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Different polls, different results in Perriello-Hurt race

Ben Pershing

A new poll in Virginia's 5th district suggests state Sen. Robert Hurt (R) has a commanding lead over Rep. Tom Perriello (D) in the latter's reelection race, but Democrats are certain to dispute the survey's results.

Conducted by the firm SurveyUSA for WDBJ News in Roanoke, the polls finds Hurt leading Perriello among likely voters, 61 percent to 35 percent, with independent candidate Jeffrey Clark drawing 2 percent. The results are similar to those from a July poll taken by the same firm for the same station, which showed Hurt ahead by 23 points.

But those numbers are very different from the ones produced by another recent poll -- taken in August by Ayres McHenry & Associates for the pro-Republican group American Action Forum -- that showed Perriello trailing by just 6 points.

And Perriello's camp was extremely critical of the last SurveyUSA poll, calling it "useless" arguing that the sample used far more Republicans than it should have given the breakdown of registered voters in the 5th district. Unusually, that July poll showed just 3 percent of voters to be undecided, while the new SurveyUSA poll had just 2 percent undecided. Most polls -- particularly those conducted this far from Election Day -- have a much higher proportion of undecided voters.

By Ben Pershing  |  September 2, 2010; 11:59 AM ET
Categories:  2010 Virginia Congressional Races , Ben Pershing , Election 2010 , Robert Hurt , Tom Perriello  
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Comments

I live in the district and can report that Tom Perriello is a good guy, hardworking, and well respected. He deserves credit for hosting many Town Halls and listening to often harsh feedback.
These talents will serve Tom well in his next career, after he is deservedly thrown out on his ear, for his extreme liberal votes for Obama care and the disastrous stimulus. Along with 50 to 60 of his Democratic colleagues.

Posted by: bobdame | September 4, 2010 4:27 PM | Report abuse

Thanks for including mention of the Independent Green Party of Virginia http://www.VoteJoinRun.US
elected 5th Congressional District chairman Jeff Clark, and endorsee in this race.

Jeff Clark is a conservative, U.S. Army Veteran, husband, father, and small business owner.

We need jobs in Virginia. We need "More Trains, Less Traffic". We need to build high speed rail and create jobs across the commonwealth. Building rail makes America and Virginia safer and more secure. Rail saves lives. Rail saves tax dollars.

We need "More Trains, Less Traffic".

We need Jeff Clark in congres..

Posted by: CareyCampbell | September 6, 2010 9:54 PM | Report abuse

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