Lottery Day Plans, Instant Reactions

So today's the day we find out where the Wizards go from here. Michael Lee will be in Secaucus, N.J., reporting from the draft lottery, and as soon as the Wizards' position is revealed, he'll share his insights here on Insider. Plus Michael Wilbon will offer his opinion in Wednesday's newspaper.

But why stop there? We'd like to hear your insights too, so I'll be rounding up your "Snap Reactions." As soon as you find out where the Wizards will be picking, feel free to send the first thought (or first clever one) that pops into your head to mcmillank@washpost.com with 'snap reaction' in the subject line. Keep it to a sentence or two. I'll sift through the submissions -- and solicit a few from prominent Wiz followers -- and post the best on Wednesday morning.

Whether it's the No. 1 pick -- all excitement and no suspense -- or the No. 5 -- little excitement and all suspense -- we'd like to hear what you think. And of course we'll open up the floor for comments as well.

By Keith McMillan |  May 19, 2009; 9:31 AM ET
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Comments

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We should take the best player available and then use trades to round out our team.

We need more athletic swingmen. The path to the Finals is going to go through Cleveland for the foreseeable future. We need more players to throw in front of LeBron. I'd like us to trade for a Posey/Battier type of player. Long, athletic defensive stopper who can catch and shoot a high percentage on threes.

Posted by: yop32 | May 19, 2009 9:58 AM

If we end up 3rd, 4th, or 5th, Ernie should put the pick on ebay.

Posted by: CBell29 | May 19, 2009 10:00 AM

Another reason to get some more athletic swingmen is to try using a full-court press against the Cavs. The Cavs' depend on LeBron to do most of the ball handling. Why not get some athletic end-of-the-bench players and use them to force LeBron to work hard baseline to baseline?

Posted by: yop32 | May 19, 2009 10:14 AM

Hard to comment til we see where we pick. I'm sure we'll all have stuff to say tonight or tomorrow.

Posted by: original_mark | May 19, 2009 10:22 AM

"The path to the Finals is going to go through Cleveland for the foreseeable future."

Call me crazy, but the path to the east will not be hinged on Lebron in the near future.

It will be hinged on Dwight Howard.

Everybody is giving Lebron the Eastern Conference already, but as I've been pimping for a while, Cleveland doesn't match up well with the higher rung teams. I'm very interested in seeing how Lebron fares when he can't attack the basket at will due to Howard's presence (arguably the only player in the league that can match Lebron physically and athletically when he drives the lane).

Plus, the Wizards beat the Cavs twice, despite our awful performance this season. And Orlando is in our division. (Though I agree that Lebron will be present in the postseason for the foreseeable future, and Cleveland has been a nemesis for us in the past).

Posted by: psps23 | May 19, 2009 10:28 AM

If we end up 3rd, 4th, or 5th, Ernie should put the pick on ebay.

Posted by: CBell29 | May 19, 2009 10:00 AM


I have been following this blog now for 2 years, not actively in posting things but love to read it. Just want to mention that IMO this is the comment of the day!!

I think Ivan should have a "Comment of the Day" item on the blog....

Posted by: Goelez | May 19, 2009 10:28 AM

My guess is that the Wizards get fourth, or at least no higher than 3rd. They should ship the pick for Kwame Brown.

Posted by: nadeemsx | May 19, 2009 10:38 AM

psps: "Plus, the Wizards beat the Cavs twice, despite our awful performance this season. And Orlando is in our division. (Though I agree that Lebron will be present in the postseason for the foreseeable future, and Cleveland has been a nemesis for us in the past). "

They're both teams with identifiable flaws. But Cleveland is playing well on a more consistent basis.

That usually matters more in the playoffs than which team is more talented.

Posted by: Samson151 | May 19, 2009 10:39 AM

ur tryin too hard, Keith

Posted by: prescrunk | May 19, 2009 10:40 AM

Book-it, OKC or Memphis will get Griffin.

This draft will be a failure for us short-term only if we end-up with Thabeet or Hill, at-least Harden or Curry could fill a need.

I would love to know who's on Ernie's trade-down and pick list.

Posted by: closg | May 19, 2009 10:49 AM

"Plus Michael Wilbon will offer his opinion in Wednesday's newspaper."

Goody gumdrops.

Posted by: bryc3 | May 19, 2009 10:58 AM

If the Wiz don't get the #1 and really want Griffin, they can trade up with their pick and a player (depending on which team gets the #1).

