especially AG Holder, DHS Sec. Napolitano, DoD Sec. Gates and Treas. Secretary Geithner -- take action.

Now. Before more damage is done.


http://My.NowPublic.com/scrivener


***


(this post to replace an earlier one that "vanished.")

Posted by: scrivener50 | March 28, 2009 2:09 PM | Report abuse

Beldar said: ""disinterested" = fair

"uninterested" = doesn't care

C'mon, that's the kind of thing a professional journalist is supposed to know, Cillizza."

Beldar, you are an idiot. Why don't you go blog on the grammer blog if you're so interested in spelling. I intentionally misspelled "grammer" for you so that you'll have a seizure, you idiot.

Posted by: Smooth_Jazz | March 28, 2009 9:28 AM | Report abuse

What about Stormy Davis in Louisiana? She doesn't have a chance, but she'd really liven up things! She could appear in ads and say "I'm not a prostitute. I just play one in the movies. But my opponents play that role in Congress and the Legislature."

Posted by: Garak | March 28, 2009 9:08 AM | Report abuse

What about Stormy Davis in Louisiana? She doesn't have a chance, but she'd really liven up things! She could appear in ads and say "I'm not a prostitute. I just play one in the movies. But my opponents play that role in Congress and the Legislature."

Posted by: Garak | March 28, 2009 9:03 AM | Report abuse

"disinterested" = fair

"uninterested" = doesn't care

C'mon, that's the kind of thing a professional journalist is supposed to know, Cillizza.

Posted by: Beldar | March 28, 2009 3:38 AM | Report abuse

Diet manager - Remember, this is a list of seats likely to switch parties. Illinois is a near lock to shift to the Republicans IF Burris decides to run (possible) and IF he wins a primary (highly unlikely). Hence, it's on the list

Now, if it were the odds of seats to change from the incumbent, I suspect it would be right where Virginia was last year. Chris ran out of ways to say the race was done!

BB

Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | March 27, 2009 8:42 PM | Report abuse

specter, dobbs , bunning does any of these states want these crooks for another 6 yrs.thirty years in elected office is insane.they have totally forgotten why they were first elected .today its all about them not their constituents.throw them out.

Posted by: donaldtucker | March 27, 2009 8:13 PM | Report abuse

"The race makes sense for Crist, who wants to run for president in 2012, on two levels: first, it gets him out of an impossible budget situation in Florida and second, it allows him to joust with President Obama on federal issues on a daily basis."

I have to disagree here; were Crist to run (and win, which he would), he would have to announce a presidential bid practically the moment after winning office. You'd have to think that would come across badly ("What exactly did you want the job for, Charlie?"), particularly after Obama got so much flak for commencing a run for president after two years (though he won, so maybe that's not a consideration).

Nevertheless, I think he's be better served by simply coasting to reelection as Governor.

Also, he doesn't have a hope in hell of winning the Republican nomination.

Posted by: SeanC1 | March 27, 2009 8:04 PM | Report abuse

Post from the Show-Me state:
Blunt is toast. Robin Carnahan inherited the political genes from her Dad and Grandpa.

Posted by: rogden71 | March 27, 2009 6:33 PM | Report abuse

3 of ten are D seats following two years of Democratic gains (and 2 of them are 9 and 10), that says a lot right there. Beyond that:

- Specter should probably go higher. Some here have said that he has been written off before, but they said the same about Santorum. Pennsylvania has changed, the parties in those states have changed, and Specter is struggling to keep his head above water. I don't see him hanging on.

- CT still depends on a few factors that are too far out to see. Unlike PA, where Specter is probably the only R who could hold the seat, Dodd is probably the only D who could lose the seat. If his standing doesn't improve soon, I wouldn't be surprised if he is primaried or decides to retire gracefully (CT is probably most like Kentucky in this regard, only I see Dodd as a bit more sensible than Bunning and not declaring open war with his party).

Posted by: kreuz_missile | March 27, 2009 5:45 PM | Report abuse

I'd love to see sununu run again and get beat again.

the prissy money oriented susnunu could once again run his ads of how he'd never live anywhere but NH (he is no longer living in NH)

Posted by: tru-indy | March 27, 2009 5:31 PM | Report abuse

Da Bullsssssssssss.

Posted by: koolkat_1960 | March 27, 2009 5:25 PM | Report abuse

Chris, Ben Chandler is not the Democrats best candidate in Kentucky. He lost big to Ernie Fletcher in 2003. Kentucky favorite son and pretty boy Jack Conway would blow Bunning away. State Auditor Crit Luallen, who the DSCC wooed to take on McConnell last cycle, would also be a formidable candidate, although CW says she won't run and Jack will. Bunning may also face a primary challenge from Secretary of State Trey Grayson.

