By Dan Froomkin
1:03 PM ET, 03/ 2/2009
In his radio and Internet address on Saturday (above), President Obama boldly -- and accurately -- cast his ambitious and profoundly course-changing budget proposal as an assault on establishment Washington and its entrenched interests.
"I realize that passing this budget won't be easy. Because it represents real and dramatic change, it also represents a threat to the status quo in Washington," he said.
And he made it clear that he is girding for the inevitable backlash: "I know these steps won't sit well with the special interests and lobbyists who are invested in the old way of doing business, and I know they're gearing up for a fight as we speak. My message to them is this:
"So am I.
"The system we have now might work for the powerful and well-connected interests that have run Washington for far too long, but I don't. I work for the American people. I didn't come here to do the same thing we've been doing or to take small steps forward, I came to provide the sweeping change that this country demanded when it went to the polls in November. That is the change this budget starts to make, and that is the change I'll be fighting for in the weeks ahead – change that will grow our economy, expand our middle-class, and keep the American Dream alive for all those men and women who have believed in this journey from the day it began."
It was his boldest acknowledgment yet of what is slowly becoming clear to the rest of us: That his proposals represent such a dramatic reversal from the course the nation has been following over the last eight years -- and even the last three decades -- that they will inevitably face intense resistance from Washington's traditional power centers.
And it's not just industry lobbyists, either, although Obama was most specific about them: "I know that the insurance industry won't like the idea that they'll have to bid competitively to continue offering Medicare coverage, but that's how we'll help preserve and protect Medicare and lower health care costs for American families," he said "I know that banks and big student lenders won't like the idea that we're ending their huge taxpayer subsidies, but that's how we'll save taxpayers nearly $50 billion and make college more affordable. I know that oil and gas companies won't like us ending nearly $30 billion in tax breaks, but that's how we'll help fund a renewable energy economy that will create new jobs and new industries."
It's arguably almost the entire Washington political and media establishment that finds itself on the defensive. A central part of Obama's message, in both his budget and his address to a joint session of Congress last week, has been that we find ourselves at a "day of reckoning" not out of bad luck or by happenstance, but as the direct result of Washington's profound irresponsibility.
It's worth revisiting Obama's explanation of "how we arrived at this moment" from that joint address:
"The fact is, our economy did not fall into decline overnight. Nor did all of our problems begin when the housing market collapsed or the stock market sank. We have known for decades that our survival depends on finding new sources of energy, yet we import more oil today than ever before. The cost of health care eats up more and more of our savings each year, yet we keep delaying reform. Our children will compete for jobs in a global economy that too many of our schools do not prepare them for.
"And though all of these challenges went unsolved, we still managed to spend more money and pile up more debt, both as individuals and through our government, than ever before. In other words, we have lived through an era where too often short-term gains were prized over long-term prosperity, where we failed to look beyond the next payment, the next quarter, or the next election.
"A surplus became an excuse to transfer wealth to the wealthy instead of an opportunity to invest in our future. Regulations... were gutted for the sake of a quick profit at the expense of a healthy market. People bought homes they knew they couldn't afford from banks and lenders who pushed those bad loans anyway. And all the while, critical debates and difficult decisions were put off for some other time on some other day."
The inevitable conclusion here is that establishment Washington is complicit in what went wrong. That includes all the people in positions of power who accepted what was happening as simply politics as usual -- even as the country was slowly but inevitably headed to that day of reckoning.
After all, since the Reagan era, even mainstream Democratic leaders have internalized the trickle-down, free-market, small-government mentality which Obama now blames for our woes. Few in the Democratic party -- or the mainstream media -- did much more than watch as the economic playing field tilted further and further to the advantage of the rich.
And yes, it's true that many of Obama's initiatives could well be described as pent-up Democratic goals. But you might also call them nearly-forgotten goals, as far as the current batch of Democratic leaders is concerned. Even when they controlled Congress, they failed to block budgets that turned out to be blueprints for disaster. And they either didn't fight for their principles or flinched in a pinch. I described some of their capitulations to former president George W. Bush in this December 2007 column. These very same leaders may well be motivated to -- at least -- complicate or modify Obama's proposals to validate their own previous inaction.
David E. Sanger of the New York Times sees how dramatic Obama's thinking is, writing that it may be "a postmodern, post-Clinton form of liberalism....
"If Johnson's rallying cry was an end to poverty in the world's richest nation, Mr. Obama's is an end to the Reagan Revolution. With the proposed tax increases on couples making more than $250,000, Mr. Obama has declared that trickle-down economics — the theory that the entire country benefits as the nation's richest amass and spend — was a fantasy. He denounced it in moral terms, declaring in his budget that 'there is something wrong when we allow the playing field to be tilted so far in the favor of so few.'"