Posted by: Izman | May 19, 2009 10:58 AM

Dammit, just played espn's lottery game, and OKC ended up with #1.

The Wizards ended up at #5.

Somehow, I'm not surprised.

Posted by: psps23 | May 19, 2009 10:59 AM

There isn't really any doubt in anyone's mind that OKC is going to get the first pick, hometown boy Blake Griffin, is there?

Posted by: VTDuffman | May 19, 2009 11:14 AM

In the WP article 'Wizards Look to Hit Lottery', Grunfeld says 'I think we showed that last year when we had everybody out there against Cleveland. If we get all of our players out on the court, we can compete with anyone in the league'... and Saunders 'Whatever draft pick we have is going to have the luxury... coming to a playoff team.' Are they guys high? Grunfeld takes one game out of a 19-win season to pat himself on the back, while Saunders apparently has one season amnesia. This continued nostalgia for the 2005-2007 teams is worrying. The long-term, lucrative deals for Jamison (aging) Arenas (injuries) Etan Thomas (overpaid, in retrospect) and Deshawn Stevenson (ditto) suggest a GM more interested in looking backwards while teams around us upgrade. I hope we don't trade our pick for some aging veteran so that the 2005 Wizards get another chance. We need to help our team now, true, but also need to look forward. Griffin, Rubio, Thabeet and Harden could all help our team now, as could Blair if we trade down. Even Tyreke Evans would be an immediate upgrade over Stevenson, and a possible future star. Whatever happens, I pray this team looks towards the future with its pick, as drafting this high is a rare opportunity to build a future contender.

Posted by: SammyT1 | May 19, 2009 11:23 AM

"The path to the Finals is going to go through Cleveland for the foreseeable future."

Call me crazy, but the path to the east will not be hinged on Lebron in the near future.

It will be hinged on Dwight Howard.

Everybody is giving Lebron the Eastern Conference already, but as I've been pimping for a while, Cleveland doesn't match up well with the higher rung teams. I'm very interested in seeing how Lebron fares when he can't attack the basket at will due to Howard's presence (arguably the only player in the league that can match Lebron physically and athletically when he drives the lane).

Plus, the Wizards beat the Cavs twice, despite our awful performance this season. And Orlando is in our division. (Though I agree that Lebron will be present in the postseason for the foreseeable future, and Cleveland has been a nemesis for us in the past).

Posted by: psps23 | May 19, 2009 10:28 AM

Howard is not foul-call-proof. If there's a conspricay to give Lebron calls in games as some people (wiz fans included) seem to think, what makes dwight exempt if he challenges lebron when he comes to the lane? at the same time Lebron wants defenses to collapse around him so that the cavs outside shooters can spot up.

Either way Dwight isn't the guy. He's a Rich Man's Ben Wallace ( I said it). He's ben with upgraded hops and a lil (emphasis on lil)more offense. But his team cannot count on him for points. Unless he's dunking the ball, there isn't one shot that DH takes that i'm confident in him taking. He needs the 25 and 12 from turky, 13 from the frenchman, 16 from rafer to win big games. 16 and 22 was very impressive, but they couldn't beat any contender w/Dwight being the leading contributor every night. He'll always need a player that can get his team a bucket b/c he can't, that's where he and Lebro differ, and that's where Lebron has the advantage.

Posted by: lilhollywood10 | May 19, 2009 11:47 AM

The Magic might not be able to hold it together after this year, either. Turkoglu and Gortat may both be free agents this summer, and it's not clear that the Magic will be willing to pay the luxury tax to keep them. Orlando massively overpaid for Rashard Lewis, and that fact is going to make it hard for them to be continual contenders going forward.

Posted by: yop32 | May 19, 2009 12:05 PM

He's ben with upgraded hops and a lil (emphasis on lil)more offense. But his team cannot count on him for points. Unless he's dunking the ball, there isn't one shot that DH takes that i'm confident in him taking.

--------

Did Shaq have any shot that wasn't four feet from the basket?

Posted by: crs-one | May 19, 2009 12:17 PM

First of all,Howard is no shaq. And even then shaq had honed his game at lsu. he had a lil hook like shot and moves. howard has no post game. layups and dunks is all he can make.

Second of all, my comments were based on a comment about the eastern conference finals going through orlando and mainly D.Howard. I was just illustrating that his game is limited at this point and that he can't carry his team to a win like Lebron can for cleaveland.

