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McCain Leads in Loudoun, Prince William, Davis Says

Tim Craig

U.S. Rep. Tom Davis (R-Va) said today internal Republican polls show Arizona Sen. John McCain has a "substantial lead" in both Loudoun and Prince William counties, which are expected to be the swing counties in the fight for Virginia's 13 electoral votes.

Davis joined U.S. Sen. John Warner (R-Va), who is vowing to campaign vigorously for McCain over the next three months in Virginia, on a 35-minute conference call with the state capitol press corps.

"Our polling today shows McCain well outside the margin of error in both of those counties," said Davis, who is helping to head up McCain's efforts in Virginia. "But they will be battlegrounds, I give Senator Obama credit for coming in trying to fight it out there for every vote."

Davis and Warner said they were confident McCain can beat Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill) statewide. They said McCain will run strong among veterans and do better in Northern Virginia than several recent statewide Republican candidates have done, although they conceded Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D) could have an effect if he is on the ticket.

But Davis and Warner, two of the state's leading moderate Republicans, appeared far less certain of GOP prospects in the U.S.Senate race between Democrat Mark R. Warner and Republican James S. Gilmore III.

When John Warner was asked if he would advise McCain to keep his distance from Gilmore, he responded, "I think this is not the forum to really get into that."

"John McCain is a Republican, I can not predict exactly how he will work with the other office seekers of our side... but I think he will be a working partner," said John Warner, who has contributed money to Gilmore's Senate campaign. "At this time, the polling is clearly for Mark Warner but I have seen a lot of strange things in politics in my 48 years in politics. We are not conceding anything."

Davis was then asked if Gilmore qualifies as a "centrist Republican." Davis responded, "Well Mark Warner qualifies. Mark has a very centrist image up here...In Northern Virginia Mark has some unique attributes living up here that make him particularly more formidable than the average Democrat in Northern Virginia."

John Warner then chimed in, "He has also been very active in the business communities up here. I worked with Mark Warner when he was governor. He was a strong governor and he did a lot to bring in a lot of the high-tech interests, as did George Allen when he was governor."

By Tim Craig  |  August 19, 2008; 3:08 PM ET
Categories:  Tim Craig  
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These middle-aged Republican white men are in for a surprise when the votes are counted on election day. Their private polls grossly undercount newly registered black and young voters, and are based on voter-registration lists that are outdated and inaccurate. Moreover, they have hired private pollsters who will tell their clients anything they want to hear...I encourage Davis and Warner to sit back leisurely and watch the campaign unfold in confidence...They will receive an important political science lesson on Nov. 8.

Posted by: Art Dodger | August 19, 2008 3:42 PM | Report abuse

I'm impressed by the graciousness of Davis and Warner's comments. It's what many of us were expecting from McCain on the national level. Instead we are seeing a very conscious attempt to "win ugly" with cheap shots, smears, refusal to denounce supporters' slurs, dumbing down, and in general, Karl Rove / McCarthy tactics. I believe and hope with all my heart that this cynical would-be thuggery will lose John McCain the election. He does not support the policies (economic, international, military, or social) that our nation needs, he is not thoughtful, and he is now demonstrating his lack of personal integrity or decency.

Davis and Warner, by constrast, are loyal Republicans supporting their nominee McCain, but their civility and good manners offer a look at how political fights can be fought just as effectively, but without damaging both parties' ability to unify and govern once the election is over. I'm sure many more "swing voters" will pay attention to their reasoned arguments than to the cartoonish ads and comments from McCain. Although I am an active Obama supporter, I am sorry to see both of these good Virginian public servants leave office.

Posted by: Fairfax Voter | August 19, 2008 4:40 PM | Report abuse

"These middle-aged Republican white men are in for a surprise when the votes are counted on election day. Their private polls grossly undercount newly registered black and young voters, and are based on voter-registration lists that are outdated and inaccurate."

This fellow souns like one of those scared librull white dudes that thinks he won'rt get his tail kicked in school anymore if Obama is elected presszeedent.

Posted by: Larry Clifton | August 19, 2008 5:38 PM | Report abuse

Funny how when it's McCain doing the mud slinging its "dirty"; when it's Nobama, it's "Chicago Style" - with all of the implied bravado of the jumping in initiation of a gang to cover for his pacifist leanings. Paint a hog any way you want - he is still a pig.

Posted by: robt | August 19, 2008 5:41 PM | Report abuse

To: Art Dodger

What happens on Nov. 8th?

Posted by: Tab Sundridge | August 19, 2008 6:08 PM | Report abuse

So, Republican Senator and Republican Congressman advocate Republican Presidential candidate over Democratic rival, citing internal (unreleased) Republican polls and general belief in population's support of Republican policies.

How very enlightening. Mr. Kaine, this incisive assessment assures your future in the fields of sycophancy and stenography (mandatory for today's purveyors of political 'journalism').

Posted by: Gary Pierce | August 19, 2008 6:12 PM | Report abuse

Rasmussen had the race dead even a week ago. If and when Obama runs ads about McCain voting against every bill that would benefit veterans, as well as voting against the New G.I. Bill, Obama should take Virginia easily, but he has to hit McCain HARD on his voting record against veterans.