E.J. Dionne Jr. writes in his Washington Post opinion column that Obama has "transformed the terms of the nation's debate.
"The central issue in American politics now is whether the country should reverse a three-decade-long trend of rising inequality in incomes and wealth."
So is the resistance to Obama's plans building in Washington? It sure is.
Business interests won't take this lying down. Greg Hitt and Jesse Drucker write in the Wall Street Journal: "'You don't build a house by blowing up its foundation,' said Bruce Josten, the [U.S. Chamber of Commerce]'s executive vice president for government affairs, who contended the plan would penalize small businesses and entrepreneurs....
"Exxon Mobil Corp. and other U.S. oil and gas companies would pay $31.4 billion in taxes over the next 10 years under a proposal to eliminate or scale back a range of tax-production incentives currently available to the industry. The energy industry is also a big beneficiary of a tax-accounting principle -- known as LIFO, or last-in-first-out -- which would be repealed, raising $61 billion.
"A spokesman for Exxon Mobil said higher taxes 'make it more difficult to invest in new energy supplies that are necessary to meet future demand.'"
(And yes, that's the same Exxon that posted an all-time record $45.2 billion in profits last year.)
Military contractors are running scared. Christopher Drew writes in the New York Times: "The big contractors 'are sitting on the edge of their seats,' said Gordon Adams, a professor at American University in Washington and an expert on the defense budget."
Polluters are gnashing their teeth. John M. Broder writes in the New York Times: "Business lobbies and many Republicans raised loud objections to the cap-and-trade program Mr. Obama proposed as part of his budget this week, saying the plan amounted to a gigantic and permanent tax on oil, electricity and manufactured goods, a shock they said the country could not handle during economic distress."
The health-care industry is gearing up for a possible epic confrontation. Robert Pear writes in the New York Times: "The powerful interests that dominate the health care industry could challenge even Mr. Obama's political deftness."
And the prospects in Congress are decidedly mixed.
Washington Post cartoonist Tom Toles illustrates the Capitol Hill bottleneck.
David Lightman writes for McClatchy Newspapers: "President Barack Obama's ambitious plans will face immediate political difficulty in a wary — and often parochial — Congress that's long resisted such fast, radical change.
"It's not only lawmakers who tend to resist overturning the status quo. An army of lobbyists, grassroots interests, campaign contributors and others who make up insider Washington await, all eager to express their views on why Obama's plans need to be amended, if not defeated.
"'He's going to get it from all sides,' said Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a Washington budget watchdog group."
The New York Times warns of problems from both sides of the aisle. Peter Baker writes: "Some of his ideas have attracted criticism across party lines. Republicans deride the overall plan as a 'job killer' intended to revive class warfare, soak the rich and burden business too much at a time of economic hardship. The plan means 'the era of big government is back,' said Representative John A. Boehner of Ohio, the House Republican leader...
"Certain provisions in Mr. Obama's plan may strike special interests, but they also affect favored programs for Democrats as well as Republicans.
"Senators Kent Conrad and Byron L. Dorgan, both North Dakota Democrats, for instance, declared opposition to Mr. Obama's proposal to phase out agricultural subsidies for farmers with gross receipts over $500,000.
"Mr. Conrad, the Budget Committee chairman, said some tax increases on high-income workers 'may well not survive' and expressed concern about the buildup of debt."
Jo Biddle writes for AFP: "Republicans Sunday signaled they are ready to seize a gauntlet thrown down by US President Barack Obama over his whopping 3.55 trillion dollar budget, heralding a bruising Congress battle ahead...
"'What we see in this budget, frankly, is an attempt, again, to try and stimulate the economy through government expenditure. And, you know, at best what that can do is redistribute wealth,' Republican House minority whip Eric Cantor told ABC...
"Influential radio talk show host Rush Limbaugh, giving the keynote address at a leading conservative conference on Saturday, slammed the new administration's approach.
"'Ronald Reagan used to speak of a shining city on a hill. Barack Obama portrays America as a soup kitchen and some dark night in a corner of America that's very obscure,' he said."
Newsweek sees a Pelosi problem for Obama. Holly Bailey writes that various tensions have left Obama and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi "with a complicated relationship that hovers somewhere between friend and frenemy."
The Washington Post sees the central political battle as one over cost. Lori Montgomery writes: "As Congress this week begins reviewing Obama's request, Republicans are blasting the proposal as a historic and irresponsible enlargement of the federal bureaucracy that ultimately will force Obama to break his pledge to avoid a broad-based tax increase....
"Democratic congressional leaders say they expect to endorse Obama's agenda in April. But they warned that it will not be easy and predicted that a proposal to limit tax deductions taken by the wealthy for charitable giving, mortgage interest and other items may not survive."