Posted by: lilhollywood10 | May 19, 2009 1:16 PM

shaq dominated. howard rarely if ever dominates a game.

Posted by: lilhollywood10 | May 19, 2009 1:20 PM

"He'll always need a player that can get his team a bucket b/c he can't, that's where he and Lebro differ, and that's where Lebron has the advantage.

Posted by: lilhollywood10"

While that's valid, the other area where he and Lebron differ, and is almost universally ignored for one reason or another, is defensively. And Howard is far and away a more impactful defender.

Lebron has turned into a phenomenal weakside and transitional defender, that's undeniable. His highlight reel blocks are something of an art. But by the mere nature of his position, he cannot impact his team's defense the way Howard can (much like Howard cannot impact his team's offense the way a ballhandler like Lebron can). Nearly every attempt that comes into the lane gets altered by Howard. Yes, Lebron feeds off teams that collapse on him, but that's precisely the reason the Magic are at an advantage. They don't need to collapse the way other teams do, because they've got their big man getting their back.

Personally, I think the two teams are very evenly matched, much more so than most are giving credit for.

And comparing Howard to Ben Wallace is a HUGE stretch. If Howard is a rich mans' Ben Wallace, then Wallace must be a street-laden bum to Howard's Donald Trump. Wallace never had the hands, agility, or post moves to match up with Howard. There's a reason he averaged over 20 points during the season.

Posted by: psps23 | May 19, 2009 1:29 PM

"Did Shaq have any shot that wasn't four feet from the basket?"

No, but Shaq (A) had more and better moves and footwork around the basket than Howard and (B) was so physically dominant that no one could keep him from getting within 4 feet from the basket. Against a big who's strong enough to body him out of the paint (like Perkins did), Howard's offense is neutralized on anything other than rebounds and putbacks.

Howard's a great player(and much closer to a poor man's bill Russell than a rich man's Ben Wallace) but I don't ever see him being the dominant, go-to offensive force that Shaq was in his prime.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 1:30 PM

I enjoy watching Dwight Howard, but I agree that he is a bit over rated. Some of us have forgotten what an actually dominaate center looks like. Unfortuanatley there aren't any in the NBA nowadays. Currently this is the golden era of the point guards.

Posted by: MeviousMan | May 19, 2009 1:31 PM

Howard might not be dominant on offense but he is dominant and easy buckets demoralize any team

Posted by: bford1kb | May 19, 2009 1:48 PM

"Howard might not be dominant on offense but he is dominant and easy buckets demoralize any team"

Too bad Howard doesn't get a lot of easy buckets.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 2:01 PM

Having the 1st pick is pointless if we 'Kwame Brown' ourselves again.

Posted by: BillEmm | May 19, 2009 2:32 PM

It's basically a 1 player draft and if the Wiz get the #1 pick there's only one choice to even consider.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 2:34 PM

First of all,Howard is no shaq. And even then shaq had honed his game at lsu. he had a lil hook like shot and moves. howard has no post game. layups and dunks is all he can make.

Second of all, my comments were based on a comment about the eastern conference finals going through orlando and mainly D.Howard. I was just illustrating that his game is limited at this point and that he can't carry his team to a win like Lebron can for cleaveland.

Posted by: lilhollywood10 | May 19, 2009 1:16 PM

I can easily concede that Howard is no Shaq. I asked the question more so because it struck me as curious to knock a high-caliber center for not having a shooting touch. While it would be a bonus, it seems that it's not necessary.

Also agreed that I'd rather have Lebron on my team over Dwight (ignoring the fact that i hate lebron...:)

Beyond that, it's gotta be a stretch to compare Howard to Wallace. Wallace's career high is 9.7 ppg. Last season Dwight averaged 20. that's more than a just a lil more offense, even considering he gets more touches being the teams first option (which wallace wasn't...but even there, the fact that Howard is a first option and wallace could never be is telling.) I just can't swallow the wallace/howard comparison.

although I do respect and enjoy it.

Posted by: crs-one | May 19, 2009 3:20 PM

"I can easily concede that Howard is no Shaq. I asked the question more so because it struck me as curious to knock a high-caliber center for not having a shooting touch. While it would be a bonus, it seems that it's not necessary."

Duncan (and yes, he is a center), Robinson, Hakeem, Shaq, Wilt, and Kareem (among others) would disagree.

