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McDonnell 50, Deeds 43

Anita Kumar

As we've told you a few times we don't trust all polls, but here's one that we don't mind telling you about.

A DailyKos/Research 2000 poll on the governor's race shows that Republican Bob McDonnell leads Democrat Creigh Deeds among likely voters, 50 percent to 43 percent -- virtually unchanged since an August poll.

Back in mid-June, McDonnell had 45 percent and Deeds 44 percent. But once again the favorable numbers prove quite interesting: McDonnell at 56 percent, Deeds at 47 percent.

The left-leaning Daily Kos tells us that McDonnell is aided by support from independent voters, who support him by a 13-point margin, 51 to 38 percent.

And in case you were wondering the poll shows Deeds narrowly leads among women -- 47 to 44 percent -- but he has all along. No change this month due to McDonnell's thesis.

By Anita Kumar  |  September 18, 2009; 9:45 AM ET
Categories:  2009 Governor's Race , Anita Kumar , Creigh Deeds , Election 2009 , Robert F. McDonnell  
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Creigh Deeds is a nice guy and is clearly the better person to be governor but he has always come across as a somewhat rumpled, mildly incoherent good 'ol boy. This image doesn't play very well in many areas of the state; especially the ones rich in registered voters. I heard him speak dozens of times and each time I came away feeling that he can't keep his attention focused and is all over the place as far as issues are concerned. I don't have a confident feeling outside but deep down I know he is a competent person and will do a good job -- he just doesn't communicate well. His political advisors are giving him a line of attack easily deflected by his opponent causing Deeds to look desperate.

Posted by: rmg4369 | September 18, 2009 12:56 PM | Report abuse

If 'left leaning' (nice euphemism) DailyKos puts McDonnell up by 7, the real margin is probably closer to 10. Things will likely tighten, but this is a very big hole to dig out of with less than 2 months to go.

Posted by: mbcnewspaper | September 18, 2009 3:17 PM | Report abuse

As a freelance reporter in VA, I've become a fan of McDonnell after following this race closely. I'm not surprised by this polll, McDonnell can really connect with voters he meets. He doesn't brush anyone off like typical politicians who forgets you two minutes later.

Case and point, at the Korean Festival in Annandale yesterday, I watched him meet a Korean American and then twenty minutes later running into the same person again. By that point McDonnell not only remembered this individual, he knew his name, where he was from, where his kids went to college and McDonnell was able to introduce him to a person he was talking to. Amazing!!!

Several Korean Dems also said they would vote for McDonnell. They originally supported Brian Moran but Deeds is no Moran in their words.

Posted by: crescent11 | September 19, 2009 12:20 PM | Report abuse

Crescent11: Thank you for that deft insight. I think you're absolutely right. The political race fundamentally comes down to connecting with voters. McDonnell is a genuinely nice guy, with real concerns (and insights) into the problems we face. Meanwhile, Deeds comes off as aloof and disconnected. I'm surer and surer of my choice for governor--Bob McDonnell--every day.

Posted by: HerodotusSees | September 19, 2009 8:44 PM | Report abuse

I wouldn't support Deeds or Moran. They support child-killing. Moran supported George Tiller who killed babies in the 3rd trimester. Deeds and Moran are bad for Virginia. McDonnell is pro-life and respects the dignity of the human person. Pro-choice is nothing more than Pro-death. Don't kid yourself.

Posted by: Sophia7 | September 19, 2009 11:29 PM | Report abuse

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