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Boucher maintains double-digit lead in new poll

Ben Pershing

Rep. Rick Boucher (D) leads state House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith (R) by 10 points with two months remaining until Election Day, according to a new independent poll of the 9th district.

The SurveyUSA poll, conducted for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, shows Boucher ahead among likely voters, 50 percent to 40 percent. Independent candidate Jeremiah Heaton drew 5 percent. That result is a slight improvement for Griffith over a mid-July poll by the same firm, which showed the Republican trailing by 13 points in the Southwest Virginia district.

"The contest remains tied among men; among women, Boucher leads by 22 points, essentially unchanged. 1 in 4 Republicans continue to cross over to vote for the Democrat. Independents remain divided," SurveyUSA wrote in a memo on the new survey.

(Notably, the same polling firm and television station have been teaming up to do polls of Rep. Tom Perriello's (D) reelection race in the 5th district. Democrats have been highly critical of the methodology of those surveys, which have showed Perriello trailing state Sen. Robert Hurt (R) by a wide margin.)

The Hotline reported this week that an internal poll conducted for the Boucher campaign by the Benenson Strategy Group gave the Democrat a 23-point lead.

Whatever the real number, Boucher is not behaving like a candidate who believes he has a huge lead. Recognizing the pro-Republican and anti-incumbent tilt of this Election Cycle, he is running ads touting his independence from the Democratic party line.

By Ben Pershing  |  September 3, 2010; 2:35 PM ET
Categories:  2010 Virginia Congressional Races , Ben Pershing , Election 2010 , Morgan Griffith , Rick Boucher  
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Thanks for including mention of the Independent Green Party of Virginia endorsee Jeremiah Heaton in the poll.

Jermiah Heaton is a conservative, U.S. Army veteran, businessman, husband, and father.

We need "More Trains, Less Traffic"

High Speed Rail starting in Bristol, Virginia and statewide. Create Rail Jobs, jobs, jobs, in the 9th district and across Virginia with Rail.


Posted by: CareyCampbell | September 6, 2010 9:48 PM | Report abuse

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