Posted by: Bill | August 19, 2008 6:16 PM | Report abuse


Posted by: ERNIER R KENNESAW GA | August 19, 2008 6:27 PM | Report abuse

Northern Virginia is losing our two finest political leaders. John Warner and Tom Davis have distinguished themselves in their service to our country and community. Their leadership, in substance and style, will be missed.

Posted by: Fairfax County | August 19, 2008 6:36 PM | Report abuse

Not so fast Mr. Warner and Davis. I would not write Mr. Obama off so quickly. The Democrats have more than enough ammunition against Mr. McCain, they are just waiting to utilize it. Do not discount the minority vote, they just might turn that corner for Mr. Obama. I do and will continue to work feverishly for the Obama campaign.

Posted by: Debranne | August 19, 2008 6:57 PM | Report abuse

What??? :P

Posted by: Heres my 2cents | August 19, 2008 7:08 PM | Report abuse


I completely don't speak your language, dude. I also can't understand what you're trying to argue.

Posted by: my 2cents | August 19, 2008 7:10 PM | Report abuse

Obama will WIN!!

Posted by: atl | August 19, 2008 7:17 PM | Report abuse

McCain wins and Obama goes home to Chicago and I don't care how many young people or blacks sign up to vote....blacks make up what percentage of VA? 19.9 percent of the population and the young can never quite get out of bed to vote....McCain will take VA just as every other Republican has since 64....but please continue to delude yourselves.

Posted by: Conservative Voter | August 19, 2008 8:02 PM | Report abuse

I should have thought that the comment posted by:"robt | August 19, 2008 5:41 PM"
would have qualified for removal from the site on grounds that to liken Obama toa "pig," as 'robt" does, certainly constitutes a "personal attack" per your ground rules. Moreover, ridiculing Obama's name as "Nobama" is certainly "inappropriate" if your ground rules mean anything at all.

Posted by: Richard Moose | August 19, 2008 9:07 PM | Report abuse

It's a shame that conservatives allow people like the Bush Regime to trample our constitution, shortchange the disabled, poison our air and water, allow insurance, pharmaceutical, oil, and energy companies to destroy our middle class and make the poor poorer, vote down anything good for the common people-minimum wage, alternative energy tax incentives for small business, negotiate prescription prices, disallow personal bankruptcy but let the banks charge you 30%, I could go on. This small sample of the destruction of our great democracy goes on due to the evil genius Rovian manipulations of the simple and distracted who vote against their childrens economic interests because Right Wing Hatemongers have them believin, "the Dems are gonna take their guns, and let homo's get married" which somehow threatens their 60% divorce rate sanctified marriages, and of course now "cuz they ain't gonna vote for no nig%er"

“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”

Joseph Goebbels - Nazi propaganda minister

Posted by: Texas Jeff | August 19, 2008 9:15 PM | Report abuse

These people just don't get it. You can't just say it and make it so. Once the balloting starts it will come down to "boots on the ground" and McCain won't have them. Even the pollsters are privately saying this election cannot be polled as in elections past. They won't make that fact too well known, because most of them sell their polling data by subscription these days and who would want to buy something that even it's publishers believe not to be very dependable? Early voting we will be our most reliable indicator of just what is really happening in this "new age" election. McCain better stock up on Geritol and Red Bull, he is going to need it. Things are about to get crackin'.

Posted by: cathy | August 19, 2008 9:59 PM | Report abuse

They tortured in MY NAME
They started a war for no good reason in MY NAME
They ignored the FACT that we need to get moving off OIL and COAL cause its killing the MY NAME
They lost a WHOLE US CITY in MY NAME
They let the bankers run wild in MY NAME
They spent a TRILLION dollars for nothing in MY NAME

Thay have propigated corruptions on just about every level of the governement and legal system in MY NAME.

I think there are a lot of people in this country who feel the same way. I NEVER gave a dime to a politician before. This year I have given $500 and there's $500 more I am going to give.

As Tom Davis said, "You couldn't elect
a Republican "Dog Catcher" this year.

He was right and there is good reason.
Its because we are angry and we are hurt and we are not gonna take it lying down anymore.

Posted by: jd from Reston | August 19, 2008 10:15 PM | Report abuse

No question that John Warner and Tom Davis were the best!...Thanks to the State Central Committee the Reps. will now lose another seat on the Hill.....Marc Warner is a shoo-in with many Republicans backing him all the way, this one included. We didn't need to lose that seat! We lost one with the childish outburst of the Macaca lose Tom Davis is a double blow.

Posted by: Disgruntled Republican | August 19, 2008 10:18 PM | Report abuse

Vote for Mr. Obama?
Mr. V. Putin says, "Yes, please".

Posted by: Anonymous | August 19, 2008 10:59 PM | Report abuse

Obama will win VA!

Posted by: KC | August 19, 2008 11:55 PM | Report abuse

It's unlikely that what Warner and Davis are saying is correct. Kerry lost both counties by solid margins. If Obama were behind by that much then McCain would be up almost 10 points in VA. The best that a GOP pollster (insider advantage) could do is make it a 43-43 tie. This one is open to Obama.

Posted by: Khyber Jones | August 19, 2008 11:59 PM | Report abuse

McCain will win Virginia and the country and Obama's people will cry fowl and we can all hand them a hankie...

Posted by: vmj | August 23, 2008 9:31 PM | Report abuse

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