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Moran Strong in Fairfax

Amy Gardner

Former delegate Brian Moran has won the latest gubernatorial straw poll -- that most uncertain of grassroots political gauges that we all spend too much time studying.

Just as interesting, perhaps, is the fact that Terry McAuliffe came in third.

This time, the straw poll was in Fairfax County, Virginia's largest community and a critical battleground for the primary next Tuesday. (At last, we can start saying next Tuesday!) The setting was the Fairfax County Democratic Committee's annual Jefferson-Jackson dinner at the McLean Hilton.

Moran won 166 votes compared to 123 for Creigh Deeds and 117 for Terry McAuliffe.

The results give Moran, from Alexandria, more bragging rights for a strong position in his homebase of Northern Virginia. They also keep alive talk that Deeds has been surging in recent days, following his endorsement by this newspaper on May 22. Finally, the results fuel recent speculation that McAuliffe's lead is narrowing, and that he may have peaked too soon in this most eventful of primary seasons.

P.S.: For lieutenant governor, Jody Wagner won with 260 votes compared to 136 for Mike Signer.

By Amy Gardner  |  May 31, 2009; 10:13 PM ET
Categories:  2009 Governor's Race , Amy Gardner , Election 2009  
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Next: Final Countdown Begins

Comments

Moran also just won the statewide Young Dems poll by 44%.

Brian Wins the Statewide VAYD Straw Poll
http://brianmoran.com/2009/5/31/brian-wins-the-statewide-vayd-straw-poll

I don't think this shows McAuliffe peaked too soon. It shows his support is inflated by big money mass media TV commercials, busing in supporters from out of state and a lot of chicken manure.

Among people who actually vote in Democratic primaries, Brian is way ahead. I've been calling and knocking on doors for Moran in Fairfax and we haven't found a single McAuliffe supporter in the last 3 days.

Deeds has definitely shown up on the radar in NoVA, since the WaPo endorsement but Brian has very strong support here and he is going to win next Tuesday.

Posted by: ToddMSmyth | June 1, 2009 10:43 AM | Report abuse

The Washington Post states in an earlier article that it does not report on the polls to date because the polls do not meet its standards. Looks like the Washington Post's inconsistent double talk is showing by addressing the Fairfax JJ poll. Maybe Gardner can explain how this poll has statistical significance and is more representative than those done by professional polling companies.

Or does Gardner’s comments of “bragging rights”, “surging” and “peaking too soon” override statistics. The best poll is June 10 when the Democrats unify to beat the Republicans.

Posted by: Willis3 | June 1, 2009 11:34 PM | Report abuse

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