Connolly Wins Fairfax Straw Poll

Fairfax County Board of Supervisors Chairman Gerald E. Connolly, a Democratic candidate for Congress in the 11th District, easily defeated his rivals for the nomination in a straw poll tonight at the Fairfax County Democratic Committee Jefferson-Jackson Day Dinner.
Party officials say Connolly won but they didn't release the final vote count. However, Connolly says he got 57 percent of the vote, compared to 33 percent for his closest rival, former congresswoman Leslie L. Byrne. The two other candidates seeking the Democratic nomination in the June 10 primary, Doug Denneny and Lori P. Alexander, split the remaining votes, Connolly said.
Straw polls don't always correlate to the final result on Election Day, but Connolly says tonight's vote was an important symbolic victory for his campaign against Byrne, widely considered to be his strongest opponent.
"It is one more puncture in my opponent's narrative that she is favored by the party loyalists," Connolly said of Byrne, noting 171 Democratic activists and donors participated in the poll.
Larry Byrne, Leslie's husband, countered Connolly by saying "the party loyalists he has with him today were the same people he said he had with him when he was backing (attorney) Harris Miller" instead of Webb during the 2006 Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate.
During that race, Connolly supported Miller, who lost the 11th District 2 to 1.
Leslie Byrne believes Connolly's role in the 2006 Senate race proves he is out of step with the liberal, anti-war base of the Democratic Party in Fairfax County, which makes up the bulk of the 11th District.
Webb has endorsed Leslie Byrne, but he has also been complimentary of Connolly.
By
Tim Craig
|
May 18, 2008; 10:42 PM ET
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Tim Craig
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Posted by: Anonymous | May 19, 2008 10:56 AM | Report abuse
Leslie Byrne is just not going to win. Everyone at the JJ last night knows it. She knows it. Richard Simmons knows it.
If you'ev seen Leslie speak in public recently you can tell how dejected and angry she seems.
When Leslie gets crushed on June 10th, I wonder what all these bloggers will think. Seems to me this race is the ultimate proof that bloggers have no effect on turning out the vote.
Posted by: Leslie Just Won't Win | May 19, 2008 11:59 AM | Report abuse
I saw and listened to Leslie, Gerry, Doug and Lori on Saturday. She was far from dejected, and none of them seemed any more angry than you would expect any Democrat candidate to be.
She's playing Hillary to Gerry's Obama and will do anything short of a direct nuculear attack. Gerry is out of touch with the Left Wing of the 11th District, because he operates more in the Center. And that's more representative of the District than Leslie's constituency is. Leslie will burn bridges on ideology, Gerry won't.
In fairness to Larry, he has to "spin it" in a way only favorable to Leslie. He's not only her husband, it's his job. Whether he actually believes it or not, we'll never know.
But she seems to be the same Leslie I listened to two months ago. 23 days and then she can decide which office she'll run for next.
Posted by: Anonymous | May 19, 2008 2:09 PM | Report abuse
A previous writer, by accusing Larry Byrne of spinning the JJ dinner guests as a whole room full of Harris Miller backers over Jim Webb, commits an error of logic that should not be permitted in this discussion. What is said about Gerry Connolly is not applicable to most or all of the guests at dinner, just because they are in the same room. This is a Karl Rove guilt-by-association tactic.
I supported Jim Webb's Senate bid very early, and what Larry stated here is true: Gerry Connolly and many of his close circle were still running Harris Miller well after the primary was over. They mistreated Webb volunteers and frustrated the Webb campaign at every turn. Many of the Miller loyalists were in attendance last night, although they did not outnumber activists loyal to Sen. Webb. Larry's comment about the behavior of our Chairman of the Board during last year's Senate race is also accurate. His conduct was shameful, and he has not been held to account for it. Pointing to facts is not "going negative." Don't shoot the messenger just because the truth hurts.
Posted by: No Horse in This Race | May 19, 2008 2:58 PM | Report abuse
Looks like Leslie is feeling the heat. She just has a new, totally negative mailer out that has nothing to do with real issues.
Is this the only way she can win? I guess so.
Posted by: Bicker Bicker | May 19, 2008 4:29 PM | Report abuse
Keep going Gerry and Barry, we're almost there, keep those women out of politics
Posted by: Anonymous | May 19, 2008 5:14 PM | Report abuse
Women have no place outside the home unless they are buying flour to make me cookies and definitely don't deserve recognition at memorials on the Mall.
Posted by: Jim Webb | May 19, 2008 7:51 PM | Report abuse
I've been following this race and occasionally even reading the drivel that Leslie's blogger are putting out... I can't for the life of me figure out what Leslie is for
It seems like she is against many, many things and people (mostly other Democrats) but do we want a Congressperson who doesn't stand for anything?
Posted by: Empty Pants Suit | May 19, 2008 9:48 PM | Report abuse
That is why we're all supporting Mark Warner
Posted by: Anonymous | May 20, 2008 9:52 AM | Report abuse
No Horse makes the case for having Super Delegates.
Crash the party and then demand a full seat at the table without having ever done anything to contribute to what's on the table.
Maybe the people who came up with the Super Delegate concept weren't so stupid after all.
Posted by: Anonymous | May 20, 2008 12:15 PM | Report abuse
Very insightful use of categories on this post.
Posted by: Anonymous | May 22, 2008 1:46 PM | Report abuse
Sad, but Leslie and Larry's campaign seems to consist of nothing more than last-minute negative and misleading attacks on the leading Democratic candidate Gerry Connolly, while plastering a photo of a stolid Jim Webb on any piece of Byrne lit available.
And now, I suppose we must ready ourselves for a GOP-like procedural effort by Larry on Primary Day to question, delay, frustrate and set aside voting results that go against Leslie.
Posted by: Ben | May 29, 2008 7:40 AM | Report abuse
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So, most of the Democrats attending the FCDC dinner were supporters of Harris Miller and not Jim Webb? That's what Leslie Byrne's husband seems to be spinning, but it's just not true.
Those attending the dinner represented the core of Democratic activists in Fairfax County and all of them support Jim Webb. They just support Gerry Connolly over Byrne.
The Byrne campaign has failed to catch fire with the 11th District voters and this straw poll of Democratic activists makes that clear.
The Byrne campaign has gone negative in a desperate move to pull this race out in the final days.
It's not going to happen.