"...but even there, the fact that Howard is a first option and wallace could never be is telling."

But that's the problem. Because of his offensive limitations, he's not really a legit 1st option. More often than not, when they need a clutch basket late they go to Turkoglu (or Jameer Nelson, when he was healthy). A real contending team needs to be to run the offense through their best player in crunch time.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 3:38 PM

Howard is not a dominant scorer, but he's someone who has averaged near 21 PPG two straight seasons while being a defensive force. That is a hell of a player and he's still not done growing as a player. I think all the time spent with team USA the past three summers has hindered his offensive growth and now that he finally has an offseason to himself, will come back in 2009-2010 an even better player.

I can only hope that if the Wiz happen to win the lottery tonight that Blake Griffin becomes 75% of what Howard is/will be.

Posted by: msholland1 | May 19, 2009 4:23 PM

No one's saying he's not a great player. What is being said that until his offensive game catches up with his defense, he's not on the same level as Lebron in terms of being a dominant force, which means that, until the Magic prove otherwise on the court ion the playoffs, the Cavs are still the top of the class in the East.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 4:34 PM

Hard to comment til we see where we pick. I'm sure we'll all have stuff to say tonight or tomorrow.

Absolutely.

Hence, "As soon as you find out where the Wizards will be picking ..."

ur tryin too hard, Keith

Perhaps unfortunately, "try" is somewhere in the job description. I'll keep the alternative in mind.

Posted by: KeithMcMillan | May 19, 2009 6:15 PM

"I can easily concede that Howard is no Shaq. I asked the question more so because it struck me as curious to knock a high-caliber center for not having a shooting touch. While it would be a bonus, it seems that it's not necessary."

Duncan (and yes, he is a center), Robinson, Hakeem, Shaq, Wilt, and Kareem (among others) would disagree.

"...but even there, the fact that Howard is a first option and wallace could never be is telling."

But that's the problem. Because of his offensive limitations, he's not really a legit 1st option. More often than not, when they need a clutch basket late they go to Turkoglu (or Jameer Nelson, when he was healthy). A real contending team needs to be to run the offense through their best player in crunch time.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 3:38 PM

To clarify

-High caliber, not hall of fame.
-Legit or not, he often fills the 1st option spot, if only in quarters 1-3. Bigger shoes than wallace can fill.

As I said, he's no Lebron (or Shaq, Duncan, et al). He may even be overrated. But I do feel he's well above Ben Wallace's level.

Posted by: crs-one | May 19, 2009 7:46 PM

"Did Shaq have any shot that wasn't four feet from the basket?"

No...

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 1:30 PM

"...it struck me as curious to knock a high-caliber center for not having a shooting touch..."

... Shaq... would disagree.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 3:38 PM

Posted by: crs-one | May 19, 2009 8:11 PM

and heerrrrerererererere we goooo. Everybody should start praying right about now. Go Flip.... Go Wiz

Posted by: 15600_sknfan | May 19, 2009 8:46 PM

Well, I guess we can all hope Griffin falls to pick 5 F#^$W^$W^%$^$^%$^%$%$&^%&$#@$@#$@#%%#%#%ck

Posted by: 15600_sknfan | May 19, 2009 8:51 PM

... Shaq... would disagree.

No, he wouldn't. Shaq has a very good shooting touch around the basket. What he doesn't have is range. He can't hit anything further than 6 feet out, but in close he has a nice array of hooks and turnaround one handers that Howard lacks.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 8:57 PM

"Legit or not, he often fills the 1st option spot, if only in quarters 1-3. Bigger shoes than wallace can fill."

A guy who only gets 10 shots (and none in the 4th) of a big playoff game is not a real #1 option on offense.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 8:59 PM

"Legit or not, he often fills the 1st option spot, if only in quarters 1-3. Bigger shoes than wallace can fill."

A guy who only gets 10 shots (and none in the 4th) of a big playoff game is not a real #1 option on offense.

Posted by: kalo_rama | May 19, 2009 8:59 PM

My point still stands. Not saying he's a "real" or "legit" first option. Real option or not, he often takes the role of first option, which is more than what wallace can do.

Unless you want to say the Magic don't often use him as a first option, or Wallace could do the same thing offensively that Howard does, we're arguing two different points.

Posted by: crs-one | May 20, 2009 12:36 AM

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