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More polls show Perriello, Nye narrowly trailing

Ben Pershing

With less than a month left until Election Day, a pair of new polls shows Virginia freshman Reps. Tom Perriello (D) and Glenn Nye (D) narrowly trailing in their reelection races.

The Hill and the American National Gas Association have teamed up to sponsor polls, conducted by the firm Penn Schoen & Berland, in more than 40 key congressional races across the country. Their surveys of Virginia's 2nd and 5th district races were among the first to be released publicly.

In the 2nd district, which covers much of the Hampton Roads area, auto dealer Scott Rigell (R) leads Nye, 42 percent to 36 percent, with 19 percent of respondents undecided. The survey did not include Kenny Golden -- the former Virginia Beach GOP chair now running as an independent. A poll released last month by the Rigell campaign showed the Republican leading 45 percent to 40 percent, with Golden pulling 5 percent of the vote.

In the 5th, which stretches from the Charlottesville area down to the North Carolina border, The Hill/ANGA survey showed a neck-and-neck contest, with state Sen. Robert Hurt (R) leading Perriello, 45 percent to 44 percent, with 9 percent undecided. Again, the survey did not include the independent candidate in the race, Jeffrey Clark. The result matches a League of Conservation Voters survey released this week that also gave Hurt a 1-point lead. Other polls commissioned by Democrats and by one GOP-leaning independent group
have all showed the race extremely close.

On the other end of the spectrum, a series of polls by SurveyUSA for WDBJ News in Roanoke have shown Hurt with leads of more than 20 points. But Perriello's campaign and his pollster have been extremely aggressive in pointing out flaws with those surveys' methodology.

By Ben Pershing  | October 6, 2010; 12:45 PM ET
Categories:  2010 Virginia Congressional Races, Election 2010, Glenn Nye, Robert Hurt, Scott Rigell, Tom Perriello  
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Only problem is SurveyUSA was the most accurate pollster in Virginia in 2009. Those other polls don't have any such track record.

Posted by: JTR555 | October 6, 2010 4:15 PM | Report abuse

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