What would be Obama's most effective strategies when it comes to fighting -- and beating -- the Washington establishment? I'll have some thoughts about that tomorrow. In the meantime, I welcome yours, in comments.Iraq Watch
By Dan Froomkin
12:54 PM ET, 03/ 2/2009
Your fellow White House Watchers are weighing in on my Friday item, in which I wondered if, in his recent Camp Lejeune speech, President Obama's essential endorsement of former president George W. Bush's possibly unattainable goals for Iraq means he now gets the blame if things fall apart after we leave.
The big headline, of course, was that Obama announced a dramatic reduction of U.S. troops by the end of August 2010 and a total pullout by the end of 2011. But he also described as an achievable goal "an Iraq that is sovereign, stable, and self-reliant."
In his interview with Jim Lehrer of PBS's Online Newshour on Friday, Obama was careful not to endorse the original mission.
Lehrer: "On Iraq specifically, you drew applause and shouts from some of the Marines when you went through what was accomplished in Iraq, particular Saddam Hussein, you went through a couple of other things. In general, should the Iraq mission now be seen as 'successful'?"
Obama: "Well, I think what we can say unequivocally is that our military succeeded in every mission that was given to them. They consistently performed above and beyond expectations under extraordinarily difficult circumstances. I don't think that we can rightly say that the strategy cooked up by our civilian leadership, with respect to either going in in the first place or how the war was managed, was a success. But I think that we can say without equivocation that our military was successful, and if we get it right over the next few months and years, that there is the strong possibility that we can leave Iraq as a stable, peaceful partner in the region."
And Obama expressed less lofty -- and arguably more realistic -- goals for Afghanistan than he did for Iraq:
Lehrer: "As you know, Mr. President, there's a traditional language for these kinds of conflicts, and its victory, or its loss, you win a war or you lose a war. Is there a victory definition for Afghanistan now or is that part of your thinking at this moment?"
Obama: "I think there are achievable goals in Afghanistan, and the achievable goal is to make sure it's not a safe haven for terrorists, to make sure that the Afghan people are able to determine their own fate. One of the things that I think we have to communicate in Afghanistan is that we have no interest or aspiration to be there over the long term. There's a long history, as you know, in Afghanistan of rebuffing what is seen as an occupying force, and we have to be mindful of that history as we think about our strategy.
"Our goal in the region is to keep the American people safe. And I think that the more we can accomplish that through diplomacy, and the more we can accomplish that by partnering with actors in the region, rather than simply applying U.S. military forces, the better off we're going to be."
Juan Cole, writing for Salon, is much less concerned than I about Obama's expressed goals in Iraq. And he may be right.
"The new president forcefully rejected Bushian mission creep," Cole notes. "Obama admitted, 'We cannot rid Iraq of all who oppose America or sympathize with our adversaries. We cannot police Iraq's streets until they are completely safe, nor stay until Iraq's union is perfected.' In other words, he is prepared to depart Iraq even if it remains somewhat divided, even if a drumbeat of subdued violence continues in its cities, and even if anti-Americanism retains a certain purchase on the population....
"Some Republicans claimed that Obama's plan vindicated their Iraq policies, which is sort of like claiming that Captain Sullenberger's water landing in the Hudson vindicated the geese that knocked out the jet engines."
Foreign Policy blogger Marc Lynch loved Obama's speech: "It laid out a powerful rationale for the new policy, sent a very clear signal to Iraqis about American intentions, placed American policy firmly within the context of the Status of Forces Agreement negotiated with the Iraqi government, and embedded the policy effectively into its wider regional context. I know that some on the left are worried about the 50,000 figure for the residual force and about the timeline, but I think those concerns are overblown. The plan Obama laid out today is entirely consistent with his campaign promises and -- more important -- is the right strategy for today's Iraq....
"'What we will not do is let the pursuit of the perfect stand in the way of achievable goals.' This, combined with the emphasis on Iraqi responsibility, demonstrates a very healthy realism about the enterprise which has too often been lacking from American rhetoric.
In a Washington Post survey of foreign policy experts, anti-war Boston University Professor Andrew J. Bacevich writes: "In effect, the president is orienting the Pentagon's attention back to Central Asia, the front where the war began in 2001. Yet in doing so, he implicitly recommits the United States to what has become an open-ended military endeavor.
"Lost in the shuffling of troops is any clear understanding of that endeavor's strategic rationale. Iraq alone has cost the United States a trillion dollars or more. The putative success of the 'surge' notwithstanding, we have achieved exceedingly modest and tenuous gains. To imagine that simply trying harder in Afghanistan and Pakistan will produce a happier outcome is surely a fantasy."
Neocon former Bush administration hawk Douglas J. Feith writes: "His speech effectively repudiated the extreme antiwar rhetoric of recent years. There was no mention of Iraq as a disaster, a fraud or even a blunder. He presumably still thinks the war should not have been fought, but Obama chose not to make this point, accentuating the positive instead....
