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Obama Up by 10 In Va. in CNN/Time Poll (Updated)

Tim Craig

Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama has a 10 point lead over GOP nominee John McCain in Virginia, according to a new poll by CNN/Time.

Obama draws 53 percent of the vote to McCain's 43 percent, according to the poll

Obama's lead appears to stem from an unusually strong showing in Hampton Roads, which calls into question his overall 10-point advantage in the poll.

The poll has Obama getting 60 percent of the vote in Southeastern Virginia compared to McCain's 36 percent, although the margin of error for the regional breakdowns is plus or minus 8.5 percentage points.

President Bush carried the region by 4 percentage points in 2004, and few political strategists expect Obama to rack up a 24-point victory in Hampton Roads this year.

Obama will campaign in Roanoke on Friday. McCain will be in Prince William County on Saturday.

By Tim Craig  |  October 15, 2008; 12:28 PM ET
Categories:  Tim Craig  
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Comments

In other words we have ourselves a bogusly inflated poll, whereas i do believe Obama may have a lead it isn't as large as the CNN/Times seems to indicate. I would guess his actual lead is probably more like 2-3% overall. Virginia is still a fairly conservative state if you consider the new registrations as being 70-30 in favor of Democrats. You still have to make up a 300000-400000 vote disadvantage in the state. Too close to call in my book.

Posted by: chris c | October 20, 2008 8:23 PM | Report abuse

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