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One more poll puts McDonnell way up

Rosalind Helderman

A final Mason-Dixon poll in the Virginia race shows Republican Bob McDonnell continues to lead big over Democrat Creigh Deeds going into Tuesday's election. The survey, funded by the Richmond Times Dispatch, the Virginian Pilot and other state media outlets, showed McDonnell with a 12-point lead, while his ticketmates Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling and attorney general candidate Ken Cuccinelli led opponents Jody Wagner and Del. Steve Shannon by 13 points and 14 points respectively.

What must be most encouraging for McDonnell about all these late polls that have shown with strong, double-digit leads is that they have provided no indication that core Democratic groups are showing late enthusiasm for Deeds. His campaign is insisting it is running an aggressive effort to reach out to voters who helped elect President Obama last year.

Women now favor Deeds by only 1 point, 47 to 46 percent, according to the Mason-Dixon poll. Young voters, aged 18 to 34, favor Deeds 51 to 43 percent.

Some 82 percent of black voters favor the Democrat, which is high but not where Deeds would want it to be.

And, perhaps most importantly, Deeds is only up 5 points in Northern Virginia, where he leads McDonnell 50 to 45 percent. If that number is accurate and holds on Election Day, it would make a Deeds victory impossible.

But, as both candidates have said repeatedly in recent days, the only poll that counts is Tuesday.

The Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc poll was based on interviews with 625 likely voters likely and has a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

By Rosalind Helderman  |  November 1, 2009; 1:27 PM ET
Categories:  2009 Attorney General's Race , 2009 Governor's Race , 2009 Lieutenant Governor's Race , Bill Bolling , Creigh Deeds , Election 2009 , Jody Wagner , Ken Cuccinelli , Polls , Robert F. McDonnell , Rosalind Helderman , Steve Shannon  
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There is an opinion worth reading in today's Staunton Newsleader online. There has been enough political spinning done regarding negative campaigning etc. Bottom line is that Creigh Deeds has done more for jobs creation, education, etc. that Bob McDonnell ever will.
Deeds is the one that can be trusted to provide the leadership Virginia needs now!

Posted by: shrad433 | November 1, 2009 2:02 PM | Report abuse

shrad433 . . . did the article appear in the Obituaries?

Posted by: WeThePeopleofVirginia | November 1, 2009 5:25 PM | Report abuse

This is soooooo satisfying, especially for those of us who have been knocking on doors for Bob these past weeks, rain or shine. Come Tuesday, we're gonna crush the Dems and the liberals at all levels on the ticket. Come this time next year, it will be time to clean house of Dems in Congress and Senate and then make Obama a one term President (just like Carter)....(and you Liberals thought last Fall you had achieved some sort of re-alignment of the American electorate--not true, just a one time flash in the pan).

Posted by: dcmowbray1 | November 1, 2009 6:04 PM | Report abuse

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