"This Iraq speech was cautious. It neither represents nor promises ultimate victory in Iraq. But it does flatly contradict those war critics who damned the U.S. effort as an irredeemable failure. It represents the defeat of the defeatists."
Former Post defense correspondent Thomas E. Ricks tells Benjamin Sarlin of the Daily Beast: "I think the speech had a lot of Bush-like optimism in it. I think he's walking in the failed footsteps of his predecessor when he says we'll get down to 30,000 troops quickly. Bush's original plan was to get to 30,000 by September 2003, so what you have is Obama saying he can do that too by August 2010. The other thing that struck me was that he was talking about transitioning to Iraqi Security Forces, what Bush called 'standing down as they stand up.' I found it overly optimistic and a bit worrisome because of that....
"Basically the surge failed. It was intended to improve security and lead to a breathing space where political breakthroughs could occur. None occurred. None of the basic questions facing Iraq have been addressed: sharing oil revenue; the basic power relationship between Sunni, Shia, and Kurd; the shape of the country—strong central government or loose federation; what's the state of Iran or the status of Kirkuk? We are keeping the lid on things now, we are the glue holding things together."Quick Takes
By Dan Froomkin
12:45 PM ET, 03/ 2/2009
Devlin Barrett writes for the Associated Press: "New documents show the CIA destroyed nearly 100 tapes of terror interrogations, far more than has previously been acknowledged. The revelation Monday comes as a criminal prosecutor is wrapping up his investigation in the matter. The acknowledgment of dozens of destroyed tapes came in a letter filed by government lawyers in New York, where the American Civil Liberties Union has filed a lawsuit seeking more details of the Bush administration's terror interrogation programs following the Sept. 11, 2001 terror attacks."
Michael A. Fletcher and Ceci Connolly write in Sunday's Washington Post: "Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius yesterday accepted President Obama's request to become his secretary of health and human services, stepping into a central role in the new administration's ambitious effort to overhaul the nation's health-care system."
Aliza Marcus writes for Bloomberg: "President Barack Obama plans to revoke a last minute rule from the Bush administration to shield health workers who refuse to participate in abortions or other medical activities that go against their beliefs."
Nancy Benac writes for the Associated Press: "For all the sweeping changes that President Barack Obama has delivered, there also has been an ample helping of more-of-the-same. The Bush policy of imprisoning enemy combatants in Afghanistan without trial? The Obama White House is OK with that. The Bush tax cuts for the rich that candidate Obama promised to wipe out early? President Obama will let them run their course. The Bush team's claim of a 'state secrets' privilege to avoid releasing information? The Obama White House has agreed thrice over, even as it reviews the policy." Here's the AP's list.
Ginger Thompson writes in the New York Times: "White House officials said Sunday that President Obama would sign a $410 billion spending bill that includes thousands of pet projects, known as earmarks, despite campaign promises to put an end to the practice... 'This is last year's business,' Peter R. Orszag, the director of the Office of Management and Budget, said in an appearance on the ABC program 'This Week.' 'We want to just move on. Let's get this bill done, get it into law and move forward.'"
Sheryl Gay Stolberg writes in the New York Times that a "burst of entertaining is giving the new White House a far livelier feel than during the twilight of the Bush administration, when more people were demonstrating outside than boogieing inside. But Mr. Obama's open-door policy is not just fun and frivolity; it is an exercise in presidential image-making to advance his political agenda, while also carefully nurturing an identity for a first family that embodies racial history, youth and a stylistic shift in leadership....Senior White House officials say the Obamas want to bring together people whose paths might not ordinarily cross. The White House social secretary, Desirée Rogers, said an overarching question was: 'How do we Obama-tize this event?'" Here's Stolberg's video report.
Secretary of Defense Robert Gates compared his two bosses on Sunday, with David Gregory on NBC's Meet the Press: "I think that probably President Obama is, is somewhat more analytical, and, and, he makes sure he hears from everybody in the room on an issue. And if they don't speak up, he calls on them....President Bush was interested in hearing different points of view but didn't go out of his way to make sure everybody spoke if they hadn't, if they hadn't spoken up before."Cartoon Watch
By Dan Froomkin
9:17 AM ET, 03/ 2/2009
Tom Toles on one of the problems with bipartisanship, Tony Auth and RJ Matson on the difficulties Obama is facing, John Sherffius, Adam Zyglis, Jimmy Margulies and Gary Varvel on Obama's budget, David Horsey and Kevin Siers on class warfare, Dwane Powell on what the public wants, Stuart Carlson on nationalization, Rob Rogers and Joel Pett on bailing out the neighbors, and Morten Morland on the British prime minister's visit.