Posted by: bungles | March 27, 2009 5:19 PM | Report abuse

zouk has been coming here for 14 months whining. Now he can't even explain why it is so difficult for his party to win an ultraconservative N.Y seat. First we heard from him how great Palin is, how McCain would pull out a victory and presumably he will spend the remaining 44 months whining. Let's hear you queal next week when the Minnesota courts tell the GOP to stop wasting their time. Your side lost lost badly in Indiana, Fla, and North Carolina states the GOP have not lost in 20 years. Get over it and get behind your President.

Posted by: leichtman | March 27, 2009 4:42 PM | Report abuse

Same Old Bulls.

Posted by: newbeeboy | March 27, 2009 4:25 PM | Report abuse

Spector might have to switch to Independant to beat Toomy in the general and there is no Democrat challeger. I predict: another Win by Spector.
SPECTER WILL BE RE-ELECTED PERIOD!

Posted by: mattadamsdietmanager1014 | March 27, 2009 4:00 PM | Report abuse

ARLEN SPECTER PATH TO RE-ELECTION:

RE-CLAIM RIGHTFUL ROLE AS A CIVIL/HUMAN RIGHTS ADVOCATE


Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA) is a good and decent man who carries inside him a heavy burden of history.

He can revivify his reputation as a fair-minded advocate for human and civil rights by confronting an ugly truth...

...credible reports of terroristic, federally-enabled "community gang stalking" of innocent but "targeted" U.S. citizens...

... and ongoing domestic torture via radiation weaponry approved by the Bush-Cheney Department of Justice for use on civilians deemed as "undesirables" by federal and/or local law enforcement agencies nationwide.

This extrajudicial punishment -- victims say it is nothing less than torture -- is compounded by a coordinated series of multi-agency action "programs of personal destruction" which drain the family finances of the families of unjustly "targeted" persons, making it impossible for them to economically survive.

These programs surely have contributed to the nation's financial meltdown -- and may indeed be a primary cause of the global economic crisis.

Sen. Specter, these abuses are going on in Pennsylvania and throughout the nation. You are a skilled prosecutor; if you cared to sharply question police chiefs and other law enforcement and federal officials that you know personally, and if they responded candidly, you could incontrovertibly confirm the accounts presented in the articles linked below -- articles based on first-hand accounts of events happening in the Philadelphia area:

http://www.nowpublic.com/world/gestapo-usa-govt-funded-vigilante-network-terrorizes-america

http://my.nowpublic.com/world/domestic-torture-radiation-weaponry-americas-horrific-shame

OR (IF LINKS ARE CORRUPTED/DISABLED):

http://My.NowPublic.com/scrivener

Posted by: scrivener50 | March 27, 2009 3:56 PM | Report abuse


matt-
who was the last republican mayor?
was sermak a repulsive?

wasn't he assassinated?
see....if it is not a daly in chicago, whomever is elected may just die.
(((hearty laughs ))))

Posted by: TheBabeNemo | March 27, 2009 3:51 PM | Report abuse

Generally good picks, but I would have put Specter higher on the list. I don't see how he can beat Toomey in a primary let alone win in the general now that he has aliented the labor unions. While Chris Dodd is vulnerable in CT at this moment, I don't see him losing in 2010 because CT has become a reliable blue state and the economy will be showing signs of improvement by summer 2010, allowing Obama to have coattails and actively camaign for Dodd. I also don't see a democrat winning any time soon in Louisiana, which is becoming redder every day.

Posted by: billbolducinmaine | March 27, 2009 3:48 PM | Report abuse


don't you mean two old bow ties in trouble?

3 states i can comment on, Illinois, Colorado and Arizona but AZ is not on the list.
Illinois-try and beat Daley. Bill was campaign manager for the Goracle through all the hanging chads. He's a Daly for crying out loud. They are god in Illinois.
Colorado - Bennett who? And sorry, anything that comes out of Saudi Aurora (the name for Aurora, CO) won't make it. I am surprised the name of Elway has not been mentioned. Scuttlebut has it that he will look towards Congressional Senator before he looks towards Governor. And again, he is god in Colorado.

Posted by: TheBabeNemo | March 27, 2009 3:48 PM | Report abuse

Chris i live in Illinois and they did a poll on the Senate seat.
1. Burris was at the bottom at 5% compared to Bill Daley, Madigan and Alexi Giannoulias 26%.
Burris is definalty OUT.
Republicans in Illinois might have a chance if Todd Stroger County board president and Mayor Daley is ousted by Republican challengers in the 2010 and 2011 election. I do see that happening in the near future with all the federal investigations going on into Mayor Daley and his Administration. Illinois United States Attorney Patrick Fitzgerald a Republican, is liked most and currently Superman to most Demcrats in Illinos by cleaning up all the curruption.
I think if he ran against Mayor Daley in 2011 he would defeat Daley. Fitgerald would be Chicago's 1st Republican Mayor in a long time.

Posted by: mattadamsdietmanager1014 | March 27, 2009 3:42 PM | Report abuse

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